The Turkish - Azov Ukraine prisoner deal explained!
Have we just seen a great political deal where Zelenskyy, Putin and Turkish President Erdogan all come out as winners?
The Deep404 - analysis of global events. Sister channel to @the3ps TheThirdPartyShow. #deep404
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Biden says yes to cluster bombs for Ukraine
8th July 2023 Ukraine Update
Cluster Bombs
U.S. National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan Biden - Cluster munitions ok “they were running out of ammunition” backed by Stoltenberg - Council of Foreign Relations Report
155mm
Due to shell shortages
100 countries banned
Limbs - maiming - cambodia/vietnam
Fortunately Ukraine assured only used in ways to reduce civilian casualties
Lovrov meetings
Ministry Foreign Affairs Russia - spox Maria Zakharova - denies secret talks between Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and U.S. officials while in New York this week.
Western media has been publicising Guardian CNN - former US national security officials
April - Richard Haas - outgoing President Council of Foreign Relations - US Foreign policy think tank -
Considered to be a “BACK TRACK” and way around the Biden administration to keep a channel of communication open with Moscow.
Timing is right for an article by Haas - talking of the US needing to find an offramp and a way to the negotiating table.
Western Media
An article in TheHill.com The problem is not Russia or China, it is Putin and Xi BY CHRISTOPHER MELLON
This article demonstrates the echo chamber within which much of Washington resides - claims of increasing meglomania from Xi and Putin, and claims of rising threats of violence from China and Russia, all blamed squarely on those nations with no concession given for any US role in the tensions…. Mellon claiming that
the bottom line is always the same: Intolerant adversaries are willing to use violence to impose their will on others.
If Ukraine had voted to rejoin Russia, or if the Taiwanese people were to elect to become part of China, Americans would have no grounds to object.
But because Ukraine did not vote to join Russia, Mellon sees this as justification for the prolonged destruction of the Ukrainian State via the continued supply of weapons, $800 million military aid package including:
32 Bradley IFV
32 STryker APC
31 155mm Howitzers
And 105mm and 155mm ammunition
Note that video has surfaced of former whitehouse spox Jen Psaki - claiming that if Russia were to use cluster munitions it would likely be a war crime. I wonder if this position extends to the US?
Globalist agenda
WEF
Yuval Harari - Advisor to Klaus Schwab - “What do we need humans for? At the moment our best solution is to keep them happy with drugs and computer games”.
Dutch Government (Mark Rutte VVD) - WEF globalist
Prime Minister since 2010 has resigned - Further signs of political trouble in Europe - Dutch coalition collapsed due to disagreements on Immigration - has seen Rutte’s party approval drop to lowest 20% in last few months.
PATRIOTS NATO Vilnius
Images have emerged of Patriot system in Vilnius ahead of NATO Summit on the 11th-12th
No admission for Ukraine to NATO - Whitehouse has rejected the idea
Instead Israel type security guarantee - continued broad military support without direct intervention in the war
BATTLE NOTES
Progress standstill
Kleshcheevka (Donetsk near Artyomovsk) - Russian reports reclaimed all positions taken by Ukraine over last week - heavy losses
Antonovsky Bridge (Kherson) - Ukraine still attempting to place troops into the Dachas - still suffering losses and not achieving anything strategic - noting that the bridge itself has already been destroyed by the Russians last year.
Seems a desperate attempt to claim some advance in the Kherson region - given how spectacular the West has talked up the Ukraine reclaiming of Kherson last year
Avdeevka (Donetsk)
Coke plant - FAB 500’s used to hit equipment and vehicle stored in the stronghold - headquarters and command post stationed here.
P’yatikhatki (Zaporozhzhia)
Russian reports that 128th Brigade of UKR retreated from the settlement today under sustained artillery fire. Disputed many times over last two weeks - heavy fighting
Meanwhile Sattelite analysis indicating that Russians are further strengthening their defences in Zap and DOnetsk.
Tactics - Mosquito - Disturbing results
Due to mine fields - Ukrainians resorting to small assault groups - un-protected by armour - attempting to force Russains to retreat as the Russians are more averse to losing manpower - however losses are tremendous.
