Ukraine's Possible Bakhmut Counteroffensive + What Poland's Military Build-Up Means
Update on conflict in Ukraine for March 13, 2023;
- Bakhmut continues to be encircled by Russian forces;
- The Western media is reporting conflicting claims by Ukraine and Russia regarding steep losses inflicted on opposing sides;
- The West claims Ukraine is inflicting huge losses on Russian forces and that Bakhmut has little strategic value;
- The Western media, however, also admits Ukraine is outgunned between 3:1 to 4:1 in terms of artillery and despite claims that Russia has lost 20,000-30,000 troops around Bakhmut alone, the BBC’s own project verifying Russian losses says as of March 2023 Russia’s 1 year total losses stand at 16,000;
- A counteroffensive by Ukraine may lead to temporary gains, just as in Aleppo, Syria in 2016, however the fundamentals leading to Bakhmut’s encirclement have not been addressed, therefore any gains risk being reversed;
- A Ukrainian counteroffensive on any major scale will divert troops meant for Kiev’s spring offensive, diminishing the combat potential of other upcoming offensives;
- Poland’s military build-up is being hyped by the Western media, however Polish ambitions would see the creation of a military force roughly the size of Ukraine’s military at the beginning of 2022;
- Poland’s build-up will take years to complete;
References:
Live UA Map:
https://liveuamap.com/
BBC - Ukraine war: Heavy losses reported as battle for Bakhmut rages (March 13, 2023):
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-64935449
Kyiv Independent - Media: Public data suggests over 16,000 Russian soldiers have been killed during first year of all-out war (March 4, 2023):
https://kyivindependent.com/news-feed/media-public-data-suggests-over-16-000-russian-soldiers-have-been-killed-during-first-year-of-all-out-war
Washington Post - Opinion Biden must follow Roosevelt’s ‘arsenal of democracy’ example (March 6, 2023):
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/03/06/ukraine-weapons-us-allies/
Financial Times - Ukraine asks EU for 250,000 artillery shells a month (March 2023):
https://www.ft.com/content/75ee9701-aa93-4c5d-a1bc-7a51422280fd
The Economist - Rebels break the siege of Aleppo, but at a cost (2016):
https://www.economist.com/middle-east-and-africa/2016/08/09/rebels-break-the-siege-of-aleppo-but-at-a-cost
The Telegraph - Poland builds Europe’s largest land force to counter Russian threat (March 11, 2023):
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/03/11/revolution-polish-army-builds-europes-largest-land-force/
The Telegraph - A Russian victory in Bakhmut would be a costly strategic defeat for Putin (March 7, 2023):
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/03/07/russian-victory-bakhmut-would-costly-strategic-defeat-putin/
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New Atlas LIVE: Ukraine, Georgia, Nord Stream, US-China + More...
Today, we talk about the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, attempts by the US to open up another front in Georgia, the West's conspiracy theories about the Nord Stream pipelines' destruction, and growing US-China tensions over the island province of Taiwan.
New Atlas LIVE is a weekly stream for discussing current events, connecting with the New Atlas community, and more.
Q&A is open the entire time, please write "QUESTION" or "Q" and then your question so we can more easily spot it.
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Georgia Protests: US Seeks to Open 2nd Front Against Russia
- Protests in Georgia consist of US-backed opposition groups (literally waving US and EU flags) attempting to block a bill to increase transparency behind political groups to reduce foreign interference;
- The US has already once overthrown Georgia’s government in 2003, according to the London Guardian;
- By 2008 after flooding Georgia with weapons and training its military, Georgia attacked Russia, according to a EU investigation;
- The US seeks to stir up trouble in Georgia again to “extend” Russia as explained in detail by the RAND Corporation’s 2019 paper, “Extending Russia;”
- The US has pressured other nations attempting to pass bills to protect against foreign interference including recently Thailand;
References:
BBC - Georgia protests: Police push protesters back from parliament (2023):
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-64892213
Transparency International - Who Supports Us:
https://www.transparency.org/en/the-organisation/who-supports-us
CNN - Georgia withdraws ‘foreign influence’ bill that sparked angry protests (2023):
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/03/09/europe/georgia-bill-protests-withdrawn-intl-hnk/index.html
Guardian - US campaign behind the turmoil in Kiev (2004):
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2004/nov/26/ukraine.usa
Reuters - Georgia started war with Russia: EU-backed report (2009):
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-georgia-russia-report-idUSTRE58T4MO20090930
RAND Corporation - Extending Russia (2019):
https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR3063.html
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US Proxy Jailed in Cambodia for Treason Amid US Meddling Region-wide in Asia
- US meddling is far from confined to Ukraine as part of its proxy war with Russia. The US pursues a similar policy against China by targeting nations all across China’s periphery;
- US government through the National Endowment for Democracy (NED) and its subsidiaries has sponsored opposition parties and organizations in Cambodia for years including Kem Sokha’s Cambodian National Rescue Party;
- In 2017 Kem Sokha openly admitted to working with the US to overthrow the Cambodian government in a Washington-sponsored Serbia-style color revolution;
- Cambodia has now jailed Kem Sokha for 27 years for treason;
- The US government, Western media, and Western “rights” groups in concert are falsely claiming the charges are “fabricated,” illustrating how the West uses human rights advocacy as a smokescreen to advance US foreign policy objectives;
References:
The Guardian - US condemns ‘fabricated’ case as Cambodian opposition leader is jailed for 27 years (March 2023):
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/mar/03/us-condemns-fabricated-case-as-cambodian-opposition-leader-is-jailed-for-27-years-treason-kem-sokha
The Phnom Penh Post - Sokha video producer closes Phnom Penh office in fear (September 2017):
https://www.phnompenhpost.com/national/sokha-video-producer-closes-phnom-penh-office-fear
New York Times - Who Really Brought Down Milosevic? (2000):
http://www.nytimes.com/2000/11/26/magazine/who-really-brought-down-milosevic.html?pagewanted=all&src=pm
Licadho - About Us:
https://www.licadho-cambodia.org/aboutus.php
Licadho - Donors:
https://www.licadho-cambodia.org/donors.php
Cambodian Center for Independent Media - CCIM Background:
https://ccimcambodia.org/?page_id=489
Radio Free Asia - Cambodia and China shore up ties with new agreements (February 2023):
https://www.rfa.org/english/news/cambodia/bilateral-relations-02102023172640.html
The Diplomat - Cambodia Has Little to Gain From Hosting a Chinese Military Presence (June 2022):
https://thediplomat.com/2022/06/cambodia-has-little-to-gain-from-hosting-a-chinese-military-presence/
Harvard University’s Atlas of Economic Complexity - Cambodia exports by partner:
https://atlas.cid.harvard.edu/explore?country=118&queryLevel=location&product=undefined&year=2020&tradeDirection=import&productClass=HS&target=Partner&partner=undefined&startYear=undefined
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UK DoD Claims Russians Fighting with "Shovels" - Ukraine Losing Bakhmut, Low on Artillery Shells
Update on Russian military operations in Ukraine for March 6, 2023:
- Russian forces continue the encirclement of Bakhmut;
