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tesla's stock tumbles #viral #tesla
Tesla shares fall after Morgan Stanley cuts price target on weakening EV demand
(Reuters) - Tesla fell for a third day on Wednesday after a closely watched analyst at Morgan Stanley lowered his price target on the stock, saying that electric-vehicle demand was continuing to weaken in key markets including China despite hefty price cuts.
Morgan Stanley joined other analysts in cutting Tesla's delivery outlook, after its weak China sales for February added to concerns about slowing growth and rising competition.
"China EV market is over-supplied, seeing a barrage of price cuts," Adam Jonas said, forecasting a persisting price competition this year.
While Tesla may be the most technologically advanced car company in the world, its product line-up may be the oldest of any major OEM (original equipment manufacturer), with nearly all of its lineup launched prior to COVID," he said.
He cut the price target on Tesla's shares to $320 from $345. The stock later trimmed losses and traded 1.3% lower to $178.35. Tesla shares have fallen more than 11% so far this week, wiping off more than $70 billion of its market value.
Chinese electric vehicle giant BYD, which has unseated Tesla as the world's biggest EV seller, on Wednesday added fuel to the flames of a brutal price war in China by cutting the price of its cheapest car, the Seagull, by 5%.
Tesla will not launch its next-generation cheaper models until late next year. This year, it launched a refreshed Model 3 compact sedan in the United States, without major changes to its exterior styling. Tesla launched a Cybertruck which CEO Elon Musk said would not reach volume production until next year.
To justify the valuation of the equity today, Tesla needs a mass market vehicle and the Cybertruck is obviously not going to be that solution," said Tudor Pickering analyst Matt Portillo.
He also said Musk has not yet delivered his years-long promise of reaching full autonomy, which also weighs on the stock.
Even though it has been more than a year since Tesla started lowering prices to spur demand, the company in January forecast "notably lower" deliveries growth this year.
Demand has taken a hit in the past year as high interest rates force consumers to rethink big-ticket purchases such as electric vehicles, adding to the existing concerns around EV costs, charging and battery range.
Tesla's first-quarter deliveries are also likely to be weighed down by Red Sea attacks-driven supply chain disruptions, suspected arson at its Berlin factory and downtime at its California plant to prepare for the production of the new Model 3, analysts have said.
"A series of one-time production disruptions added further complexity to the setup for Q1," Baird Equity Research analyst Ben Kallo said in a separate note.
(Reporting by Akash Sriram in Bengaluru; Editing by Shounak Dasgupta and Diane Craft)
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Amazon surges after earnings Beat | Big Tech Dominance Continues
Title: amazon surges after earnings Beat | Big Tech Dominance Continues
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Tesla vs. Microsoft: Dueling Versions of AI (Tesla Vs Msft)
Title: Tesla vs. Microsoft: Dueling Versions of AI (Tesla Vs Msft)
** Description **
In this video, we dive deep into the contrasting visions of AI presented by two tech giants, Tesla and Microsoft. We explore how their approaches could potentially reshape various industries in the near future. 🤖💡
From Tesla's focus on self-driving capabilities to Microsoft's emphasis on responsible AI development, we analyze the implications and possibilities each vision holds. 🚗💻
Join us as we unravel the exciting world of artificial intelligence and discuss the potential impacts on technology, transportation, healthcare, and more. Don't miss out on this insightful exploration of the future of AI!
If you enjoyed this video, make sure to hit the like button and share it with your friends who are interested in the future of technology! 🌟 #AI #Tesla #Microsoft #FutureTech
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00:00:00 AI and the Tech Giants
00:00:54 Tesla's AI Strategy
00:02:09 Microsoft's AI Strategy
00:03:38 Comparing AI Strategies
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Elon Musk’s pay could expose Tesla to even more legal trouble
Elon Musk’s pay could expose Tesla to even more legal trouble
Tesla (TSLA) is likely in for some fresh legal entanglements after recommending stockholders vote to reinstate CEO Elon Musk’s multi-billion-dollar compensation package — no matter what the final tally reveals at the company's June annual meeting.
"I think regardless of whether the vote is approved or not, it's going to be challenged in the Delaware courts," said Marc Steinberg, a law professor at Southern Methodist University Dedman School of Law.
Because of the billions at stake, "chances are you're going to attract shareholder derivative and class-action type lawsuits," added Jerry Comizio, a business law professor at American University's Washington College of Law.
Musk's pay was struck down in January by a Delaware judge who found that Tesla's directors had breached their fiduciary duty when they awarded Musk the largest compensation opportunity ever granted to a public company executive. The ruling came after a shareholder sued to challenge the pay package.
Musk's incentive-based pay, had it not been invalidated by the Delaware court, would now be worth roughly $47 billion following a fall in the value of Tesla’s stock. At the time of the ruling it had been worth up to $56 billion.
Tesla used a preliminary proxy filing last week to ask shareholders to re-vote on this pay package, arguing it had cured the conditions that led Delaware Chancellor Kathaleen McCormick to void Musk’s compensation in January.
It did so, the board claimed, by forming a single-member special committee to evaluate Musk's pay package using independent director Kathleen Wilson-Thompson — and by following Wilson-Thompson's recommendation for a new shareholder vote that came after third parties assisted the company with "rigorous and thoughtful analysis."
McCormick threw out Musk’s pay because of what she called "extensive ties" between Musk and the people negotiating the pay package and a lack of public disclosure about Musk’s relationships with those who approved the deal.
