The Real Jobs Data Doesn't Confirm There's No Recession True Jobs Data Shows An Economic Depression
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a new survey released by consultancy PwC confirms our previous observations about rampant mass layoffs in the US labor market, and suggests that the true state of the job market is far, far uglier than the alleged 528K job gain reported by the BLS in July would suggest.
In the PwC survey released last Thursday, which last month polled more than 700 US executives and board members across a range of industries, half of respondents said they’re reducing headcount or plan to, and 52% have implemented hiring freezes. At the same time, more than four in ten are rescinding job offers, and a similar amount are reducing or eliminating the sign-on bonuses that had become common to attract talent in a tight job market.
At the same time, though, about two-thirds of firms are boosting pay - for those who keep their jobs - or expanding "mental-health benefits"
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US Service Sector Collapses, Composite PMI Plummets To The Worst In The World, Economic Collapse
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Commenting on the flash PMI data, Siân Jones, Senior Economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence said:
“August flash PMI data signalled further disconcerting signs for the health of the US private sector. Demand conditions were dampened again, sparked by the impact of interest rate hikes and strong inflationary pressures on customer spending, which weighed on activity. Gathering clouds spread across the private sector as services new orders returned to contractionary territory, mirroring the subdued demand conditions seen at their manufacturing counterparts. Excluding the period between March and May 2020, the fall in total output was the steepest seen since the series began nearly 13 years ago.
Services are at their lowest since May 2020 and Manufacturing at its lowest since July 2020.
At 51.3 in August, down from 52.2 in July, the S&P Global Flash US Manufacturing PMI continued to signal subdued operating conditions across the manufacturing sector. The headline reading fell to its lowest level in just
over two years, amid muted demand conditions and production cutbacks.
The US Composite PMI is the weakest of all the global regions
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Credit Market Cracks! HY Credit Signals The "Worst" Of The 2022 Recession Has Yet To Begin
The High Yield index has often been used as a crucial fear indicator when viewing recession concerns via the lens of corporate credit. US HY spreads of 800-850bp are often indicative of heightened recession worries or a growth concern. The fact that the current cash spreads of 450bp are well within what may be considered strained levels, indicating that recession risks are still not sufficiently priced in. However, taking into consideration the HY index's positive composition change, we think that the fair spread level in this particular mild recession is about 700bp.
There will be a wave of downgrades throughout the next quarters. Only at the worst of the GFC and the health crisis has the loan index historically crossed 750 bp in spread and an 85 cash price. This time, we anticipate that these levels will be challenged, even in a moderate recession, suggesting a substantial decline from present levels (480bp in spread; 95 cash price). The loan market is fundamentally more susceptible, even if HY credit spreads may be less sensitive than in the past to a downturn in GDP. Right now, both canaries are singing. However, in light of current values, we continue to take a cautious approach to corporate credit, remaining higher in quality and seniority.
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$10,000 Energy Bills Wipe Out Small Businesses In A Single Month, Energy Prices To Surge 80% In Oct
The cost of food is rising in Europe along with the pricing of everything else that uses energy, which is a pattern that will certainly fuel additional inflation
If Europe is forced to practice energy rationing due to a wintertime natural gas and electricity crisis, it might grow worse for food prices as well. As the administration places higher priority on family energy security, some food plants may have to close.
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Munger, ECB, Jamie Dimon Predicts Stock Market Crash - Huawei Warns Survival Is All That Matters
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munger predict stock market crash - charlie munger predicts stock market crash & alibaba. why charlie munger is predicting a stock market crash. here's a great reminder from charlie munger if we experience a stock market crash in 2022:. charlie munger warns about possible economic collapse like the 1970's and a stock market crash which could happen with it. let's dig deeper into his stock market predictions for the next decade (2021-2031)... burry has been warning recently that a massive stock market crash is imminent.
In an interview with the WSJ's Jason Zweig, best known for calling gold - whose price is now just shy of all time highs - a "pet rock" in 2015, Buffett's right hand man, Charlie Munger explained that Berkshire's patriotic buying would be far more muted this time... if at all:
"I would say basically we’re like the captain of a ship when the worst typhoon that’s ever happened comes. We just want to get through the typhoon, and we’d rather come out of it with a whole lot of liquidity. We’re not playing, ‘Oh goody, goody, everything’s going to hell, let’s plunge 100% of the reserves [into buying businesses].’"
