Fed Gets a Jolt — Nick Santiago 5-31-23 #498
Source:
https://www.spreaker.com/user/appeal2/nick-498
1. While commodity prices have declined the April JOLTS - Job Openings 10.103 million. The prior JOLTS number was 9.59 million. This hot number puts the Fed in a corner, they simply cannot cut rates right now. So many investors are expecting the Fed to cut rates, but the best case scenario is that they pause rate increases. The Fed's next meeting is on June 14th.
2. Debt ceiling vote is scheduled for later today. Many Republicans in congress have said that they will not vote yes on this bill so this could be a showdown tonight. You have to love the theatre.
3. Oil is getting pounded again. Crude is now below the psychological $70.00 level. Should the daily chart price close below the early May low I think oil will trade down to $50.00. That would be a multi-year buying opportunity.
4. Gold and Silver trending higher today. Gold is up .5% today. 1940 is support which was tested yesterday. Daily chart levels are holding up.
5. Bitcoin is getting hit today trading down by 3.0%. The daily chart remains weak and signals a decline downto the 25,000 level on Bitcoin futures. The bigger picture is much worse.
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Your Multi-Million Dollar Exit Plan -- Wayne Zell #5823
Wayne Zell, a CPA and attorney, discussed the importance of having an exit plan in place when starting a business. He recommends creating a revocable trust to avoid probate and to maintain control of the business. He also suggests having a management succession plan in place to ensure family harmony and to benefit the community. Wayne also advises entrepreneurs to make time for their passions outside of work and to plan for the future after exiting the business.
Visit Wayne at: https:/waynezell.com
Visit us at: https://FinancialSurvivalNetwork.com
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Your Gold is Going Higher, Just Not Yet -- Jordan Roy-Byrne #5822
Jordan Roy-Byrne agrees that the market often seeks to frustrate the majority of participants, especially in the precious metals and mining stocks, particularly the juniors. He believes that gold will break out above $2100 when the economy moves towards a recession and the Fed is forced to ease policy. This could happen as soon as September or as late as winter.
Jordan Roy-Byrne discussed the current state of the gold market, noting that gold needs to break out above $2100 for there to be a real bull market in the sector. He also noted that patience is needed, as the recession and the 2020 elections will likely play a role in the gold market's performance. He also mentioned his publication, The Daily Gold Premium, which provides content and analysis on the gold market.
Visit Jordan at: https://TheDailyGold.com
Visit FSN at: https://FinancialSurvivalNetwork.com
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Congress to be Replaced By AI Bots — Nick Santiago 5-26-23 #496
Source:
https://www.spreaker.com/user/appeal2/nick-496
1.The PCE Price Index rose 0.4% in April following a 0.1% increase in March. The core-PCE Price Index, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.4%. Basically, this was a little hotter than expected. This report has been noted as the Fed's favorite indicator. The bottom line, this now puts a June rate hike back on the table.
On Wednesday, we talked about how yields have been climbing recently and this is probably why.
2. NVidia (NVDA was the story of the week after reporting earnings and seeing its stock surge by nearly 25%. This news also helped to lift most other semiconductors higher. So while everyone usually looks to Apple as being the most important tech stock it is now NVDA. The AI craze is running wild.
3. This is the final trading session before the Memorial Day Holiday in the US. Usually, we will see light volume throughout the session as traders often close up shop after the first 2 hours of the day.
4. Gold and silver are catching a bid this morning. Silver is very strong with a 2% surge to start the day. Both gold and silver are trading at daily chart support right now.
5. Bitcoin is upticking a little today, but the daily chart still looks weak. The weekly chart is holding up but does not signal a lot of overall upside. That tells me if it does catch a bid it should not go much further that the recent high before declining again.
Visit Nick at: https://InTheMoneyStocks.com
Visit FSN at: https://FinancialSurvivalNetwork.com
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Gold Consolidation Before Moving Higher -- David Erfle #5820
David Erfle and Kerry Lutz discussed the differences between the price of metals and stocks, and how the lack of retail investors in the sector has allowed for manipulation of stock prices. They also discussed the debt ceiling and how it is used as a political tool, and how it is ultimately meaningless.
The also talked about the current state of the market, the effects of inflation and deflation, and the importance of being patient and accumulating quality juniors. David explained his service's ability to help identify the right stocks and keep investors informed about the sector. Lastly, they discussed the Precious Metals Summit in Colorado in September and that both of them would be attending.