FPV Drones and EW - The Game Changer
Reports that the “game changer” everyone has been talking about it not HIMARS, Patriots, Leopards or F-16s but FPV drones. These allow a soldier to strike a piece of armour, IFV, APC Tank from the security of a trench - multiple times a day. Combined with other “sighting/recon drones” advances are now visible well before they approach a range to engage.
Prigozhin
Interesting data online today showing flight logs/routes of Yvgheny Prigozhin’s private jet - lots of travel between Minsk, Moscow, Rostov-on-don and St Petersburg - certainly doesn’t appear to be under any form of strict house arrest?
The Deep404 - analysis of global events. Sister channel to @the3ps TheThirdPartyShow. #deep404
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Turkey gets involved
Turkey has released Azov commanders from the Ukraine Azov regiment back to Ukraine. In what will no doubt annoy Russia, this was done with out warning Russia. Turkey are also providing 155mm Howitzers.
Turkey charges tonnage on all shipping through the Bosphorus and the Russian decision to not extend the Black Sea Grain Deal will impact Turkish revenues.
@AlexMercouris @TheDuran #thedeep404 #ukrainewar #turkey
The Deep404 - analysis of global events. Sister channel to @the3ps TheThirdPartyShow. #deep404
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Ukraine advances, ZPNN and Free Speech
Ukraine War - Battle Update ZNPP Zaporizhzhia
Zap Plant - satellite images appear to contradict Zelenskyy’s claims of Russians mining the rooftops of the reactors. No event occurred yesterday, so hopefully Zelensky has been talked out of any chicanery involving the Zap power plant.
NOVO SELOV SKOYE
Rybar reporting: Russian advance: UKR needing to move troops from Kremenia in South to support or North from K’yupiansk. Russian reports that UKR forces are not strong there and will need reinforcement to stop the Russian advance.
Interesting as we have not seen Russian advance in the area for a long time. Are we seeing a shift as Russia defects weakness in the Ukrainian ability to supply reserves?
LVOV
Reports of heavy missile strikes - targeting grouping of soldiers/military - only 60kms (45miles) from Polsi border - this must make the Polish nervous each time Russia strikes as far West as Lvov
Klishchiivka
Heavy Ukraine Artillery - overwhelming Russian Artillery in a duel - which allowed Ukraine to advance. Military Summary Channel - Russians still hold control but the activity buildup discussed yesterday near Avdeevka may have been applied in Lishchiivka instead.
RADAR: AMerican AN/MPQ-64 Sentinel Radar: Supports short range AD like NASAMS and Avenger SAMs $67M
Avdiivka
Just north east of Donetsk - Ammo dump destroyed by Ukrainians in Donetsk
Su-25 - reports of another Su-25 shot down this week - possibly involved in a supporting role for an Su-24 that was deploying a Storm Shadow missile strike.
The fourth report in as many days of Su-25’s being shot down. They are designed for close air support of ground forces, so susceptible to Russian short range AD.
Cyber Theater - Cyber attack - Statistics (somewhat unusual story)
The State Statistics Service of Ukraine announced that due to disruption of work caused by a cyberattack - they have suspended supply of statistics to authorities including the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. What data they provide was not made clear.
China Partnership
2 x Russian Navy Corvettes: Gromsky and Perfect dock at Shanghai Greeted with banner “Long live the Russia and China friendship”.
ANother example of growing relationship between Russia and China - extending to the military - and displaying to the US that Russian forces will be able to support China should the dispute over Taiwan escalate to the military level.
Council of Foreign Relations Report
U.S. Taiwan Relations in a new Era
- concedes that SUBMARINES critical but not enough and long maintenance delays puts US at risk if China choose to invade now
- US industrial complex not ready for conflict INTERESTINGLY they comment “Ukraine conflict has revealed this and also exacerbated the problem” showing that the US overestimated the likelihood of a quick success against Russia.
- if the US went to war with China their need for long range missiles would exceed what is in the Department of Defense reserves
Austrian Military
Colonel Marcus Reisner - AUstrian Armed Forces - stated in interview that Phase 1 of UKR offensive has failed. Due to employing NATO tactics which fail against Russian artillery/Air Superiority. He believes change in tactics will result in limited success along the front.