- Western media admits Russian operations around Bakhmut is exhausting Ukrainian forces and may diminish them ahead of an anticipated Ukrainian spring offensive;
- US announces another military assistance package for Ukraine with fewer items listed and absent of any specific quantities despite previous packages featuring such information;
- Ukraine has urgently asked the West for more artillery shells in particular, highlighting the inability for Western industry to match or exceed Russian military industrial output;
- German arms manufacturer Rheinmetall claims to be considering building a tank factory in Ukraine. Older articles claim only if approved by the German government and after the conflict is over, newer articles suggest the factory may be built sooner;
- Ukrainian pilots are in the US to assess their skills for potential training on US warplanes (likely the F-16);
- Training Ukrainian pilots on F-16s or other Western warplanes will admittedly take years, if F-16s arrive in Ukraine beforehand they will likely be Western operators posing as Ukrainian pilots;
References:
Wall Street Journal - Russia’s Wagner Troops Exhaust Ukrainian Forces in Bakhmut (March 5, 2023):
https://www.wsj.com/amp/articles/russias-wagner-troops-exhaust-ukrainian-forces-in-bakhmut-b58e726c
Donbass Devushka on Telegram:
https://t.me/DonbassDevushka
Alexander Mercouris - Bakhmut Ukraine Retreats; Outnumbered 10-1 Artillery, Kiev Begs Shells, Angry India Criticises US:
https://youtu.be/TJ3MbclGaLA
Voice of America - Russia-Ukraine Fighting Devolves Into Hand-to-Hand Combat (March 5, 2023):
https://www.voanews.com/a/russia-ukraine-fighting-devolves-into-hand-to-hand-combat-/6990568.html
US Department of Defense - Biden Administration Announces Additional Security Assistance for Ukraine (March 3, 2023):
https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3318337/biden-administration-announces-additional-security-assistance-for-ukraine/
Financial Times - Ukraine asks EU for 250,000 artillery shells a month (March 4, 2023):
https://www.ft.com/content/75ee9701-aa93-4c5d-a1bc-7a51422280fd
Reuters - Rheinmetall in talks on building tank factory in Ukraine - report (March 4, 2023):
https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/rheinmetall-talks-building-tank-factory-ukraine-report-2023-03-04/
Bloomberg - Rheinmetall in Talks to Supply Ukraine With Panther Battle Tanks (February 2023):
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-02-09/rheinmetall-in-talks-to-supply-ukraine-with-panther-battle-tanks
CNN - US evaluating Ukrainian pilots for possible F-16 training (March 5, 2023):
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/03/05/world/us-ukraine-f16-pilots-intl-hnk/index.html
Alex Christoforou - Trump, 24 hours to end conflict. US training 2 Ukraine F16 pilots. After Bakhmut, Chasov Yar. U/1:
https://youtu.be/FLnxlz7RSi0
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CSIS War Game: US vs China over Taiwan - Provoking War to Preserve US Primacy
A look at US-based think tank CSIS’ war game regarding a “Chinese invasion of Taiwan.”
- Western military leaders and the Western media itself suggests China is pushing for war with the US over Taiwan by 2025;
- It is actually the US rushing to war over Taiwan before China’s military and economic power surpasses the US and closes the door indefinitely to Washington’s ability to use its military to coerce and threaten China;
- Taiwan is officially considered by the United States as part of China under the One China policy it itself agreed to with Beijing;
- US arms sales to Taiwan, visits to Taiwan without Beijing’s approval, and even stationing US troops on Taiwan constitute violations of Chinese sovereignty and are deliberate attempts to provoke war;
- US-based think tank CSIS war gamed a scenario in which China is provoked and invades Taiwan;
- CSIS admits Chinese military capabilities are comparable to the US’ but ultimately the US could defeat an attempted amphibious landing on Taiwan;
- CSIS admits Taiwan’s infrastructure and industry would be destroyed but it would maintain its political autonomy, trading its physical existence in to maintain its political existence;
- It is clear the US is simply attempting to disrupt the peaceful reunification of Taiwan with the rest of China and forcing China to pay the highest price possible to defend its sovereignty.
References:
TIME Magazine - U.S. General’s Prediction of War With China ‘in 2025’ Risks Turning Worst Fears Into Reality:
https://time.com/6251419/us-china-general-war-2025/
CSIS - The First Battle of the Next War: Wargaming a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan:
https://www.csis.org/analysis/first-battle-next-war-wargaming-chinese-invasion-taiwan
CSIS - Report Launch―The First Battle of the Next War: Wargaming a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan:
https://www.csis.org/events/report-launch-first-battle-next-war-wargaming-chinese-invasion-taiwan
US State Department - U.S. Relations With Taiwan:
https://www.state.gov/u-s-relations-with-taiwan/
Voice of America - US Nearly Doubled Military Personnel Stationed in Taiwan This Year:
https://www.voanews.com/a/pentagon-us-nearly-doubled-military-personnel-stationed-in-taiwan-this-year-/6337695.html
CSIS - The Truth of the Matter: Wargaming a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan (VIDEO):
https://youtu.be/FTyNHQv-6EM
CSIS - Funding:
https://www.csis.org/about/financial-information/donors
CSIS - Funding, Corporations:
https://www.csis.org/about/financial-information/donors/corporations
Mitchell Institute for Aerospace Studies - Our Supporters:
https://mitchellaerospacepower.org/our-supporters/
BBC - US secures deal on Philippines bases to complete arc around China:
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-64479712
Harvard University’s Atlas of Economic Complexity - Taiwan Trade Partners 2020:
https://atlas.cid.harvard.edu/explore?country=249&queryLevel=location&product=undefined&year=2020&productClass=HS&target=Partner&partner=undefined&startYear=undefined
Harvard University’s Atlas of Economic Complexity - The Philippines:
https://atlas.cid.harvard.edu/explore?country=174&queryLevel=location&product=undefined&year=2020&tradeDirection=import&productClass=HS&target=Partner&partner=undefined&startYear=undefined
Harvard University’s Atlas of Economic Complexity - Japan 2020:
https://atlas.cid.harvard.edu/explore?country=114&queryLevel=location&product=undefined&year=2020&productClass=HS&target=Partner&partner=undefined&startYear=undefined
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Where is Russia's Winter Offensive + President Biden Empty-Handed in Kiev
Update on Russian military operations in Ukraine for February 22, 2023:
- Russian forces continue encircling Bakhmut, moving outward from Kremenna, and pressuring Vugladar;
- US President Joe Biden arrived in Kiev, Ukraine with little else but rhetoric;
- the most recent US military assistance package to Ukraine is meager with many items omitting the quantity being sent;
- US analysts believe Russia's winter offensive already began, that it is underwhelming, and will exhaust Russian combat potential giving Ukraine better chances of success for its own spring offensive;
- More likely Russia is conducting theater-wide spoiling operations to deny Ukraine a pause to put together significant offensive forces;
- Russian General S. Surovikin prepared extensive defenses to blunt Ukraine's offensive;
References:
BBC - Biden visits Zelensky in Kyiv and says Putin 'dead wrong' on Ukraine war (February 21, 2023):
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-64702548
Alex Christoforou - Biden PR disaster trip to Ukraine. Merkel prank call. Reuters, Russia targets North Sea. U/2:
https://youtu.be/K1Ss3U8m1Go
War on the Rocks - RUSSIA’S WINTER OFFENSIVE (February 18, 2023):
https://warontherocks.com/2023/02/russias-winter-offensive/
US Department of Defense - Biden Administration Announces Additional Security Assistance for Ukraine (February 20, 2023):