The company is separately asking its shareholders to approve a move of Tesla’s incorporation from Delaware to Texas — a move called for by Musk after the Delaware judge voided his pay.
"2024 is the year that Tesla should move home to Texas," Tesla board chair Robyn Denholm said in her letter to shareholders included in the proxy statement.
The re-authorization of Musk's pay, Tesla argued to shareholders in its new filing, is needed to incentivize Musk’s future leadership of Tesla.
"Because the Delaware court second-guessed your decision, Elon has not been paid for any of his work for Tesla for the past six years that has helped to generate significant growth and stockholder value," the company said in its filing.
Legal experts said those arguments might not be enough to keep shareholders from suing Tesla and the board all over again, arguing that the sole director who approved it was not independent enough from Musk.
Shareholders could also argue that the company's disclosures around the deal still fell short.
When you adjust somebody’s compensation…if you’re doing a graph and the proposed compensation package looks like Mount Everest, that can be problematic."
Not all legal experts agree.
Gunster's corporate law expert Bob Lamm argues that Tesla may have a decent claim against that peer review standard. Historically, he said, superstar founders such as Apple’s (AAPL) Steve Jobs and Amazon’s (AMZN) Jeff Bezos have been largely exempt from that scrutiny
It's questionable whether there are any peers for Elon Musk," Lamm said. "So looking for comparable data is going to be tough."
Musk's compensation plan reached in 2018 was around 33 times larger than the largest pay package in history, according to Greg Varallo, the shareholders' attorney in the Delaware case. The prior record also belonged to Musk, in a compensation deal reached in 2014
The next step in this pay drama, before final votes are tallied June 13, is a likely review of Tesla’s proxy filing by the Securities and Exchange Commission.
That review could require Tesla to amend its disclosure to shareholders about Musk’s proposed pay deal, according to Comizio.
At some point, however, there are no more disclosures to be made, Lamm said.
The problem that the courts have now is that they can’t say the [compensation] is too much,” Lamm said. “And you can’t disclose everything. At some point the court’s got to say: "Tesla, you've done your job.
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Bitcoin halving: Is Bitcoin a Millionaire Maker?
Bitcoin halving: What it is and how the price of the world’s biggest crypto may be affected
The cryptocurrency Bitcoin is undergoing a technical change in late April, and some traders speculate that the change may help boost the price of the world's largest cryptocurrency.
Known as a "halving," this change reduces the rate at which Bitcoin miners can produce new coins.
Here's how the Bitcoin halving may impact the crypto's price and what investors should know.
What is a Bitcoin halving?
Bitcoin is a cryptocurrency that exists only digitally, and it's managed by a series of networked computers that track, manage and issue the currency.
This network verifies transactions using the currency, ensuring the integrity of the system and ownership of the coins.
New bitcoins are issued when high- powered computers called Bitcoin miners process complex math problems.
The reward for solving these math problems is predetermined, set into the computer code governing Bitcoin when it was established. As part of that reward schedule, the reward rate is cut in half every four years – called a halving – with events in 2012, 2016, 2020, 2024 and so on.
So miners receive fewer and fewer bitcoins over time as they solve these complex problems, until Bitcoin’s total issuance of 21 million coins is reached, in approximately the year 2140. So far about 19.7 million bitcoins have been issued, according to CoinMarketCap.com.
At the start of 2024, Bitcoin miners received 6.25 bitcoins for correctly solving a problem and adding a block to the blockchain. Following the halving in April 2024, they earn just 3.125 coins. This change slashes the payout to successful miners from about $400,000 to about $200,000.
This series of halvings will continue in the future, further reducing the issuance of new coins.
What does a Bitcoin halving mean for traders?
The slowing issuance of new bitcoins through a halving highlights the fundamentally deflationary nature of the cryptocurrency. With a fixed issuance of just 21 million coins – including millions that are presumed lost forever – Bitcoin is deflationary. That is, because supply is relatively fixed in the short term, its price in dollars is apt to go up as long as demand for the crypto rises.
Short-term traders looking to play the halving may find it especially tricky, because the excitement about the event may have already been factored into the price – even months ago.
Markets are forward-looking, often anticipating events well before they emerge into the financial press. For example, in the months leading up to the official approval of Bitcoin ETFs in January, Bitcoin soared. And the halving is the definition of an event that has been long known.
Bottom line
Those looking to trade the Bitcoin halving may find themselves on the wrong side of a move because the market may have already priced in any changes in sentiment well ahead of time. Those who believe that Bitcoin remains an attractive long-term investment, however, should watch ongoing flows into the asset while understanding the significant risks of owning it.
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Is Bitcoin a Millionaire Maker? #viral #crypto
Title: Is Bitcoin a Millionaire Maker?
Bitcoin $100,000 in 2024?
Will you miss out? Or will you be in a position to profit? Don't get stuck on the sidelines. If you want expert crypto education and guidance before this bull run goes any higher.
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US Two-Year Yield Eyes 5% Before Powell’s Remarks: Markets Wrap
US Two-Year Yield Eyes 5% Before Powell’s Remarks: Markets Wrap
(Bloomberg) -- The world’s biggest bond market remained under pressure, with traders sifting through a slew of remarks from Federal Reserve speakers on speculation that policymakers will be in no rush to cut rates.
