Ukraine Demilitarisation Update March 30, 2023

US Experts Grapple with Ukraine End Game Admit War of Attrition is Unwinnable

The New Atlas

Desperation and fantastical thinking take hold of “top US foreign policy experts” as they contemplate an end game in Ukraine…

- CSIS admits crucial weapons and munitions face critical shortages including HIMARS launchers, 155mm artillery rounds, anti-aircraft and anti-tank missiles;

- CSIS suggests the US could deplete all of its inventories along with Europe into Ukraine to make up for critical shortages or shift to “substitutes” despite being inadequate for Ukraine’s requirements;

- A recent confab of US foreign policy experts attempted to come to grips with the coming end game in Ukraine in which they see a Russian victory owed to its ability to supply more weapons, munitions, and trained manpower;

- Suggestions to turn the tide include sending 1,000 M1 Abrams tanks, creating (another) foreign legion, and transferring weapons to Ukraine to strike deep within Russia;

- However these “solutions” range from unrealistic to entirely counterproductive;

- Ukraine doesn’t have the manpower or time to assemble crews for 1,000 M1 Abrams tanks, a foreign legion was already created and already failed, and striking deep inside Russia will likely only help Moscow justify further mobilizations;

- Sanctioning China is also considered, with no self-reflection on the flawed reasoning that led to ineffective sanctions already placed on Russia;

- Only a fundamental change in Washington’s premise can a sensible foreign policy be proposed, one that sees the US cooperating constructively with all other nations rather than attempting to subjugate all other nations;

References:

CSIS - Rebuilding U.S. Inventories: Six Critical Systems (January 2023):
https://www.csis.org/analysis/rebuild...
Asia Times - Why Ukraine may embrace China’s peace plan (March 20, 2023):
https://asiatimes.com/2023/03/why-ukr...
Alexander Mercouris - Russia Pushes Central Bakhmut, Ukraine Evacuates Avdeyevka, Zelensky meets Army Chiefs; US Fear (March 28, 2023):

• Russia Pushes Cen...
RAND Corporation - Extending Russia (2019):
https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_re...

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