He added, “Warren wants to keep Berkshire safe for people who have 90% of their net worth invested in it. We’re always going to be on the safe side. That doesn’t mean we couldn’t do something pretty aggressive or seize some opportunity. But basically we will be fairly conservative. And we’ll emerge on the other side very strong.”
Something else odd: unlike 2008 when every CEO was begging Buffett for a bailout, this time executives have learned that they can just go to the Fed. Asked if "hordes of corporate executives" are calling Berkshire begging for capital, Munger said “No, they aren’t. The typical reaction is that people are frozen. Take the airlines. They don’t know what the hell’s doing. They’re all negotiating with the government, but they’re not calling Warren. They’re frozen. They’ve never seen anything like it. Their playbook does not have this as a possibility."
He repeated for emphasis, "Everybody’s just frozen. And the phone is not ringing off the hook. Everybody’s just frozen in the position they’re in."
As Zweig correctly (this time) notes, "with Berkshire’s vast holdings in railroads, real estate, utilities, insurance and other industries, Mr. Buffett and Mr. Munger may have more and better data on U.S. economic activity than anyone else, with the possible exception of the Federal Reserve. But Mr. Munger wouldn’t even hazard a guess as to how long the downturn might last or how bad it could get."
“Nobody in America’s ever seen anything else like this,” said Munger. “This thing is different. Everybody talks as if they know what’s going to happen, and nobody knows what’s going to happen.”
Which is an interesting - if hypocritical - observation since if "nobody knows what's going to happen" how is everyone also saying it won't be a depression, Munger included?
"Of course we’re having a recession,” said Mr. Munger. “The only question is how big it’s going to be and how long it’s going to last. I think we do know that this will pass. But how much damage, and how much recession, and how long it will last, nobody knows."
He added, “I don’t think we’ll have a long-lasting Great Depression. I think
"I don’t think we know exactly what the macroeconomic consequences are going to be,” said Mr. Munger. “I do think, sooner or later, we’ll have an economy back, which will be a moderate economy. It’s quite possible that never again—not again in a long time—will we have a level of employment again like we just lost. We may never get that back for all practical purposes. I don’t know."
Munger may not know, but Buffett does and explains why this time he will not only not be buying, but in fact shuttering:
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inflation damage - warren buffett & elon musk agree on inflation damage to economy
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inflation damage - warren buffett & elon musk agree on inflation damage to economy.
inflation has been rising recently and warren buffett has been seeing it happen within berkshire hathaway. "prepare now, huge inflation is coming...
but there are a range of investors like ray dalio charlie munger & michael burry who are warning that inflation may be on the horizon.
many investors are concerned about high inflation coming over the next couple of years (& for good reason).
01:42 - inflation rates are rising.
warren buffett warns investors of rapidly increasing inflation and explains the best ways to protect yourself from its negative consequences. in today's exciting video we're going to teach you something that will affect your entire life as you purchase food gas clothing we're talking about inflation.
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foreclosure crisis - foreclosure crisis [update]: housing market interest rates rising soon
foreclosure crisis - inside florida's foreclosure crisis.
despite what you might have heard the foreclosure crisis is far from over.
why we are not headed toward a foreclosure crisis | keeping current matters.
watch our previous video on the foreclosure crisis and housing market: ..
repossessions have become routine and the foreclosure rate is still accelerating.
climate foreclosure crisis. one in four detroit properties have been subject to property tax foreclosure a level comparable only to tax foreclosure rates during the great depression. detroit overtaxed residents by $600m, causing foreclosure crisis.
