A Solar Storm Comes with Flares on the Rise | Space Weather News 18 March 2024
Enroll in Space Weather Fundamentals now: https://www.astrogeofisica.it/oswf/
This week our Sun kicks activity into high gear with multiple solar storm launches, including one that is Earth-directed. Although not a direct hit, it could bring aurora to mid-latitudes for a short while starting March 20. In addition, we have a whole cluster of active regions rotating into Earth-view. Several of these are big-flare players, including a returning region that was an X-flare player the last time it was in view. Amateur radio operators should expect more noise on the dayside radio bands along with periodic radio blackouts. GPS users should also stay vigilant, especially at high latitudes as we have an ongoing radiation storm that could affect reception. Also, when the solar storm hits, GPS reception could be more problematic anywhere near aurora and near dawn and dusk. Learn the details of the coming solar storm, watch the new flare activity, and see what else our Sun has in store.
Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit:
https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman
For daily and often hourly updates (during active times) visit me on Twitter:
https://twitter.com/TamithaSkov
For a more in-depth look at the data and images highlighted in this video see these links below.
Solar Imaging and Analysis:
SDO: http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/
Helioviewer: http://www.helioviewer.org/
Flare Analysis: http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/
Computer Aided CME Tracking CACTUS: http://www.sidc.oma.be/cactus/out/latestCMEs.html
GOES Xray: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xray_1m.html
SOHO: http://sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov/
Stereo: http://stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/
GONG magnetic field synoptic movie: https://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/standard_movie.html
GONG magnetic field synoptic charts: http://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/
LMSAL Heliophysics Events HEK http://www.lmsal.com/isolsearch
Solar Wind:
DISCOVR solar wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/real-time-solar-wind
ACE Solar Wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/ace-real-time-solar-wind
NASA/CCMC/M2M Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/IswaSystemWebApp/iSWACygnetStreamer?timestamp=2038-01-23+00%3A44%3A00&window=-1&cygnetId=261
NOAA/SWPC Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa-enlil-solar-wind-prediction
Magnetosphere, Ionosphere, Atmosphere:
GOES Magnetometer: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goes-magnetometer
Ionosphere D-Region Absorption (DRAP) model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap/
Radio Propagation: https://www.tvcomm.co.uk/g7izu/atlantic-mf-hf-propagation-20min-persistence/
Near-Earth radiation environment: https://spaceweather.gfz-potsdam.de/products-data/forecasts
Auroral Oval Ovation Products: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/aurora-30-minute-forecast
Global 3-hr Kp index: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/planetary-k-index
GEOCHRON Weather Display: www.geochron.com
USGS Ground Magnetometers: http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/
Multi-Purpose Space Environment Sites:
NOAA/SWPC: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov
SOLARHAM: http://www.solarham.net/index.htm
Spaceweather: http://spaceweather.com
iSWA: http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/iswa/iSWA.html
Definition of Geomagnetic Storm, Radiation Storm, and Radio Blackout Levels:
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales/
None of this would be possible without the hard work and dedication of those who have provided all of this data for public use.
Images c/o NASA/NOAA/ESA/CSA (most notably the superb SDO, SOHO, ACE, DSCOVR, STEREO, CCMC, M2M, JPL & DSN teams, amazing professionals, hobbyists, institutions, organizations, agencies and amateurs such as those at the USAF/HAARP, NICT, NOAA, USGS, Environment Canada, Natural Resources Canada, Intellicast, Catatania, rice.edu, wisc.edu, sonoma.edu ucalgary.ca, rssi.ru, ohio-state.edu, solen.info, and so much more. Thanks for making Space Weather part of our every day dialogue.
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An Earth-Directed Solar Storm Comes & New Flares Pop | Solar Storm Forecast 8 March 2024
This Space Weather News forecast sponsored in part by Millersville University:
https://www.millersville.edu/swen
We have a lot of filaments and new active regions in Earth-view this week and although we havent had much in the way of flare activity, things are picking up. In fact, a partly Earth-directed solar storm is on its way to earth and could give us some aurora by March 9th. Aurora photographers at high-latitudes could get some extended shows. We are also keeping our eye on several active regions, especially Region 3599 as it has become a big-flare player. Amateur radio operators should enjoy some decent radio propagation this week, but know that noise is beginning to pick up on the dayside radio bands again. We might even get a few radio blackouts this week. However, the big risk for radio blackouts will come next week when old Region 3590 returns into Earth-view. Learn the details of the coming solar storm, watch Region 3599 light up with new flare activity, and see what else our Sun has in store.
Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit:
https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman
For daily and often hourly updates (during active times) visit me on Twitter:
https://twitter.com/TamithaSkov
For a more in-depth look at the data and images in this video see my other videos, I'm saving this space for credits to aurora field reporter photos highlighted this week.
Aurora Field Reporter Credits:
Andrea Deegan, Albany, West Australia:
https://www.facebook.com/photo/?fbid=8020561834625964&set=pcb.8020565584625589
Ryan Shan, Sheffield, Tasmania:
https://www.facebook.com/photo/?fbid=3789550351284689&set=gm.3575786639303017&idorvanity=1414520222096347
Mark Polsen, Bridgewater, Victoria, Australia:
https://www.facebook.com/photo?fbid=2343844035805805&set=pcb.3575739375974410
Jodie Jenkins, Central Victoria:
https://www.facebook.com/photo/?fbid=2452465634939956&set=pcb.3575298902685124
Larryn Rae, Mackenzie, New Zealand:
https://www.facebook.com/photo/?fbid=10160336621943406&set=gm.8171079116239448&idorvanity=399886206692150
Kirill Bakanov, Sarov, Russia:
https://twitter.com/WeatherSarov1/status/1764401614406705269
ES4RM, Estonia:
https://twitter.com/WeatherSarov1/status/1764401614406705269
Mariola Labuda with her husband, Poland:
https://twitter.com/SOB_pl/status/1764359994793693632
Chris Conroy, Inverness Scotland:
https://twitter.com/chris_fish_bio/status/1764394797664465208
Hanna Baguley, Ynys Môn, Wales:
https://twitter.com/BaguleyHanna/status/1764395853790191826
Christopher Probert, Cornwall, UK:
https://twitter.com/tophe_probert/status/1764411483536896267
Jonny Gios, Keswick, England:
https://twitter.com/Supergios/status/1764478986220896560
https://twitter.com/Supergios/status/1764466200883368380
Paul Madden, Brighton Beach, East Sussex, England:
https://twitter.com/PaulMadden75/status/1764463032791335308
Oakleaf Photography, Donegal, Ireland :
https://twitter.com/jct_c/status/1764421634692170038
Shaunagh O'Connell, Cork, Ireland:
https://twitter.com/ShaunaghOC/status/1764423165034328117
Kees Zwan, Hochwald, Germany:
https://twitter.com/Kees_Zwaan/status/1764351456746799371
Tony Rodriguez, Goshen, Western Massachusetts, USA:
https://twitter.com/Tony_Rod/status/1764514272627798350
Jeremy Cruz, NEOC starcam Maine, USA:
https://twitter.com/J_master_caster/status/1764531746379342310
WeatherGamer21, NEOC starcam Maine, USA
https://twitter.com/WeatherGamer21/status/1764444316041101760
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The Biggest X-flare Yet Shooting Blanks | Space Weather News 24 February 2024
Our Sun has gotten busy this week firing multiple X-class flares including the largest of this cycle thus far. All the noise is due to Region 3590, which has been actively firing flares even before it rotated into Earth view. Amateur radio operators, aviators, and GPS users are dealing with R2 and R3-level radio blackouts on Earth's dayside and this trend will likely continue through the rest of this week. Despite all of its flaring, Region 3590 still has not launched any noteworthy solar storms (towards Earth or otherwise). The reason is likely due to it having no more overlying material to evacuate. It seems all of its overlying material was launched while the region was on the farside of the Sun. In other words, Region 3590's "solar storm" gun has run out of bullets. At least for now. This means aurora photographers will have to settle for the weak filament eruption and fast solar wind chaser that will be hitting over the next couple days. (Early signs show the weak filament may be hitting Earth now). The combined effects could bring a little aurora down to mid-latitudes, but it will be sporadic and short-lived at best. Learn how Region 3590 can fire the largest flare of this solar cycle, yet shoot solar storm "blanks" at Earth, see the effects on radio communications with all of these radio blackouts, and find out what is in store with the expected, wispy solar storm.
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A Big X-Flare, a Near X, & Three Earth-Directed Storms | Space Weather Spotlight 11 February 2024
Our Sun has gotten so busy over the past week that I have had to update this forecast three times before releasing it to the public! This week our Sun has fired no less than seven mid-to-high M-class flares along with an X-class flare and has launched at least three Earth-directed solar storms. This means aurora photographers have something to look forward to, especially near February 12- 14. Aurora photographers clear down to mid-latitudes have a good chance to catch some aurora views during a series of solar storms headed towards Earth. In addition, big solar flares and radio blackouts continue to impact the dayside of Earth. Amateur radio operators and GPS users should remain vigilant this week as the chance for big radio blackouts up to the R3-level is high. Aviators should also take heed since we have an S2-level radiation storm ongoing with a polar cap absorption event that could cause additional trouble for navigation and HF radio communications, especially over the poles. Learn the details of the coming solar storms, see why big radio blackouts remain on the menu, and find out what else our Sun has in store.