Egypt - BRICS Development Bank
- not a BRICS member- but asked to join the banking development entity of BRICS - indicating closer ties to BRICS, Russia and China.
Things not looking good for Ukraine/West
One thing that gnaws at the back of my mind - what if the people in control - the elite neo-cons of the west - what if they don’t really care about the West either - and are happy to just wash more money through Ukraine to their cronies? Then all logical calls to end the war would fall on deaf ears?
One ray of light…… maybe….
Jordan Peterson
Posted on twitter that his interview with Helen Joyce titled TRANS when ideology meets reality - has been permanently struck from YouTube servers. Peterson rightly questions why YouTube feel they need to censor this rather than letting you as a thinking human make that choice for yourself.
American Free Speech
State of Missouri vs Biden: Judge rules for a HALT to what the court called a “massive attack on free speech” - Judge noted “looks like 1984” “situation is dystopian” and “Feds have assumed role of the Orwellian Ministry of Truth”. This relates to feds working with Social Media companies to influence and censor content unfavourable to the party narrative.
Note: Twitter rate limiting over last week - reportedly due to this - an attempt to stop Federal agencies scaping ALL tweets and providing that data to AI to identify “trends” “terms” and “groups” for target censorship.
And as one of my commenters suggested last week, that just by posting content commenting on the Ukraine conflict that I am basically saying “come on Youtube - ban me” well let's see what happens.
The Deep404 - analysis of global events. Sister channel to @the3ps TheThirdPartyShow. #deep404
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Ukraine War, Jenin, France escalation.
The Deep404 - analysis of global events. Sister channel to @the3ps TheThirdPartyShow. #deep404
#ukrainewar
4th July
Military Summary Channel
https://www.youtube.com/@UCUnc496-PPmFZVKlYxUnToA
Alexander Mercouris @AlexMercouris
WAGNER Sumy - Chernigov
Sumy - north west of Kharkiv - right on the border - Ukrainian defenses appear lighter here and Russian activity picking up in this area to soften the area - videos showing a lack of Air Defence in Sumy
Military Summary Channel - Kyupiansk - too heavily entrenched - Sumy seems an easier target - and recall
Chernigov - similar situation - Wagner are just north -
I mentioned a few days ago - Wagner are planning to be involved in the Ukraine Chernigov region - this is just north of Kyiv/south of Belarussian border. Earlier in May there were a series of seemingly unexplained nightly glide bomb strikes in this area.
Remember that Sumy and Chernigov are very close to Kyiv… 100kms to Chernigov, 200 to Sumy and lower levels of defenses
Ukraine - Storm Shadow
Also talk that Ukraine has detected Russian supply locations and are preparing a HIMARS and Storm Shadow attack as the prelude then a much bigger offensive started…
Expect to see action as of day after tomorrow (southern hemisphere today in the pacific is 4th 2mro in Europe - day after expect a major push from Ukraine.
don’t want footage of busted western equipment on show on Independence Day -
Still seeing reports about Zaporozhye as a possible target of some US or Ukraine attack, however neither side really gains from this, and more likely on this i tend to agree with ALexander Mercouris that Ukraine may be hinting at this so as to gain leverage over The West - effectively saying “continue sending us money and weapons or we will do something disastrous to the Zap Power Plant”
Ground controlled
16 830 first month May 2022
114,388 - declined sep oct nov to 96000
Since then varied about 100sqm per month still at approx 96000
UKRAINE SURVEY kiev international institute of Sociology Alexander Mercouris
78% know someone killed or injured avg 7 64% close/wounded avg 5 63% close/killed avg 3 - grown from 9% Until June 5th - so this excludes the casualties estimated by Russian MOD and other non-russian analysts such as Mikael Valtersson at upwards of 15K since the early june offensive began.
Moving to more global matters for a while
France Marie Le Penn - her star appears to be rising - - her policies seem to be resonating with a French public rocked by civil unrest. She certainly offers a new option in Europe - her position on Crimea is that the territory is Russian and France’s involvement in the Ukraine war is misguided.
In Germany the AfD - reaches highest polling at 21% and only 4.5% from becoming the biggest party in Germany.
