Scramble For Cash: ReFi Apps Spike Despite Higher Rates
Applications to refinance a home spiked an impressive 13% last week despite interest rates that have risen steadily for months. It appears that cash-strapped households are once again using their homes as ATM machines to offset increases in the cost of living that were not matched by wage gains.
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#EndTheFed #Refinance #housingbubble
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Fed Meeting Begins as BIS Warns "Higher For Longer"
The September FOMC meeting is officially under way and already the Bank of International Settlements is warning traders not expect rate cuts any time soon. While most investors believe that no rate hike is coming this month, there remains a 30% chance of a rate hike in November while many beleive rate cuts might begin as soon as early next year. Investors will be looking for clues from Jerome Powell about the Fed's direction during tomorrow's press conference.
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#EndTheFed #FOMC #UAW
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The Fed Has People by the Throat | Gregory Mannarino
@GregoryMannarino joins us to talk about recent developments in the bond market where liquidity is rapidly drying up and companies and individuals alike are trying to cope with the most aggressive central bank tightening campaign in decades.
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The Great Taking, by David Rogers Webb (Free PDF): https://thegreattaking.com/
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#EndTheFed #BondMarket #Liquidity
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WTF Just Happened in The Bond Market?
Last night saw a large and sudden spike in the US 2 year treasury yield. This occurred during premarket trading, on a day following "quad witching" and with Japanese markets closed for a holiday. It appears there may have been a liquidity transient in one of the most important financial assets in the world and the financial press is radio silent on the issue.
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#BondMarket #Liquidity #RepoMadness
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Europe Hikes Rates Again, More US Inflation Data Came in Hot
The European Central Bank has again raised interest rates by 25 basis points in it's ongoing effort to fight inflation. Also after yesterday's hotter than expected CPI report, this morning we again have higher than expected inflation being reported in the Producer Price Index (PPI). Bond and Forex markets are volatile this morning as traders digest this information.
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#ECB #PPI #Inflation
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Live: CPI Release
Watch the Consumer Price Index release live. For the month of August the headline CPI is expected to come in at 3.6% year over year and 0.6% month over month. Core CPI which omits food and energy prices is expected to come in at 4.3% year over year and 0.2% month over month.
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#CPI #Inflation #EndTheFed
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There's No Such Thing as a Soft Landing from This Bubble
Travis from @realestatemindset stops by to talk to us about all the reasons why there is no soft landing from this housing bubble. With consumer debt on the rise, interest rates skyrocketing, valuations at all time highs, and even student loan debt coming back, it's time for savvy minds to start paying attention to their credit and stock piling cash to prepare for the opportunities ahead!
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#SoftLanding #HousingBubble #Recession
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Press Parroting 'Debunk,' Ignoring Coreweave's Sus Past
The list of media outlets that has repeated the disgraceful 'debunk' of the Coreweave story is growing by the hour. There has still not been a single journalist in the world to reach out to me for comment or even mention The Magnetar Trade, the Shell Companies, or the inexplicable reason why Coreweave, of all companies, are the only ones who can get their hands on the most sought-after technology in the world.
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#Coreweave #DontLook #Rando
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Why is MarketWatch Running Cover for Coreweave?