https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3302787/biden-administration-announces-additional-security-assistance-for-ukraine/
Where to Find My Work:
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West's Ability to Arm Ukraine Continues to Wane
Update for Russian military operations in Ukraine for February 15, 2023:
- Ukrainian forces continue to lose ground along the line of contact;
- Bakhmut faces encirclement by Russian forces which Ukraine admits is using heavy artillery shelling, not "human waves" to destroy Ukrainian positions;
- NATO begins to admit to limits of what it can send Ukraine in terms of weapons and ammunition;
- Efforts by Western nations to increase production will still fall far short even after several years of expanding production lines;
- US announces plan to train Ukrainian forces to fight on less ammunition, using maneuver warfare instead;
-This requires long periods of complex training to be effective and is impractical for Ukrainian forces;
- The US is signaling that it is simply attempting to draw out the conflict for as long as possible;
References:
Reuters - NATO allies weigh more arms for Ukraine as Russian artillery batters Bakhmut (February 15, 2023):
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/new-russian-offensive-underway-ukraine-says-nato-2023-02-13/
Guardian - Ukrainians blow up bridge in Bakhmut amid reports Russia closing in (February 13, 2023):
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/feb/14/ukrainians-blow-up-bridge-in-bakhmut-amid-reports-russia-closing-in
US Department of Defense - Secretary of Defense Lloyd J. Austin III and Army Gen. Mark A. Milley, chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff, Hold a Press Conference Following the Ukraine Defense Contact Group, Brussels, Belgium (February 14, 2023):
https://www.defense.gov/News/Transcripts/Transcript/Article/3298235/secretary-of-defense-lloyd-j-austin-iii-and-army-gen-mark-a-milley-chairman-joi/
Washington Post - Ukraine live briefing: NATO meetings focus on weapons production; U.S. general says Russia ‘lost’ (February 15, 2023):
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/02/15/russia-ukraine-war-latest-updates/
The Telegraph - US warns Ukraine it may not be able to continue 'same level' of support (February 14, 2023):
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/02/14/us-warns-ukraine-may-not-able-continue-level-support/
Politico - U.S. focuses on training Ukrainian troops to use less ammo (February 14, 2023):
https://www.politico.com/news/2023/02/14/u-s-training-ukrainian-troops-use-less-ammo-00082765
Politico - U.S. tells Ukraine it won’t send long-range missiles because it has few to spare (February 13, 2023):
https://www.politico.com/news/2023/02/13/u-s-wont-send-long-range-missiles-ukraine-00082652
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West Admits Jets for Ukraine will Take Years + US Sanctions Blocking Syrian Earthquake Relief
Update on Russian military operations in Ukraine for February 13, 2023 + US sanctions deliberately compounding Syrian earthquake relief efforts:
- US rep admits US sanctions and occupation of eastern Syria are to prevent reconstruction for use as leverage following Washington’s failed proxy war;
- Russian missiles & drones targeted Ukraine’s power grid inflicting heavy damage nationwide;
- The missile/drone strikes included an unmanned naval drone targeting a bridge in Odessa;
- Western governments and analysts admit that it will take years to send Ukraine NATO jets;
- Any appearance beforehand means NATO pilots are posing as Ukrainian pilots;
- CNN claims captured “Wagner” fighters say Russia is suffering heavy losses, CNN suggests 80% of the 50,000 Wagner recruited have died, been injured, or are captured;
- This suggests only 10k Wagner fighters are outfighting/surrounding Ukrainian troops in Bakhmut;
- CNN used US-EU supported front “Russia Behind Bars” to back claims in report, a similar tactic used during the US proxy war in Syria;
References:
WaPo - Lifting sanctions on Syria won’t help earthquake victims:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/02/09/earthquake-syria-sanctions-assad/
Archived version with original headline:
https://web.archive.org/web/20230210102455/https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/02/09/earthquake-syria-sanctions-assad/
US DoD - Dana Stroul:
https://www.defense.gov/About/Biographies/Biography/Article/2539910/dana-stroul/
Hands off Syria - “Dana Stroul, Biden official, boasts that Washington "owns" one third of Syria” (2019):
https://youtu.be/FSE3FWKFp4g
FT - Russia launches fresh missile bombardment on Ukraine (February 12, 2023):
https://www.ft.com/content/3b3433fb-7892-4be3-b04c-c9b7005925ba
Reuters - Ukraine says three major regions can avoid power cuts after attacks (February 11, 2023):
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-says-three-major-regions-can-avoid-power-cuts-after-attacks-2023-02-11/
Telegraph (UK) - Russia strikes key Odessa bridge with first use of drone boat:
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/02/11/ukraine-invasion-russia-strikes-key-odessa-bridge-drone-boat/
War on the Rocks - UNFOLDING OFFENSIVES AND COUNTER-OFFENSIVES IN UKRAINE:
https://warontherocks.com/2023/02/unfolding-offensives-and-counter-offensives-in-ukraine/
UK Gov - PM extends Ukraine military training to pilots and marines as President Zelensky makes first visit to the UK since Russian invasion (February 8, 2023):
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/pm-extends-ukraine-military-training-to-pilots-and-marines-as-president-zelenskyy-makes-first-visit-to-the-uk-since-russian-invasion
Reuters - 'No magic wand' in Ukraine war, says UK's Wallace on question of supplying jets (February 3, 2023):
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/no-magic-wand-ukraine-war-says-uks-wallace-question-supplying-jets-2023-02-02/
Air & Space Forces Magazine - Romania Is a Model for Training Ukraine’s Pilots to Fly F-16s (August 2022):
https://www.airandspaceforces.com/romania-is-a-model-for-training-ukraines-pilots-to-fly-f-16s/
Reuters - Ukraine says pilots would need six months for F-16 combat training (January 27, 2023):
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-says-pilots-would-need-six-months-f-16-combat-training-2023-01-27/
CNN - ‘Just to survive’: Wagner fighters recount the horrors of battle in eastern Ukraine (February 2023):
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/02/12/europe/wagner-convicts-eastern-ukraine-pleitgen-intl/index.html
CNN - UK sanctions British blogger over videos from Ukraine (July 2022):
https://edition.cnn.com/2022/07/27/uk/uk-sanctions-british-blogger-over-videos-from-ukraine-intl/index.html
US NED - 2019 Vaclav Havel Journalism Fellows:
https://www.ned.org/events/reporting-from-the-front-lines-of-authoritarianism-a-conversation-with-the-2019-vaclav-havel-journalism-fellows/
Bloomberg - When Russian Officials ‘Nightmare’ Your Business, You Can Lose Everything—Even Your Life (2018, admission Russia Behind Bars sought EU funding):
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2018-01-29/when-russian-officials-nightmare-your-business-you-can-lose-everything-even-your-life
Khodorkovsky - What is Open Russia?
https://khodorkovsky.com/what-is-open-russia/
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New Atlas LIVE: Missiles, Earthquakes & Pipelines - US Hegemony Fighting on All Fronts
New Atlas LIVE is a weekly stream for discussing current events, connecting with the New Atlas community, and more.
Q&A is open the entire time, please write "QUESTION" or "Q" and then your question so we can more easily spot it.
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What's in the Latest US Arms Package + US Provocations vs Russia & China
Russian military operations in Ukraine + US Escalation vs Russia & China continues...
