Ukraine Demilitarisation Update April 12, 2023

Ukrainian Air Defenses Dwindling, West Scours World for Arms on Eve of "Spring Offensive"

The New Atlas

Update on Russian military operations in Ukraine for April 12, 2023:

Russian forces continue taking territory around the fortified cities of Avdeevka and Bakhmut;
Russian forces now control much of the west bank of the Bakhmutka River;
A Ukrainian missile fired deep into Crimea (and intercepted by Russian air defenses) may have been a Ukrainian Grom-2, comparable to the Iskander missile with a range of 500km;
Despite the capabilities of the Grom-2 and potential NATO assistance to produce them (most likely in Poland) it is unlikely these missiles will appear in numbers large enough to overwhelm Russian air defenses;
NYT admits Ukrainian air defenses are deteriorating, allowing Russia to more freely use its military aviation;
While Western analysts claim this development may not translate into Russian success, arriving at this juncture is already very much a Russian success;
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References:

Al Arabiya News - Missile fired from Ukraine shot down over Russian-controlled Crimea (April 8, 2023):
https://english.alarabiya.net/News/world/2023/04/08/Missile-fired-from-Ukraine-shot-down-over-Russian-controlled-Crimea

Alexander Mercouris - Russia Holds 90% Bakhmut, Sweden Refutes 6 Guys in Boat NS Claim, Macron Accused of Betraying US:
https://youtu.be/ICvcZrHhuRg

Army Recognition - Ukraine unveils new Grom-2 short-range ballistic missile (2018):
https://www.armyrecognition.com/january_2018_global_defense_security_army_news_industry/ukraine_unveils_new_grom-2_short-range_ballistic_missile.html

Reuters - Ukraine, Poland to produce Soviet-era tank shells together (April 6, 2023):
https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/ukraine-poland-produce-soviet-era-tank-shells-together-2023-04-06/

Foreign Policy - Ukraine Needs Long-Range Firepower for Victory (January 2023):
https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/01/04/ukraine-long-range-firepower-victory/

Telegraph - Russia shoots down Ukrainian missile over Crimea (April 8, 2023):
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/04/08/ukraine-russia-war-news-putin-latest/

NYT - Leaked Documents Suggest Ukrainian Air Defense Is in Peril if Not Reinforced (April 9, 2023):
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/09/us/politics/leaked-documents-ukrainian-air-defense.html

Reuters - South Korea to lend 500,000 rounds of artillery shells to US -report (April 12, 2023):
https://www.yahoo.com/news/south-korea-lend-500-000-025428302.html

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