Is the Fed Close to the End?

2 years ago
1

(8/9/22) The debates are raging over whether we're seeing the dawning of a new Bull Market, or only a continuation of a Bear Market rally. Who'll be correct? More importantly, what should YOU do at this juncture? Markets have been improving, technically...a nice pattern of rising tops and bottoms has led markets back up to resistance levels from June of this year. If markets fail from this point, it will confirm the Bear Market Rally; however, there are some indicators of more Bull Market action. Stocks could go through a repricing as the Fed raises rates, tightens liquidity, and economic activity slows, weighing on corporate earnings and outlooks. If the Fed is closer to ending its campaign against inflation, though, that might be interpreted as the economy is as bad as it gets, and a turnaround is ahead. There are good arguments for both these, which is why we're keeping a little cash on the sidelines, and allowing the markets to do what they're going to do.

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