Donald Trump blows away his own 2016 performance in a strong Trump-trending county, only to lose margin as Biden has a performance rivaling Barack Obama's. Biden likely has 11,000 excess votes in the county.

Summary: Running out of his new home state, Donald Trump expands the Republican margin in Florida thanks to his dramatic improvements in the three Democrat South Florida strongholds. Mail in ballot abuse and problems with voter registration in the rest of the state tighten what should have been a blowout not seen in more than three decades.

President Trump's home county has at least 43,000 excess votes for Joe Biden present, minimizing the record setting Republican growth in the county. Palm Beach county appears to trail only Hillsborough County for most excess Democrat votes statewide.

Duval County has been Republican in every presidential election since 1972, with the lone exception being 1976 when it went for Jimmy Carter. Donald Trump pours on the most new Republican votes in the modern era, but someone drops the county when Joe Biden lands a Democrat gain surpassing even Barack Obama's 2008 surge.

Donald Trump, with an enormous gain of more than 60,000 net new votes, is clearly in line to carry Hillsborough County for the first GOP win there since 2004 - that is, until an extra 51,000 Biden ballots keep the optics consistent with recent years.

Trump's single-cycle gains in Broward County are legendary, but 34,000 excess votes for Joe Biden in Florida's most corrupt county prevents even further tightening of Democrat margins in South Florida.

Formerly competitive Volusia County has become a MAGA stronghold, with two consecutive cycles of decline and a record GOP gain leading into 2020. Now registrations have flipped to favor Trump's Republicans. How did Joe Biden manage to come in 25,000 votes over any reasonable forecast and minimize losses here?