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Side Swiping Solar Storms & East Limb Action | Space Weather Spotlight 13 January 2024
This week our Sun is beginning to ramp up activity due to a bunch of new regions rotating into view. At least seven new active regions have rotated into view over the last few days. We will be watching them very closely, as some of them are showing signs of increased flare activity. Amateur radio operators and GPS users should be aware that radio blackouts could pick up a bit over this week on Earth's dayside. These regions are also launching solar storms off the Sun's east limb, which means Earth-directed solar storms might also be back on the menu as we move through next week. In addition, several glancing solar storms will graze Earth over the next few days, possibly causing some minor disturbances at high latitudes. We may get a small pocket of fast solar wind mid-next week, but again, only minor disturbances are expected. Learn the details of the new activity, see the active regions from the Sun's farside that are about to rotate into Earth view and find out what else our Sun has in store.
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Biggest X-Flare of Cycle 25 & Super Storm Launch | Space Weather Spotlight 02 January 2024
This Space Weather News forecast sponsored in part by Millersville University:
https://www.millersville.edu/swen
Our Sun rings in the New Year with some fireworks of its own. Old Region 3514 (newly numbered 3536) fires off an X4.98-flare and launches a super solar storm that will likely give Earth a glancing blow sometime on January 2-3. Aurora photographers may get some aurora from this side-swiping storm, especially at high latitudes where shows are already occurring due to the effect of the fast solar wind stream hitting Earth now. The storm isn't expected to cause a huge or lasting disruption, but it could boost aurora views even down at mid-latitudes for a short bit. Amateur radio operators and GPS users should expect signal disruptions on Earth's dayside due to periodic radio blackouts over much of this week as Region 3536 and others in this active region cluster continue to rotate into view. Watch the big X-class flare and it's impacts at earth, learn the details of the coming solar storm, and see what else our Sun has in store.
Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit:
https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman
This Space Weather News forecast sponsored in part by Millersville University:
https://www.millersville.edu/swen
Our Sun rings in the New Year with some fireworks of its own. Old Region 3514 (newly numbered 3536) fires off an X4.98-flare and launches a super solar storm that will likely give Earth a glancing blow sometime on January 2-3. Aurora photographers may get some aurora from this side-swiping storm, especially at high latitudes where shows are already occurring due to the effect of the fast solar wind stream hitting Earth now. The storm isn't expected to cause a huge or lasting disruption, but it could boost aurora views even down at mid-latitudes for a short bit. Amateur radio operators and GPS users should expect signal disruptions on Earth's dayside due to periodic radio blackouts over much of this week as Region 3536 and others in this active region cluster continue to rotate into view. Watch the big X-class flare and it's impacts at earth, learn the details of the coming solar storm, and see what else our Sun has in store.
Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit:
https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman
For daily and often hourly updates (during active times) visit me on Twitter:
https://twitter.com/TamithaSkov
For a more in-depth look at the data and images highlighted in this video see these links below.
Solar Imaging and Analysis:
SDO: http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/
Helioviewer: http://www.helioviewer.org/
Flare Analysis: http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/
Computer Aided CME Tracking CACTUS: http://www.sidc.oma.be/cactus/out/latestCMEs.html
GOES Xray: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xray_1m.html
SOHO: http://sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov/
Stereo: http://stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/
GONG magnetic field synoptic movie: https://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/standard_movie.html
GONG magnetic field synoptic charts: http://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/
LMSAL Heliophysics Events HEK http://www.lmsal.com/isolsearch
Solar Wind:
DISCOVR solar wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/real-time-solar-wind
ACE Solar Wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/ace-real-time-solar-wind
NASA/CCMC/M2M Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/IswaSystemWebApp/iSWACygnetStreamer?timestamp=2038-01-23+00%3A44%3A00&window=-1&cygnetId=261
NOAA/SWPC Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa-enlil-solar-wind-prediction
Magnetosphere, Ionosphere, Atmosphere:
GOES Magnetometer: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goes-magnetometer
Ionosphere D-Region Absorption (DRAP) model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap/
Radio Propagation: https://www.tvcomm.co.uk/g7izu/atlantic-mf-hf-propagation-20min-persistence/
Near-Earth radiation environment: https://spaceweather.gfz-potsdam.de/products-data/forecasts
Auroral Oval Ovation Products: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/aurora-30-minute-forecast
Global 3-hr Kp index: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/planetary-k-index
GEOCHRON Weather Display: www.geochron.com
USGS Ground Magnetometers: http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/
Multi-Purpose Space Environment Sites:
NOAA/SWPC: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov
SOLARHAM: http://www.solarham.net/index.htm
Spaceweather: http://spaceweather.com
iSWA: http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/iswa/iSWA.html
Definition of Geomagnetic Storm, Radiation Storm, and Radio Blackout Levels:
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales/
None of this would be possible without the hard work and dedication of those who have provided all of this data for public use.
Images c/o NASA/NOAA/ESA/CSA (most notably the superb SDO, SOHO, ACE, DSCOVR, STEREO, CCMC, M2M, JPL & DSN teams, amazing professionals, hobbyists, institutions, organizations, agencies and amateurs such as those at the USAF/HAARP, NICT, NOAA, USGS, Environment Canada, Natural Resources Canada, Intellicast, Catatania, rice.edu, wisc.edu, sonoma.edu ucalgary.ca, rssi.ru, ohio-state.edu, solen.info, and so much more. Thanks for making Space Weather part of our every day dialogue.
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Dark Farside Regions Come with Aurora & Meteors for New Years | Space Weather News 30 December 2023
This Space Weather News forecast sponsored in part by Millersville University:
https://www.millersville.edu/swen
Solar activity is in an upswing this week as we get hit by some fast solar wind from a finger-like coronal hole. This wind could give us some nice views as we cross into New Years. Aurora photographers, especially at high latitudes should enjoy some extended views and even those at mid-latitudes could get a brief chance to ring in the New Year with nature's fireworks. Considering we also have the Quadrantids meteor shower peaking in early January, this could make for some spectacular shots, in spite of the bright moon. Amateur radio operators and GPS users also have some quiet days left before a big cluster of active regions rotates back into Earth-view, boosting the solar flux and the risk for radio blackouts. Learn the details of the coming fast wind, watch the dark regions lurking on the Sun's farside, and see what else our Sun has in store!
Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit:
https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman
For daily and often hourly updates (during active times) visit me on Twitter:
https://twitter.com/TamithaSkov
For a more in-depth look at the data and images highlighted in this video see these links below.
Solar Imaging and Analysis:
SDO: http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/
Helioviewer: http://www.helioviewer.org/
Flare Analysis: http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest...
Computer Aided CME Tracking CACTUS: http://www.sidc.oma.be/cactus/out/lat...
GOES Xray: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xra...
SOHO: http://sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov/
Stereo: http://stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/
GONG magnetic field synoptic movie: https://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/stan...
GONG magnetic field synoptic charts: http://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/
LMSAL Heliophysics Events HEK http://www.lmsal.com/isolsearch
Solar Wind:
DISCOVR solar wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/rea...
ACE Solar Wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/ace...
NASA/CCMC/M2M Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/IswaSystem...
NOAA/SWPC Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa...
Magnetosphere, Ionosphere, Atmosphere:
GOES Magnetometer: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goe...
Ionosphere D-Region Absorption (DRAP) model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-r...
Radio Propagation: https://www.tvcomm.co.uk/g7izu/atlant...
Near-Earth radiation environment: https://spaceweather.gfz-potsdam.de/p...
Auroral Oval Ovation Products: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/aur...
Global 3-hr Kp index: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/pla...
GEOCHRON Weather Display: www.geochron.com
USGS Ground Magnetometers: http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/
Multi-Purpose Space Environment Sites:
NOAA/SWPC: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov
SOLARHAM: http://www.solarham.net/index.htm
Spaceweather: http://spaceweather.com
iSWA: http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/iswa/iSWA.html
Definition of Geomagnetic Storm, Radiation Storm, and Radio Blackout Levels:
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales/
None of this would be possible without the hard work and dedication of those who have provided all of this data for public use.
Images c/o NASA/NOAA/ESA/CSA (most notably the superb SDO, SOHO, ACE, DSCOVR, STEREO, CCMC, M2M, JPL & DSN teams, amazing professionals, hobbyists, institutions, organizations, agencies and amateurs such as those at the USAF/HAARP, NICT, NOAA, USGS, Environment Canada, Natural Resources Canada, Intellicast, Catatania, rice.edu, wisc.edu, sonoma.edu ucalgary.ca, rssi.ru, ohio-state.edu, solen.info, and so much more. Thanks for making Space Weather part of our every day dialogue.
