The Ukraine Arms Drain: Now and in the Future

Update on Russian military operations in Ukraine for December 12, 2022.

- Russia continues its war of attrition - focusing on exhausting and overwhelming critical Ukrainian defenses around Bakhmut in eastern Ukraine/western Russia;
- Despite claims that Russian missile stockpiles are depleted, Russia continues carrying out regular, large-scale missile barrages against Ukrainian infrastructure;
- Latest US assistance package for Ukraine continues the trend of dwindling, inadequate support for Ukraine;
- US government procurement numbers over the course of the next 2-5 years indicates that at no time in the near future will the US be capable of producing let alone supplying Ukraine with the number of weapons and ammunition it requires;
- While Russian production data is not available, the fact that Russia’s stockpiles and military were configured for large-scale protracted and intense combat suggests its military industrial output is likewise configured for such demands;
- The Western media is now admitting that Ukraine can neither win, nor is there any moral imperative to ensure that it does...

References:

BBC - Ukraine war: Odesa and Melitopol under attack:
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-63933132
New York Times - Russian Cruise Missiles Were Made Just Months Ago Despite Sanctions:
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/05/us/politics/cruise-missiles-russia-ukraine-sanctions.html
US Department of Defense - $275 Million in Additional Assistance for Ukraine Dec. 9, 2022:
https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3241679/275-million-in-additional-assistance-for-ukraine/
Breaking Defense - House, Senate defense authorizers agree to multi-year munitions buys:
https://breakingdefense.com/2022/12/house-senate-defense-authorizers-agree-to-multi-year-muntion-buys/
Breaking Defense - Lockheed making moves to increase HIMARS production to 96 per year:
https://breakingdefense.com/2022/10/lockheed-making-moves-to-increase-himars-production-to-96-per-year/
Defense News - Army plans ‘dramatic’ ammo production boost as Ukraine drains stocks:
https://www.defensenews.com/pentagon/2022/12/05/army-plans-dramatic-ammo-production-boost-as-ukraine-drains-stocks/
Newsweek - Lessons From the U.S. Civil War Show Why Ukraine Can't Win | Opinion:
https://www.newsweek.com/lessons-us-civil-war-show-why-ukraine-cant-win-opinion-1764992
Newsweek - Tulsi Gabbard, Rand Paul Placed on List of Russian Propagandists by Ukraine:
https://www.newsweek.com/tulsi-gabbard-rand-paul-placed-list-russian-propagandists-ukraine-1727831

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