realdrjlt

I present two arguments that contradict the popular belief that nuclear wars cannot be won and should not be fought. Horrendous as it is, nuclear war is winnable and likely remains the last resort of some decision-makers. Dismissing this exposes us to more danger than otherwise.

I discuss direct and indrect causes of frequent violent riots in France in particular and in Europe in general. I suggest that the fundamental economic problem is so severe and deeply rooted that a complete solution does not exist.

I present four aspects how corrupt multinationals are more dystopian than corrupt politicians. Ironically, uncontrolled capitalism ends up destroying the free market and wants to impose totalitarian rule, not by despots but by corporations.

By acting on its misplaced fear of Russian invasion and/or influence, Europe is destabilizing the region with potentially disastrous effects. The latter is what Europe should fear when it comes to Russia.

What is "soft-landing" for China's real estate market? Can it be done?

Recorded two weeks ago when I was in Hainan. Still on the long road trip.

The importance of lower fertility for the working class

I present three unstated reasons why sanctions and asset seizures are carried out by the US.

I talk about the shortcomings of chatGPT-like AI and discuss qualities of a truly groundbreaking AI, which should have third-degree learning capabilities (as in being able to adapt to how it re-learns while it re-learns in production). I suggest that a change in the social and economic system is necessary when this type of AI displaces much of the workforce.

I lay out three challenges of gold-backed digital currency.

I make three points: 1. ESG is critical for business strategy 2. ESG is questionable as investment strategy 3. ESG is counterproductive as political agenda

I discuss the motives behind #Democrats #TrumpIndictment and the likely outcomes. Unless they fully de-legitimize the system, Trump will likely be re-elected.

I make three points about the French political and economic system: 1. The protest is not merely about pension reform 2. France needs more drastic reforms across its system to be viable 3. France cannot be reformed, and system failure is the only way to reset

I make three points: 1. Federal Reserve serves the interests of the big WS banks, not small regional banks, the administration, or foreign banks 2. Rate hike is not so much about controlling inflation as it is about reinforcing the dollar's credibility 3. ECB in this case is a competitor to be sacrificed

I discuss the situation, the motives, and the impact of this event.

As titled. Visit drjlt.com

As titled. Background: CS's 2023 Q1 bailout (more likely to come) + Comment on the future of Swiss banking

I discuss the short to medium-term impacts of the collapse of SVB under the assumption of a bailout. I also talk about the circumstances behind this collapse. There is one conspiracy theory that I did not mention: that not all depositors will be bailed out, and that some tech companies, notably foreign-owned and/or "unfriendly" will be absorbed.

Three problems with social security: 1. People aren't paying enough into the pot 2. People are taking out too much from the pot 3. SS is dumb money and cannot grow the fund (lucky if they don't lose $).

I discuss the developments of two key issues of our times and argue that: 1. A slow, prolonged conflict in UA lowers the probability of expanded conflicts 2. A slow, orderly dedollarization process helps world peace.

I point to signs that the Chinese government may be readying for a shift in policy towards the residential real estate bubble. I also suggest that such a shift would be rational and discuss future engines of economic growth.

An overview of the current non-military as well as military considerations in and around the conflict now centered around UA + two paths down which this will develop.

AI-powered spamming is ruining the Internet. I discuss the symptoms, effects, and causes of this. Note: I only mentioned AI-generated words, though now AIs can quickly perform text-to-image and even text-to-video generations. In a few years, YT will inevitably be filled with AI-generated videos.

My first podcast of 2023. https://twitter.com/DrJiulinTeng https://web.telegram.org/z/#-1677526421 https://chaincritics.com/critic/drjlt

I dissect the challenges that China faces on the economic front in the coming months. https://twitter.com/DrJiulinTeng https://web.telegram.org/z/#-1677526421 https://chaincritics.com/critic/drjlt