foreclosure crisis looming, foreclosure crisis 2022, Investing Tips, u.s. housing market, real estate advice, Housing market crash, real estate marker, real estate bubble, housing market bubble, is a mortgage crisis coming, is another mortgage crisis coming, what happens in debt crisis, a foreclosure crisis, the foreclosure crisis, is there a foreclosure crisis coming, Mortgage foreclosure crisis
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Why Is There A Global Food Crisis? Is There A Global Food Shortage? Now[Only The Strong Survive]
Influencer marketing, how to become an influencer, influencer marketing These are things about to be revealed before you eyes. This is our main business and exdstrategy, use influencer marketing how to reach out to influencers, how to find influencers, How to develop an influencer marketing strategy for your brand, social media marketing strategy, influencer marketing tips and tricks, influencer marketing tips, social media marketing, social media influencers, influencer marketing and social media advertising, influencer marketing advertising budget, influencer marketing advertising agency, influencer marketing ad spend, ad standards influencer marketing, digital marketing, advertising influencer marketing influencer marketing, influencer marketing adweek, ethiopia food shortage crisis, food shortage crisis 2012, how food shortage crisis can create fear in society, food shortage crisis, add to prepping supplies food stockpile now Alaska, food crisis, prepper pantry items stockpile rising prices shortages, is there a pet food shortage, is there a cat food shortage, how have government policies aggravated the food-shortage crisis, why is there a food crisis in yemen, why is the food so bad in cuba, what are the major causes of food insecurity, what are the root causes of food insecurity in singapore, what are the main causes of food insecurity in ethiopia, what are the main causes of food insecurity, what is the cause of food insecurity in ethiopia, why is there a global food crisis, will there be a global food crisis, is there going to be a global food shortage, news channel, breaking news, us news, business news, food shortages shtf, Global Issues, export bansSubscribe to http://youtube.com/c/irongripprofits
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No Script In My Interview W Colin Pape CEO Presearch, Web3 Mainnet Going Online, Freedom's Last Days
interview with Colin Pape CEO of presearch on Silver Report Uncut, New Episodes Out Now! Subscribe to the Orginal Silver Report SR1 http://youtube.com/c/silverreport
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So Colin and I talked over our desperate situation and the lasts days of freedom we seem to be living in. This was a free interview in case you thought I was paid to say these things. I really love and use presearch daily. The best part is when it's your default engine you can still access all the other big search engines right from the presearch search bar. Mainnet is the next big project taking presearch out of the data centers of the old world and on to thousands of computers all over the world. Honestly Colin and I talked until the zoom cut us off without missing a beat because we were so aligned. look out for part two with the extended footage. and if your not using http://presearch.org ... why?
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Samsung To Hike Semiconductor Chip Prices 20% Immediatly, this will not be painless or transitory
contact the show on Whatsapp https://wa.me/message/LBCYLUQBZKR4A1 or frankwaker@irongripprofits.com Samsung To Hike Semiconductor Chip Prices 20% Immediately, this will not be painless or transitory
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Samsung Electronics is preparing to increase prices for chip contract manufacturing in the second half of this year which comes as no surprise given skyrocketing cost pressures eating away at the company's margins.
Samsung's contract-based chip prices are set to increase between 15-20% given the level of manufacturing complexity, Bloomberg said, citing people familiar with the matter, adding the new pricing model has been discussed and negotiated with clients.
Samsung's decision comes as the cost of energy, raw materials, equipment, freight, and labor are rapidly soaring. The move was "inevitable,"
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Investors Turn Universally Bearish As Invincible Stock Market Enters Spiral, JPMorgan Market Warning
I just want to say before I begin, Bella has two new episodes out on the original Silver Report it’s a different channel but if you like to stay informed you should follow for more of the news you love, visit and subscribe to youtube.com/c/silverreport - You can find that link in the description
Today i wanted to share some key market insights from one of the very few block traders with eyes at JP Morgan, maybe He just isn’t afraid the speak the truth and that's rare at the bank. This is an excerpt from block) trader, Ron Adler
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Food Prices Hit Staggering Record, Producer Prices Surge, The Lies, Inflation Expectations Crushed
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The BLS reported that headline CPI prices eased down to a 0.3% month on month, this was higher than expectations for a 0.2% gain. Energy prices slid 2.7% Month on Month as a pullback in retail gasoline prices led to a 5.4% drop in energy commodities, which was partially offset by a 1.3% increase in energy services (look for energy prices to jump again in May, remember, gasoline is it’s already all time highs. Looking deeper into the report we see food prices were on the rise again led by food at home as the relentless climb in prices begins to weigh heavily on Americans rising 1.0% mom, and food away from home rose 0.6% mom.