China restricts rare earth metals
The Hill reports
China announces restrictions on export of Chipmaking metals - these are critical in thermoelectrics and military milspec electronics
These are rare 650 tonnes approx annual global production for Gallium
This is an important move by China as it puts the US at a disadvantage as China produces almost all 94% in 2022 of the worlds Gallium, production of Germainium is similar with China producing nearly 2/3rds of global output.
Exporters will need to apply for licenses and provide details of all customers for approval
Swedish flag burned outside Swedish embassy in London - retaliation for the burning of the Holy Quran in Sweden.
Stoltenberg likely to remain as NATO Secretary General for another year. No change in direction from NATO in terms of the Ukraine conflict.
India starts paying for Russian oil in Yuan. This is after last week Argentina made a loan repayment to the INt Monetary Fund without using dollars, instead using Yuan. Dedollarisation and BRICS
Hungry (NATO ) refusing to give more money to Ukraine until Ukraine explains where the 70 billion euros have gone - also against the European Commission's plans to provide $50B over the next 4 years.
Jenin ongoing conflict north of the west bank - 20 miles south of Nazareth - refugee camp endured two nights of Israeli Defence Force (IDF) operations.
THe Times of Israel quoted
Chief of the IDF Central Command Maj. Gen. Yehuda Fox - claims that the operations will continue and did not indicate if the planned goal of the operation to detect alleged terrorists had been achieved. 1000 IDF forces were involved , Bulldozers destroyed streets and the water and electrical supply in some areas.
Israel is ranked 18th out of 145 in the GLobal Annual Firepower review… Palestine does not rate.
This is demonstrated in the statistics for 2023
Since the start of 2023, Israeli forces have killed at least 156 Palestinians, including 26 children. The death toll includes 36 Palestinians killed by the Israeli army during a four-day assault on the besieged Gaza Strip between May 9 and 13.
As well, 19 Israelis have already been killed in terrorist attacks in 2023,
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US Rangers in Ukraine
The Deep404 - analysis of global events. Sister channel to @the3ps TheThirdPartyShow. #deep404
US forces in ukraine 28th june 2023
Black Hawks allegedly turned transponders off and entered Ukrainiian airspace to evacuate US mercanary forces
Kramatorsk -missile attack earlier today on a hotel - tattoos of US 3rd Airborne Ranger Battalion
The 3rd Ranger Battalion, currently based at Fort Moore (formerly named Fort Benning), Georgia, is the third of three Ranger Battalions belonging to the United States Army's 75th Ranger Regiment.
Special Operations Force Light Infantry
Role
Primary tasks: Direct action Airfield seizure Special reconnaissance Airborne & air assault operations Personnel recovery
Progozhin - state duma running investigation on state employees who left their posts
Alexander Mercouris - John Helmer Dancing with Bears - it is as it appeared
Still have lingering feeling that Prigozhin would not mount such an attempt if it was doomed to fail. He has had plenty of time and experience in sizing up targets - what made him think that 8k (some uninformed men - without his officers would overrun Moscow?
China becomes global top exporter of cars - surpassing japan - due to sales surge from Russia
Taiwan Ministry of Defense - 2 x Russian frigates in Taiwanese defense zone. Interceptor aircraft deployed and ANti ship batteries set to alert before the craft vacated the area
Signs of russian support for China
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Biden BRICS, Putin and NATO - Ukraine War Update
The Deep404 - analysis of global events. Sister channel to @the3ps TheThirdPartyShow. #deep404
@alexmercouris
27th June Update
Aid continues
US aid package to contain 30 Bradleys, 25 Stryker M1126 AV, ammunition for HMRS, Patriot, Javelin and Stinger missiles.
AUS - $75-$110M 28 APC, 105mm ammo, 14 special vehicles
NATO Leadership
Ben Wallas the UK pick - denied by Biden. Shows divisions
BRICS
Announcement being rumored - expected to be competitor reserve currency - Argentina 29% trade now done in Chinese Yuan.
Battle front
Rivnopil - near Vremevka Ledge UKR captured - tiny a few houses - tree lined paddocks allowed access
WAGNER
Created for overseas action
COl DOuglas McGregor - not a coup - just Prighozhin acting out due to MOD Contracts, lack of supply contracts.
