Macrodesiac

Over the last week or so, I've seen a TONNE of posts describing the FTX disaster (and that is what it is, a fraudulent, unmitigated and damning disaster) as a 'Lehman Moment'. I think there's a few reasons why people are referencing this, but it's wrong. I want to dive into a little bit of economic and regulatory history, as well as the more realistic parallels. So I called Tim and we had a chat about it all. 💥 Subscribe to Macrodesiac's daily email, The Opening Belle, at https://www.macrodesiac.com/ 💥 We talk everything from... 👉 Geopolitics 👉 Global markets (FX, fixed income, STIRS, stocks, crypto, commodities (literally everything because we're mad) 👉 Where the best opportunities are 👉 Where the pitfalls are 👉 And a tonne more to make YOU a better investor/trader (or just someone who wants to be smarter) Macrodesiac. Making the difficult, simple.

💥 Subscribe to Macrodesiac's daily email, The Opening Belle, at https://www.macrodesiac.com/ 💥 We talk everything from... 👉 Geopolitics 👉 Global markets (FX, fixed income, STIRS, stocks, crypto, commodities (literally everything because we're mad) 👉 Where the best opportunities are 👉 Where the pitfalls are 👉 And a tonne more to make YOU a better investor/trader (or just someone who wants to be smarter) Macrodesiac. Making the difficult, simple.

Big shout out to our partner syscoin.org Today, I get back from a stint off with COVID and ask Tim to guide me around what's going on in markets since I had absolutely no clue. We talk bonds, China, Apple and expectations going forward. 💥 Subscribe to Macrodesiac's daily email, The Opening Belle, at https://www.macrodesiac.com/ 💥 We talk everything from... 👉 Geopolitics 👉 Global markets (FX, fixed income, STIRS, stocks, crypto, commodities (literally everything because we're mad) 👉 Where the best opportunities are 👉 Where the pitfalls are 👉 And a tonne more to make YOU a better investor/trader (or just someone who wants to be smarter) Macrodesiac. Making the difficult, simple.

Shout out to our sponsors https://www.syscoin.org/! We chat about... Why technical analysis desperately needs context applied to it... Equities and how they're behaving to EVERY SINGLE Russia headline... More China woes... And FOMC - is the Fed between a rock and a hard place? 💥 Subscribe to Macrodesiac's daily email, The Opening Belle, at https://www.macrodesiac.com/ 💥 We talk everything from... 👉 Geopolitics 👉 Global markets (FX, fixed income, STIRS, stocks, crypto, commodities (literally everything because we're mad) 👉 Where the best opportunities are 👉 Where the pitfalls are 👉 And a tonne more to make YOU a better investor/trader (or just someone who wants to be smarter) Macrodesiac. Making the difficult, simple.

Brought to you by our partners, Syscoin.org 💥 Subscribe to Macrodesiac's daily email, The Opening Belle, at https://www.macrodesiac.com/ 💥 We talk everything from... 👉 Geopolitics 👉 Global markets (FX, fixed income, STIRS, stocks, crypto, commodities (literally everything because we're mad) 👉 Where the best opportunities are 👉 Where the pitfalls are 👉 And a tonne more to make YOU a better investor/trader (or just someone who wants to be smarter) Macrodesiac. Making the difficult, simple.

😀 CLICK HERE TO JOIN MACRODESIAC FOREVER FOR ONLY £249 (USUALLY £399): https://buy.stripe.com/dR6fZMe5l2L6fIYcMU 💥 Subscribe to Macrodesiac's daily email, The Opening Belle, at https://www.macrodesiac.com/ 💥 We talk everything from... 👉 Geopolitics 👉 Global markets (FX, fixed income, STIRS, stocks, crypto, commodities (literally everything because we're mad) 👉 Where the best opportunities are 👉 Where the pitfalls are 👉 And a tonne more to make YOU a better investor/trader (or just someone who wants to be smarter) Macrodesiac. Making the difficult, simple.

Sponsored by syscoin.org 💥 Subscribe to Macrodesiac's daily email, The Opening Belle, at https://www.macrodesiac.com/ 💥 We talk everything from... 👉 Geopolitics 👉 Global markets (FX, fixed income, STIRS, stocks, crypto, commodities (literally everything because we're mad) 👉 Where the best opportunities are 👉 Where the pitfalls are 👉 And a tonne more to make YOU a better investor/trader (or just someone who wants to be smarter) Macrodesiac. Making the difficult, simple.