- Latest US arms package for Ukraine contains fewer actual weapons to be transferred to Ukraine, and more contracts for new weapons to be built;
- Weapons like the ground-launched small diameter bomb is included in weapons yet-to-be-built and face compatibility issues with Ukraine's existing MLRS force;
- Other equipment listed like counter battery radar sets appear to indicate large numbers of losses to Russian military operations;
- Germany's decision to send 14 Leopard 2 tanks and 88 Leopard 1 tanks reveal a very deliberate invocation of Germany's sordid history during WW2;
- US weapons pouring into Ukraine are types unlikely to be used in a potential war Washington Seeks to provoke with China;
- The "balloon" incident represents a deliberate stepping stone toward war put in place by US leadership;
References:
US Department of Defense - Biden Administration Announces Additional Security Assistance for Ukraine (Feb. 3, 2023):
https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3287992/biden-administration-announces-additional-security-assistance-for-ukraine/
US DoD - Pentagon Press Secretary Brig. Gen. Pat Ryder Holds an On-Camera Press Briefing (Feb. 3, 2023):
https://www.defense.gov/News/Transcripts/Transcript/Article/3288141/pentagon-press-secretary-brig-gen-pat-ryder-holds-an-on-camera-press-briefing/
Reuters - Analysis: Ukraine's new weapon will force a Russian shift (February 2023):
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraines-new-weapon-will-force-russian-shift-2023-02-02/
Reuters - Exclusive: U.S. weighs sending 100-mile strike weapon to Ukraine (November 2022):
https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/100-mile-strike-weapon-weighed-ukraine-arms-makers-wrestle-with-demand-sources-2022-11-28/
New York Times - U.S. Sends Longer-Range Weapons (February 2023):
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/02/03/briefing/russia-ukraine-war-weapons.html
Military Aerospace Electronics - SRCTec to build counter-fire radar to protect Ukraine from rocket, artillery, and mortar (RAM) threats:
https://www.militaryaerospace.com/sensors/article/14285690/counterfire-radar-rocket-artillery-and-mortar-ram
US DoD - $600 Million in Additional Security Assistance for Ukraine (Sept. 15, 2022):
https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3160503/600-million-in-additional-security-assistance-for-ukraine/
US Army Acquisition Support Center - AN/TPQ-50 LIGHTWEIGHT COUNTER MORTAR RADAR (LCMR):
https://asc.army.mil/web/portfolio-item/antpq-50-lightweight-counter-mortar-radar-lcmr/
Military Dot Com - Marines Fire Anti-Ship Missile from Back of Unmanned Truck to Hit Target at Sea:
https://www.military.com/daily-news/2021/04/29/marines-fire-anti-ship-missile-back-of-unmanned-truck-hit-target-sea.html
BBC - Germany confirms it will provide Ukraine with Leopard 2 tanks (January 2023):
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-64391272
Politico - Germany to send 88 Leopard I tanks to Ukraine (February 2023):
https://www.politico.eu/article/germany-send-leopard-tanks-ukraine-russia-war-rheinmetall/
Anti-Defamation League - Hate Symbols:
https://www.adl.org/resources/hate-symbol/1488
The Cold Lake Sun - Tanks that saved the day in Afghanistan to be used for target practice in Cold Lake (November 2021):
https://www.coldlakesun.com/news/tanks-that-saved-the-day-in-afghanistan-to-be-used-for-target-practice-in-cold-lake
US State Department - US Relations with Taiwan:
https://www.state.gov/u-s-relations-with-taiwan/
VOA - US Nearly Doubled Military Personnel Stationed in Taiwan This Year (2021):
https://www.voanews.com/a/pentagon-us-nearly-doubled-military-personnel-stationed-in-taiwan-this-year-/6337695.html
Alex Christoforou - US DOJ freeze, seize, transfer. Long range weapons aimed at Crimea. China spy balloon in Cyprus. U/1:
https://youtu.be/CJKSOn390sc?t=1339
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New Atlas LIVE: As US Proxy War Rages Against Russia, US Seeks War with China by 2025
Today we talk about the latest unfolding in Ukraine as well as US plans for war with China by 2025 including a recent CSIS "war game" regarding a "Chinese invasion of Taiwan."
New Atlas LIVE is a weekly stream for discussing current events, connecting with the New Atlas community, and more.
Q&A is open the entire time, please write "QUESTION" or "Q" and then your question so we can more easily spot it.
References:
CSIS - The First Battle of the Next War: Wargaming a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan:
https://www.csis.org/analysis/first-battle-next-war-wargaming-chinese-invasion-taiwan
CSIS - Corporate Sponsors:
https://www.csis.org/about/financial-information/donors/corporations
Andrei Martyanov - Fake Science And War (Andrei on political science):
https://youtu.be/-mN7h_q8SBA
George Galloway - Has the Effect of Economic Sanctions on Russia been Zero? (with Mark Sleboda):
https://youtu.be/vSNYRCCRyeM?t=1762
The New Atlas - Russian-Chinese Ties vs. US Aggression w/ Carl Zha & Mark Sleboda:
https://youtu.be/ALE6S_MmVew
The New Atlas - China's Taiwan Military Option - How and Why? (Chinese Weapon Systems):
https://youtu.be/mI-sdLEcEyw
We do not do super chats or monetize YouTube videos, if you would like to contribute, please check out the following options below:
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Western Volunteer in Bakhmut Admits Ukraine is Losing + is the Western Tank Card a Bluff?
Update on Russian military operations in Ukraine for January 30, 2023:
- Russian forces continue encircling Bakhmut in the east and pushing toward Vugladar in the south;
- pro-Ukrainian Western volunteers admit the bleak situation Ukraine faces overall and specifically in Bakhmut;
- one volunteer admits that Wagner is better trained, better equipped, better organized and lead than Ukrainian forces fighting in Bakhmut;
- this volunteers admits Wagner is surrounding and may possibly cut of Bakhmut like in Mariupol;
- this volunteer admits Ukraine suffers from immense corruption and incompetence coupled with Western sponsors indifferent to their growing crisis;
- this volunteer admits that tanks are a "secret acknowledgement that things aren't going well;"
- the volunteer would like to see more Western advisors leading Ukrainian units in battle, a slippery slope toward direct NATO intervention;
- growing skepticism continues to surround pledged Western main battle tanks;
- US policy makers appear to suggest this strategy may be essentially a bluff to convince Russia it is more prepared than Moscow for a long-term conflict;
References:
Willy OAM (YouTube) - Untold Reality Of Wagner Group In Bakhmut Ukraine | First Hand Account, What The Media Wont Tell You:
https://youtu.be/PKZpYglZrW4
CNN - Ukraine’s new tanks won’t be the instant game-changer some expect:
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/01/27/europe/ukraine-war-nato-tanks-analysis-intl-hnk-ml/index.html
New York Times - Tanks Alone Won’t Turn the Tide of the War in Ukraine:
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/27/us/politics/tanks-ukraine.html
RAND Corporation - Avoiding a Long War, U.S. Policy and the Trajectory of the Russia-Ukraine Conflict (2023):
https://www.rand.org/pubs/perspectives/PEA2510-1.html
RAND Corporation - Extending Russia, Competing from Advantageous Ground (2019):
https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR3063.html
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The Russian Battalion Tactical Group w/Alex of Donbass Devushka
Today The New Atlas is joined by Alex from Donbass Devushka. Alex is Russian military expert.
We discuss the Russian battalion tactical group, the essential unit Russia’s military is organized around and how it is being deployed in the special military operation.
Where to Find and Follow Alex and Donbass Devushka’s Work
Telegram: https://t.me/DonbassDevushka
Locals: https://donbassdevushka.locals.com/
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4I1RbnKJNxVKvuAEKgHe81
Twitter: https://twitter.com/PeImeniPusha
References:
US Army University Press - The Russian Way of War (2017):
https://www.armyupress.army.mil/portals/7/hot%20spots/documents/russia/2017-07-the-russian-way-of-war-grau-bartles.pdf
US Army, Fort Benning - Defeating the Russian Battalion Tactical Group:
https://www.benning.army.mil/armor/earmor/content/issues/2017/spring/2Fiore17.pdf
New York Times - Defenses Carved Into the Earth, Russia is building a vast network of trenches, traps and obstacles to slow Ukraine’s momentum. Will it work?:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/12/14/world/europe/russian-trench-fortifications-in-ukraine.html
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US to Send M1 Abrams to Ukraine + US-backed Terror Targets Myanmar's Upcoming Elections
Update for January 25, 2023: West pledges main battle tanks to Ukraine + Myanmar’s upcoming elections targeted by US-backed terrorism.
