1 year ago

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Update for Russian military operations in Ukraine for May 11, 2022:

-Russia celebrated Victory Day (May 9) with respect and dignity - without a need for flaunting “victory” in Ukraine;
-Canceled flyover was due to weather and has happened in the past, including as recently as 2017;
-For perspective, Russia was to fly 77 aircraft over Moscow which is more aircraft than Ukraine now has in its entire airforce;
-Ukraine’s desire for a symbolic victory resulted in a disastrous operation around Snake Island and a costly “advance” around Kharkov versus Russian troops merely performing fixing operations;
-Pentagon admits Russian progress continues in the Donbas, however “slow and uneven;”
-Even Ukraine’s General Staff admits Russia continues on the offensive in the Donbas;
-Russia takes Popasnya, constituting a major breakthrough of the line of contact in the Donbas;
-Russia will continue focusing on Donbas while holding positions elsewhere in Ukraine;
-Once Donbas is secured, the next area of focus will be targeted (for example Kharkov, Nikoliev, Odessa);
-This systematic approach is precisely how Russia and its allies retook Syria’s major population centers from 2015 onward;

References:

US Department of Defense - Senior Defense Official Holds a Background Briefing MAY 10, 2022:
https://www.defense.gov/News/Transcripts/Transcript/Article/3027132/senior-defense-official-holds-a-background-briefing/
Ukrainian General Staff - “Operational Update” on May 11, 2022:
https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid02ber2MGKfRdpdjkkBEnqhAdTPXJwNCJgdC6bKWmgq8zQWguvKtqPEZ1xQvR4CTJmxl
Newsweek - Russia Hires 'War Mobilization Specialists' After Denying It'll Declare War:
https://www.newsweek.com/russia-hires-war-mobilization-specialists-putin-denying-declare-war-ukraine-1704161
Washington Post - On a Victory Day without victory, Putin faces choice over all-out war:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/05/07/russia-ukraine-victory-day-mobilization/
Bloomberg - Transcript: Russia President Vladimir Putin’s Victory Day Speech:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-05-09/full-transcript-here-s-russian-president-vladimir-putin-s-victory-day-speech
NBC News - Planned flyover at Russian military parade canceled with organizers blaming the weather:
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/live-blog/russia-ukraine-war-live-updates-putin-victory-day-moscow-parade-rcna27872
Moscow Times - Victory Day Flyover Cancelled Due to Bad Weather:
https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2017/05/09/victory-day-flyover-cancelled-due-to-bad-weather-a57937
CNN - Ukraine's Air Force has added about 20 more operational aircraft after influx of spare parts, senior US defense official says:
https://edition.cnn.com/2022/04/20/politics/ukraine-aircraft-spare-parts/index.html
Reuters (via The Hindu) - The chip challenge: Keeping Western semiconductors out of Russian weapons:
https://www.thehindu.com/sci-tech/technology/the-chip-challenge-keeping-western-semiconductors-out-of-russian-weapons/article65289005.ece
Reuters - Ukraine troops retreat from Popasna, Luhansk governor confirms:
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/chechnyas-kadyrov-says-his-soldiers-control-popasna-ukraine-disagrees-2022-05-08/
Reuters (via The Star) - Chechnya's Kadyrov says his soldiers control Popasna, Ukraine disagrees:
https://www.thestar.com.my/news/world/2022/05/08/chechnya039s-kadyrov-says-his-soldiers-control-popasna-ukraine-disagrees
TASS - Bodies of 27 Ukrainian special ops troops, nationalists left on Snake Island - top brass:
https://tass.com/defense/1449045
Ukrainian General Staff - Snake Island, footage supposedly of Russian helicopter loss:
https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=421189556011833

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