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A Big Solar Flare & a Filament Poised to Erupt | Space Weather News 22 December 2023
This Space Weather News forecast sponsored in part by Millersville University:
https://www.millersville.edu/swen
Our Sun continues to keep the holiday fireworks going as Region 3519 fires off several large flares and radio blackouts before rotating to the farside. Although solar storms were launched, they are too far west to be Earth-directed. Still, aurora photographers should enjoy some aurora views at high latitudes due to a pocket of fast solar wind coming over the next couple of days. We are also watching an unstable filament crossing through the Earth-strike zone, which could launch as a partly Earth-directed solar storm, so be aware the aurora forecast could change quickly. Amateur radio operators should enjoy the solar storm reprieve, with high solar flux and good propagation on Earth's dayside, despite the noisy conditions and periodic radio blackouts. GPS users, however, should remain vigilant, especially at low latitudes near dawn and dusk, and in the southern hemisphere where GPS reception could become pretty unreliable. Learn the details of the recent solar flare activity, check out the filament poised to erupt, and see what is lurking on the Sun's farside!
Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit:
/ spaceweatherwoman
For daily and often hourly updates (during active times) visit me on Twitter:
/ tamithaskov
For a more in-depth look at the data and images highlighted in this video see these links below.
Solar Imaging and Analysis:
SDO: http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/
Helioviewer: http://www.helioviewer.org/
Flare Analysis: http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest...
Computer Aided CME Tracking CACTUS: http://www.sidc.oma.be/cactus/out/lat...
GOES Xray: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xra...
SOHO: http://sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov/
Stereo: http://stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/
GONG magnetic field synoptic movie: https://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/stan...
GONG magnetic field synoptic charts: http://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/
LMSAL Heliophysics Events HEK http://www.lmsal.com/isolsearch
Solar Wind:
DISCOVR solar wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/rea...
ACE Solar Wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/ace...
NASA/CCMC/M2M Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/IswaSystem...
NOAA/SWPC Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa...
Magnetosphere, Ionosphere, Atmosphere:
GOES Magnetometer: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goe...
Ionosphere D-Region Absorption (DRAP) model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-r...
Radio Propagation: https://www.tvcomm.co.uk/g7izu/atlant...
Near-Earth radiation environment: https://spaceweather.gfz-potsdam.de/p...
Auroral Oval Ovation Products: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/aur...
Global 3-hr Kp index: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/pla...
GEOCHRON Weather Display: www.geochron.com
USGS Ground Magnetometers: http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/
Multi-Purpose Space Environment Sites:
NOAA/SWPC: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov
SOLARHAM: http://www.solarham.net/index.htm
Spaceweather: http://spaceweather.com
iSWA: http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/iswa/iSWA.html
Definition of Geomagnetic Storm, Radiation Storm, and Radio Blackout Levels:
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales/
None of this would be possible without the hard work and dedication of those who have provided all of this data for public use.
Images c/o NASA/NOAA/ESA/CSA (most notably the superb SDO, SOHO, ACE, DSCOVR, STEREO, CCMC, M2M, JPL & DSN teams, amazing professionals, hobbyists, institutions, organizations, agencies and amateurs such as those at the USAF/HAARP, NICT, NOAA, USGS, Environment Canada, Natural Resources Canada, Intellicast, Catatania, rice.edu, wisc.edu, sonoma.edu ucalgary.ca, rssi.ru, ohio-state.edu, solen.info, and so much more. Thanks for making Space Weather part of our every day dialogue.
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Big Flares, Mini-Storms & A Whole Lot of Eye Candy | Solar Storm Forecast 10 December 2023
This Space Weather News forecast sponsored in part by Millersville University:
https://www.millersville.edu/swen
This week our Sun steps into high gear. We have multiple glancing solar storm blows along with a pocket of fast solar wind on its way. Aurora photographers at high latitudes should get a nice show, but it may not be enough for mid-latitude photographers. That being said, with active regions 3511 and 3513 showing significant flare activity and lots of filaments on the disk poised to erupt, it is very possible one of these filaments will be destabilized enough to launch into a solar storm towards Earth later this week. Amateur radio operators and GPS users should plan for moderate radio noise and short-lived radio blackouts on the dayside of Earth, up to the R2-level. Chances for R3-level radio blackouts have been increasing slightly over the past few days, but overall, conditions should begin to calm down once region 3511 rotates to the Sun's farside in the next few days. Learn the details of the coming fast solar wind, watch some gorgeous solar storm eye candy and catch up on some stunning aurora photos from the recent G3-level solar storm.
Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit:
https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman
For daily and often hourly updates (during active times) visit me on Twitter:
https://twitter.com/TamithaSkov
For a more in-depth look at the data and images highlighted in this video see links from my other videos. Im saving this space for the aurora field reporter credits.
Aurora Photography Credits:
Janne Maj Nagelsen, between Bergen and Voss, Norway:
https://twitter.com/birgee/status/1732165498937455000
Lily Phan, Bodo, Norway: https://x.com/chrisphan90qt/status/1731709924961296734
Stevo Howells, Hopeman Moray, Scotland: https://x.com/Stevo_SnakeDR/status/1730984277297205399
James Rowley-Hill, Happisburgh Lighthouse, Norfolk, UK: https://x.com/chunder10/status/1730746872807960584
Bileg, Mongolia: https://x.com/eebileg/status/1730583153599996304
Jeff Dai, Karamay, Xinjiang, China: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-cxVjPJDgOU
Makoto Kobayashi, Hokkaido, Japan: https://x.com/mako_photo26/status/1730579552634908862
Jim Yang, Heihe, Heilongjiang, Japan: https://x.com/yangyubin1998/status/1730585028479070466
Mike MacLellan, Bonaventure, Quebec, Canada: https://x.com/PeakToSailPhoto/status/1730957651108864301
Diane Hammerling, Manitoba, Canada: https://x.com/bbphoto_ca/status/1731063934520549828
Jenny Hagan, Saskatchewan, Canada: https://x.com/LostInSk/status/1730768495967715667
Eric Bleicher, Fairbanks, Alaska, USA: https://x.com/EBleicher/status/1731597710221017124
Sam Romshek, Prague, New England, USA: https://x.com/samromshek/status/1721689172845408267
MaryBeth Kiczenski, Wisconsin, USA: https://x.com/MKiczenski/status/1732495869310640222
Jake Stehli, Spooner, Wisconsin, USA: https://x.com/eljakeo30/status/1730575223982899224
Tyler Kurtz, North Platte, Nebraska, USA: https://x.com/tornadokurtzman/status/1730808685851509204
Wesley Luginbyhl, Vega, Texas, USA: https://x.com/WesleyLuginbyhl/status/1730808087085187367
JediTimBob, Oreti Beach, near Invercargill, New Zealand: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e_9enNAHqLc&t=2s
LARRYN, New Zealand: https://x.com/shadowanshadenz/status/1730630324517040210
Shelley, Island Point, Mandurah, Western Australia: https://x.com/wheresshelly/status/1730657387676307465
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A Powerful Triple-Punch of Solar Storms Comes | Informal Live Forecast Briefing 29 November 2023
Note: OBS switched my microphone feed to a remote camera mic instead of my lapel mic without my knowledge. That is why the audio sounds distant. Sadly, I had no idea until midway through the briefing that something was wrong. Typically, I sound much better than today!
00:00 Hello and Stream Check
00:46 Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) Forecast
18:50 Solar Storm and Aurora 5-day Outlooks
23:51 Solar Flare and Dayside Radio Blackout 5-day Outlook
25:39 Radiation Storm and Polar Aviation 5-day Outlook
27:26 Post Brief Forecast Q&A
47:45 Deep Dive into Region 3500 and Long Range Forecast
1:01:24 Post Deep Dive Q&A
This live forecast was made by and for patrons of Patreon. Without their generosity this briefing could not have been made.
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Massive Mess of Solar Activity | Solar Storm Forecast 24 November 2023 #shorts
See full forecast video: Big Solar Flares & Solar Storms on the Menu | Solar Storm Forecast 23 November 2023
https://youtu.be/tZ7BZd6LKzU
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Big Solar Flares & Solar Storms on the Menu | Solar Storm Forecast 23 November 2023
This Space Weather News forecast sponsored in part by Millersville University:
https://www.millersville.edu/swen
Happy Thanksgiving Everyone! Im on the road this week, but our Sun is hard at work! Activity is picking up, big time. We have no less than 11 active regions in Earth-view right now with more rotating into view over the next few days. Several of these are X-flare players, which means lots of radio noise and potential for radio blackouts on Earth's dayside. Amateur radio operators, expect radio propagation to suffer over the next week or more before things quiet down. In addition, we have a partially Earth-directed solar storm on its way. This storm could graze Earth starting the afternoon of the 25th so aurora photographers be sure to stay on your toes. GPS users should also stay vigilant because both the radio noise and the solar storm can cause reception issues at dawn and dusk and anywhere near aurora. Learn the details of the coming solar storm and fast solar wind, watch the fast growth and flare potential of all these new emerging regions, and see what else our Sun has in store this week.
Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit:
https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman
For daily and often hourly updates (during active times) visit me on Twitter:
https://twitter.com/TamithaSkov
For a more in-depth look at the data and images highlighted in this video see these links below.
Solar Imaging and Analysis:
SDO: http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/
Helioviewer: http://www.helioviewer.org/
Flare Analysis: http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest...
Computer Aided CME Tracking CACTUS: http://www.sidc.oma.be/cactus/out/lat...
GOES Xray: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xra...
SOHO: http://sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov/
Stereo: http://stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/
GONG magnetic field synoptic movie: https://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/stan...
GONG magnetic field synoptic charts: http://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/
LMSAL Heliophysics Events HEK http://www.lmsal.com/isolsearch
Solar Wind:
DISCOVR solar wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/rea...