Just hours away from Jerome Powell’s speech, US two-year yields came closer to the 5% mark. The dollar extended its rally into a fifth straight session. Equities wavered after their worst back-to-back selloff in more than a year. Traders also scoured a batch of first-quarter earnings amid hopes that Corporate America’s resilience will help counter concerns about high rates.
“Powell is likely to set the near-term market narrative,” said Chris Senyek at Wolfe Research. “The Fed Chair is always a wildcard.”
The S&P 500 hovered near 5,060. Solid earnings from two Wall Street giants — Morgan Stanley and Bank of America Corp. did little to spark risk appetite. Megacaps were mixed. UnitedHealth Group Inc. led gains in the Dow Jones Industrial Average after beating profit expectations. Treasury 10-year yields advanced seven basis points to 4.68%. The greenback headed for its biggest five-day gain in over a year.
Policymakers around the world are struggling to confront a surging greenback and lofty US interest rates, according to Mohamed El-Erian.
“Authorities are a little bit frozen around the world as to how do you react to a generalized dollar strengthening?” El-Erian, the president of Queens’ College, Cambridge and a Bloomberg Opinion columnist, told Bloomberg Television Tuesday. “How do you react to a generalized increase in interest rates in the US?”
Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson said Tuesday that while there has been considerable progress in lowering inflation, the Fed’s task of sustainably restoring 2% inflation is “not yet done.” His San Francisco counterpart Mary Daly reiterated late Monday there’s no urgency to adjust interest rates, pointing to solid economic growth, a strong labor market and still-elevated inflation.
Stock Market Today: Stocks nudge higher as Treasury yields, dollar ease
U.S. stocks nudged higher Wednesday, while Treasury yields and the dollar held steady, as investors looked to snap a three-day losing streak on Wall Street while closely eyeing Israel's expected response to Iran's weekend missile strike.
Big green Big Board
The S&P 500 opened 23 points, 0.46% higher in the opening minutes of trading, with the Dow up 120 points and the Nasdaq rising 71 points, or 0.47%.
Boeing the whistle
Boeing (BA) shares extended their recent decline in early trading, pulling the stock to the lowest levels in nearly 18 months, ahead of testimony from an employee to a Senate subcommittee on aircraft safety later today.
Boeing shares were marked 0.7% lower in pre-market trading to indicate an opening bell price of $169.35 each,
Stock Market Today
Tensions in the region, which accelerated sharply following Iran's unprecedented attack on Israeli soil late Saturday, have yet to fully work their way into global markets, with oil prices falling for the past three sessions and stocks largely tracking both Federal Reserve interest rate forecasts and the start to the first quarter earnings season.
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's remarks to an economic forum in Washington yesterday triggered a larger reaction in both the bond and currency markets as he suggested that recent inflation data "indicate that it's likely to take longer than expected" before the central bank can confidently begin easing rates.
Right now, given the strength of the labor market and progress on inflation so far, it's appropriate to allow restrictive policy further time to work and let the data and the evolving outlook guide us," Powell said.
"If higher inflation does persist, we can maintain the current level of restriction for as long as needed," he added.
Rate traders have pared bets on Fed rate cuts in both June and July, and now suggest the first of likely two reductions this year will take place only in September.
The U.S. dollar index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six global currencies, was marked 0.11% lower at 106.135.
Oil prices were also in the red, with Brent crude contracts for June delivery down 74 cents to $89.26 per barrel as traders unwind bets on supply disruptions tied to the prospect of a broader military conflict and eyed Energy Department data on domestic stockpiles and overall exports due out later in the session.
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Market Update: Stocks Rise, Boeing Declines, and Fed's Impact on Rates
Title: "Market Update: Stocks Rise, Boeing Declines, and Fed's Impact on Rates | Stock Market Today"
Description: Join us for the latest update on the stock market, where we analyze the factors influencing today's trading session. As U.S. stocks edge higher, we delve into the impact of Treasury yields, the dollar's movement, and geopolitical tensions on investor sentiment. Discover why Boeing shares are under pressure and how Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's remarks are shaping expectations for interest rates. Plus, get insights into oil prices and what to expect from upcoming economic data releases. Don't miss out on essential information for navigating today's dynamic market landscape – subscribe now for more updates on crypto and stock trends!
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Iran's launches drone attack on Israel why bitcoin crashes (NEWS)
Title: "Market Turmoil: Dow Jones Futures React to Iran Attack, Bitcoin's Rollercoaster Ride"
Description: "Explore the recent geopolitical tensions as Iran's drone and missile attack on Israel rattles the stock market. Learn how Israel's defense measures impact Dow Jones futures and witness Bitcoin's volatile journey amid the chaos. Stay informed with our in-depth analysis!"
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SoundHound AI Stock Has Room to Run After Its Crash,
SoundHound AI Stock Has Room to Run After Its Crash, According to 1 Wall Street Analyst. Is the Stock a Buy After a 50% Decline?
This year has been a nonstop thrill ride for SoundHound AI (NASDAQ: SOUN) investors. After kicking off 2024 with a 23% loss by Feb. 5, the artificial intelligence (AI) and voice recognition specialist reversed course, notching 323% gains by March 15. It then turned south, losing half its value as of market close on Wednesday. After such a whiplash-inducing ride, the stock is still up 112% since the year began.
One Wall Street analyst views the decline as a positive thing.
Lower risk, but still risky
Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Brett Knoblauch upgraded SoundHound AI stock to neutral (hold) from underweight (sell) while maintaining its price target of $4.90. This represents an upside of roughly 10% compared to the stock's closing price on Wednesday.