- Western media reports resignation of several high-level Ukrainian officials;
- The US and Germany have pledged the M1 Abrams and Leopard 2 main battle tanks;
- Western military experts explain that Western main battle tanks require large logistical support, years of training for a foreign army to adopt them, and have intense maintenance requirements;
- ATACMS exist in much small numbers;
- Ukraine admits Russia has adapted to HIMARS GMLRS rockets, making it likely that Russia will adapt to ATACMS;
- Conversely, Russia has effectively forced Ukraine’s rear areas into neighboring countries with its missile forces;
- The US has announced increase artillery shell production to 90k shells/month in 2 years a month, roughly half of what Ukraine uses in 15 days;
- As the US wages proxy war in Ukraine against Russia, it does so in Myanmar against China;
- US-backed opposition is using terrorism to impede elections in Myanmar;
References:
Russian-Ukrainian Conflict
BBC - Top Ukrainian officials quit in anti-corruption drive:
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-64383388
The Duran - Isolating Zelensky. Collective West builds intervention force for west Ukraine:
https://youtu.be/4XtrMST9iDQ
BBC - US and Germany ready to send tanks to Ukraine - reports:
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-64391272
Lt. General Mark Hertling (ret.) - thread regarding M1 Abrams being sent to Ukraine:
https://twitter.com/MarkHertling/status/1616792744135098370
1945 - Ukraine Won’t Get Leopard 2 Or M1 Abrams Tanks: Does It Matter?:
https://www.19fortyfive.com/2023/01/ukraine-wont-get-leopard-2-or-m1-abrams-tanks-does-it-matter/
Alexander Mercouris - Russia Begins New Vuhledar Offensive, Advances in Bakhmut, Zaporozhye; Big Purge Strikes Kiev:
https://youtu.be/hX3OvFE60kM
New York Times - Defenses Carved into the Earth, Russia is building a vast network of trenches, traps and obstacles to slow Ukraine’s momentum. Will it work?:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/12/14/world/europe/russian-trench-fortifications-in-ukraine.html
New York Times - Pentagon Will Increase Artillery Production Sixfold for Ukraine:
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/24/us/politics/pentagon-ukraine-ammunition.html
Lockheed Martin - GMLRS Munitions: The right Precision Fires solution for every mission:
https://www.lockheedmartin.com/en-us/products/guided-mlrs-unitary-rocket.html
Lockheed Martin - Lockheed Martin Delivers New Production ATACMS Missile:
https://news.lockheedmartin.com/2017-08-10-Lockheed-Martin-Delivers-New-Production-ATACMS-Missile
The Drive - Are There Enough Guided Rockets For HIMARS To Keep Up With Ukraine War Demand?:
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/are-there-enough-guided-rockets-for-himars-to-keep-up-with-ukraine-war-demand
US-backed Violence Target Myanmar’s Elections
CNN - Chinese factories set on fire and at least 38 killed in Myanmar’s deadliest day since coup:
https://edition.cnn.com/2021/03/15/asia/myanmar-deaths-chinese-factories-intl-hnk/index.html
Irrawaddy - China-Backed Pipeline Facility Damaged in Myanmar Resistance Attack:
https://www.irrawaddy.com/news/burma/china-backed-pipeline-facility-damaged-in-myanmar-resistance-attack.html
VOA - Uncertainty Shrouds Myanmar Elections:
https://www.voanews.com/a/uncertainty-over-elections-in-myanmar/6932184.html
National Endowment for Democracy - Burma [Myanmar] 2021:
https://www.ned.org/region/asia/burma-2021/
NUG - official website:
https://www.nugmyanmar.org/en/
NUG - Minister of Foreign Affairs:
https://mofa.nugmyanmar.org/union-minister/
NED - Zin Mar Aung:
https://www.ned.org/fellows/ms-zin-mar-aung/
Previous Videos Covering US Subversion in Myanmar
The New Atlas - Myanmar Playlist on YouTube:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DG1nKFna9oc&list=PLkhlYgGXRhhykD9hzMZ__KQQvLVWNjJ4A
The New Atlas - US Proxy War in Myanmar Threatens China and the rest of Asia:
https://youtu.be/VfxfIXGmY8o
The New Atlas - Washington's, Not Myanmar's "National Unity Government":
https://youtu.be/AqoM5JwnQcI
The New Atlas - US-backed Myanmar Opposition Waging Deadly Terror Campaign Against Schools, Teachers, & Students:
https://youtu.be/75DGbfLN_Dw
Where to Find My Work:
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Russian Gains, US Gears Up for Crimea Escalation, US Proxies Strike China/Pakistan in Train Bombing
Update on Russian-Ukrainian conflict for January 23, 2023 + Pakistan train bombing as part of US proxy war on China.
- Russian forces are reportedly advancing in Zaporozhye while Ukraine continues losing ground around Bakhmut;
- Russian pushes in Zaporozhye could be (1) recon in force, (2) extending existing security zone ahead of actual Russian front line or (3) spoiling attacks on forces assembling for a future offensive;
- Ukrainian losses are severe and Reuters is reporting on supposed warnings by the US to Ukraine about going on the offensive;
- Weapon shipments have been announced for Ukraine including a significant US DoD package, as well as all of Denmark’s Caesar self-propelled howitzers and all of Estonia’s FH-70 towed howitzers;
- A recent bombing targeting a train in southwest Pakistan is part of a long-term proxy conflict waged by Washington against China and its Belt and Road partners;
- The US has promoted separatism in Pakistan’s southwest region of Baluchistan for years specifically to block Chinese-Pakistani cooperation and development;
References:
Russian-Ukrainian Conflict
New York Times - U.S. Warms to Helping Ukraine Target Crimea:
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/18/us/politics/ukraine-crimea-military.html
Lt General Mark Hertling (retired), Twitter - M1 Abrams Ukraine thread:
https://twitter.com/MarkHertling/status/1616792744135098370
Modern War Institute at West Point - Mark Hertling biography:
https://mwi.usma.edu/mark-hertling/
US Department of Defense - Secretary of Defense Lloyd J. Austin III and General Mark A. Milley Press Conference Following Ukraine Defense Contact Group Meeting, Ramstein Air Base, Germany Jan. 20, 2023:
https://www.defense.gov/News/Transcripts/Transcript/Article/3273771/secretary-of-defense-lloyd-j-austin-iii-and-general-mark-a-milley-press-confere/
BBC - Ukraine war: Germany won't block export of its Leopard 2 tanks, foreign minister says:
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-64370165
Reuters - U.S. officials advise Ukraine to wait on offensive, official says:
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/us-officials-advise-ukraine-wait-offensive-official-says-2023-01-20/
Alexander Mercouris - Russia Advance Bakhmut Siversk Zaporozhye; US Tells Ukraine It is Losing Attrition War Leave Bakhmut:
https://youtu.be/JAyShGaNj-8
ABC News (Australia) - Almost 180,000 Russians dead or wounded in Ukraine, Norwegian general says:
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-01-23/russia-180000-dead-wounded-soldiers-ukraine-conflict-norway/101883272
The Moscow Times - ‘Record’ 1,000 Russian Soldiers Confirmed Killed in Ukraine Since Jan. 1 – Analysis:
https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2023/01/20/record-1000-russian-soldiers-confirmed-killed-in-ukraine-since-jan-1-analysis-a79994
Train Bombing in Pakistan Targeting China-Pakistan Economic Corridor
Washington Post - Bombing derails passenger train in SW Pakistan, injures 15:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/bombing-derails-passenger-train-in-sw-pakistan-injures-15/2023/01/20/e045ee26-98c4-11ed-a173-61e055ec24ef_story.html
BBC - Pakistan hotel bomb: Deadly blast hits luxury venue in Quetta (April 2021):
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-56834937
Pakistan bus blast kills 13, including 9 Chinese CPEC workers, China demands punishment as conflicting reports emerge (July 2021):
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-07-15/pakistan-bus-explosion-kills-9-chinese-nationals/100294434
National Interest - Free Baluchistan (2011):
https://nationalinterest.org/commentary/free-baluchistan-4799
GovTrack - H.Con.Res. 104 (112th): Expressing the sense of Congress that the people of Baluchistan, currently divided between Pakistan, Iran, and Afghanistan, have the right to self-determination and to their own sovereign country. (2012):
https://www.govtrack.us/congress/bills/112/hconres104
US National Endowment for Democracy - Pakistan 2018 (archived):
https://web.archive.org/web/20190728014313/https://www.ned.org/region/asia/pakistan-2018/
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US, Allies Send More Weapons to Ukraine in Absence of Real Solution
Update on Russian military operations in Ukraine for January 20, 2023.