Putin mayhave capitalised with the Belarus move
Camps 3 x 8k troops = 24k troops
May play an internal role in support of Lukashenko Belarus President Alexander Lukashenko on Thursday, June 1 claimed that the Western countries that are neighbouring Ukraine are preparing for a coup in Minsk. Belarusian security forces are prepared for the threat, the authoritarian leader noted, adding that his country's military will not let such a scenario materialise. Speaking at the meeting with the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) security chiefs, Lukashenko made claims that a “violent regime change is being prepared," according to RT.
In an interview with Poland’s Polsat TV channel, last month, the country's retired general Waldemar Skrzypczak called on Poland to get ready for an “uprising in Belarus,” adding that “it will happen.”
“We must be ready to support the troops that will carry out the operation against Lukashenko. We have reasons to help them, just as we help Ukraine,” the General, who was an ex-Poland’s deputy defence minister said in televised remarks. "Information about the preparation of a coup in Belarus by the West has been confirmed in Poland," reported the Russian state news agency RIA Novosti. Russia's President Vladimir Putin's spokesperson Dmitry Peskov meanwhile stated that his country is committed to ensuring the security of Belarus, “which we will do in the face of such obvious threats.”
Western sentiment waning?
UK Interest rates have been raised - inflation is over 8% with food inflation over 16%, although real inflation levels are higher - the same in America and Germany near 7% - people are starting to question why their government is giving millions if not billions away as they begin to struggle to pay their mortgages, feed their families, stop going to the movies etc…. All this is adding pressure to Zelensky to somehow convince or coerce the west into continuing to supply more….the Nov 2024 US elections may play a role in how long this continues.
Putin speech
Contrast with
“We — I was just thanking the — anyway, I started off without you, and I sold a lot of state secrets and a lot of very important things that we shared,” Mr Biden said. The comment was followed by laughter from Modi, Apple CEO Tim Cook, and others at the meeting
BIDEN
Meeting with Indian Prime Minister Modhi - Biden appears to state that he “sold a lot of state secrets”... in a faltering voice, appearing to drift off after appearing to forget a diplomats name…and covering with “anyway”.
The hand holding video with Modhi earlier in the week leads anyone to think that Biden is losing his mental faculties rapidly. Combine this with his gaffe in referring to Xi Jinping as a Dictor and claiming he was uninformed about the recent spy balloon events, which undermined Anthony Blinken Secretary of States visit to China on the weekend.
Those who are not existing purple on a diet of MSNBC must be questioning the leadership.
Address to citizens of Russia.
Friends,
Today, I am addressing the citizens of Russia once again. Thank you for your restraint, cohesion and patriotism. This civic solidarity shows that any blackmail, any attempt to stage domestic turmoil is doomed to fail.
I will repeat – society and the executive and legislative branches of government at all levels displayed high consolidation. Public organisations, religious denominations, the leading political parties and actually all of Russian society held a firm line, taking an explicit position of supporting constitutional order. The main thing – responsibility for the destiny of the Fatherland – has united everyone, brought our people together.
I will e
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Zaporozhye Nuclear False Flag, Wagner update and Battle News from Ukraine.
The Deep404 - analysis of global events. Sister channel to @the3ps TheThirdPartyShow. #deep404
@AlexMercouris
@militarysummary
https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/nuclear-falseflag-on-zaporozhye-npp?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2
WTF just happened in Russia?
Ukraine Update - 26th June
Wagner - Prigozhin updates
big news - Zaporozhye Nuclear Power plant.
The big question remains about Prigozhin - How much of what happened was pre - planned (a lot by the sounds of it), but how much was the Kremlin and MOD aware of?
Couple of things that seem hard to swallow if this was a real coup attempt:
No political support no military support other than 25% of Wagner troops many who appear to believe they were headed to Belgorod and not taking part in a coup
Dropping of the Charges? If a real coup - then why let Prig go? Is his power within Russia that strong that there was a risk if they detained him of an uprising? Doesn’t seem so.