The Coreweave story finally got some financial press attention today, but it was the wrong kind. Marketwatch has ignored a mountain of circumstantial but substantial evidence that points a major problem involving the suspicious flow of money from Magnetar to Coreweave to Nvidia and the subsequent rally in Nvidia's stock price. Instead a man claiming to be a journalist named Wallace Witkowski and Bernstein Analyst Stacy Rasgon opted for personal attacks, a distracting focus on unimportant nuance, and irrelevant details. The message from Marketwatch is clear: don't look there. This is an open call to any journalist with integrity, I will gladly share all my notes with anyone willing to look into this story. Nearly two weeks into this story and still not a single journalist has asked for so much as a comment. Some pertinent links below:
Link to ICIJ website showing Coreweave Exec's network of shell companies in the Cayman Islands: https://offshoreleaks.icij.org/nodes/80072466
Link to Propublica piece on The Magnetar Trade: https://www.propublica.org/article/all-the-magnetar-trade-how-one-hedge-fund-helped-keep-the-housing-bubble
Link to Nvidia's 2022 Settlement with the SEC for failure to disclose the impact of crypto mining: https://www.cfodive.com/news/sec-fines-nvidia-55m-failing-disclose-cryptomining-impact/623596/
Link to Nvidia's 2000 Settlement with the SEC for Financial Reporting Fraud: https://www.sec.gov/litigation/litreleases/lr-18343
Link to Wallace Witkowski's utter failure of journalistic integrity: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/before-you-short-nvidia-after-reading-investment-advice-from-twitter-randos-read-this-a797b730?mod=home-page
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150
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Services PMI Sends Dollar Surging, Reignites Fed Fears
The ISM Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) was released at 10 AM Eastern Time yesterday and showed an unexpected surge in US services, which Jerome Powell has said on multiple occasions is a key indicator in the Fed's fight against inflation. This has given credence to the "Higher for Longer" camp and sent the US dollar surging higher.
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#EndTheFed #PMI #USDollar
39
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Country Garden Avoids Default with Last Minute Payment
Chinese property giant Country Garden has narrowly avoided default by making a buzzer-beater interest payment on two dollar-denominated bonds. In the US, something strange is happening in the Reverse Repo market and it's caught me off guard...again.
Stop what you're doing and watch Part 3 of my series on Coreweave: https://youtu.be/0pySEPMVpfs?si=hGl99IkeRlKWZDzB
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#CountryGarden #ReverseRepo #EndTheFed
37
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Suspicious Shell Companies & Carbon Credits: The People Behind Coreweave
It’s time for Part 3 in my series on Coreweave. It’s a song of shady executives writing their own rules while incompetent regulators look the other way. This is a tale of shell companies set up by sleazy lawyers in countries famous for money laundering and tax evasion. And as always: poor people are footing the bill. But to tell this story right, I’m gonna need a little help...
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Chapters:
0:00 Intro
0:54 Part 1 and 2 Rehash
2:47 Jack Cogen's Wish List
6:27 Gary Gensler Has Entered The Chat
9:14 Financial Crimes in Carbon Markets
11:50 The Shell Game
15:58 Worthless Carbon Credits
17:34 Break It Down
18:46 Call to Action
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110
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What's Worse? The Economic Data or The Soft Landing Rhetoric?
Today saw a flurry of economic data releases, both government and private sector. All bad. But you'd never guess by the headlines because the "soft landing" rhetoric has been dialed up louder and louder with each lousy data point.
Stop what you're doing and watch this video about Coreweave and Nvidia!:
https://youtu.be/K6xALgeaSZM?si=ZE6ltECMG81NEZG0
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#SoftLanfing #Recession #Coreweave
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US Unemployment "Unexpectedly" Rises
The US economy added 187K jobs for the month of August, but that number is being overshadowed by an "unexpected" rise in unemployment from 3.5% to 3.8%. The "strong labor market" strikes again as The Federal Reserve, having gorged themselves on ZIRP and BRR and getting rich in the process now claims the only solution is to put poor people out of work to reset the cycle.
Stop what you're doing and watch this video about Coreweave and Nvidia!:
https://youtu.be/K6xALgeaSZM?si=ZE6ltECMG81NEZG0
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#JobsReport #Recession #EndTheFed
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Where is Coreweave's Money Coming From?
Who is Coreweave? It’s a simple question. And Nobody is asking. This company seemingly came out of nowhere and is almost single handedly driving the explosive growth of Nvidia and by extension propping up the entire stock market. Who are the people behind it? Where are they getting their money from? Nobody ever asks these questions when the numbers are going up. Full disclosure: I have no position in Nvidia.
