Never give up the will the live, part two
Went for a run after St. Patrick's Day. Never give up the will to live.
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When is a War Crime not a War Crime?
You can watch the video an see my full analysis at:
https://ryanmcbeth.substack.com/p/was-it-a-war-crime-for-ukraine-to
In a nutshell, back in April of 2022, a Ukrainian drone dropped a grenade through the sunroof of a Russian CASEVAC (Casualty Evacuation) vehicle. At the time, I though I had just witnessed a war crime. But I was thinking with a different set of rules.
My brain was still think of COIN or Counter Insurgency, where you are very careful about who you attack because everything could end up on the news and fuel the counter insurgency. I had taken the SROE or Standard Rules of Engagement for COIN and thought it was how wars were supposed to be fought.
But this is not the case in Ukraine. Ukraine is LSCO or Large Scale Combat Operations. Ukraine doesn't need to worry about winning the hearts and minds of the local population.
America's future conflicts could see a big problem if Global War on Terror veterans confuse the way we followed rules of engagement in Iraq and Afghanistan with what is legal for large scale conflicts.
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How the Survivability Onion Works
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The Survivability Onion is a tool to allow a soldier to determine their risk of surviving an encounter with an adversary.
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The slides for this video can be found at:
https://www.ryanmcbeth.com/single-post/how-the-survivability-onion-works
The original paper from Gary L. Guzie can be found here:
https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/Integrated-Survivability-Assessment-Guzie/0186cb2b7a2600e1ddadafa320a872cd36779dcc
References:
https://apps.dtic.mil/sti/pdfs/ADA378836.pdf
50
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Russian SU-27 Flanker - MQ-9 Reaper collision analysis
On March 14th, 2023, a Russian Su-27 Flanker fighter jet crashed into an American MQ-9 Reaper drone over the black sea. This likely caused damaged to the Russian Jet and resulted in the loss of the drone.
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Why is TRADOC so important?
TRADOC or the US Army Training and Doctrine Command plays a key role in ensuring the US Army's training, doctrine and lessons learned is standardized across the Army.
If you are curious about the OPFOR threat school, it can be found here:
https://oe.tradoc.army.mil/threat-tactics-course/
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Why don't tanks use commercial TVs for navigation?
This video stemmed from my "Why don't Russian Tank Crewmen Close their hatches" video.
https://youtube.com/shorts/dqBVD9TO8Jo?feature=share
The answer to that was Situational Awareness or SA. You are safer when you are "Buttoned Up" in a tank, but looking out narrow vision blocks is very difficult.
Viewer commented: "This is the dumbest thing I've heard in my life. It would literally only cost a few hundred dollars to set up a tank with panoramic high resolution cameras attached to large curved LCDs that would allow for perfect 360 degree vision.
The problem is that these LCDs would need top be ruggedized to survive the harsh conditions of warfare and once you make something ruggedized, it ceases being cheap.
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Why don’t Russian tank crewman close their vehicle hatches?
Tank crewmen typical call being enclosed in a tank "Buttoned up" and being halfway out of the hatch "Unbuttoned." Staying Buttoned Up makes you safer, but it becomes harder to navigate and maintain situational awareness.
Click below for The Chieftain's video on the MPF:
https://youtu.be/BdPmpidUbWo
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We raised over $19,000 for Johnny Rogers and his relief effort in Ukraine
You guys raised over $19,000 for Johnny Rogers and his relief effort in Ukraine.
Johnny's website:
https://www.helpisonthewayua.com/
Johnny's YouTube:
https://www.youtube.com/@UCbI0t-KrMSlk1VjIlpc-P0g
Johnny's Instagram:
https://www.instagram.com/ukrainianrelieffund/
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Chemical Weapons in Ukraine and The Lego Movie
My substack article is below:
https://ryanmcbeth.substack.com/p/how-is-the-alleged-use-of-chemical
Russia is pretty good at chemical defense, mainly because their doctrine stems from Soviet doctrine, which emphasized fighting in a Nuclear and Chemical environment. Chemical decontamination is something Russia knows how to do and do well. If there was even the inkling of a CBRN threat, Russia would at the least require their troops to carry masks. Yet you never seem to see Russian soldiers with masks or chemical protective gear.
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The Russian Wagner Mercenary Organization now has a Youth Group - #Wagneryonok
Dr. Ksenia Turakova's channel:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCEfju7_bYi1pj3I1GFptgiA
Yes, the Wagner mercenary group has #Wagneryonok - a youth group for children.