The analyst had previously issued a rare double downgrade on SoundHound AI, primarily the result of its frothy valuation of 40 times sales. However, the analyst also cited a host of other concerns, suggesting that SoundHound AI is a risky stock. The valuation has now contracted from 45 times sales to 22 times sales, with Knoblauch suggesting the downside risk and upside promise are now equal.
I still believe investors should exercise care. The same risks originally highlighted by the analyst are still in play, including its opaque operating model, insufficient capital spending, and potential customer losses.
There are other issues. In its 2023 annual report, SoundHound AI admitted that it identified "material weaknesses in its internal control over financial reporting," which caused the company to restate a number of its financial statements. This is a serious red flag that can attract the attention of regulators.
I have also raised concerns in the past about how SoundHound accounts for its backlog. After management "updated" this metric, the backlog now includes "committed customer contracts" and "potential revenue achievable," which rely heavily on management assumptions.
Even after a significant retracement, SoundHound AI is selling for 22 times sales but still hasn't generated a profit. Investors should exercise care with this volatile high-flyer.
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Is Tesla Stock a Buy? #teslastock #elonmusk #tesla
Is Tesla Stock a Buy?
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) has had a tough go of it lately. While other "Magnificent Seven" stocks have had a banner year thus far, its stock has been in steady decline, falling roughly 30%. Compare that to Microsoft's 13% gain or Nvidia's monster 80% rise so far in 2024, and it's clear something is off for the electric vehicle (EV) pioneer.
Rough waters
Why has Tesla been struggling? The automaker is facing a cooling domestic market and stiffening competition across the Pacific.
At home, although EV sales are up from last year, growth is slower than many had hoped. In an attempt to boost sales, auto manufacturers across the board have slashed prices, with the average EV sticker price down 10.8%.
Abroad, Tesla is in an even worse spot. The company has seen sales in China -- its second-biggest market behind the U.S. -- fall significantly. Multiple Chinese manufacturers, led by BYD, are crowding the company out, producing more EVs at prices Tesla can't compete with.
Big miss
If there were any doubt Tesla was floundering, its recent release of first-quarter vehicle production and deliveries data put that to rest. To say investors were disappointed would be an understatement. Dan Ives, an analyst at Wedbush, described it as "an unmitigated disaster." Ouch.
Investors were already expecting bad news, with Wall Street pros having lowered their consensus forecast for the company's Q1 vehicle deliveries by about 14%, from 494,000 to 425,000, but Tesla missed even those reduced expectations. The company delivered just 387,000 vehicles in the quarter.
This was less than the year-ago quarter, when it delivered 423,000 vehicles, and it's the first time since 2020 that Tesla posted a year-over-year decline.
The stock slumped almost 5% the day the news broke.
Could Tesla shares hit $2,000?
With all the negativity surrounding Tesla, its stock is down nearly 60% from its high in 2021 and it's trading around $170. This could present a solid buying opportunity.
Cathie Wood, head of Ark Invest, certainly thinks so. In a recent interview with CNBC after the deliveries data was released, the widely followed investor said now "is not the time to run for the hills."
Wood believes that Tesla is much more than simply an EV maker. She sees it as a robotaxi company. Wood thinks the technology will "deliver $8 to $10 trillion in revenue by 2030 and is one of the most important investment opportunities of our lifetimes."
This massive potential revenue has led Wood to place a price target on Tesla, of $2,000 per share.
If Tesla can deliver on the promise of self-driving taxis, it would undoubtedly create an enormous amount of value for the company, but it is a big if. Aside from the degree of difficulty in developing the necessary technology, the company faces stiff competition.
Alphabet-backed Waymo seems to be further along in its quest for truly autonomous vehicles. The company already has completely driverless vehicles on the road and recently passed an important milestone: testing the cars on the highway. Tesla has a lot of catching up to do.
So is Tesla stock a buy?
I think investors have overreacted, and critically, the stock's price-to-earnings ratio is back within reasonable (for tech) bounds, currently sitting around 40. Although that's still on the high end, it's nowhere near Nvidia's sky-high 72 and closer to the rest of the Magnificent Seven.
There may still be some rough waters ahead, but with some of the best talent in the world, Tesla has a very good chance of reducing its manufacturing costs significantly, allowing it to better compete at home and in China. This, along with the value that would be created if it captures even a fraction of a future robotaxi market, makes it a buy.
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Title: Nvidia Stock Analysis: Bank of America's Bullish Outlook and Price Target
Title: Nvidia Stock Analysis: Bank of America's Bullish Outlook and Price Target
Description: Dive into Bank of America's analysis of Nvidia stock amid recent market fluctuations. Discover why analysts remain optimistic about Nvidia's dominance in the AI chip space, despite the recent sell-off. Join us for a comprehensive breakdown of key insights and price targets.
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1. Graphic of Nvidia logo overlaid with upward trend arrows.
2. Comparison chart showing Nvidia's performance against competitors.
3. Image of Bank of America analysts with text overlay "Bullish Outlook: Nvidia's Potential Upside."
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Will Bitcoin Drop Below $60,000 Before Its Halving? #bitcoin #crypto
Will Bitcoin Drop Below $60,000 Before Its Halving?
As Bitcoin's (CRYPTO: BTC) price hovers just shy of its all-time high, it feels as though it is either preparing for its next leg up or a sharp drop that would shake out weak hands. A fall that took it below $60,000 would be about a 17% drop from Monday's price of roughly $72,000.