ACE Solar Wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/ace...
NASA/CCMC/M2M Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/IswaSystem...
NOAA/SWPC Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa...
Magnetosphere, Ionosphere, Atmosphere:
GOES Magnetometer: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goe...
Ionosphere D-Region Absorption (DRAP) model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-r...
Radio Propagation: https://www.tvcomm.co.uk/g7izu/atlant...
Near-Earth radiation environment: https://spaceweather.gfz-potsdam.de/p...
Auroral Oval Ovation Products: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/aur...
Global 3-hr Kp index: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/pla...
GEOCHRON Weather Display: www.geochron.com
USGS Ground Magnetometers: http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/
Multi-Purpose Space Environment Sites:
NOAA/SWPC: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov
SOLARHAM: http://www.solarham.net/index.htm
Spaceweather: http://spaceweather.com
iSWA: http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/iswa/iSWA.html
Definition of Geomagnetic Storm, Radiation Storm, and Radio Blackout Levels:
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales/
None of this would be possible without the hard work and dedication of those who have provided all of this data for public use.
Images c/o NASA/NOAA/ESA/CSA (most notably the superb SDO, SOHO, ACE, DSCOVR, STEREO, CCMC, M2M, JPL & DSN teams, amazing professionals, hobbyists, institutions, organizations, agencies and amateurs such as those at the USAF/HAARP, NICT, NOAA, USGS, Environment Canada, Natural Resources Canada, Intellicast, Catatania, rice.edu, wisc.edu, sonoma.edu ucalgary.ca, rssi.ru, ohio-state.edu, solen.info, and so much more. Thanks for making Space Weather part of our every day dialogue.
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Solar Storms, Fast Wind, and Flare Risk Rises | Space Weather Spotlight 26 October 2023
This Space Weather News forecast sponsored in part by Millersville University:
https://www.millersville.edu/swen
This week, our Sun launches some gorgeous eye-candy along with several wispy Earth-directed solar storms. The first of these storms is hitting Earth now and is enhancing some fast solar wind. Aurora photographers at high latitudes will definitely get a show, while there is a slight chance for aurora at mid-latitudes as well. This will also be the case as we approach Halloween, when the second solar storm will hit, followed by a fast wind chaser. Solar flare activity remains low, but new regions will be rotating into view over the next few days. Amateur radio operators should expect low noise on the bands for now, with more noise and risk for radio blackouts to increase into next week. GPS users should expect pretty decent reception over the next couple of days, except anywhere near aurora on the nightside. Learn the details of the wispy solar storms, and see what else is in the spotlight this week.
Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit:
https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman
For daily and often hourly updates (during active times) visit me on Twitter:
https://twitter.com/TamithaSkov
For a more in-depth look at the data and images highlighted in this video see these links below.
Solar Imaging and Analysis:
SDO: http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/
Helioviewer: http://www.helioviewer.org/
Flare Analysis: http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/
Computer Aided CME Tracking CACTUS: http://www.sidc.oma.be/cactus/out/latestCMEs.html
GOES Xray: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xray_1m.html
SOHO: http://sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov/
Stereo: http://stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/
GONG magnetic field synoptic movie: https://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/standard_movie.html
GONG magnetic field synoptic charts: http://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/
LMSAL Heliophysics Events HEK http://www.lmsal.com/isolsearch
Solar Wind:
DISCOVR solar wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/real-time-solar-wind
ACE Solar Wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/ace-real-time-solar-wind
NASA/CCMC/M2M Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/IswaSystemWebApp/iSWACygnetStreamer?timestamp=2038-01-23+00%3A44%3A00&window=-1&cygnetId=261
NOAA/SWPC Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa-enlil-solar-wind-prediction
Magnetosphere, Ionosphere, Atmosphere:
GOES Magnetometer: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goes-magnetometer
Ionosphere D-Region Absorption (DRAP) model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap/
Radio Propagation: https://www.tvcomm.co.uk/g7izu/atlantic-mf-hf-propagation-20min-persistence/
Near-Earth radiation environment: https://spaceweather.gfz-potsdam.de/products-data/forecasts
Auroral Oval Ovation Products: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/aurora-30-minute-forecast
Global 3-hr Kp index: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/planetary-k-index
GEOCHRON Weather Display: www.geochron.com
USGS Ground Magnetometers: http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/
Multi-Purpose Space Environment Sites:
NOAA/SWPC: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov
SOLARHAM: http://www.solarham.net/index.htm
Spaceweather: http://spaceweather.com
iSWA: http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/iswa/iSWA.html
Definition of Geomagnetic Storm, Radiation Storm, and Radio Blackout Levels:
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales/
None of this would be possible without the hard work and dedication of those who have provided all of this data for public use.
Images c/o NASA/NOAA/ESA/CSA (most notably the superb SDO, SOHO, ACE, DSCOVR, STEREO, CCMC, M2M, JPL & DSN teams, amazing professionals, hobbyists, institutions, organizations, agencies and amateurs such as those at the USAF/HAARP, NICT, NOAA, USGS, Environment Canada, Natural Resources Canada, Intellicast, Catatania, rice.edu, wisc.edu, sonoma.edu ucalgary.ca, rssi.ru, ohio-state.edu, solen.info, and so much more. Thanks for making Space Weather part of our every day dialogue.
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Back to Back Solar Storms on Their Way | Solar Storm Forecast 19 October 2023
(Note: This forecast was created using a new live broadcast format I am developing, which is still being tested. Please bear with me as I perfect this method.)
00:00 Introduction
00:16 Millersville University and Sponsors
00:58 Earthside Sun
03:27 M-Flare and Dayside Radio Blackout Threat Meter
04:17 Solar Storm Conditions
05:11 Solar Storm Prediction Model Runs
07:57 Simulated Farside Sun
09:58 Moon Phase
10:19 Solar Storm and Aurora 5-Day Outlooks
11:29 Solar Flare and Radio Blackout 5-Day Outlook
12:32 Radiation Storm and Polar Aviation 5-Day Outlook
13:14 Closing
Our Sun remains active, launching no less than four solar storms in our general direction, but most of these are wispy and will have a soft landing at Earth. At least one of these storms is already impacting Earth, bringing aurora to high latitudes. However, aurora photographers at mid-latitudes will likely have to wait until October 20 when a larger and faster-moving storm is expected to hit. Solar flare activity has also calmed down this week and the risk of radio blackouts has dropped quite a bit. Amateur radio operators should enjoy decent radio propagation on the dayside of Earth, without too much noise. These conditions will likely continue over the next few days before some bigger regions on the Sun's farside rotate into view. GPS users will also notice improved reception on the dayside of Earth but will need to remain vigilant near dawn and dusk and also near aurora on earth's nightside. Learn the details of the coming solar storms, watch the big farside blast from regions not yet in Earth-view, and see what else our Sun has in store this week!
This Space Weather News forecast sponsored in part by Millersville University:
https://www.millersville.edu/swen
Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit:
https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman
For daily and often hourly updates (during active times) visit me on Twitter:
https://twitter.com/TamithaSkov
For a more in-depth look at the data and images highlighted in this video see these links below.
Solar Imaging and Analysis:
SDO: http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/
Helioviewer: http://www.helioviewer.org/
Flare Analysis: http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/
Computer Aided CME Tracking CACTUS: http://www.sidc.oma.be/cactus/out/latestCMEs.html
GOES Xray: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xray_1m.html
SOHO: http://sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov/
Stereo: http://stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/
GONG magnetic field synoptic movie: https://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/standard_movie.html
GONG magnetic field synoptic charts: http://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/
LMSAL Heliophysics Events HEK http://www.lmsal.com/isolsearch
Solar Wind:
DISCOVR solar wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/real-time-solar-wind
ACE Solar Wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/ace-real-time-solar-wind
NASA/CCMC/M2M Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/IswaSystemWebApp/iSWACygnetStreamer?timestamp=2038-01-23+00%3A44%3A00&window=-1&cygnetId=261
NOAA/SWPC Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa-enlil-solar-wind-prediction
Magnetosphere, Ionosphere, Atmosphere:
GOES Magnetometer: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goes-magnetometer
Ionosphere D-Region Absorption (DRAP) model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap/
Radio Propagation: https://www.tvcomm.co.uk/g7izu/atlantic-mf-hf-propagation-20min-persistence/
Near-Earth radiation environment: https://spaceweather.gfz-potsdam.de/products-data/forecasts
Auroral Oval Ovation Products: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/aurora-30-minute-forecast
Global 3-hr Kp index: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/planetary-k-index
GEOCHRON Weather Display: www.geochron.com
USGS Ground Magnetometers: http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/
Multi-Purpose Space Environment Sites:
NOAA/SWPC: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov
SOLARHAM: http://www.solarham.net/index.htm
Spaceweather: http://spaceweather.com
iSWA: http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/iswa/iSWA.html
Definition of Geomagnetic Storm, Radiation Storm, and Radio Blackout Levels:
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales/
None of this would be possible without the hard work and dedication of those who have provided all of this data for public use.