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Food Prices Hit Staggering Record, Producer Prices Surge, The Lies, Inflation Expectations Crushed
The BLS reported that headline CPI prices eased down to a 0.3% month on month, this was higher than expectations for a 0.2% gain. Energy prices slid 2.7% Month on Month as a pullback in retail gasoline prices led to a 5.4% drop in energy commodities, which was partially offset by a 1.3% increase in energy services (look for energy prices to jump again in May, remember, gasoline is it’s already all time highs. Looking deeper into the report we see food prices were on the rise again led by food at home as the relentless climb in prices begins to weigh heavily on Americans rising 1.0% mom, and food away from home rose 0.6% mom.
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"I'm So Bearish, I'm Miserable" "Closer We Get To 4,000 The More Intense The Selling Becomes"
the closer we get to 4,000 on the S&P the more aggressive the selling will get was Mike Harttnet from BofA. He was right and many of His peers would not even acknowledge the trouble in the economy. It's no surprise He has become the most accurate sell-side analyst on Wall Street. He isn't going to safe comforting things but they will be the truth.
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Where's The Gold? How Much Is Missing? Why Are They Lying? Serial Numbers Gone On Gold At The BOE
Where's The Gold? How Much Is Missing? Why Are They Lying? Serial Numbers Gone On Gold At The BOE
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the central bank of Denmark released a bar list of its monetary gold. Unfortunately, the individual serial numbers of the ingots—the disclosing of which is the main purpose of a bar list—are missing.
The gold report by Danmarks Nationalbank also covers “issues relating to … control and auditing of the gold stock.” In addition, a gold bar list was published. From the report:
"After the Bank of England opened up the possibility of inspection visits, Danmarks Nationalbank carried out physical inspections in 2014 and 2018 at the Bank of England, where samples of the gold stock were checked. The registration numbers and purity of the sample of gold bars were checked by reading the stamp on the gold bars, which were also weight checked and ultrasound scanned. Ultrasound scanning is used to check that the individual gold bar is made of the same material throughout. The inspections did not give rise to any comments."
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50% Chance Of Recession - Kostin, 80% Chance - Rosenberg, I Wonder When The Current Collapse Ends
Investing legends are predicting we will enter a recession with near certainty, My question is... When does the current economic collapse end? Subscribe to http://youtube.com/c/irongripprofits
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The economic surprise index is once again negative signifying most of the wall street bank economists are either ignorant, believing their own nonsense. or just not qualified to analyze the economy. I am concerned how the economy can get much worse.
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Record Collapse Used Auto Prices, Major Tractor Company Taken Down Just As F-B-I Said, Markets Break
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One of the world's top manufacturers and distributors of
agricultural equipment announced Thursday that a
ransomware attack impacted operations.
Duluth, Georgia-based AGCO Corp. released a statement
that some of its manufacturing plants have slowed
production for several days because of a cyber event
We live in the most chaotic, hard-to-predict macroeconomic times in decades. The ingredients for a global recession are on the table. Odds increase of a substantial further selloff in US equities, even in the base case of no recession. Consider that the recovery from restricting business activity means companies that have over-earned – especially those producing consumer goods whose demand has soared – will face a reversal of fortune. What's more, higher rates and falling growth are never good for valuations. Avoiding a recession is our base case, but markets will have to confront the rising probability of one regardless.
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Baby Formula Shortage Becomes Crisis, 40% Of Top Products Missing Baby Formula Shortage To Intensify
Baby Formula Shortage Becomes Crisis, 40% Of Top Products Missing Baby Formula Shortage To Intensify
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At retail locations across the United States, about 40 percent of the top-selling infant formula products were not in stock for the week ending April 24, said Datasembly. The company said that it tracked baby formula stock at more than 11,000 stores nationwide.
“This is a shocking number that you don’t see for other categories,” Ben Reich, CEO of Datasembly said.
“We’ve been tracking it over time and it’s going up dramatically. We see this category is being affected by economic conditions more dramatically than others,” Reich added.
Previously, drugstore chains like Walgreens and CVS have announced they would limit how many baby formula products each shopper can purchase at a given time.
In a statement, Reich cited inflation, product recalls, and supply chain shortages as why there is “an unprecedented amount of volatility for baby formula.” And he believes that the shortages will continue in the near future.
“We expect to continue to see the baby formula category being dramatically affected by these conditions,” Reich said.
“Baby formula stock, which has been one of the more affected categories so far in 2022, and one that will continue to demonstrate higher than average out-of-stock levels.”