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I was Wrong - Is Russia using Mad Max MT-LBs?
At first I believed that the pictures of World War II era 2M-3 naval autocannons welded to the top of MT-LB Personnel carriers was fake.
https://twitter.com/MrFukkew/status/1632117242090455044
Then I saw this video:
https://twitter.com/TheDeadDistrict/status/1632299115605381121
And I have to admit that I was wrong. But that doesn't mean that these MT-LBs are headed to Ukraine. It is far too easy to show a picture, add some text and mislead people. Please keep a questioning attitude about claims made, especially when those claims don't square with how a military would make decisions, their capability and equipment.
The Covert Cabal video is below:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZNNoaRp5lz0
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78
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Don't Buy a Mac for Programming or Cybersecurity
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Only purchase a Mac if you intend to do Apple iOS development. Most development can be done for less money and with more capability on a PC with multiple monitors and a lower-powered laptop that can remote into a desktop.
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Are Russian and Ukrainian shells being recycled by China?
Based on the video evidence, I believe that the shells in video are 100mm shells that are typically used in the 1950's Soviet era T-54/55 tank or Chinese Type 59. These shells have been obsolete since the 1970s, so it is highly doubtful that either Russia or Ukraine would be using these systems today.
I believe that the shells in this video are new manufacture and headed to foreign state for their armed forces such as Pakistan, Iran or African states.
The original tweet is here:
https://twitter.com/songpinganq/status/1629240022342979587
You can explore CAT-UXO here:
https://cat-uxo.com/
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References and Rights:
122mm shell
https://cat-uxo.com/explosive-hazards/projectiles/122mm-of-462-projectile
152mm shell
https://cat-uxo.com/explosive-hazards/projectiles/152mm-of-540-projectile
155mm shell
https://cat-uxo.com/explosive-hazards/projectiles/155mm-m107-projectile
105mm shell
https://cat-uxo.com/explosive-hazards/projectiles/105mm-m1-projectile
Shell Crater T-80 loader
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QHn_N3Vq9DM
Air Source Military
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sC2ePKRvo9k
By Vitaly V. Kuzmin - http://vitalykuzmin.net/?q=node/262, CC BY-SA 4.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=26328147
By Tyg728 - Own work, CC BY-SA 4.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=66633534
By Vitaly V. Kuzmin - http://www.vitalykuzmin.net/?q=node/663, CC BY-SA 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=61888972
By Tyg728 - Own work, CC BY-SA 4.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=61092818
85
views
Got my new P365 thanks to Curtis and VSO
Check out the VSO Gun Channel at:
https://www.youtube.com/@VSO_Gun_Channel/
Quick note: I'm not a gun guy and not a political guy. I think firearms are mechanically interesting and I concealed carry for personal reasons based on my daily threat assessment. Please keep it civil in the comments and don't get political.
I ended up buying a new Sig P365XL because it felt great in my hands and it seemed to still conceal up well.
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comments
Russia knows where I live
I appreciate the love, guys, but I'm ok.
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Are Ukrainian soldiers being buried alive for refusing to fight?
My substack article is available for free below. Note that Substack flips it to paid after two weeks.
https://ryanmcbeth.substack.com/p/are-ukrainian-soldiers-being-buried
I don't believe the video is true because this is a very inefficient way of disciplining a soldier. The ground has been frozen in southern Ukraine for a few weeks now. Also note that anybody working in the cold would overheat digging or filling in a trench while wearing body armor and multiple layers of clothing.
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comments
Why does the Russian Army keep attacking Bakhmut?
Russia is continuing to attack Bakhmut because the road junction at 48.588077, 38.090713 makes it logistically simple to do so.
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The basics of SQL for Cybersecurity Professionals
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You can find the code to make this database here:
https://github.com/mcbethr/BasicSQL
Structured Query Language (SQL) isn't that difficult to learn and and the basics can be grasped in just a few minutes.
Always Use
BEGIN TRANSACTION
ROLLBACK TRANSACTION
Before updating or deleting data.
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Why doesn’t Russia use artillery to destroy tanks like Ukraine does?
How artillery works:
https://youtu.be/Kux_4KGuj1w
No combat footage was used.
Russia tends to rely extensively on artillery because in their doctrine, if artillery is used properly, the infantry don't need to be as well trained since the Artillery can do the job of smashing the enemy for the infantry.