Images c/o NASA/NOAA/ESA/CSA (most notably the superb SDO, SOHO, ACE, DSCOVR, STEREO, CCMC, M2M, JPL & DSN teams, amazing professionals, hobbyists, institutions, organizations, agencies and amateurs such as those at the USAF/HAARP, NICT, NOAA, USGS, Environment Canada, Natural Resources Canada, Intellicast, Catatania, rice.edu, wisc.edu, sonoma.edu ucalgary.ca, rssi.ru, ohio-state.edu, solen.info, and so much more. Thanks for making Space Weather part of our every day dialogue.
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A Finger like Coronal Hole in the Earth-Strike Zone | Space Weather Outlook 12 October 2023
You might notice something different. This forecast is the first in a new "broadcast style" of delivery I am developing. It was recorded live with interactive graphics and only minor editing. As such, it has a totally different feel (along with a few errors that I am still working out). Stay tuned as I continue to perfect this method of delivery. With a little luck and lots of practice, I will soon be able to deliver these kinds of detailed and graphically complex forecasts live!
This Space Weather News forecast sponsored in part by Millersville University:
https://www.millersville.edu/swen
Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit:
https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman
For daily and often hourly updates (during active times) visit me on Twitter:
https://twitter.com/TamithaSkov
For a more in-depth look at the data and images highlighted in this video see these links below.
Solar Imaging and Analysis:
SDO: http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/
Helioviewer: http://www.helioviewer.org/
Flare Analysis: http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/
Computer Aided CME Tracking CACTUS: http://www.sidc.oma.be/cactus/out/latestCMEs.html
GOES Xray: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xray_1m.html
SOHO: http://sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov/
Stereo: http://stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/
GONG magnetic field synoptic movie: https://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/standard_movie.html
GONG magnetic field synoptic charts: http://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/
LMSAL Heliophysics Events HEK http://www.lmsal.com/isolsearch
Solar Wind:
DISCOVR solar wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/real-time-solar-wind
ACE Solar Wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/ace-real-time-solar-wind
NASA/CCMC/M2M Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/IswaSystemWebApp/iSWACygnetStreamer?timestamp=2038-01-23+00%3A44%3A00&window=-1&cygnetId=261
NOAA/SWPC Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa-enlil-solar-wind-prediction
Magnetosphere, Ionosphere, Atmosphere:
GOES Magnetometer: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goes-magnetometer
Ionosphere D-Region Absorption (DRAP) model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap/
Radio Propagation: https://www.tvcomm.co.uk/g7izu/atlantic-mf-hf-propagation-20min-persistence/
Near-Earth radiation environment: https://spaceweather.gfz-potsdam.de/products-data/forecasts
Auroral Oval Ovation Products: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/aurora-30-minute-forecast
Global 3-hr Kp index: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/planetary-k-index
GEOCHRON Weather Display: www.geochron.com
USGS Ground Magnetometers: http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/
Multi-Purpose Space Environment Sites:
NOAA/SWPC: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov
SOLARHAM: http://www.solarham.net/index.htm
Spaceweather: http://spaceweather.com
iSWA: http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/iswa/iSWA.html
Definition of Geomagnetic Storm, Radiation Storm, and Radio Blackout Levels:
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales/
None of this would be possible without the hard work and dedication of those who have provided all of this data for public use.
Images c/o NASA/NOAA/ESA/CSA (most notably the superb SDO, SOHO, ACE, DSCOVR, STEREO, CCMC, M2M, JPL & DSN teams, amazing professionals, hobbyists, institutions, organizations, agencies and amateurs such as those at the USAF/HAARP, NICT, NOAA, USGS, Environment Canada, Natural Resources Canada, Intellicast, Catatania, rice.edu, wisc.edu, sonoma.edu ucalgary.ca, rssi.ru, ohio-state.edu, solen.info, and so much more. Thanks for making Space Weather part of our every day dialogue.
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A Ring of Fire and a Bumpy Ride | Space Weather News 5 October 2023
This Space Weather News forecast sponsored in part by Millersville University:
https://www.millersville.edu/swen
This week our Sun keeps activity at moderate levels. We have had quite a few mini-solarstorm launches that arent expected to cause intense storming, but they could give us a bumpy ride over the next few days. This means aurora photographers at high latitudes could get some nice aurora views this week. Amatuer radio operators are also dealing with moderate noise on the dayside radio bands, but radio blackouts are remaining reasonably short-lived and mild. This trend will likely continue over the next few days before flare risk begins to rise as new regions rotate into view next week. Learn more about the mini-solarstorms hitting Earth, see which regions will soon rotate into Earth view, and find out where to view the coming annular solar eclipse on October 14!
Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit:
https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman
For daily and often hourly updates (during active times) visit me on Twitter:
https://twitter.com/TamithaSkov
For a more in-depth look at the data and images highlighted in this video see these links below.
Solar Eclipse:
HamSCI: https://hamsci.org
Time and Date: https://timeanddate.com
The Great American Eclipse: https://greatamericaneclipse.com
Celestron: https://youtu.be/I0XjaOOuQbU?si=6vmZk8S7Fw3TYLeX
Stock video from Pexels: https://pexels.com
Solar Imaging and Analysis:
SDO: http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/
Helioviewer: http://www.helioviewer.org/
Flare Analysis: http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/
Computer Aided CME Tracking CACTUS: http://www.sidc.oma.be/cactus/out/latestCMEs.html
GOES Xray: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xray_1m.html
SOHO: http://sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov/
Stereo: http://stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/
GONG magnetic field synoptic movie: https://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/standard_movie.html
GONG magnetic field synoptic charts: http://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/
LMSAL Heliophysics Events HEK http://www.lmsal.com/isolsearch
Solar Wind:
DISCOVR solar wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/real-time-solar-wind
ACE Solar Wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/ace-real-time-solar-wind
NASA/CCMC/M2M Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/IswaSystemWebApp/iSWACygnetStreamer?timestamp=2038-01-23+00%3A44%3A00&window=-1&cygnetId=261
NOAA/SWPC Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa-enlil-solar-wind-prediction
Magnetosphere, Ionosphere, Atmosphere:
GOES Magnetometer: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goes-magnetometer
Ionosphere D-Region Absorption (DRAP) model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap/
Radio Propagation: https://www.tvcomm.co.uk/g7izu/atlantic-mf-hf-propagation-20min-persistence/
Near-Earth radiation environment: https://spaceweather.gfz-potsdam.de/products-data/forecasts
Auroral Oval Ovation Products: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/aurora-30-minute-forecast
Global 3-hr Kp index: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/planetary-k-index
GEOCHRON Weather Display: www.geochron.com
USGS Ground Magnetometers: http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/
Multi-Purpose Space Environment Sites:
NOAA/SWPC: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov
SOLARHAM: http://www.solarham.net/index.htm
Spaceweather: http://spaceweather.com
iSWA: http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/iswa/iSWA.html
Definition of Geomagnetic Storm, Radiation Storm, and Radio Blackout Levels:
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales/
None of this would be possible without the hard work and dedication of those who have provided all of this data for public use.
Images c/o NASA/NOAA/ESA/CSA (most notably the superb SDO, SOHO, ACE, DSCOVR, STEREO, CCMC, M2M, JPL & DSN teams, amazing professionals, hobbyists, institutions, organizations, agencies and amateurs such as those at the USAF/HAARP, NICT, NOAA, USGS, Environment Canada, Natural Resources Canada, Intellicast, Catatania, rice.edu, wisc.edu, sonoma.edu ucalgary.ca, rssi.ru, ohio-state.edu, solen.info, and so much more. Thanks for making Space Weather part of our every day dialogue.
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Enhanced Pockets of Fast Solar Wind | Solar Storm Forecast 12 September 2023
This Space Weather News forecast sponsored in part by Millersville University:
https://www.millersville.edu/swen
00:00 Introduction
00:14 SWEN at Millersville University & Sponsor Acknowledgements
00:55 Frontside Solar Overview
02:12 M-Flare & Radio Blackout Meter
03:05 Solar Storm Conditions
04:07 Aurora Field Reporter Highlights
05:36 Farside Solar Overview
07:01 Moon Phase
07:15 Aurora 5-Day Outlooks
08:23 Solar Flare & Radio Blackout 5-Day Outlook
09:20 Radiation Storm & Polar Aviation 5-Day Outlook
10:01 Closing
Our Sun continues to remain a bit on the quiet side, with only a glancing solar storm launched towards Earth this week. Region 3423 is the region to watch and it is showing some signs of growth, but it has yet to fire any flares larger than an R1 radio blackout level. We do have several coronal holes sending us pockets of fast solar wind that could bring aurora to high latitudes over the next few days. The glancing solar storm passage may enhance these pockets of fast wind enough to bring sporadic aurora down to mid-latitudes in short bursts, but any shows are expected to be fleeting. Aurora photographers may find the lack of a bright moon quite helpful if they decide to chase aurora. Amateur radio operators and GPS users should enjoy a break from big radio blackouts on Earth's dayside and mild conditions on Earth's nightside. Learn the details of the coming fast solar wind, see how it might be enhanced, and find out what else our Sun has in store this week.
Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit:
https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman
For daily and often hourly updates (during active times) visit me on Twitter:
https://twitter.com/TamithaSkov
For a more in-depth look at the data and images in this video see links in my other videos. I am saving this space for the aurora highlights.