I still get the feeling that Putin was aware of this and allowed it to happen to achieve other benefits… time will tell. As on eAmerican General commented today, if it was a real coup attempt then Proigozhin should be careful of open windows, as one imagines a reprisal would be on its way?
Incidentally ….
Shoigu appears - video touring the front line (maybe Belgorod)
While still online speculation that they may be replaced, assume this means that Gerasimov Chief of General Staff - also remains as per the Kremlin announcement.
Zaporozhye Nuclear Power plant.
Ukraine - preparing for a false flag attack on the Zaporozhye Nuclear Power Plant
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky - on twitter - We have just had a report from our intelligence and the Security Service of . Intelligence has received information that Russia is considering a scenario of a terrorist attack on the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant. A terrorist attack with radiation leakage. They have prepared everything for this. Unfortunately, I have repeatedly had to remind that radiation has no state borders, and who it will hit is determined only by the wind direction. We share all available information with our partners – everyone in the world. All the evidence. Europe, America, China, Brazil, India, the Arab world, Africa – all countries, absolutely everyone should know this. International organizations. Everyone. There should never be any terrorist attacks on nuclear power plants anywhere. This time it should not be like with Kakhovka – the world has been warned, so the world can and must act.
American support - panic has made them reckless
Lindsey Graham - American Senator - Graham and Blumenthal noted their resolution holds that any use of a tactical nuclear weapon by Russia, Belarus or their proxies, or the destruction of a nuclear facility that disperses radioactive contaminants into NATO territory would be viewed as an attack on NATO itself, requiring an Article V response.
Held by Russians for since March 2022 - International Atomic Energy Agency have inspectors located at the site - not reporting the mining preparations that Ukraine are claiming
Battle news update
The Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) continued their attempts to launch an offensive in Donetsk, Krasny Liman, South Donetsk, and Zaporozhye directions.
Kherson
Kherson Antonov Bridgehead - Dnieper river - Russian evacuation footage - wild
Ukraine has 50 soldiers over the river - will they begin to move heavy vehicles across?
◽️ In Kherson direction, over 50 Ukrainian troops, two motor vehicles, and one U.S.-made M777 artillery system have been eliminated during the day.
◽️ In addition, an ammunition depot of the 126th Territorial Defence Brigade was destroyed near Kazatskoye (Kherson region). Ukr stronghold and ammunition dump destroyed - massive explosion small mushroom cloud on video released by Russian MOD today.
Zaporozhye
Vremivka Ledge - near Makarivka - Video Russian T90 - destroyed two APC with 2 shots.
▫️ Two attacks by the 128th Territorial Defence Brigade in the direction of Priyutnoye (Zaporozhye region) were repelled by artillery and heavy flamethrowers of the Vostok Group of Forces in South Donetsk direction near the Vremevka salient during the day.
▫️ In Zaporozhye direction, the Russian troops repelled an attack by units of the 47th Mechanised Brigade near Rabotino (Zaporozhye region).
Orekhov - small advance by Ukr approaching Robotyne - however the advance was repelled.
▫️ Moreover, Operational-Tactical and Ground-Attack aviation struck enemy manpower and hardware near Orekhov and Novodanilovka (Zaporozhye region).
Moreover, an ammunition depot of the 65th Mechanised Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces was destroyed close to Kushugum (Zaporozhye region).
Total losses of the enemy in the past 24 hours in these directions have amounted to over 170 Ukrainian troops, one tank, four armoured fighting vehicles, three motor vehicles, two Msta-B howitzers, and one D-30 howitzer.
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Prigozhin claims coup d'etat - Ukraine War
The Deep404 - analysis of global events. Sister channel to @the3ps TheThirdPartyShow. #deep404
Simplicius the thinker
https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/special-report-emergency-situation?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2
yevgeny Prigozhin claims coup
24 Jun 2023
deep 404
The 3P'S
Prog - video MOD RUAF bombed Wagner Camp
General Surovikin - video - calling for calm - machine gun on his thigh
According to the spokesman of the President of the Russian Federation, Dmitry Peskov, the President of the Russian Federation, Vladimir Putin, received a report from the Prosecutor General of the Russian Federation, Igor Krasnov, about the initiation of criminal proceedings against the head of the PMC Wagner, Yevgeny Prigozhin, in connection with the attempt to organize an armed uprising.
