In 2016, Donald Trump became the first Republican since 1900 to win the White House while not carrying Nevada’s second largest county. In a real election, as shown by Captain K, Trump likely won it in 2020 by a margin of 6.5% or greater.

Captain K highlights the near certainty of Trump becoming the first Republican to carry Nevada’s largest county since 1988, with nearly 100,000 excess Biden votes present.