Aurora Photography Credits:
Nathan Barker, West Perth, Ontario, Canada: https://twitter.com/NASA_Nerd/status/1698163670646153664
Scott Rock, Port Elgin Harbour, Ontario, Canada: https://twitter.com/scottrockphoto/status/1698387166487838927
Jamie, Grand Bend, Southern Ontario, Canada: https://twitter.com/PhotoChaserJ/status/1698207528708894996
Mike MacLellan, Bonaventure, Quebec,Canada: https://twitter.com/PeakToSailPhoto/status/1698207721273663746
Diane Hammerling, Matlock, Manitoba,Canada: https://twitter.com/bbphoto_ca/status/1697912355047247892
Images By Stan, Alberta,Canada: https://twitter.com/ImagesByStan/status/1698223398420398441
Harlan Thomas, Granisle BC, British Columbia, Canada: https://twitter.com/theauroraguy/status/1698192631002706128
BirdingPeepWx, Millinocket Lake, Maine, USA: https://twitter.com/BirdingPeepWx/status/1698174701527285887
NEOC Star Cam, Millinocket, Maine, USA: https://twitter.com/mark_tarello/status/1698298267153391775
Lake Superior Photo, Marquette, Michigan, USA: https://twitter.com/LAKSuperiorFoto/status/1698158623354954079
Scott McNally, NW Wisconsin, USA:
https://twitter.com/scottmcn20/status/1698381466894274831
Noel Bowman, Cle Elum, Washington, USA: https://twitter.com/NoelBowman13/status/1698102901502255130
Nina Brady, Kenilworth, Illinois, USA:
https://twitter.com/NinaBrady/status/1698452667779916080
TSchlitt-Photography, Washington, Missouri, USA: https://twitter.com/Stormchaser_TS/status/1698391196802961892
JTK, Arvonia, Kansas, USA:
https://twitter.com/jtkbruh/status/1698163331457061168
Tim, Invercargill City, New Zealand: https://twitter.com/JediTimbob/status/1697897758966022557
Paul Le Comte, Otago Peninsula Ōtepoti, New Zealand: https://twitter.com/five15design/status/1697919154509242794
Les Ladbrook, Southland south coast, New Zealand: https://twitter.com/Fiblet99Les
(private communication)
Grahame, Cape Le Grand National Park, Perth, Australia: https://twitter.com/perthobs/status/1698470976718008486
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A Solar Storm Glancing Blow with a Fast Wind Chaser | Space Weather News 08.24.2023
This Space Weather News forecast sponsored in part by Millersville University:
https://www.millersville.edu/swen
00:00 Introduction
00:17 Millersville University Certification and Sponsors
00:58 Earthside Sun
02:29 Farside Solar Activity Monitor
04:10 Solar Storm Prediction Model
05:33 Moon & Meteors
05:55 Solar Storm & Aurora 5-Day Outlook
07:27 Solar Flare & Radio Blackout 5-Day Outlook
08:35 Radiation Storm & Polar Aviation 5-Day Outlook
09:12 Closing
This week solar activity increases Earthside with several solar storm launches that could give us a glancing blow followed by a fast wind chaser. Although not very strong, the combination of these three things could enhance effects enough to give us some aurora. Aurora photographers, especially at high latitudes could get some nice views through the weekend. In addition, our Sun fires its first big flare in more than a week. However, most of the Sun's active regions (in Earth's view) are stable so amateur radio operators will continue to enjoy decent radio propagation on Earth's dayside with only low risk for radio blackouts this week. That being said, noise on the bands may increase as we move into next week when growing regions on the Sun's farside rotate back into Earth view. GPS users should also enjoy decent reception in these mild conditions, with the exception of the weekend when the storming will be at its peak. Learn the details of the coming storms, see when and where aurora may be visible and find out what else our Sun has in store.
Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit:
https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman
For daily and often hourly updates (during active times) visit me on Twitter:
https://twitter.com/TamithaSkov
For a more in-depth look at the data and images highlighted in this video see these links below.
Solar Imaging and Analysis:
SDO: http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/
Helioviewer: http://www.helioviewer.org/
Flare Analysis: http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest...
Computer Aided CME Tracking CACTUS: http://www.sidc.oma.be/cactus/out/lat...
GOES Xray: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xra...
SOHO: http://sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov/
Stereo: http://stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/
GONG magnetic field synoptic movie: https://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/stan...
GONG magnetic field synoptic charts: http://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/
LMSAL Heliophysics Events HEK http://www.lmsal.com/isolsearch
Solar Wind:
DISCOVR solar wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/rea...
ACE Solar Wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/ace...
NASA/CCMC/M2M Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/IswaSystem...
NOAA/SWPC Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa...
Magnetosphere, Ionosphere, Atmosphere:
GOES Magnetometer: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goe...
Ionosphere D-Region Absorption (DRAP) model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-r...
Radio Propagation: https://www.tvcomm.co.uk/g7izu/atlant...
Near-Earth radiation environment: https://spaceweather.gfz-potsdam.de/p...
Auroral Oval Ovation Products: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/aur...
Global 3-hr Kp index: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/pla...
GEOCHRON Weather Display: www.geochron.com
USGS Ground Magnetometers: http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/
Multi-Purpose Space Environment Sites:
NOAA/SWPC: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov
SOLARHAM: http://www.solarham.net/index.htm
Spaceweather: http://spaceweather.com
iSWA: http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/iswa/iSWA.html
Definition of Geomagnetic Storm, Radiation Storm, and Radio Blackout Levels:
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales/
None of this would be possible without the hard work and dedication of those who have provided all of this data for public use.
Images c/o NASA/NOAA/ESA/CSA (most notably the superb SDO, SOHO, ACE, DSCOVR, STEREO, CCMC, M2M, JPL & DSN teams, amazing professionals, hobbyists, institutions, organizations, agencies and amateurs such as those at the USAF/HAARP, NICT, NOAA, USGS, Environment Canada, Natural Resources Canada, Intellicast, Catatania, rice.edu, wisc.edu, sonoma.edu ucalgary.ca, rssi.ru, ohio-state.edu, solen.info, and so much more. Thanks for making Space Weather part of our every day dialogue.
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Aurora Highlights from the G3 Solar Storm & A Fast Wind Watch | Solar Storm Forecast 13 August 2023
This Space Weather News forecast sponsored in part by Millersville University:
https://www.millersville.edu/swen
00:00 Introduction
00:13 Space Weather and Environment Science Program at MU
00:54 Activity on the Sun
02:27 Solar Flare Radio Blackout Threat Meter
03:43 Radiation Storm & Satellite Conditions
04:59 Solar Storm Conditions
06:22 Aurora Highlights
08:19 Farside Solar Activity Monitor
09:45 Moon & Perseid Meteor Shower
10:07 Solar Storm & Aurora 5-Day Outlook
11:00 Solar Flare & Radio Blackout 5-Day Outlook
12:20 Radiation Storm & Polar Aviation 5-Day Outlook
13:12 Synopsis and Closing
This week much of the activity is on the farside of the Sun, giving us a much needed break. After the multiple X-class flares and G3-level solar storm we sure can use it! That being said, we do have a large coronal hole that will be rotating through the Earth-strike zone over the next couple of days and it will send us some fast solar wind. Aurora photographers, especially at high latitudes could get a bit of a show, especially considering we are hitting the peak of the Perseid meteor shower now, coincident with a new moon, and viewing conditions will be spectacular over the next few days. Amateur radio operators should also enjoy spectacular propagation on Earth's dayside since the solar flux remains well into the triple digits and the radio noise has quieted considerably. GPS users should also enjoy excellent reception, even during the notoriously troublesome hours around dawn and dusk. Catch up with gorgeous aurora photos from the recent solar storm, watch how the solar flares impacted radio communications via the GEOCHRON clock, and see what else our Sun has in store this week.
For daily and often hourly updates (during active times) visit me on Twitter:
https://twitter.com/TamithaSkov
For a more in-depth look at the data in this video see my other forecasts. I need to save space for the aurora photo credits highlighted this week.