Visit David's site at: https://JuniorMinerJunky.com
Visit us at https://FinancialSurvivalNetwork.com
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A History of Major Financial Crises and How Taxpayers Pay the Price - Kathleen Day #5819
Kathleen Day has written a book about the history of financial crises in the US, which have been occurring since the founding of the country. She explains that while deregulation can be beneficial, it must be accompanied by increased oversight to prevent crises. People tend to forget the lessons of the past and take more risks when other people's money is at stake. The reserve requirement is meant to protect against liquidity crises, but if the demand for deposits continues, banks can still become insolvent and taxpayers must pay the price.
Kathleen Day discussed the similarities between the financial crisis of the 1980s and the current situation, noting that both had to do with inflation and interest rates. She also discussed the role of the government in regulating banks and the need for stress tests for all size banks. Lastly, she discussed the dangers of moral hazard and the need for banks to be conservative in their investments.
kathleenday.com
FSN
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Cure to Addiction will Cause Economic Chaos — John Rubino #5817
John Rubino is concerned that automation and government debt will lead to a collapse of the current system, and suggests that people should move their money into assets that cannot be inflated away. He also suggests shorting certain stocks and buying long-term options as a way to make money from the collapse. Kerry Lutz suggests using inverse ETFs and buying puts on the Housing Homebuilders ETF as other ways to make money. He also mentions a drug, Amg tide, that could help people with addictions to consumerism.
John Rubino and Kerry Lutz discuss the potential implications of a drug that could cure addiction, including the potential for a global depression, a universal basic income, and a civil war between the boomers and the millennials. They also discuss the Bilderberg Group and the possibility of Elon Musk being co-opted or assassinated.
John Rubino believes that leading economic indicators are flashing red, predicting a major recession coming, and that commercial real estate is a mess. He also believes that China's Belt and Road initiative has resulted in them taking over infrastructure in the developing world, and that the US has a history of exploitation and economic imperialism.
Debt limit drama is ridiculous. They do this every time. The ultimate Kabuki. The limit has been raised 78 times by both parties.
Lots of signs of a slowing economy
-- Leading indicators index is in pre-recession territory.
-- Commercial real estate continues to crater.
-- Home sales are down 23% year over year.
-- Home Depot just reported really bad numbers.
US might send fighter jets to Ukraine. Major escalation.
Gold and silver are down. Is this the end of the run or just a correction
NYC lost 5.3% of its population — nearly a half-million people — since COVID, with most heading South
Bilderberg Group meeting underway in Lisbon includes heads of ChatGPT creator OpenAI, Pfizer, Microsoft, Goldman Sachs and… Stacy Abrams
Overseas, China springs the debt trap on loans to a dozen countries a dozen countries most indebted to China — including Pakistan, Kenya, Zambia, Laos and Mongolia are finding out there China is a very unforgiving lender.
Read John’s work at: https://rubino.substack.com
Visit us at https://FinancialSurvivalNetwork.com
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Deflation/Inflation/Bust -- Michael Pento #5818
Michael Pento believes that the Fed's rapid rate increases have caused a banking crisis, and that the Fed's actions have created an artificial construct that will lead to a deflationary recession/depression followed by runaway inflation. He predicts a 30-50% drop in equity averages and suggests investors play it safe by collecting dividends in a safe manner.
Michael discussed the unsustainable levels of global debt and the potential for deflation and a depression if the Fed does not take action to reduce debt levels. He believes that inflation is not the answer and that the middle class will suffer if it continues. He suggests that the Fed should reduce the balance sheet and remove the gamblers from Wall Street in order to create a healthy economy.
Key Topics discussed:
Discussion of the Impact of the Fed's Rapid Rate Increases on the Banking System Impact of AI on the economy The effects of inflation on the economy Discussion of the Political Power Struggle in the US Global debt is unsustainable with high interest rates and inflation. Impact of Federal Reserve and Treasury policies on the economy The need for a vibrant and healthy middle class Visit Michael's site at: https://PentoPort.com
Visit FSN at: https://FinancialSurvivalNetwork.com
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Deflation/Inflation/Bust -- Michael Pinto
Michael Pento believes that the Fed's rapid rate increases have caused a banking crisis, and that the Fed's actions have created an artificial construct that will lead to a deflationary recession/depression followed by runaway inflation. He predicts a 30-50% drop in equity averages and suggests investors play it safe by collecting dividends in a safe manner.