Check out Part 1 of this series with Samantha LaDuc: https://youtu.be/DBT63k6FaK0?si=0ioz-PkibDZoixgd
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Chapters:
0:00 Intro
1:10 The People
1:52 Hudson Ridge Asset Management
3:25 Atlantic Crypto Corporation
4:19 Coreweave is Born
5:21 The Money Comes Flooding In
11:33 Magnetar's Sketchy Past
17:47 Long Story Short
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#Coreweave #Nvidia #Magnetar
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Lousy Jobs Data Sent Market Soaring, Bad News is Good News
Yesterday's JOLTs report showed a significant decline in the number of job openings in the United States. In a free and fair market, this bad directional indicator of the health of the economy would have sent stocks sharply lower. But we don't have a free and fair market. We have a Fed market and the weak jobs data has traders betting that the Fed is now done with rate hikes.
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#Jobs #recession #EndTheFed
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Something Fishy About Nvidia's Earnings & Coreweave!
Samantha LaDuc from @LaDucTrading joins us to talk about how something isn't quite right about Nvidia's seemingly unbelievable quarter and massive earnings beat which appears to have been derived from some creative accounting involving Hedge Funds, Asset Managers, and their mysterious new client: Coreweave.
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#Nvidia #Coreweave #AI
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Best Buy "Beats" with Terrible, No-Good Quarter
Best Buy Stock is up this morning after an "earnings beat" that saw 10% year over year declines in profit, a 6% drop in same store sales, and a lowering of forward guidance. If this is what a beat looks like, I'd hate to see a miss.
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#BestBuy #recession #chinaeconomy
69
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Evergrande Falls 87% as Another Chinese Stimulus Rally Fails
The Chinese stock market opened with a roar but closed with a whimper as yet another rally in Chinese assets showed no staying power after the government lowered taxes on stock trades, loosened margin requirements and asked some mutual funds and trading firms not to reduce their equity positions.
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#chinaeconomy #Evergrande #recession
92
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The Economic Ninja on China, Banks, CMBS, & More
@EconomicNinja was kind enough to literally pull over on the spot and shoot a spontaneous video talking about the biggest stories in the world of finance. So here is Ninja: unscripted, unplanned, un-everything talking about the Chinese housing collapse, The Bank of Japan's Yield Curve Control, Commercial Real Estate, European inflation, US Banks, and everything in between!
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#TheEconomicNinja #recession #inflation
64
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JPow Goes Full Hawk at Jackson Hole.
Jerome Powell did not mince words during his keynote address at the Jackson Hole symposium in Wyoming today. From the onset the Fed Chair struck a notably Hawkish tone saying the further interest rate hikes may be needed and that the fight against inflation was not over.
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#EndTheFed #jacksonhole #ratehike
102
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This Market Needs Powell to Shut His J-Hole
All eyes and ears are pointed towards Fed Chair Jerome Powell this morning in anticipation of his 10:05 AM speech at the annual Jackson Hole Symposium in Wyoming. Will JPow give the FOMO bros the pivot they so desperately need for the struggling market rally or will we see a repeat of last years Uber-hawkish market-wide body slam that sent the S&P plunging?
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#JacksonHole #EndTheFed #chinaeconomy
23
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Hundreds of Thousands of Jobs Gone and The Press is Silent
The Bureau of Labor statistics just revised the number of jobs recently gained in the US downward by hundreds of thousand of jobs. This is on top of hundreds of thousands of monthly revisions that we've already seen this year. This is yet more proof that the narrative of the "strong labor market" is a lie. They can hide behind rosy headlines and political grand standing, but as always the proof is in the data.
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Chapters:
0:00 Intro
1:14 Current Employment Statistics
4:40 Monthly Revisions
5:58 Full Time vs Part Time
7:56 Multiple Job Holders
10:10 Long Story Short
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#jobs #labormarket #recession
68
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Did Nvidia Save the World or Will the Market Sell the News?
Bears hoping for an Nvidia earnings miss to send the markets sharply lower yesterday will just have to keep waiting as Nvidia posted what can only be described as a monster quarter beating very lofty expectations across the board. So did Nvidia save the world and the market crash is cancelled? Or will traders take advantage of the euphoria to lock in their profits by selling the news?
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#Nvidia #DurableGoods #BRICS
22
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