Aurora Photo Credits:
Matty, La Malbaie, Quebec, Canada:
https://twitter.com/mattytoophatty/status/1687702233503178753
Rj Roldan, Moose Jaw, Saskatchewan, Canada:
https://twitter.com/rjayroldan/status/1687685727470198784
Mark Duffy, Tuxford, Saskatchewan, Canada:
https://twitter.com/skchaser/status/1687847480103440385
Deb Maluk. Southern Manitoba, Canada:
https://twitter.com/dmaluk1/status/1687694933455503360
Brandon Brown, Kenora, Ontario, Canada:
https://twitter.com/brandon_brown83/status/1687696432193556480
Jason O'Young, Southern Ontario, Canada:
https://twitter.com/jasonoyoung/status/1687832455212863488
Dar Tanner, Alix, Alberta, Canada:
https://twitter.com/dartanner/status/1687872347276222464
Neil, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada:
https://twitter.com/nile1147/status/1687838277884403712
Northern Skies, Michigan, USA:
https://twitter.com/NorthernSkies5/status/1687668689410080770/photo/1
Wicky dubs WX, Maryland, USA:
https://twitter.com/NorthernSkies5/status/1687668689410080770/photo/1
James Montanus, Rochester, New York, USA:
https://twitter.com/JamesMontanus/status/1687816689402998785
Peter Forister, North Carolina, USA:
https://twitter.com/forecaster25/status/1687819838180192256
Skunkbayweather, Seattle, Washington, USA:
https://youtu.be/cjdU6_OHJJc
Sonal Karnik, Conifer, Colorado, USA:
https://twitter.com/sk10/status/1687697801852170241
Wesley Luginbyhl, Wichita, Kansas, USA:
https://twitter.com/WesleyLuginbyhl/status/1688051578601652225
Hunter Fowkes, Iowa, USA:
https://twitter.com/StrmchsrHunterF/status/1687710840865148928
John Sirlin, Arches National Park, Utah, USA:
https://twitter.com/SirlinJohn/status/1687685908710182912
Jerome Davis, Webster, New York, USA:
https://twitter.com/jdavis2731/status/1687829130060963840
Daniel McFadden, Port Angeles, Washington, USA:
https://twitter.com/DMAC_RXE/status/1687886647273377792
Jake Stehli, SE Minnesota, USA:
https://twitter.com/eljakeo30/status/1687700312499298304
Bella Dahlia, Northern Idaho, USA:
https://twitter.com/brattyassbella/status/1687697664941727745
Randy Small, Lynden, Washington, USA:
https://twitter.com/RandySmall/status/1687721239610380288
David Blanchard, Flagstaff, Arizona, USA:
https://twitter.com/dblanchard_AZ/status/1687710430364577792
Igor Arkadiev, Evanston, Illinois, USA:
https://twitter.com/Arkadiev/status/1687718532362932224
Sarah Marie, Colorado, USA:
https://twitter.com/CaptiveEclectic/status/1688020750668836864
Derick Wilson, Nucla, Colorado, USA:
https://twitter.com/hillsblockview/status/1687686580217995264
Connor Sipe, Western Pennsylvania, USA:
https://twitter.com/PAweatherPhoto/status/1687976577219313664
Maree Reveley Gimmerburn, Central Otago, New Zealand:
https://www.facebook.com/photo/?fbid=2994685787334138&set=gm.7364059540274747&idorvanity=399886206692150
Megan Thomas, Dunedin, New Zealand:
https://www.facebook.com/photo/?fbid=10161439090610844&set=pcb.7359579480722753
Maija Jespersen, Blackhead Beach, Otago, New Zealand:
https://www.facebook.com/maija.jespersen/videos/277820821538666?idorvanity=399886206692150
Mar Txa, St. Helens, Tasmania:
https://www.facebook.com/photo/?fbid=7010421062322644&set=gm.6415502121897227&idorvanity=266569700123864
Melissa Bone, Bruny Island, Tasmania:
https://www.facebook.com/photo/?fbid=10159436720893457&set=gm.6415444048569701&idorvanity=266569700123864
Sirichai Sae-jia, Queenstown, Victoria, Australia:
https://www.facebook.com/photo/?fbid=10160434353027771&set=gm.6798329500217545&idorvanity=909512465765974
Rocket Hub Spaceflights, ISS over southern Indian Ocean:
https://twitter.com/RH_SpaceFlights/status/1688588310904700928
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A 1,2,3-Punch of Solar Storms Speed to Earth | Space Weather News 04 August 2023
This Space Weather News forecast sponsored in part by Millersville University:
https://www.millersville.edu/swen
00:00 Introduction
00:18 Space Weather and Environment Science Program at MU
00:57 Activity on the Sun
03:54 Solar Storm Model Predictions
05:35 Moon Phase
05:52 Solar Storm & Aurora 5-Day Outlook
07:04 Solar Flare & Radio Blackout 5-Day Outlook
08:21 Radiation Storm & Polar Aviation 5-Day Outlook
09:05 Synopsis and Closing
This week our Sun kicks into high gear launching a train of solar storms towards Earth. The first two should arrive on August 4th with a third arriving early to midday August 5th. We will likely bump up to G1 storm levels, with activity peaking on the 5th, but lasting possibly through the 6th before calming down. Aurora photographers could get views down to mid-latitudes if the orientation of these solar storms is favorable. In addition, we have several active regions in view this week that are keeping the solar flux well into the 160s and keeping radio blackout risk high. Amateur radio operators should expect moderate noise levels on the dayside radio bands to last throughout this week. GPS users should also remain vigilant for reception issues near dawn and dusk and also anywhere near aurora on Earth's nightside once the solar storms hit. Learn the details of the coming solar storms, find out when and where aurora may be visible, and see what else our Sun has in store this week.
Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit:
https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman
For daily and often hourly updates (during active times) visit me on Twitter:
https://twitter.com/TamithaSkov
For a more in-depth look at the data and images highlighted in this video see these links below.
Solar Imaging and Analysis:
SDO: http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/
Helioviewer: http://www.helioviewer.org/
Flare Analysis: http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest...
Computer Aided CME Tracking CACTUS: http://www.sidc.oma.be/cactus/out/lat...
GOES Xray: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xra...
SOHO: http://sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov/
Stereo: http://stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/
GONG magnetic field synoptic movie: https://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/stan...
GONG magnetic field synoptic charts: http://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/
LMSAL Heliophysics Events HEK http://www.lmsal.com/isolsearch
Solar Wind:
DISCOVR solar wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/rea...
ACE Solar Wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/ace...
NASA/CCMC/M2M Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/IswaSystem...
NOAA/SWPC Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa...
Magnetosphere, Ionosphere, Atmosphere:
GOES Magnetometer: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goe...
Ionosphere D-Region Absorption (DRAP) model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-r...
Radio Propagation: https://www.tvcomm.co.uk/g7izu/atlant...
Near-Earth radiation environment: https://spaceweather.gfz-potsdam.de/p...
Auroral Oval Ovation Products: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/aur...
Global 3-hr Kp index: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/pla...
GEOCHRON Weather Display: www.geochron.com
USGS Ground Magnetometers: http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/
Multi-Purpose Space Environment Sites:
NOAA/SWPC: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov
SOLARHAM: http://www.solarham.net/index.htm
Spaceweather: http://spaceweather.com
iSWA: http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/iswa/iSWA.html
Definition of Geomagnetic Storm, Radiation Storm, and Radio Blackout Levels:
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales/
None of this would be possible without the hard work and dedication of those who have provided all of this data for public use.
Images c/o NASA/NOAA/ESA/CSA (most notably the superb SDO, SOHO, ACE, DSCOVR, STEREO, CCMC, M2M, JPL & DSN teams, amazing professionals, hobbyists, institutions, organizations, agencies and amateurs such as those at the USAF/HAARP, NICT, NOAA, USGS, Environment Canada, Natural Resources Canada, Intellicast, Catatania, rice.edu, wisc.edu, sonoma.edu ucalgary.ca, rssi.ru, ohio-state.edu, solen.info, and so much more. Thanks for making Space Weather part of our every day dialogue.
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A Storm Hits Earth After a Farside Blast | Solar Storm Forecast 26 July 2023
This Space Weather News forecast sponsored in part by Millersville University:
https://www.millersville.edu/swen
This week, the big events are focused on the Sun's farside, but we still have quite a bit of activity facing Earth, including an Earth-directed solar storm. Sadly, nothing spoils a good aurora forecast like a solar storm hitting early. Even though NASA and NOAA predicted the arrival on July 26, the storm had its own timeline and beat even the most optimistic predictions, arriving late on July 25th. We have already seen aurora down as far south as places like Ireland in the UK, and South Dakota, Montana, and Idaho in the USA. The solar storm is beginning to wane now, but sporadic shows are still likely over the next 24 hours. Solar flares also should quiet down here over the next couple of days as Regions 3372, 3373, and 3376 rotate to the Sun's farside. We will have a small reprieve when it comes to noise on the dayside radio bands for a few days before things ramp back up again with some returning regions rotating into view. Amateur radio operators should be sure to enjoy the short-lived break. Learn the details of the solar storm hitting now, see the big farside blast that Region 3363 just unleashed on the farside, and learn how much time we have until big activity returns to Earth-view.
Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit:
https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman
For daily and often hourly updates (during active times) visit me on Twitter:
https://twitter.com/TamithaSkov
For a more in-depth look at the data and images highlighted in this video see these links below.
Solar Imaging and Analysis:
SDO: http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/
Helioviewer: http://www.helioviewer.org/
Flare Analysis: http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest...
Computer Aided CME Tracking CACTUS: http://www.sidc.oma.be/cactus/out/lat...
GOES Xray: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xra...
SOHO: http://sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov/
Stereo: http://stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/
GONG magnetic field synoptic movie: https://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/stan...
GONG magnetic field synoptic charts: http://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/
LMSAL Heliophysics Events HEK http://www.lmsal.com/isolsearch
Solar Wind:
DISCOVR solar wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/rea...
ACE Solar Wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/ace...
NASA/CCMC/M2M Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/IswaSystem...
NOAA/SWPC Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa...
Magnetosphere, Ionosphere, Atmosphere:
GOES Magnetometer: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goe...
Ionosphere D-Region Absorption (DRAP) model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-r...
Radio Propagation: https://www.tvcomm.co.uk/g7izu/atlant...
Near-Earth radiation environment: https://spaceweather.gfz-potsdam.de/p...
Auroral Oval Ovation Products: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/aur...