This episode is in partnership with Syscoin! https://syscoin.org/ I'm joined by Adrian Alberts while Tim's away to discuss whether an aggressive bid in store for risk... And why I reckon the DAX is in for a tumble! 💥 Subscribe to Macrodesiac's daily email, The Opening Belle, at https://www.macrodesiac.com/ 💥 We talk everything from... 👉 Geopolitics 👉 Global markets (FX, fixed income, STIRS, stocks, crypto, commodities (literally everything because we're mad) 👉 Where the best opportunities are 👉 Where the pitfalls are 👉 And a tonne more to make YOU a better investor/trader (or just someone who wants to be smarter) Macrodesiac. Making the difficult, simple.

It's a ridiculous news flow environment right now... Everything is about Russia, and we don't have a clue about how to interpret it. But what we do know is how we want to react to risk. Enjoy! 💥 Subscribe to Macrodesiac's daily email, The Opening Belle, at https://www.macrodesiac.com/ 💥 We talk everything from... 👉 Geopolitics 👉 Global markets (FX, fixed income, STIRS, stocks, crypto, commodities (literally everything because we're mad) 👉 Where the best opportunities are 👉 Where the pitfalls are 👉 And a tonne more to make YOU a better investor/trader (or just someone who wants to be smarter) Macrodesiac. Making the difficult, simple.

🚨LIFETIME DISCOUNT: https://buy.stripe.com/dR6fZMe5l2L6fIYcMU Oh, no, Bullard. What have you done? Inter-meeting hike and 50bps in March? Insane. We also talk about how dumb British liberals are and more on the risk situation. 💥 Subscribe to Macrodesiac's daily email, The Opening Belle, at https://www.macrodesiac.com/ 💥 We talk everything from... 👉 Geopolitics 👉 Global markets (FX, fixed income, STIRS, stocks, crypto, commodities (literally everything because we're mad) 👉 Where the best opportunities are 👉 Where the pitfalls are 👉 And a tonne more to make YOU a better investor/trader (or just someone who wants to be smarter) Macrodesiac. Making the difficult, simple.

We take a look at which market will be most impacted by today's inflation print, the creeping nature of European bond spreads, housing as a wealth and credit generator AND WHY THE US WILL NEVER DEFAULT! 💥 Subscribe to Macrodesiac's daily email, The Opening Belle, at https://www.macrodesiac.com/ 💥 We talk everything from... 👉 Geopolitics 👉 Global markets (FX, fixed income, STIRS, stocks, crypto, commodities (literally everything because we're mad) 👉 Where the best opportunities are 👉 Where the pitfalls are 👉 And a tonne more to make YOU a better investor/trader (or just someone who wants to be smarter) Macrodesiac. Making the difficult, simple.

There was a four sigma move in European rates last week, and yields are ticking higher even at the start of this week. What does this mean for Lagarde and the ECB - will she fold under the mounting bond market pressure? We also jump into CBDCs, MMT, how the risk picture doesn't look too rosy, China & DEMAND - the absolute key variable going forward... 🚨 LIFETIME subscription discount! £299, instead of £399, only 5 going! Enter code Youtube at checkout below 👇 👉 https://buy.stripe.com/dR64h4d1hady1S... 👈 💥 Subscribe to Macrodesiac's daily email, The Opening Belle, at https://www.macrodesiac.com/ 💥 We talk everything from... 👉 Geopolitics 👉 Global markets (FX, fixed income, STIRS, stocks, crypto, commodities (literally everything because we're mad) 👉 Where the best opportunities are 👉 Where the pitfalls are 👉 And a tonne more to make YOU a better investor/trader (or just someone who wants to be smarter) Macrodesiac. Making the difficult, simple.