Michael discussed the unsustainable levels of global debt and the potential for deflation and a depression if the Fed does not take action to reduce debt levels. He believes that inflation is not the answer and that the middle class will suffer if it continues. He suggests that the Fed should reduce the balance sheet and remove the gamblers from Wall Street in order to create a healthy economy.
Key Topics discussed:
Discussion of the Impact of the Fed's Rapid Rate Increases on the Banking System
Impact of AI on the economy
The effects of inflation on the economy
Discussion of the Political Power Struggle in the US
Global debt is unsustainable with high interest rates and inflation.
Impact of Federal Reserve and Treasury policies on the economy
The need for a vibrant and healthy middle class
Visit Michael's site at: https://PentoPort.com
Visit FSN at: https://FinancialSurvivalNetwork.com
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It's the Debt Stupid -- Brad Williams #5816
America just refuses to face reality and that means that the dollar will continue to lose value and more and more money will be tossed into the furnace. Politicians are much more willing to feed the inflation beast than they are to fix the underlying problem of out of control spending. And it's not a matter of parties. It's matter of always taking the easy way out. After all, in current day America, a politician's primary responsibility is to get reelected every 2-4-6 years Until that changes, nothing else will change.
Visit Brad's Site: https://askBradWilliams.com
Visit us at: https://FinancialSurvivalNetwork.com
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Will Cure to Addiction Cause Economic Chaos — John Rubino 5-22-23
John Rubino is concerned that automation and government debt will lead to a collapse of the current system, and suggests that people should move their money into assets that cannot be inflated away. He also suggests shorting certain stocks and buying long-term options as a way to make money from the collapse. Kerry Lutz suggests using inverse ETFs and buying puts on the Housing Homebuilders ETF as other ways to make money. He also mentions a drug, Amg tide, that could help people with addictions to consumerism.
John Rubino and Kerry Lutz discuss the potential implications of a drug that could cure addiction, including the potential for a global depression, a universal basic income, and a civil war between the boomers and the millennials. They also discuss the Bilderberg Group and the possibility of Elon Musk being co-opted or assassinated.
John Rubino believes that leading economic indicators are flashing red, predicting a major recession coming, and that commercial real estate is a mess. He also believes that China's Belton Road initiative has resulted in them taking over infrastructure in the developing world, and that the US has a history of exploitation and economic imperialism.
Debt limit drama is ridiculous. They do this every time.The ultimate Kabuki. The limit has been raised 78 times by both parties.
Lots of signs of a slowing economy
-- Leading indicators index is in pre-recession territory.
-- Commercial real estate continues to crater.
-- Home sales are down 23% year over year.
-- Home Depot just reported really bad numbers.
US might send fighter jets to Ukraine. Major escalation.
Gold and silver are down. Is this the end of the run or just a correction
NYC lost 5.3% of its population — nearly a half-million people — since COVID, with most heading South
Bilderberg Group meeting underway in Lisbon includes heads of ChatGPT creator OpenAI, Pfizer, Microsoft, Goldman Sachs and… Stacy Abrams
Overseas, China springs the debt trap on loans to a dozen countries a dozen countries most indebted to China — including Pakistan, Kenya, Zambia, Laos and Mongolia are finding out there China is a very unforgiving lender.
Read John’s work at: https://rubino.substack.com
Visit us at https://FinancialSurvivalNetwork.com
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Economy Keeps Muddling Through -- Wolf Richter #5815
Wolf Richter summarizes that the economy is a mix of different sectors, with some doing well and some struggling. Consumers are still spending, but the banks are facing high interest rates and the commercial real estate sector is facing repurposing and foreclosure. The auto industry is seeing a decline in sales, but Tesla is still doing well.
Tesla is shaking up the auto industry by cutting prices and building production capacity in large amounts, forcing legacy automakers to compete on price. This is good for industrial America and consumers, but bad for automakers as sales of internal combustion engine vehicles are at levels not seen since the 1970s. Electric utilities are also benefiting from increased electricity sales.
Wolf Richter and Kerry Lutz discussed the current state of the financial system, with Wolf noting that the economy is adjusting to higher interest rates and that banks are struggling with them. They also discussed the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting rates and the potential impact it would have. Wolf concluded that the economy will muddle through and that it will be many more years before autonomous driving is widely available.