With the next halving just a couple of weeks away, there's plenty of time for Bitcoin to fall below $60,000. However, even if it does, I wouldn't be worried. In fact, I would almost welcome sub-$60,000 Bitcoin.
Significant corrections are par for the course for Bitcoin
Bitcoin has a reputation for being volatile. While there is data showing that it has gradually become less volatile over the years, it is still subject to sudden movements, even in bull markets.
Consider the last bull market, for example. Between 2020 and 2021, Bitcoin experienced several pullbacks of more than 20% during its eventual ascent to its previous all-time high of about $68,000. Looking back further, the bull market of 2016 to 2017 was even harsher. There were four retreats of more than 40%. If something similar were to occur in this bull market, Bitcoin could drop to somewhere between $40,000 and $50,000, based on today's prices.
Let this chart serve as a reminder of the storms this market has weathered in the past.
We've made it through far worse.
An asset unlike any other
Throughout all of the corrections Bitcoin has experienced, there has been one common theme. No matter how brutal the pullback, Bitcoin eventually regained its footing and climbed to new highs.
There are likely multiple reasons for this, but the one that best explains Bitcoin's resilience boils down to its unique intrinsic qualities. Bitcoin is the quintessential cryptocurrency. To take it a step further, it is perhaps the most durable and robust form of money ever created.
It is completely decentralized, void of any manipulation or control. It is the most secure, with an entire global network maintaining its functionality. With no single point of failure, Bitcoin's blockchain is virtually impenetrable -- an attribute few other cryptocurrencies can claim.
Add in the fact that its supply growth rate will continue to diminish every four years (as further halvings occur) until 2140, when the last of 21 million bitcoins is scheduled to be mined.
So, even though it suffers from the occasional pullback, Bitcoin's unique characteristics and robust fundamentals give it the resilience to push through. Not only does it regain those losses but in a fashion that only Bitcoin can pull off, it eventually leads to it setting new highs.
Don't miss the forest for the trees
On a day-to-day basis, guessing Bitcoin's trajectory is next to impossible. You'd probably be better off trying to count cards in a game of blackjack.
But over the long term, Bitcoin's fixed supply, decentralized architecture, and growing adoption continue to underpin its viability and position it as a credible store of value and hedge against macroeconomic uncertainties.
If Bitcoin does experience a correction before this month's halving, it should be treated as a rare buying opportunity in its near-inevitable journey of price appreciation. Similar to how the days of Bitcoin trading below $1,000 are likely gone forever, the days of sub-$60,000 Bitcoin would likely be numbered.
As always, it's crucial for investors to conduct thorough research, assess their risk tolerance, and formulate a strategy aligned with their investment objectives. While short-term volatility may test one's resolve, a steadfast focus on Bitcoin's long-term trajectory can provide clarity amid the noise of market speculation.
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Inflation expected to remain elevated as rate cut debate takes center stage
Inflation expected to remain elevated as rate cut debate takes center stage
On Wednesday, investors will digest one of the most important data points the Federal Reserve will consider in its next interest rate decision: March's Consumer Price Index (CPI).
The inflation report, set for release at 8:30 a.m. ET, is expected to show headline inflation of 3.4%, an acceleration from February's 3.2% annual gain in prices, according to estimates from Bloomberg. Higher energy costs, fueled by a jump in gas prices, are expected to have driven the increase.
Over the prior month, consumer prices are expected to have risen 0.3%, down from February's 0.4% monthly increase.
On a "core" basis, which strips out the more volatile costs of food and gas, prices in March are expected to have risen 3.7% over last year — a modest slowdown from the 3.8% annual increase seen in February, according to Bloomberg data.
"After two firm reports to start the year, core CPI inflation should cool off in March," Bank of America economists Stephen Juneau and Michael Gapen wrote in a note to clients on Friday.
Core prices are expected to have climbed 0.3% on a monthly basis in March, compared to the 0.4% increase seen in the prior month.
Core inflation has remained stubbornly elevated due to higher costs of shelter and core services like insurance and medical care.
But Bank of America expects a slight decline in the prices of core goods, largely driven by a drop in new and used car prices. The bank also expects less price pressure from core services like airfare and lodging away from home.
"If our forecast proves correct, it should provide some confidence to the Fed," the economists said.
Other economists also see further improvements in core inflation throughout the year.
Going forward, we expect monthly core CPI inflation to slow to 0.20-0.25%," Goldman Sachs lead economist Jan Hatzius wrote on Monday.
"We see further disinflation in the pipeline in 2024 from rebalancing in the auto, housing rental, and labor markets," the economist added.
Inflation has remained above the Federal Reserve's 2% target on an annual basis. Fed officials have categorized the path down to 2% as "bumpy."
Notably, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, the so-called core PCE price index, has shown a slight cooling in recent months.
The year-over-year change in core PCE slowed to 2.8% for the month of February, down from 2.9% in January. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the data is "along the lines of what we want to see."
But not all of the data has been supportive of a rate cut. Just last week, a strong labor report showed the US economy added more jobs than expected in March as the unemployment rate decreased while wage growth held steady.
Investors now anticipate just two and a half 25-basis-point cuts this year, down from the six cuts expected at the start of the year, according to Bloomberg data. Former St. Louis Fed president James Bullard said Tuesday a three-rate-cut scenario remains the "the base case."