Segei Shoigu - orders contracts for all volunteer forces - Prigozhin flat out rejected this
Storm Z vs Wagner
Weird proclamations
But some examples are, he claimed that the Russian MOD is lying and the AFU have in fact broken through the Russian defenses and reached up to Tokmak. The problem is, the very next day (today) upwards of three separate Russian troop units in different cities of Sadove and Urazhnoe released videos proving that, not only do they control those cities which Prigozhin claimed the AFU had already swept through, but that the front was calm and there wasn’t even any fighting anywhere near them, let alone any fantasy breakthroughs of which he speaks.
psychotically unhinged:
Prigozhin said that Ukraine has not bombed the Donbass for 8 years, and the Ministry of Defense is inventing facts to show itself in a good light:
• On the borders with Donbass, we hit them, they hit us. This happened all the long 8 years from 2014 to 2022. On February 24, there was nothing extraordinary
• After 2014, Donbass was plundered by people from the Presidential Administration, the FSB, and oligarchs. The generals sawed up the money allocated for the corps of the people's militia "LDNR". Generals received money for "dead souls"
• The Ministry of Defense deceives the public and talks about the insane aggression of Ukraine, as if they were going to attack us together with the entire NATO bloc. "SVO" was started for completely different reasons
• Zelensky, when he became president, was ready for any agreements. All that had to be done was to get off Olympus, go and negotiate
• Badly planned operation. For some reason, a bunch of idiots decided that they are so smart-assed that no one will understand what they are doing during the "exercises" and no one will stop them
Let’s go through a few of them.
Prigozhin is working with AFU/SBU/CIA to backstab and destroy Russia, coordinating his actions with them.
Prigozhin is secretly working with Putin to remove the stodgily entrenched Russian command. Notice, not in a single one of his rants has Prigozhin accused Putin or so much as even mentioned his name. There’s a possibility that all this is theater to cause a “conciliatory deal” to be made which will result in the ‘stepping aside’ of Shoigu. Putin has previously “laterally promoted” (in actuality demotions) several big name siloviki in the past. For instance, Sergei Ivanov who was deputy prime minister and presidential chief of staff was “moved” to head some ‘ecological’ department. Could we see Shoigu used as a fig leaf to settle the impasse by “laterally” moving him to some other ostensibly ‘important’ (but actually irrelevant) position?
Everything is actually “as is” and whatever we see on the surface of the conflict pretty much represents what’s really happening.
4. Putin is looking to remove Prighozhin
5. MOD Shoigu is looking to remove Prighozhin
5. This is a carefully crafted psyops event to distract form some larger activity - maskirovka military deception
Dmitry Rogozin - formed deputy PM of Russia - states this is civil unrest - Proigozhin has political ambitions and should put them aside
Rostov - alleged Wagner forces advancing to ROstov video military helicopters
Helicopter shot down? Wagner assuming control of buildiungs?
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Prigozhin - Not a coup - Was it a planned special operation by Putin?
The Deep404 - analysis of global events. Sister channel to @the3ps TheThirdPartyShow. #deep404
Putin’s Plan
June 25th 2023
Prigozhin all an act https://www.youtube.com/@militarysummary Military Summary @militarysummary
March of Justice
Alexander Lukashenko President of Belarus - held negotiations with Prigozhin - pulled back resources.
All a plan
Truck - explosion
Coordinated release of Prigozhin’s videos
Outcome - rapid deployment north of Wagner forces from LPR to Belgorod region and Kharkiv assault now possible.
Similarly redeployment of Chechen Ramzan Kadyrov Ahkmat’s forces.
AND Western military appear to have shown their hand…
Belarussian Minsk
North - Gleorski Regiment - video indicating they have started their own operations against the Belarusians - a lot of Belarusian opposition forces on social media
Kherson - push across the bridge
UKR MOD - announced a big wave
What remains to be seen is the fate of 👍
Sergei Shoigu - Minister of Defense
Valery Gerasimov - Chief of the General Staff - Lukashenko negotiations see them removed in return Wagner pull back and sign contract - 25K
Prigozhin and Wagner???
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