- BBC citing Ukrainian sources admit that Soledar is under Russian control and Bakhmut is facing encirclement;
- The West is increasing the amount of weapons sent to Ukraine including weapon systems entirely inappropriate for Ukrainian forces;
- The latest US military aid package falls far short of even sustaining Ukrainian operations and covering its losses;
- The package includes Stryker armored personnel carriers, adding yet another type of vehicle that needs a separate logistical line and training program for the APC role;
- The West is not sending this hodgepodge of equipment because it thinks it's the best option but instead because it is the only option.
References:
BBC - Ukraine war: Ukraine admits pulling out of front line town of Soledar:
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-64330808
US Department of Defense - Biden Administration Announces Additional Security Assistance for Ukraine Jan. 19, 2023:
https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3272866/biden-administration-announces-additional-security-assistance-for-ukraine/
FT - US finalising plans to send nearly 100 Stryker combat vehicles to Ukraine:
https://www.ft.com/content/d57b3b63-a705-4813-b939-72351d7e952f
Forbes - The Ukrainian Army Could Form Three New Heavy Brigades With All These Tanks And Fighting Vehicles It’s Getting:
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2023/01/17/the-ukrainian-army-could-form-three-new-heavy-brigades-with-all-these-tanks-and-fighting-vehicles-its-getting/?sh=1ee5126f3d6c
AFP (via France 24) - US ammunition supplies dwindle as Ukraine war drains stockpiles:
https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20221008-us-ammunition-supplies-dwindle-as-ukraine-war-drains-stockpiles
Politico - Tanks, no tanks: Scholz holds key to Leopards for Ukraine, but waits for Biden:
https://www.politico.eu/article/olaf-scholz-germany-joe-biden-united-states-ukraine-war-tanks-leopards-waiting/
1945 - Bradley Fighting Vehicle Platoon Leader: Ukraine Can’t Use Them Immediately To Fight Russia:
https://www.19fortyfive.com/2023/01/bradley-fighting-vehicle-platoon-leader-ukraine-cant-use-them-immediately-to-fight-russia/
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US-NATO Prepare Escalation in Desperate Bid to Turn the Tide (again) in Ukraine
Update on the conflict in Ukraine for January 18, 2023.
- Bakhmut faces encirclement by Russian forces;
- The Netherlands is considering sending Patriot missile systems after West blames Russia for residential building strike;
- Ukrainian presidential adviser Arestovich has resigned after suggesting the building was hit because of a failed Ukrainian interception of a Russian cruise missile;
- The building strike appears to be serving as a pretext for a planned escalation by the US and its allies;
- Ukraine also lost its interior minister to a helicopter crash;
- The Western media admits current aid to Ukraine is not sufficient, although suggested increases will unlikely turn the tide;
- The US and its allies are preparing for their monthly meeting discussing expanded military aid to Ukraine on January 20, 2023;
References:
NYT - Netherlands Considers Sending Patriot Missile System to Ukraine:
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/17/us/politics/netherlands-patriot-system-ukraine.html
BBC - Ukraine War: Zelensky adviser resigns over Dnipro remarks:
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-64304310
CNN - Biden reaches a vital new tipping point on Ukraine:
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/01/18/politics/biden-ukraine-new-tipping-point/index.html
BBC - Ukraine war: Who was Interior Minister Denys Monastyrsky?:
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-64316081
The Atlantic - Western Aid to Ukraine Is Still Not Enough:
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2023/01/western-military-aid-ukraine-russia/672737/
US Department of Defense - Secretary of Defense, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs Travel to Germany for Ukraine Defense Contact Group Meetings Jan. 17, 2023:
https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3270190/secretary-of-defense-chairman-of-the-joint-chiefs-travel-to-germany-for-ukraine/
Where to Find My Work:
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As West Sends More Armor to Ukraine, Why "Turning the Tide" is still Fantasy
Update on the conflict in Ukraine for January 16, 2023.
- Russian forces are consolidating control over and around Soledar to the north of Bakhmut;
- Russian forces are also apparently preparing a much larger encirclement of Bakhmut itself;
- The United Kingdom, in addition to sending 14 Challenger 2 main battle tanks has claimed it is sending 30 AS90 155mm self-propelled howitzers;
- The AS90 is lightly armored and vulnerable to a variety of Russian weapon systems including growing numbers of Lancet loitering munitions;
- The AS90 has a different engine and transmission than the M109s being sent by the US and other NATO members meaning yet another supply chain for spare parts must be created to sustain them on the battlefield;
- The UK only has 117 AS90s meaning London is sending up to 25% of their inventory to Ukraine;
- Claims that the UK is also sending AH-64 Apache attack helicopters appear to be false;
- Apache helicopters would face almost insurmountable logistical, training, and operational challenges in Ukraine;
- Russian military industrial output, even according to low-end estimates by anti-Russian sources indicate that Russia holds a dominant position regarding attrition warfare.
References:
Alexander Mercouris - Kiev Says Cannot Shoot Down Ballistic, Supersonic Missiles; WaPo Says Kiev May Retreat From Bakhmut:
https://youtu.be/uwQliMyrjPQ
Alex Christoforou - Kamala momentum. UK denies Mirror Apache story. WaPo, Bakhmut retreat. Maduro multipolar bloc. U/1:
https://youtu.be/m9TSd7cXHZk
Dmytro Kuleba on Twitter - (regarding Russian missile production):
https://twitter.com/DmytroKuleba/status/1614267333047885827
UK Government - PM accelerates Ukraine support ahead of anniversary of Putin’s war:
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/pm-accelerates-ukraine-support-ahead-of-anniversary-of-putins-war#:~:text=The%20Prime%20Minister%20has%20announced,to%20aid%20the%20Ukrainian%20offensive.&text=The%20Prime%20Minister%20is%20set,and%20secure%20a%20lasting%20peace
Army Recognition - UK will provide Ukraine AH-64 Apache tank killer attack helicopters:
https://www.armyrecognition.com/defense_news_january_2023_global_security_army_industry/uk_will_provide_ukraine_ah-64_apache_tank_killer_attack_helicopters.html
Army Recognition - AS90 BRAVEHEART:
https://www.armyrecognition.com/united_kingdom_british_artillery_vehicles_and_systems_uk/as90_braveheart_155mm_self-propelled_howitzer_tracked_armored_data.html
UK Defence Journal - Work underway to replace AS-90 self propelled gun (2020):
https://ukdefencejournal.org.uk/work-underway-to-replace-as-90-self-propelled-gun/
Washington Post - Army's Apache Helicopter Rendered Impotent in Kosovo (1999):
https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/WPcap/1999-12/29/014r-122999-idx.html
CSIS - Will the United States Run Out of Javelins Before Russia Runs Out of Tanks?:
https://www.csis.org/analysis/will-united-states-run-out-javelins-russia-runs-out-tanks
Novaya Gazeta - The barren barrels:
https://novayagazeta.eu/articles/2022/11/02/the-barren-barrels-en#:~:text=Handmade%20tanks,200–250%20tanks%20a%20year.
