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Russia Mobilizes, Referendums Underway: What Will Change and Why?
Update on Russian military operations in Ukraine for September 23, 2022
- Russia to mobilize 300,000 in addition to 150,000 already involved in operations in Ukraine;
- Russian Ministry of Defense announces nearly 6,000 Russian dead, 61,000 Ukrainian dead plus another 49,000 Ukrainians injured;
- Russian MoD claims Ukraine has mobilized 300,000 itself, losing 100,000 meaning it now faces some 450,000 Russian forces in the coming weeks and months;
- Referendums in Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, Donetsk, and Lugansk to join the Russian Federation means future operations will significantly expand in intensity, quantity, and quality;
- This major escalation follows two very expensive offensives launched by Ukraine in what appears to have been an “all or nothing” move;
References:
President of Russia - Article by Vladimir Putin “On the Historical Unity of Russians and Ukrainians” (July 2021):
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/66181
Michael Kofman (Twitter) - Thread on Mobilization:
https://twitter.com/KofmanMichael/status/1572573086490464256
TIME - Why Russian Support for the War in Ukraine Hasn't Wavered (August 2022):
https://time.com/6208238/why-russian-support-for-the-war-in-ukraine-hasnt-wavered/
National Endowment for Democracy (NED) - RUSSIA: POLLING FOR DEMOCRACY, THE YURI LEVADA ANALYTICAL CENTER:
https://www.ned.org/democracy-story/russia-polling-for-democracy-the-yuri-levada-analytical-center/
Washington Post - Wounded Ukrainian soldiers reveal steep toll of Kherson offensive:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/09/07/ukraine-kherson-offensive-casualties-ammunition/
Sky News - Russian reserves are not trained for war - and Putin's escalation could be 'extremely dangerous', military expert says:
https://news.sky.com/story/russian-reserves-are-not-trained-for-war-and-putins-escalation-could-be-extremely-dangerous-military-expert-says-12702607
Other sources covering the Russian mobilization:
The Duran - Point of no return w/Garland Nixon (Live) (includes comments on mobilization & prisoner exchange):
https://youtu.be/gP5IHoegHMo
iEarlGrey - Mobilization Reaction. 300k Reserves To Ukraine. Flights Out Of Russia Sold Out:
https://youtu.be/A8XOy6R2-gk
Mark Sleboda on Sputnik Radio - Putin's National Address on Russian mobilization and referendums on joining Russia in east and south Ukraine:
https://marksleboda.substack.com/p/interview-on-sputniks-critical-hour
Gonzalo Lira - The Roundtable #22: Alex Christoforou, Larry Johnson, The New Atlas (on Mobilization and more):
https://youtu.be/gfz4WeN8cEs
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