There was a four sigma move in European rates last week, and yields are ticking higher even at the start of this week. What does this mean for Lagarde and the ECB - will she fold under the mounting bond market pressure? We also jump into CBDCs, MMT, how the risk picture doesn't look too rosy, China & DEMAND - the absolute key variable going forward... 🚨 LIFETIME subscription discount! £299, instead of £399, only 5 going! Enter code Youtube at checkout below 👇 👉 https://buy.stripe.com/dR64h4d1hady1S8aEF 👈 💥 Subscribe to Macrodesiac's daily email, The Opening Belle, at https://www.macrodesiac.com/ 💥 We talk everything from... 👉 Geopolitics 👉 Global markets (FX, fixed income, STIRS, stocks, crypto, commodities (literally everything because we're mad) 👉 Where the best opportunities are 👉 Where the pitfalls are 👉 And a tonne more to make YOU a better investor/trader (or just someone who wants to be smarter) Macrodesiac. Making the difficult, simple.

Facebook. The Bank of England. The European Central Bank. The Federal Reserve. They're all pretty despondent at the moment. We check out whether this is set to continue or whether we will have a breather. I can't wait to not have to bear post any more. 💥 Subscribe to Macrodesiac's daily email, The Opening Belle, at https://www.macrodesiac.com/ 💥 We talk everything from... 👉 Geopolitics 👉 Global markets (FX, fixed income, STIRS, stocks, crypto, commodities (literally everything because we're mad) 👉 Where the best opportunities are 👉 Where the pitfalls are 👉 And a tonne more to make YOU a better investor/trader (or just someone who wants to be smarter) Macrodesiac. Making the difficult, simple.

Options trading is a weird and wonderful part of the market with many intricacies associated with it. It enables people to be non-directional, hedge, be time indifferent and loads more (that I myself am not even clued up on!). So Tim brought Adrian Alberts on to give you guys more insight into how options on the SP500 work and how understanding this can enhance your trading.

👀 Today we check out the current state of the market, really by looking at the liquidity backdrop of the ES. What is driving the recent push up and what does the macro backdrop say? We look at the dollar and the Dollar Smile, manufacturing data and what the Fed has been saying... To come to the conclusion that we should still be cautious. WE ARE NOT BEARISH, WE WANT MARKETS TO RALLY FOREVER... We are simply giving our best probabilistic view on where things are headed! 💥 Subscribe to Macrodesiac's daily email, The Opening Belle, at https://www.macrodesiac.com/ 💥 We talk everything from... 👉 Geopolitics 👉 Global markets (FX, fixed income, STIRS, stocks, crypto, commodities (literally everything because we're mad) 👉 Where the best opportunities are 👉 Where the pitfalls are 👉 And a tonne more to make YOU a better investor/trader (or just someone who wants to be smarter) Macrodesiac. Making the difficult, simple.

We're still teething with these videos, so please don't lose faith 🤣 1) Sorry for f*cking up the Apple earnings since I can't even remember what day it is this week. 2) Apologies for the Zoom gallery in the way too. Sometimes, I am a twat. We still talk some good stuff, so give a listen at least. 💥 Subscribe to Macrodesiac's daily email, The Opening Belle, at https://www.macrodesiac.com/ 💥 We talk everything from... 👉 Geopolitics 👉 Global markets (FX, fixed income, STIRS, stocks, crypto, commodities (literally everything because we're mad) 👉 Where the best opportunities are 👉 Where the pitfalls are 👉 And a tonne more to make YOU a better investor/trader (or just someone who wants to be smarter) Macrodesiac. Making the difficult, simple.

David chats with Mike Singleton, founder and senior analyst at Invictus Research, about his framework of thinking about the global economy. We touch on... - The Federal Reserve - Growth prospects - Yields - The Baltic Dry Index - Earnings misses - Base effects And a tonne of other stuff! 💥 Subscribe to Macrodesiac's daily email, The Opening Belle, at https://www.macrodesiac.com/ 💥 We talk everything from... 👉 Geopolitics 👉 Global markets (FX, fixed income, STIRS, stocks, crypto, commodities (literally everything because we're mad) 👉 Where the best opportunities are 👉 Where the pitfalls are 👉 And a tonne more to make YOU a better investor/trader (or just someone who wants to be smarter) Macrodesiac. Making the difficult, simple.