Defense News - Army acquisition chief would welcome tank ramp-up if Congress funds it:
https://www.defensenews.com/land/2022/05/18/army-acquisition-chief-would-welcome-tank-ramp-up-if-congress-funds-it/
Where to Find My Work:
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Will Western Main Battle Tanks Turn the Tide in Ukraine? What do Russian Gains in Soledar Mean?
Update on Russian military operations in Ukraine for January 13, 2022.
- Russian advances near Soledar and Bakhmut contradict “Ukrainian offensive momentum” narrative;
- Russian operations are consistent with the “demilitarization” objective for the special military operation;
- Bakhmut & Soledar are fortified cities along one of Ukraine’s last defensive lines in the Donbass region;
- West is announcing plans to send Western main battle tanks including Challenger 2 and Leopard 2 tanks;
- Challenger 2 and Leopard 2 tanks use different ammunition & both require an additional crew member (loader) increasing training demands for Ukrainian forces;
- The large variety of equipment the West is sending will create additional burdens for Ukrainian forces without any notable benefit;
- Western main battle tanks have proven to be vulnerable to (Russian-made) modern anti-tank weapons even under relatively ideal conditions;
- Ukrainian forces will be going into battle without sufficient artillery or air cover and facing off against Russian forces reinforced with an additional 300k men, new defenses, and an influx of new weaponry;
References:
The Duran on YouTube:
https://www.youtube.com/@TheDuran
Alex Christoforou on YouTube:
https://www.youtube.com/@AlexChristoforou
Alexander Mercouris on YouTube:
https://www.youtube.com/@AlexMercouris
Washington Post - Russia claims to control Soledar, a battlefield gain after months in retreat:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/01/11/soledar-bakhmut-russia-war-ukraine/
Congress of the US Congressional Budget Office - The US Military's Force Structure: A Primer (explanation of the size and composition of a US armored brigade):
https://www.cbo.gov/sites/default/files/114th-congress-2015-2016/reports/51535-fsprimer.pdf
NYT - Russia is building a vast network of trenches, traps and obstacles to slow Ukraine’s momentum. Will it work?:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/12/14/world/europe/russian-trench-fortifications-in-ukraine.html
Guardian - UK considers supplying handful of Challenger 2 tanks to Ukraine:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jan/09/uk-considers-supplying-handful-of-challenger-2-tanks-to-ukraine-war-russia
Reuters - Poland plans to give Ukraine Leopard tanks as part of coalition:
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/poland-plans-give-ukraine-leopard-tanks-part-coalition-2023-01-11/
CBS News - U.S. Tank Hit, 2 GIs Dead In Iraq (2007):
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/us-tank-hit-2-gis-dead-in-iraq/
Defense One - Saudi Losses in Yemen War Exposed by US Tank Deal:
https://www.defenseone.com/business/2016/08/us-tank-deal-exposes-saudi-losses-yemen-war/130623/
National Interest - Turkey's Leopard 2 Tanks Are Getting Crushed in Syria:
https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/turkeys-leopard-2-tanks-are-getting-crushed-syria-95396
New York Times - A Disciplined Hezbollah Surprises Israel With Its Training, Tactics and Weapons (2006):
https://www.nytimes.com/2006/08/07/world/middleeast/07hezbollah.html
Haaretz - Hezbollah Anti-tank Fire Causing Most IDF Casualties in Lebanon (2006):
https://www.haaretz.com/2006-08-06/ty-article/hezbollah-anti-tank-fire-causing-most-idf-casualties-in-lebanon/0000017f-dbc4-d856-a37f-ffc41fc50000
The Telegraph - MoD kept failure of best tank quiet (2007):
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/1551418/MoD-kept-failure-of-best-tank-quiet.html
Guardian - John McCain tells Ukraine protesters: 'We are here to support your just cause' (2014):
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/dec/15/john-mccain-ukraine-protests-support-just-cause
BBC - Ukraine crisis: Transcript of leaked Nuland-Pyatt call (2014):
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-26079957
HRW - New Language Requirement Raises Concerns in Ukraine:
https://www.hrw.org/news/2022/01/19/new-language-requirement-raises-concerns-ukraine
Guardian - Ukraine bans Communist party for 'promoting separatism':
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/dec/17/ukraine-bans-communist-party-separatism
Al Jazeera - In risky move, Ukraine’s president bans pro-Russian media:
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/2/5/ukraines-president-bans-pro-russian-networks-risking-support
BBC - US and Nato troops begin Ukraine military exercise (2014):
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-29204505
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What (more reasonable) Western Analysts Say Comes Next for Ukraine
Some Western analysts have been providing a more accurate picture of the conflict in Ukraine than the general barrage of Western war propaganda. They seem to agree that:
- There is no path for Ukraine to win militarily;
- Russia is nowhere near as incompetent and ill-prepared as the Western media suggests;
- Russia is not seizing territory because it is waging a war of attrition;
- Ukrainian territorial gains may have appeared “spectacular” but came at the cost of huge losses in men and equipment;
- Russia is bolstering both its manpower and defensive positions;
- The loss of Kharkov and Kherson city has actually left Russia in a more advantageous position, more troops on a shorter line of contact;
- Russian forces fighting in Bakhmut seek to grind Ukrainian forces down, not capture the city from them.
References:
Euromaidan Press - Ukraine to liberate Crimea by end of August 2023 – former commander of US Army in Europe (January 2023):
https://euromaidanpress.com/2023/01/08/ukraine-to-liberate-crimea-by-end-of-august-2023-former-commander-of-us-army-in-europe/
Alexander Mercouris - Russia On Brink of Capturing Soledar, Ukraine Bakhmut Defences Crumble, West Rushes Weapons, Ukraine:
https://youtu.be/QEIsQSoMx1U
Washington Post - Wounded Ukrainian soldiers reveal steep toll of Kherson offensive:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/09/07/ukraine-kherson-offensive-casualties-ammunition/
NY Times - Defenses Carved Into the Earth:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/12/14/world/europe/russian-trench-fortifications-in-ukraine.html
Foreign Affairs - Russia’s Rebound, How Moscow Has Partly Recovered From Its Military Setbacks (January 2023):
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/russia-rebound-moscow-recovered-military-setbacks
Russia Matters - What’s Ahead in the War in Ukraine (December 2022):
https://www.russiamatters.org/analysis/whats-ahead-war-ukraine
Royal United Services Institute - The Return of Industrial Warfare (June 2022):
https://www.rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/commentary/return-industrial-warfare
Where to Find My Work:
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Latest US Arms Shipment to Ukraine Cannot Solve Kiev's Fundamental Problem
Update on the ongoing conflict in and around Ukraine for January 8, 2022:
- The US announced a major military aid package for Ukraine including 50 Bradley fighting vehicles, 18 M109 self-propelled 155mm howitzers, additional MRAP and Humvees as well as additional ammunition for various systems;
- Despite the relatively large size of the package compared with the last several months of aid, the weapons and ammunition fall far short of replacing even Ukraine’s losses let alone granting Ukraine the ability to match or over power Russian forces;
- Ukraine will likely use many of these systems to patch up elite units within its deteriorating brigades;
- Germany and France are also sending armored vehicles, the Mauder infantry fighting vehicle and the AMX-10 RC respectively;
- This is likely paving the way to send additional heavy weapons like main battle tanks;
- These systems collectively are less-than-ideal for Ukraine, logistics, sustainment, and maintenance issues will hinder their effective use in combat, they also will not be arriving in the numbers necessary to replace Ukrainian losses or outmatch Russian forces;
Reference:
The Duran on YouTube:
https://www.youtube.com/@TheDuran
Alex Christoforou on YouTube:
https://www.youtube.com/@AlexChristoforou
Alexander Mercouris on YouTube:
https://www.youtube.com/@AlexMercouris
US Department of Defense - More Than $3 Billion in Additional Security Assistance for Ukraine Jan. 6, 2023:
https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3261263/more-than-3-billion-in-additional-security-assistance-for-ukraine/
Fort Benning, US Army - Infantry Brigade Combat Team Scout Platoon AntiArmor Engagements at the Joint Readiness Training Center:
https://www.benning.army.mil/Armor/eArmor/content/issues/2021/Winter/1Brown21.pdf
Congress of the US Congressional Budget Office - The US Military's Force Structure: A Primer:
https://www.cbo.gov/sites/default/files/114th-congress-2015-2016/reports/51535-fsprimer.pdf
Defense News - US Army awards BAE contract to build full-rate production howitzers:
https://www.defensenews.com/land/2017/12/21/us-army-awards-bae-contract-to-build-full-rate-production-howitzers/
Raytheon - Excalibur Projectile:
https://www.raytheonmissilesanddefense.com/what-we-do/land-warfare/precision-weapons/excalibur-projectile
NYT - Artillery Is Breaking in Ukraine. It’s Becoming a Problem for the Pentagon. Ukrainian soldiers are firing thousands of shells daily, forcing the U.S. to replace gun barrels across the border in Poland:
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/25/us/ukraine-artillery-breakdown.html
Russia Matters - What’s Ahead in the War in Ukraine:
https://www.russiamatters.org/analysis/whats-ahead-war-ukraine
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Western Escalation in Ukraine: Sending in Armor - But is it Too Little Too Late?