"[The Fed] wants to cut rates, but the economy is standing in its way," Mizuho Securities USA chief economist Steven Ricchiuto told Yahoo Finance Live on Tuesday. "The Fed is fighting the economy. In particular, they’re fighting the American consumers, and that’s a fight that I would not want to get involved in."
As of Tuesday afternoon, markets were pricing in a 56% chance the Federal Reserve begins to cut rates at its June meeting, according to data from the CME Group. That's down from a 62% chance a week ago.
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Chuck Norris-Inspired Memecoin CHUCK: Will It Surge 1200%? | Crypto Analysis
Title: Chuck Norris-Inspired Memecoin CHUCK: Will It Surge 1200%? | Crypto Analysis
Description: Dive into the world of meme coins with CHUCK! Join us as we explore the potential for a 1200% surge, as predicted by a crypto analyst. Learn about CHUCK's unique features, its community's anticipation, and whether it's poised for a breakout. Don't miss out on this crypto analysis!
Keywords: CHUCK coin, Chuck Norris, meme coin, cryptocurrency analysis, crypto analyst prediction, Ethereum network, CoinMarketCap, crypto community, price action, bullish sentiment
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Elon Musk's tweet Why Tesla Stock Put Pedal to Metal Today
Why Tesla Stock Put Pedal to Metal Today
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) stock is enjoying what feels like a rare "up" day Monday morning, as investors parse some confusing news. Last week Reuters reported that Tesla has abandoned its plans to build a Model 2 electric car priced at less than $25,000, in order to focus its efforts on building "robotaxis" instead.
CEO Elon Musk quickly dismissed the rumor on social media platform X, saying Reuters was "lying."
But Tesla stock still took a hit on Friday, falling nearly 4%. Today, however, Tesla is winning back its losses -- and more -- as its stock bounces 4.2% through 10:05 a.m. ET.
Tesla tweets
Citing unnamed sources, Reuters reported last week that Tesla has entirely "canceled" plans to build the Model 2 electric car -- which at a rumored price of $25,000 could be key to Tesla's efforts to compete with low-priced electric cars from China. Musk was quick to dismiss the report in part, but he did seem to endorse the other half of what Reuters was saying -- the bit about the robotaxi.
In a tweet following up on Reuters' article, Musk confirmed that Tesla will announce a new self-driving electric vehicle (EV), which he called his "robotaxi," on Aug. 8.
Is Tesla stock a sell?
And that's really all he said on the matter. So what are investors supposed to make of these dueling Tesla reports, one from a respected news organization quoting inside sources at Tesla, and the other from Tesla's CEO himself?
Clearly, nothing's 100% clear right now. But the most likely scenario seems that Tesla has made robotaxis its new top priority, while pouring money into developing a cheap EV is now taking a back seat. In the middle of an EV price war, that seems a sound strategy that could preserve profit margins for Tesla. It's not a reason to sell Tesla stock.
But it might be a reason to buy.
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Tesla's Turmoil: Musk's Intervention and the Uncertain Future of the $25,000 EV
Musk steps in to stem Tesla’s stock bleeding on report that it’s shuttering a long-planned $25,000 EV
Tesla stock fell as much as 6% on Friday, some $32 billion, after Reuters reported that Elon Musk’s EV maker was shelving a yearslong plan to produce an affordable electric car.
Citing three anonymous insiders and internal company messages, the outlet reported that Tesla was abandoning production of a planned $25,000 EV and focusing on robo-taxis. Musk had said in January that Tesla would start production on the affordable electric vehicle at its plant in Texas in late 2025.
Musk was quick to refute the Reuters report with a post on X, but the stock was still down 3.5% at press time, or some $19 billion, as investors digest the company’s efforts to compete with increasingly competitive Chinese carmakers.
The news comes just days after Tesla reported its first year-over-year decrease in vehicle deliveries since the pandemic. The company blamed the lackluster numbers on external factors, but many prominent Tesla investors have put the blame on Musk as CEO.
As of Friday, the company’s stock has fallen about 33% since the start of the year, and at least one Tesla bear has predicted the stock could “go bust.” Even notable Tesla bull Wedbush analyst Dan Ives called the company’s recent miss on vehicle deliveries an “unmitigated disaster.”
Chinese EV makers have increasingly penetrated foreign markets, posing a risk to Tesla and other established car companies. Meanwhile, the market for electric vehicles continues to shrink.
Sales of electric vehicles grew just 2.7% during the first quarter, far below the 47% growth seen in the EV sector during the same period last year. Some analysts have surmised that the eco-conscious target market for EVs is tapped out, and now EV makers must persuade skeptical gas-powered-car owners to make the switch in order to grow.
Already, established car companies have scaled back their plans to produce electric vehicles, with Ford announcing Thursday it would delay the launch of two high-end EVs as it focuses instead on plug-in hybrid vehicles, which are less costly.
As for Tesla, Musk had previously warned investors that sales growth in 2024 would be “notably slower,” because it was caught between two growth waves: the global expansion of its Models 3 and Y and the launch of its more affordable car.
With the future of the affordable EV in doubt, it’s unclear how future sales, and the company’s competitiveness, will be affected.
This story was originally featured on
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Warning for Altcoin Bulls: Understanding the Ether-Bitcoin Death Cross
Title: "Warning for Altcoin Bulls: Understanding the Ether-Bitcoin Death Cross"
Description:
"Attention altcoin investors! Dive deep into the implications of the impending death cross on the ETH/BTC ratio with our comprehensive analysis. Explore how technical indicators and options market insights are signaling potential risks for alternative cryptocurrencies like Ether. Stay ahead of market trends and subscribe for more updates on crypto and stock information!"