Visit Wolf's site: https://wolfstreet.com
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Crisis Investing for Profit -- Joe Robert #5814
Joe Robert is investing in two different areas, one being real estate in the Outer Banks of North Carolina and the other being Web 3, which is the next software evolution that allows for peer-to-peer transactions without intermediaries. He believes that now is a good time to invest in Web Three as people are scared away from it due to the over leveraged companies that have blown up. Examples of Web 3investments include Bitcoin and Ethereum.
Joe Robert and Kerry Lutz discussed the impact of Fed Now and other digital assets on the Ethereum blockchain. They also discussed the potential of utilizing technology, AI, and no-code applications to make businesses more efficient and increase sales. Lastly, they discussed the possibility of acquiring businesses with outdated management and technology to upgrade them and increase their value.
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Fed Rate Cuts Coming -- Dana Samuelson #5813
Dana Samuelson, founder and president of American Gold Exchange, joined Kerry Lutz on the Financial Survival Network to discuss the current state of the gold market. He believes that gold is consolidating around the $2,000 mark and that the key to the gold market is the value of the dollar relative to other currencies. He believes that if the Fed is forced to pause, gold has the potential to increase by 10-15%. He also believes that the global debt crisis is unsustainable and will eventually lead to the devaluation of fiat currencies. He believes that gold is the currency of last resort and will be a great hedge against the loss of purchasing power of the dollar.
AEG Website: https://amergold.com
FSN: https://FinancialsurvivalNetwork.com
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Tesla is Going Down and Why You Need to Prepare for the Greatest Depression -- Michael Markowski...
Kerry Lutz and Michael Markowski discussed the possibility of a Great Depression due to a decrease in auto demand, the cost of manufacturing cars, and the slowing of cash flows for the biggest companies. They also discussed the inability of the US government to print money to mitigate the situation due to inflation.
Michael Markowski discussed the regional bank crisis and how it is further causing a depression. He suggested investors stay cash heavy, invest in government bonds with a double A plus credit rating, and consider long short hedge funds to generate higher returns in volatile markets. He also recommended signing up for his website AlphaTack for access to his latest reports and updates.
Visit Michael at https://alphatack.com
Visit us at https://FinancialSurvivalNetwork.com
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The Credit Bust is Here -- Gordon T. Long #5809
Gordon T. Long believes that the banking system is in an extinction event and that the Fed's reduction of interest rates may initially create excitement, but will eventually break down. He also believes that the dollar is currently a safe haven, but that risk premiums on bonds will push interest rates up to 4%, and that the Fed is trying to buy time to prevent a hard landing recession.
Gordon T. Long discussed the potential of artificial intelligence and the potential for job losses due to automation. He also discussed the potential for new technologies to come from other countries, and the need for America to invest in new technologies to remain competitive. He also discussed the potential for AI to be used for academic dishonesty and the need for self-awareness in AI for it to be truly useful.
Gordon's site: https://matasii.com
Visit us at: https://FinancialSurvivalNetwork.com
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Chaos Ahead -- Nick Santiago #5808
Kerry Lutz and Nick Santiago discussed the choppy markets and the banking crisis, noting that the central banks are likely to introduce a digital currency in the near future. They also discussed the recent dip in gold and silver prices, and the possibility of a nominal high for Bitcoin before it begins to decline. Finally, they discussed the possibility of the central banks offering incentives such as toasters and TVs to encourage people to open accounts with the new digital currency.
They also discussed the commodity super cycle, the Federal Reserve, and the potential for AI to take over jobs. They stressed the importance of owning precious metals as a way to prepare for potential chaos due to high unemployment. They concluded by discussing the potential of AI and the need to think outside the box.
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The World According to Martin Armstrong -- Part 2
The world is a mess and things aren't getting better. There's no end in site to the Ukraine war and the situation in Europe keeps getting worse and worse. We sit down with Martin Armstrong to get the latest update. He sees gold going much higher in Q1 2023. The loss of faith in all governments keeps increasing. China is a lost cause as well. But the US is a beneficiary of everyone else's misery. That's just the way the world works.
Martin sees a major backlash coming in the aftermath of the 2022 mid-term elections. His model is questioning whether or not the 2024 presidential election will even take place. What could possibly happen to stop it and does it matter anyway?
This is a must listen to interview.
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The Recovering Attorney Does Delray Beach Florida
For 35 Years Kerry Lutz was the Rodney Dangerfield of the Legal Profession. Now he takes his vast experience and his 13 step recovery program on the road.
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