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Food Crisis In Next 6 Months! Almost Every Powerful Institution Agrees, Hidden Truth About Inflation
Almost every important and powerful financial institution in the world is warning we are going to face a food shortage crisis in the next 6 months.
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A week ago there was a torrent of press releases from global institutions all mentioning the same exact same concern: Food shortages within the next 3 to 6 months. These statements line up very closely with my own estimates, as I have been warning regularly about impending dangers of inflation leading to food rationing and supply chain disruptions.
The IMF, the BIS, World Bank, The UN, the Rockefeller Foundation, the World Economic Forum, Bank of America and even Brandon himself are all predicting a major food crisis in the near term
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A Diesel Crisis Looks Primed To Hit Every Part Of Your Life, Meet The New Host Of The Silver Report
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Worsening diesel shortages in the United States and the rest of the world are intensifying upward pressure on petroleum prices and threaten to recreate the conditions that led to the record price spike in 2008. U.S. distillate fuel oil inventories, the category including diesel, fell by 2 million barrels to 112 million barrels last week, according to high-frequency data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Distillate stocks have declined in 52 of the last 79 weeks by a total of 67 million barrels, and are at the lowest for the time of year since 2014 and before 2008.
Power cuts are expected to worsen in the coming days as the heatwaves and a pickup in economic activity are seen increasing electricity demand at the fastest pace in nearly four decades.
Since most electricity generated in India is from fossil fuels and extreme heat increases power demand. It was revealed that Indian refiners are negotiating a six-month oil deal to import millions of barrels per month despite Western sanctions. I’m not sure I’ve ever seen a time when the United States place sanctions on a country and it increased their profit by a record amount, this seems like very, very, bad news.
Western sanctions forced many countries to find alternative sources, but a growing number of G-20 members are becoming defiant and ignoring Washington and continuing to do business with Moscow outside the dollar system.
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Scortching Inflation, Food Supply Hit With A Haymaker, Amazon Collapses Worst In A Decade News Wrap
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It seems like scorching inflation is still unfolding in nearly every sector, including the price of hotel rooms, according to a new report.
The national average daily rate for a room in March rose to $146.61, marking its highest level for any month on record
STR, who provides premium data benchmarking, analytics and marketplace insights for the global hospitality industry, reported this week that the average daily rate (ADR) rose 10.9% from pre-crisis levels. Occupancy, however, slid -6.2% to 64%, the release notes, while revenue per available room was up 4% to $93.82.
we see inflation is mixing with food shortages pushing U.S. spring-wheat futures to the highest level since 2008, as the Northern U.S. Plains are plagued with devastating floods that prevent farmers from planting in the high-producing crop region.
Blizzards, winter storms, high winds, and extreme flooding battered the Dakotas and stalled plantings in April, raising concerns about shrinking crop yields as present plant dates for North Dakota are at the end of May.
Because of wet conditions, farmers cannot work their fields, which means yields will decrease everyday wheat isn't planted.
Now lets turn to the market madness, striking fear into the hearts of the buy the dippers
Amazon shares have plunged the most in almost a decade - tumbling 12%, just a little bit less compared to the 12.8% one-day loss in October 2011 - after the e-commerce company gave a dismal outlook that was seen as disappointing and reported a rise in operating costs after its hiring and warehouse-construction push.
As always focused on the rearview mirror, dozens of Wall Street firms cut their price targets on the stock after the fact, taking the average to about $3,761, its lowest since 2020 and down from $4,100 at the start of the month. At least 31 brokers have cut their price targets over the past month, It seems like almost everyone has turned on Amazon which used to be a top market favorite.
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Amazon Crashes After Shocking Revelation, Markets Brace For Chaos, Goya's CEO Warns Of Food Crisis
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there's slippage in renewals as prices in the Manhattan apartment rental market rocketed to a new high in March.
A recent report from appraiser Miller Samuel Inc. and brokerage Douglas Elliman Real Estate showed tenants paid an average rent price of $3,644 on new leases signed in March. Rents have soared 23% from a year earlier and are up $14 from the previous record high recorded in February.
This next part makes me mad, and we know the Rockefeller Foundation shocked the masses when they began the countdown, they said we have about six months until a "massive, immediate food crisis."
Now, Goya Foods CEO has issued a similar warning: "We are on the precipice of a global food crisis."