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In bitcoin's case: Understanding the Ether-bitcoin - warning for bitcoin
Title: "Warning for Altcoin Bulls: Understanding the Ether-Bitcoin Death Cross"
Description:
"Attention altcoin investors! Dive deep into the implications of the impending death cross on the ETH/BTC ratio with our comprehensive analysis. Explore how technical indicators and options market insights are signaling potential risks for alternative cryptocurrencies like Ether. Stay ahead of market trends and subscribe for more updates on crypto and stock information!"
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Decoding Nvidia's Stock Drop: Unveiling the Truth Behind the Numbers
Title: "Decoding Nvidia's Stock Drop: Unveiling the Truth Behind the Numbers"
Description:
"Dive deep into the recent drop in Nvidia's stock price! Despite fluctuations, the demand for Nvidia's AI chips remains strong. Join us as we explore the factors influencing Nvidia's performance and uncover what investors need to know in this comprehensive analysis. Subscribe for more in-depth insights into the world of crypto and stock markets!"
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Tesla sales tumble nearly 9% to start the year as competition heats up and
Tesla sales tumble nearly 9% to start the year as competition heats up and
DETROIT (AP) — Tesla sales fell sharply last quarter as competition increased worldwide, electric vehicle sales growth slowed, and price cuts failed to lure more buyers.
The Austin, Texas, company said Tuesday that it delivered 386,810 vehicles worldwide from January through March, almost 9% below the 423,000 it sold in the same quarter of last year.
Sales also fell short of even the most bearish Wall Street expectations. Auto industry analysts polled by FactSet were looking for 457,000 vehicles deliveries from Tesla Inc. That's a shortfall of more than 15%.
The company blamed the decline in part on phasing in an updated version of the Model 3 sedan at its Fremont, California, factory, plant shutdowns due to shipping diversions in the Red Sea, and an arson attack that knocked out power to its German factory.
In its letter to investors in January, Tesla predicted “notably lower” sales growth this year. The letter said Tesla is between two big growth waves, one from global expansion of the Models 3 and Y, and a second coming from the Model 2, a new, smaller and less expensive vehicle with an unknown release date.
This was an unmitigated disaster 1Q that is hard to explain away,” wrote Dan Ives, an analyst with Wedbush that has been very bullish on Tesla's stock. The drop in sales was far worse than expected, he said in a note to investors.
The quarter is a “seminal moment” in the Tesla growth story, Ives wrote, adding that CEO Elon Musk will have to turn the company around. “Otherwise, some darker days could clearly be ahead that could disrupt the long-term Tesla narrative.”
Ives maintained his Outperform rating and cut his one-year price target from $315, to $300.
“Street criticism is warranted as growth has been sluggish and (profit) margins showing compression, with China a horror show and competition increasing from all angles,” Ives wrote.
Tesla dramatically lowered U.S. prices by up to $20,000 for some models last year. In March it temporarily knocked $1,000 off the Model Y, its top-selling vehicle. Those price cuts narrowed the company’s profit margins and spooked investors.
Analysts polled by FactSet expected the average selling price for Model Y to be $41,000 last quarter, $5,000 less than a year ago and $15,000 lower than the peak of $56,000 in June of 2022.
Shares of Tesla tumbled 5.5% in Tuesday morning trading to $165.54, continuing an extended decline. Investors have shaved about 34% off the value of the company so far this year, dumping shares after growing leery of the tremendous growth story that Tesla has been telling.
Tesla's sales numbers pulled down shares of its U.S. EV competitors. Rivian shares fell just over 5% Tuesday, while Lucid dropped 4.4%.
During the quarter, Tesla lost production time in Germany after a suspected arson attack cut its power supply. Ives estimated that China sales slid 3% to 4% during the period.
Deliveries of the Models 3 and Y, fell 10.3% year over year to 369,783. Sales of the company's other models, the aging X and S and the new Cybertruck, rose almost 60% to 17,027. Tesla produced 10.7% more vehicles than it sold during the first quarter.
Softer than expected first-quarter sales are reducing analyst expectations for quarterly earnings when they are released on April 23. Citi Analyst Itay Michaeli cut his full year 2024 earnings per share estimate to $2.71 from $2.78.
Tesla’s sales come against the backdrop of a slowing market for electric vehicles in the U.S. EV sales grew 47% last year to a record 1.19 million as EV market share rose to 7.6%. But sales growth slowed toward the end of the year. In December, they rose 34%.
Updated EV sales numbers will come later Tuesday when most automakers report U.S. sales.
Other automakers also have had to cut electric vehicle production and reduce prices to move EVs off dealership lots. Ford, for instance, cut production of the F-150 Lightning electric pickup, and lopped up to $8,100 off the price of the Mustang Mach E electric SUV in order to sell 2023 models.
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Is Bitcoin Worth Buying Before the Next Halving? #crypto #bitcoin
Is Bitcoin Worth Buying Before the Next Halving?
In less than a month, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) will undergo its fourth halving. Halvings are hardwired into its code and occur roughly every four years (or once 210,000 blocks are added to the blockchain) and form the foundation of Bitcoin's robust monetary policy by cutting its supply growth rate in half.
This halving, scheduled to occur on or about April 20, will reduce Bitcoin's supply growth to roughly 0.8% a year. The effect of halvings has historically been dramatic, and this one is shaping up to be just like the past. Here's why Bitcoin is still worth buying before April 20.