Global 3-hr Kp index: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/pla...
GEOCHRON Weather Display: www.geochron.com
USGS Ground Magnetometers: http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/
Multi-Purpose Space Environment Sites:
NOAA/SWPC: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov
SOLARHAM: http://www.solarham.net/index.htm
Spaceweather: http://spaceweather.com
iSWA: http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/iswa/iSWA.html
Definition of Geomagnetic Storm, Radiation Storm, and Radio Blackout Levels:
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales/
None of this would be possible without the hard work and dedication of those who have provided all of this data for public use.
Images c/o NASA/NOAA/ESA/CSA (most notably the superb SDO, SOHO, ACE, DSCOVR, STEREO, CCMC, M2M, JPL & DSN teams, amazing professionals, hobbyists, institutions, organizations, agencies and amateurs such as those at the USAF/HAARP, NICT, NOAA, USGS, Environment Canada, Natural Resources Canada, Intellicast, Catatania, rice.edu, wisc.edu, sonoma.edu ucalgary.ca, rssi.ru, ohio-state.edu, solen.info, and so much more. Thanks for making Space Weather part of our every day dialogue.
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Q&A Mini-Course (A2): "Extreme Space Weather Events in the 20th Century and Beyond - Part 2"
This live Q&A mini-course was made by and for patrons of Patreon. Without their generosity, this course could not have been made.
00:00 Introduction, Synopsis of mini-course, and Sponsor Appreciation
08:03 Review of the Definition of Carrington Class Events
35:48 Pause for Q&A
38:05 August 1972 Carrington Class Event & Impacts (Chapter 1)
02:01:34 Pause for Q&A
02:24:33 August 1972 Carrington Class Event & Impacts (Chapter 2)
03:39:50 Final Q&A
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A Whopper of a Storm Speeds Towards Earth | Space Weather News 20 July 2023
This Space Weather News forecast sponsored in part by Millersville University:
https://www.millersville.edu/swen
Our Sun has been extremely busy this week firing off so many glancing solar storm blows that the media has had a hard time keeping track of all of the action. In particular Region 3363 has been a major source of this activity, topping things off with a whopper of a solar storm launch on 17 July during an M5.7-flare. This solar storm is predicted to graze Earth sometime by mid-day July 20. Aurora photographers should keep their batteries charged as not only this, but one more storm following it have upped aurora chances through the 22 July. Amateur radio operators and GPS users should also stay vigilant this week as we still have a heightened risk for radio blackouts on Earth's dayside. Add to that the solar storm impacts on Earth's nightside over the next few days and that means radio signal disruptions will be a common occurrence, day or night, over the next few days. Learn the details of the coming solar storm, watch as we say goodbye to Region 3363, and see what new activity our Sun has in store has in store this week.
Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit:
https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman
For daily and often hourly updates (during active times) visit me on Twitter:
https://twitter.com/TamithaSkov
For a more in-depth look at the data and images highlighted in this video see these links below.
Solar Imaging and Analysis:
SDO: http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/
Helioviewer: http://www.helioviewer.org/
Flare Analysis: http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/
Computer Aided CME Tracking CACTUS: http://www.sidc.oma.be/cactus/out/latestCMEs.html
GOES Xray: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xray_1m.html
SOHO: http://sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov/
Stereo: http://stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/
GONG magnetic field synoptic movie: https://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/standard_movie.html
GONG magnetic field synoptic charts: http://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/
LMSAL Heliophysics Events HEK http://www.lmsal.com/isolsearch
Solar Wind:
DISCOVR solar wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/real-time-solar-wind
ACE Solar Wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/ace-real-time-solar-wind
NASA/CCMC/M2M Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/IswaSystemWebApp/iSWACygnetStreamer?timestamp=2038-01-23+00%3A44%3A00&window=-1&cygnetId=261
NOAA/SWPC Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa-enlil-solar-wind-prediction
Magnetosphere, Ionosphere, Atmosphere:
GOES Magnetometer: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goes-magnetometer
Ionosphere D-Region Absorption (DRAP) model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap/
Radio Propagation: https://www.tvcomm.co.uk/g7izu/atlantic-mf-hf-propagation-20min-persistence/
Near-Earth radiation environment: https://spaceweather.gfz-potsdam.de/products-data/forecasts
Auroral Oval Ovation Products: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/aurora-30-minute-forecast
Global 3-hr Kp index: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/planetary-k-index
GEOCHRON Weather Display: www.geochron.com
USGS Ground Magnetometers: http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/
Multi-Purpose Space Environment Sites:
NOAA/SWPC: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov
SOLARHAM: http://www.solarham.net/index.htm
Spaceweather: http://spaceweather.com
iSWA: http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/iswa/iSWA.html
Definition of Geomagnetic Storm, Radiation Storm, and Radio Blackout Levels:
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales/
None of this would be possible without the hard work and dedication of those who have provided all of this data for public use.
Images c/o NASA/NOAA/ESA/CSA (most notably the superb SDO, SOHO, ACE, DSCOVR, STEREO, CCMC, M2M, JPL & DSN teams, amazing professionals, hobbyists, institutions, organizations, agencies and amateurs such as those at the USAF/HAARP, NICT, NOAA, USGS, Environment Canada, Natural Resources Canada, Intellicast, Catatania, rice.edu, wisc.edu, sonoma.edu ucalgary.ca, rssi.ru, ohio-state.edu, solen.info, and so much more. Thanks for making Space Weather part of our every day dialogue.
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Finally the Sun Aims Straight | Informal Solar Storm Forecast 15 July 2023
This informal forecast was made for and by members of Patreon. Without their generosity this video could not have been done.
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Solar Storms Give a 1,2-Punch | Space Weather News 07 July 2023
This Space Weather News forecast sponsored in part by Millersville University:
https://www.millersville.edu/swen
This week our Sun steps up the activity! We have two solar storms on their way to Earth (which should hit any time now), plus some fast solar wind. In fact we are already experiencing some disturbance ahead of the storms. This means aurora photographers could get a decent show over the next few days, especially at high latitudes. Amateur radio operators are glad to see region 3354 rotate out of view, but region 3359 is showing big-flare potential, even firing off an M4-flare just a few hours ago. This means although radio noise on the bands has diminished somewhat, we still have a chance for radio blackouts. Along with some new regions rotating into Earth view over the next few days, expect that both the radio noise and the risk for radio blackouts to increase as we move into next week. GPS users should also remain vigilant for reception issues, especially near dawn, dusk, and anywhere near aurora. Learn the details of the coming solar storms, watch the new activity build on the farside, and see what else our Sun has in store this week.
Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit:
https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman
For daily and often hourly updates (during active times) visit me on Twitter:
https://twitter.com/TamithaSkov
For a more in-depth look at the data and images highlighted in this video see these links below.
Solar Imaging and Analysis:
SDO: http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/
Helioviewer: http://www.helioviewer.org/
Flare Analysis: http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/
Computer Aided CME Tracking CACTUS: http://www.sidc.oma.be/cactus/out/latestCMEs.html
GOES Xray: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xray_1m.html
SOHO: http://sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov/
Stereo: http://stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/
GONG magnetic field synoptic movie: https://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/standard_movie.html
GONG magnetic field synoptic charts: http://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/
LMSAL Heliophysics Events HEK http://www.lmsal.com/isolsearch
Solar Wind:
DISCOVR solar wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/real-time-solar-wind
ACE Solar Wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/ace-real-time-solar-wind
NASA/CCMC/M2M Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/IswaSystemWebApp/iSWACygnetStreamer?timestamp=2038-01-23+00%3A44%3A00&window=-1&cygnetId=261
NOAA/SWPC Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa-enlil-solar-wind-prediction
Magnetosphere, Ionosphere, Atmosphere:
GOES Magnetometer: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goes-magnetometer
Ionosphere D-Region Absorption (DRAP) model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap/
Radio Propagation: https://www.tvcomm.co.uk/g7izu/atlantic-mf-hf-propagation-20min-persistence/
Near-Earth radiation environment: https://spaceweather.gfz-potsdam.de/products-data/forecasts
Auroral Oval Ovation Products: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/aurora-30-minute-forecast
Global 3-hr Kp index: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/planetary-k-index
GEOCHRON Weather Display: www.geochron.com
USGS Ground Magnetometers: http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/
Multi-Purpose Space Environment Sites:
NOAA/SWPC: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov
SOLARHAM: http://www.solarham.net/index.htm
Spaceweather: http://spaceweather.com
iSWA: http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/iswa/iSWA.html
Definition of Geomagnetic Storm, Radiation Storm, and Radio Blackout Levels:
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales/
None of this would be possible without the hard work and dedication of those who have provided all of this data for public use.
Images c/o NASA/NOAA/ESA/CSA (most notably the superb SDO, SOHO, ACE, DSCOVR, STEREO, CCMC, M2M, JPL & DSN teams, amazing professionals, hobbyists, institutions, organizations, agencies and amateurs such as those at the USAF/HAARP, NICT, NOAA, USGS, Environment Canada, Natural Resources Canada, Intellicast, Catatania, rice.edu, wisc.edu, sonoma.edu ucalgary.ca, rssi.ru, ohio-state.edu, solen.info, and so much more. Thanks for making Space Weather part of our every day dialogue.
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