Update on Russian military operations in Ukraine for January 6, 2023:
- After over a week, the Western media continues talking about Ukraine’s HIMARS strike on assembled Russian troops;
- The focus on political optics inadvertently reveals the lack of strategic and tactical importance of this strike and highlights the lopsided nature of fighting against Ukraine;
- Russia possesses many times more means and opportunities to carry out such strikes and does so nearly daily;
- Western pundits are resorting to increasingly fantastical thinking to solve what they admit is Ukraine’s inability to defeat Russia;
- France has agreed to send an unspecified number of its aging AMX-10 RC light tanks;
- The light tanks are wheeled, have light armor, and will not be able to replace the main battle tanks Ukraine has lost over the last year of fighting;
- The US is contemplating sending Bradley infantry fighting vehicles - even less capable than France’s AMX-10 RC;
- Both Western systems will require special ammunition and maintenance provisions including shipping them to the Polish border each time they break down;
- The Western systems including future transfers of even main battle tanks do not address the real deficiency Ukraine suffers from - lack of artillery and long-range weapons that Russia has in abundance;
References:
Politico - Ukraine grinds down Russian morale with deadliest strike in the war:
https://www.politico.eu/article/ukraine-grinds-down-russian-morale-with-deadliest-strike-in-the-war/
Foreign Policy - Ukraine Needs Long-Range Firepower for Victory:
https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/01/04/ukraine-long-range-firepower-victory/
France24 - Macron promises 'first Western tanks' for Ukraine:
https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20230104-macron-promises-first-western-tanks-for-ukraine
French Ministry of Defence - Defence Key Figures 2021 Edition:
https://www.defense.gouv.fr/sites/default/files/ministere-armees/Chiffres%20clés%20de%20la%20Défense%202021%20UK%20%28pdf%20version%20anglaise%29.pdf
Washington Post - U.S. edges closer to sending armored weaponry to Ukraine:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/01/04/ukraine-bradley-fighting-vehicle/
The Duran - Turkey, Syria coming together. Bolton fumes, wants Turkey out of NATO:
https://youtu.be/YjkjteDPwSQ
Al Jazeera - Turkey, Syria, Russia defence ministers hold talks in Moscow:
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/12/28/turkey-syria-russia-defence-ministers-hold-talks-in-moscow
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Gene Therapy: Technology isn't Good or Bad - Only Those Using or Abusing it Are...
Technology is neither good nor bad - it depends solely on who is using and and why. Technology cannot be "un-invented." The best way to prevent abuse is to proliferate the technology into the hands of those who will use it to help rather than harm.
Simply rejecting and "wishing" technology away is the best and fastest way to ensure it is concentrated in the hands of those who will abuse it most.
My previous video introducing gene therapy and how Western pharmaceutical corporations are attempting to price it out of reach of the public who paid for the research in the first place: https://youtu.be/YTELoyugsOc
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Gene Therapy is Revolutionary & Really Works - so Why Isn't it Mainstream?
Gene therapy is a revolutionary breakthrough in human healthcare. I has cured previously incurable diseases including cancers and rare genetic disorders, and it possesses the potential to cure many more types of diseases and conditions claiming the lives of our loved ones today and in the future.
But why haven’t you heard about it despite it being covered extensively in the Western media? Where are the treatments and why aren’t they more accessible? What can we do about this obstruction of human progress and the impediment of saving human life?
References:
New York Times - In Girl’s Last Hope, Altered Immune Cells Beat Leukemia (2012):
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/12/10/health/a-breakthrough-against-leukemia-using-altered-t-cells.html?_r=0&gwh=823B2E6212D031F5D88D9468ABD7562F&gwt=pay
Emily Whitehead Foundation:
https://emilywhiteheadfoundation.org/our-journey/
Health Affairs - Drugs Don’t Work If People Can’t Afford Them: The High Price Of Tisagenlecleucel (2018):
https://www.healthaffairs.org/do/10.1377/forefront.20180205.292531/full/
MIT Technology Review - FDA Approves Groundbreaking Gene Therapy for Cancer The treatment will be sold by Novartis for $475,000 (2017):
https://www.technologyreview.com/2017/08/30/149399/the-fda-has-approved-the-first-gene-therapy-for-cancer/
Gene Therapy -- The time is now: Nick Leschly at TEDxBoston
https://youtu.be/Ez560GnkSrE
The Society for Translational Oncology - Smart T Cell Vaccines: CAR T Cells - by Carl June, MD:
https://youtu.be/jQfFCC6i5_o
Land Destroyer - On the Cusp of Ending Big Pharma (2012):
https://landdestroyer.blogspot.com/2012/12/on-cusp-of-ending-big-pharma.html
Land Destroyer - Big-Pharma's Latest, Most Sickening Crime Against Humanity (2015):
https://landdestroyer.blogspot.com/2015/11/big-pharmas-latest-most-sickening-crime.html
Land Destroyer - Big-Pharma Novartis to Charge $475,000 for $20,000 Cancer Cure Funded by Taxpayers and Charity (2017):
https://landdestroyer.blogspot.com/2017/08/big-pharma-novartis-to-charge-475000.html
Applied Technology Lab (my side project) - Intro to our Ongoing 3D Printing Healthcare Project:
https://youtu.be/g5bXY1ezCk8
Applied Technology Lab - Open Source (FREE) Medical Maker Initiative Projects:
https://www.thingiverse.com/progressth/collections/medical-maker-initiative
Applied Technology Lab - Open Source (FREE) DIYbio Projects:
https://www.thingiverse.com/progressth/collections/diybio
Applied Technology Lab - Blog (will begin updating it this new year):
https://appliedtechnologylab.blogspot.com/
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