China's Taiwan Military Option - How and Why?

Recent US-Chinese tensions centered on Taiwan has raised the prospect of a military confrontation.Show more

Let’s try to answer the following questions: How and why would China launch military operations in regards to Taiwan? What sort of capabilities does the Chinese military possess?

References + Time Stamps:

@00:00 Intro: How the US is Trying to Prevent Reunification & Provoke a War:

@00:46 NBC - War Games: The Battle for Taiwan:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYfvm-JLhPQ
@03:07 Wilson Center - Joint Communique between the United States and China (1972):
https://digitalarchive.wilsoncenter.org/document/121325.pdf?v=b6f92f00846fba4e9b2891ea5320a5f5
@04:30 US State Department - U.S. Relations with Taiwan (2022):
https://www.state.gov/u-s-relations-with-taiwan/
@06:17 Harvard's Atlas of Economic Complexity - Taiwan 2019:
https://atlas.cid.harvard.edu/explore?country=249&product=undefined&year=2020&productClass=HS&target=Partner&partner=undefined&startYear=undefined
@09:56 Military Review - Deterring the Dragon (2020):
https://www.armyupress.army.mil/Journals/Military-Review/English-Edition-Archives/September-October-2020/Mills-Deterring-Dragon/
Voice of America - US Nearly Doubled Military Personnel Stationed in Taiwan This Year (December 2021):
@15:04 https://www.voanews.com/a/pentagon-us-nearly-doubled-military-personnel-stationed-in-taiwan-this-year-/6337695.html

@16:37 Preparations:

@19:20 USNWC - Logistics Support for a Cross-Strait Invasion:
https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1021&context=cmsi-maritime-reports
@20:42 Business Insider - China's air force has big plans for its biggest planes (Y-20):
https://www.businessinsider.com/chinas-fast-growing-airlift-fleet-reflects-beijings-military-goals-2021-7
@22:07 RAND Corporation - War with China, Thinking Through the Unthinkable (2016):
https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR1100/RR1140/RAND_RR1140.pdf
@23:04 RUSI - The Return of Industrial Warfare:
https://rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/commentary/return-industrial-warfare

@26:48 Chinese Military Operations: Overview:

@31:13 Election Study Center, National Chengchi University - Taiwan Independence vs. Unification with the Mainland(1994/12~2022/06):
https://esc.nccu.edu.tw/PageDoc/Detail?fid=7801&id=6963

@31:54 Key Chinese Military Capabilities:

@34:31 Diplomat - Russia Completes Delivery of Second S-400 Regiment to China:
https://thediplomat.com/2020/02/russia-completes-delivery-of-second-s-400-regiment-to-china/
@38:37 CSIS - How Are China’s Land-based Conventional Missile Forces Evolving?:
https://chinapower.csis.org/conventional-missiles/
@39:35 CSIS - Missiles of China:
https://missilethreat.csis.org/country/china/
@46:00 Business Insider - China's new rocket launcher system is its most powerful ever, and it's looming over the Taiwan Strait (Type PCL-191 launcher):
https://www.insider.com/chinas-new-rocket-launcher-system-casting-a-shadow-over-taiwan-2019-12
@48:12 Army Recognition - First combat use of Chinese made VT4 tanks:
https://www.armyrecognition.com/defense_news_january_2021_global_security_army_industry/first_combat_use_of_chinese_made_vt4_tanks.html
@48:40 USNWC - CHINESE EVALUATIONS OF THE U.S. NAVY SUBMARINE FORCE (2008):
https://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/26396898.pdf?refreqid=excelsior%3Ad2ad7832ba76d8c13a1e8773535775dc&ab_segments=&origin=&acceptTC=1
@49:24 The National Interest - How One Argentine Submarine Kept The Royal Navy At Bay During The Falklands War:
https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/how-one-argentine-submarine-kept-royal-navy-bay-during-falklands-war-145087
@52:14 CSIS - Are China’s Military Logistics Better Than the Russian Military’s?:
https://youtu.be/WCrQvQZ3i8g

Conclusions

@55:01 US National Endowment for Democracy - Taiwan's Destiny:
https://www.ned.org/taiwans-destiny/
US NED - Taiwan Foundation for Democracy Taipei:
https://www.ned.org/taiwan-foundation-for-democracy-taipei/
@56:08 Forbes - The Countries With The Most STEM Graduates [Infographic]:
https://www.forbes.com/sites/niallmccarthy/2017/02/02/the-countries-with-the-most-stem-graduates-infographic/?sh=7dc2f0cc268a

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