In a Wednesday interview, He told Fox Business "Americans will have to tighten their belts and consume less," in response to her question about a potential food shortage crisis.
Fox then asked a series of questions, such as "Do you think things will get worse?" and "Do you think food prices will go even higher later this year?"
He warned about an imbalance in the world food production, indicating "farmers are paying double for fertilizer, they're planting less and yields will be less."
investors were keenly looking to Amazon and Apple earnings after the close today, to set the tone until next week's FOMC meeting, and also to find whether today's massive nasdaq short squeeze which surged 3% was justified.
Then they dropped their earnings,...
Amazon 1st quarter Operating Income was $3.7Billion, missing expectations of. $5.42Billion
Amazon Sees 2nd quarter Net Sales $116.0B to $121.0B, missing Estimates. $125.01B
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$200 Oil, "Global Oil Shortage" Only In The US & EU! Globies Turn Up Heat On Inflation Torn People
EU To Impose Full Embargo On Ru$$!@n Oil Next Week, Will Send Prices near $200 according to...
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According To JPMorgan. the clear intentions of the western governments was to cripple the Russ's energy production, loadings of the country's oil have so far been surprisingly resilient, so much so that their current account balance is at all-time highs.
According to JPMorgan shipments in the seven days to April 16 hit 7.3 mbd, only 330 kbd below the 7.58 mbd averaged in
February before the start of the war. Remarkably, JPM calculates that crude exports are averaging 360 kbd above pre-conflict volumes
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49
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Is Peak Copper Around The Corner, A Closer Look At Copper Market Fundementals And Epic Possiblities
There's No End In Sight For The Commodity Chaos, Peak Copper? I try to address the truth about supply and demand as well as the incredible opportunities to sneak in after a while of analysts poo-pooing copper. Before you know it the epic move will have passed you and all you'll have is regret. For more content like this subscribe to http://youtube.com/c/irongripprofits and we're bringing back the original silver report and come and support our effort http://youtube.com/silverreport
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This company, formerly known as Phoenix Gold, is the HOTTEST and the most ATTRACTIVE natural resources/commodities/inflation hedge stock out there!
Eric Sprott, the billionaire mining tycoon, who not only was Chairman of Kirkland Lake Gold, the most profitable low-cost, high-grade gold mine in the world for the past decade, but the founder and financier of some of the best mining stocks of the past generation, is York Harbour Metals (US: YORKF)!
Eric Sprott bought shares at C$0.40 (C$1M worth) and he bought millions more this past November, so now he owns 7% OF THE COMPANY!
Keep in mind that he is up over 150% on his position and could EASILY cash out with millions of dollars in realized gains, but he has NEVER SOLD a single share, nor exercised warrants, so not only does he believe that York Harbour's drilling results are nothing short of EXTRAORDINARY, he is also walking the talk, increasing his position in November and sitting on his shares and warrants, which tells you he is ULTRA-BULLISH.
He isn't the only big investor, whose a bull and is holding tightly to every share he has and ACCUMULATING MORE.
In fact, the investors in this company believe so much that York Harbour's drilling results in the past few months from their Newfoundland property are the BEST in the WORLD and they truly are... no one else is reporting these high-grades of copper and zinc at these strike lengths, that between Mr. Sprott, another long-term strategic partner of his, the CEO Andrew Lee, and 7 other close-knit group of investors, 52% of outstanding shares are held by these professional resource legends and tycoons.
It cannot get any healthier or tighter. This is a stock with WHALE shareholders with diamond hands, who are invested for one reason alone; they want to sell York Harbour Metals within the next 12-24 months for 5x-10x to even 20x its current market cap, judging by the AMAZING drilling results they are seeing!
In many, many, many years, no mining company has seen these types of copper grades! The nearest comparable company has a market cap 3 times bigger, so they are 66% CHEAPER THAN their closest peer.
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The Rationing Begins! American Retailers Become Desperate From The Baby Formula Shortages
Infant formula is in short supply as US retailers begin rationing. A combination of COVID-19-related snarled supply chains and a major baby formula recall earlier this year exacerbated shortages.
At least 29% of the top-selling baby formula products were out of stock by mid-March, according to an analysis by Datasembly, which tracked baby formula stock at 11,000 retailers.
"This is a shocking number that you don't see for other categories," Ben Reich, CEO of Datasembly, told CBS News.
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