We chat with our good friend Adrian Alberts on the method that he uses to judge how to place his best trades using order flow analysis. It's called cumulative volume delta and is a fantastic way of visualising and interpreting order flow dynamics. It's a fascinating watch even for a beginner and I also learn a thing or two something! The platform is called Bookmap and covers all futures contracts and is great for all kinds of trader, whether you're a scalper or more macro focused like us. 💥 Subscribe to Macrodesiac's daily email, The Opening Belle, at https://www.macrodesiac.com/ 💥 We talk everything from... 👉 Geopolitics 👉 Global markets (FX, fixed income, STIRS, stocks, crypto, commodities (literally everything because we're mad) 👉 Where the best opportunities are 👉 Where the pitfalls are 👉 And a tonne more to make YOU a better investor/trader (or just someone who wants to be smarter) Macrodesiac. Making the difficult, simple.

They won't... but what if? We chat about whether the Fed will be exceedingly hawkish, the employment situation and whether remote work is a fad. Also, that 200 daily moving average is of UTMOST importance. 💥 Subscribe to Macrodesiac's daily email, The Opening Belle, at https://www.macrodesiac.com/ 💥 We talk everything from... 👉 Geopolitics 👉 Global markets (FX, fixed income, STIRS, stocks, crypto, commodities (literally everything because we're mad) 👉 Where the best opportunities are 👉 Where the pitfalls are 👉 And a tonne more to make YOU a better investor/trader (or just someone who wants to be smarter) Macrodesiac. Making the difficult, simple.

Short answer... No, it's not. Even if it may seem like it. But there's short term turbulence ahead. LIKE AND SUBSCRIBE! 💥 Subscribe to Macrodesiac's daily email, The Opening Belle, at https://www.macrodesiac.com/ 💥 We talk everything from... 👉 Geopolitics 👉 Global markets (FX, fixed income, STIRS, stocks, crypto, commodities (literally everything because we're mad) 👉 Where the best opportunities are 👉 Where the pitfalls are 👉 And a tonne more to make YOU a better investor/trader (or just someone who wants to be smarter) Macrodesiac. Making the difficult, simple.

We're now in a technical market. Flow matters, fundamentals are relatively priced in, we now have to see how scared the market is. Have a listen to our thoughts going forward. 💥 Subscribe to Macrodesiac's daily email at https://www.macrodesiac.com/ 💥 We talk everything from... 👉 Geopolitics 👉 Global markets (FX, fixed income, STIRS, stocks, crypto, commodities (literally everything because we're mad) 👉 Where the best opportunities are 👉 Where the pitfalls are 👉 And a tonne more to make YOU a better investor/trader (or just someone who wants to be smarter) Macrodesiac. Making the difficult, simple.

Uh oh. There's more trouble in China's property sector. Find out the impacts on global growth and what's happening going forward! 💥 Subscribe to Macrodesiac's daily email, The Opening Belle, at https://www.macrodesiac.com/ 💥 We talk everything from... 👉 Geopolitics 👉 Global markets (FX, fixed income, STIRS, stocks, crypto, commodities (literally everything because we're mad) 👉 Where the best opportunities are 👉 Where the pitfalls are 👉 And a tonne more to make YOU a better investor/trader (or just someone who wants to be smarter) Macrodesiac. Making the difficult, simple.

❓ The Fed - what are you thinking? How will markets react to higher interest rates? Do we have an awesome trade idea in store? 💥 Subscribe to Macrodesiac's daily email, The Opening Belle, at https://www.macrodesiac.com/ 💥 We talk everything from... 👉 Geopolitics 👉 Global markets (FX, fixed income, STIRS, stocks, crypto, commodities (literally everything because we're mad) 👉 Where the best opportunities are 👉 Where the pitfalls are 👉 And a tonne more to make YOU a better investor/trader (or just someone who wants to be smarter) Macrodesiac. Making the difficult, simple.

💥 Subscribe to Macrodesiac's daily email, The Opening Belle, at https://www.macrodesiac.com/ 💥 We talk everything from... 👉 Geopolitics 👉 Global markets (FX, fixed income, STIRS, stocks, crypto, commodities (literally everything because we're mad) 👉 Where the best opportunities are 👉 Where the pitfalls are 👉 And a tonne more to make YOU a better investor/trader (or just someone who wants to be smarter) Macrodesiac. Making the difficult, simple.