Russian artillery officers are professional and well-trained, but the process of using forward observers to "spot" artillery is very expensive and really only reserved for Russian special forces.
Western/NATO trained nations tend to use artillery spotting and push artillery decision making down to the company or platoon level, with battalion oversight. Russia tends to use its artillery to support mass fires directly at the battalion level.
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Is Ukraine using chemical weapons against Russia?
You can find the video and my substack article available for free here:
https://ryanmcbeth.substack.com/p/is-ukraine-using-chemical-weapons
There are a couple of problems with using chemical weapons on the battlefield under modern conditions:
#1. Using a chemical weapon to target an individual soldier gives no tactical advantage while creating all sorts of strategic problems.
#2. Production is hard. While a chemical weapon could theoretically be created in a high school chemistry lab, loading that agent into a shell requires state support. It is doubtful Ukraine would make chemical weapons a state policy for reason #1.
#3. Blood agents like the cyanogen chloride that was claimed to have been used cause hypoxia, not the kind of thrashing associated with drowning.
This is how Russian propaganda works - it preys on your lack of knowledge about how the military and chemical weapons work. Fight back with knowledge.
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Why doesn’t Ukraine strike Russian railways?
It basically comes down to whether the juice is worth the squeeze. Rail has been around for almost 200 years. It's a mature technology that has a lot of specialized equipment that is designed to get railways functioning again quickly.
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References:
Breaking the Dragons Jaw (if you want to see how hard it was to destroy a rail bridge)
https://www.airandspaceforces.com/PDF/MagazineArchive/Documents/2011/August%202011/0811jaw.pdf
Emergency Railway Track Repair:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rVNTXYD-HjA&t=9s
Metro Derailment in Silver Spring:
https://wjla.com/news/local/metro-train-derailment-outside-of-silver-spring-suspends-service-causes-delays
173
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5
comments
How to fight a T-72 (METT-T)
You can get the "Hell on a Wire" shirt I wear in this video here:
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METT-T stands for:
Mission
Enemy
Terrain
Troops available
And Time
Sometimes METT-TC is used for civilian considerations.
And it's part of the troop leading procedures here:
https://www.benning.army.mil/MCOE/199th/~CATD/MCCC/Reserve/content/pdf/Troop%20leading%20procedures%20outline.pdf
The original question can be found here:
https://twitter.com/NeilPitman10/status/1617726464551718912
Also note that most armored vehicle are weaker at the sides and rear. This is not exclusive to tanks.
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The Truth about The Ukrainian “Death Ray.”
My video explaining how the "Death Ray" is actually a German PARM Landmine is available here:
https://ryanmcbeth.substack.com/p/the-truth-about-the-ukrainian-death
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In a nutshell, the weapon from the Sun's video located here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XtDoPvaCbFQ
Was actually a German PARM anti-vehicle landmine that was probably set off from the excessive weight of three people tripping its fiber-optic crush trigger. I can't explain why The Sun newspaper called it a "Death Ray."
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M2A2 ODS Bradley’s are aboard ship and steaming across the Atlantic toward Ukraine
This story is publicly available and can be found at:
https://www.ustranscom.mil/cmd/panewsreader.cfm?ID=257C0F16-BEFD-D743-9EBE363136787004&yr=2023
Arc Integrity details can be found here:
https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/details/ships/shipid:327290/mmsi:338058000/imo:9332949/vessel:ARC_INTEGRITY
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BMP Terminator barrels shaking?
You can read my paper about the Battle of Grozny here:
https://ryanmcbeth.substack.com/p/my-analysis-of-the-battle-of-grozny
The BMP Terminator was designed as an urban infantry support weapon. During the Battle of Grozny, BMPs could not elevate to hit Chechen positions in high floors, so precious time was lost finding ZSU-23-4 Shilka air defense guns that could elevate high enough to hit urban targets.
The barrel shaking may be intentional, or it may be bad design. If it is a flaw, it could theoretically be fixed by offsetting the barrels, moving the muzzle breaks to vertical or timing them to fire when the other is recoiling.
For uncensored video, check out my substack at:
https://ryanmcbeth.substack.com
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Watch all of my long form videos:
https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLt670_P7pOGmLWZG78JlM-rG2ZrpPziOy
Twitter:
@ryanmcbeth
Join the conversation:
https://discord.gg/pKuGDHZHrz
Want to send me something?
Ryan McBeth Productions LLC
8705 Colesville Rd.
Suite 249
Silver Spring, MD 20910
USA
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