Analyzing the effect of halvings
Each halving that passes effectively alters dynamics around supply and demand. By reducing the rate at which new bitcoins enter the market, the halvings make it so that even if demand for Bitcoin remains constant, its price must increase to compensate for the diminished supply growth.
Evidence of this can be found when analyzing Bitcoin's performance in the year halvings occur. On average, Bitcoin has increased roughly 125% in halving years. However, the year after a halving tends to produce the best gains.
In the year after a halving, Bitcoin returned a whopping 415% on average. That means an investment of $1,000 would be worth more than $5,000. Not too shabby.
Now, it is worth noting that past performance is no indication of future success. For all we know, this halving could be an anomaly. However, there is considerable evidence that this halving cycle is playing out just like past ones and could actually be more explosive.
Well-known crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen recently posted a chart on X (formerly Twitter) showing that Bitcoin's performance in 2023 followed a similar trajectory to the average of previous years before halvings.
Furthermore, in a subsequent post, he charted Bitcoin's performance this year compared to past halving years. As we can see, so far in 2024, Bitcoin is outpacing past halving years by a significant amount. The reasons for this are likely nuanced without any single cause, but one, in particular, is most apparent.
So far in 2024, #BTC is outperforming the average of prior halving-year returns.
For the first time in Bitcoin's history, this halving will occur when there are fewer available coins on exchanges than during the previous halving. Today, roughly 2.3 million coins are on exchanges, levels not seen since 2018.
When considering the added demand from newly approved spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and the looming and compounding effects that a reduction to Bitcoin's growth rate will bring to an existing supply crunch, this halving is shaping up to be an anomaly, but for the better.
What goes up must come down
While it can be exciting to see Bitcoin's potential after a halving, some additional context is necessary. Two years after a halving, Bitcoin's price usually tumbles more than 80% on average.
The reasons behind this phenomenon are lesser known, but this lack of performance serves as a reminder that Bitcoin is a long-term game. Investors trying to time the market often get burned, and data proves that Bitcoin rewards those who simply buy and hold for the long haul.
With substantial data proving Bitcoin's price is cyclical, it is important to maintain a long enough outlook. In fact, we know precisely how long your outlook should be: Four years, the exact amount of time between each Bitcoin halving.
Willy Woo, a prominent pioneer of Bitcoin on-chain analysis, found that even if investors bought at the top of each bull market, as long as they held those coins for at least four years, it resulted in an annualized gain of 30%, roughly three times the average return of the S&P 500. In other words, no Bitcoin held for more than four years has ever resulted in a loss.
For those considering #Bitcoin. Remember to hold for 4 years. It's never returned below 30% annualised for a 4 year investment, no matter how badly timed.
Although data insinuates that it isn't too late to buy Bitcoin and it remains an attractive investment before the April halving, investors must remember that Bitcoin rewards those who hold and weather the post-halving declines. The more halvings that pass, the more likely it is that you will reap the benefits of Bitcoin's dwindling supply growth as each cycle compounds gains.
By no means is this an incentive to try to time markets. Instead, it is an attempt to provide context and insight into Bitcoin's unique cyclical behavior. With a better understanding of Bitcoin, investors can more confidently navigate the ups and downs of each halving.
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Litecoin's Surge: CFTC classification #litecoin #crypto
Title: "Litecoin's Surge: What You Need to Know"
Description: "Discover why Litecoin (LTC) is making headlines as the second best-performing cryptocurrency! 🚀 Learn about the recent classification of Litecoin as a commodity by the CFTC and its implications for investors. Don't miss out on the latest insights into Litecoin's price surge and potential for future growth. Watch now!"
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Better "Magnificent Seven" Stock: Apple or Tesla?
Better "Magnificent Seven" Stock: Apple or Tesla?
The "Magnificent Seven" have delivered outstanding returns to investors in recent years, and they continue to outperform. The Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF is up 19% year to date, beating the Nasdaq Composite's return of 9.6%.
But not all seven stocks are up this year. Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) are down 12% and 27%, respectively. Nonetheless, they have tremendous brand power in their respective markets, and neither will stay down forever. So now is a good time to compare their growth potential to see which offers more upside from here.
Apple
Apple stock rose 43% over the last three years, but it has been weighed down by market share losses for the iPhone in China. The nation generates 21% of Apple's operating profit. The company was also hit by an antitrust lawsuit by the Department of Justice in March, but that's not as concerning for investors as the slowing product revenue growth.
Despite increasing competition in China, iPhone revenue grew 6% year over year in the quarter ending in December 2023, with management giving credit to a record number of people upgrading.
But it will be challenging for iPhone sales to grow much faster over the long term. The global marketing intelligence firm IDC forecasts smartphone unit shipments will increase by just 2.6% on an annualized basis through 2027.
Nonetheless, one opportunity that management is excited about is selling more devices in the enterprise market. This could be a ripe market for its new Vision Pro headset that launched in February. Top companies like Walmart and Nike are investing in Vision Pro and learning ways to bring the device's spatial computing abilities to their employees.
The most important growth driver for Apple is increasing the active installed base of devices, which now exceeds 2.2 billion. The Vision Pro could expand this base in the years to come, and importantly, it could help drive higher spending on apps and subscriptions and other high-margin services. Earnings per share grew 16% year over year last quarter, driven by share repurchases and higher margins from services revenue.
Wall Street analysts forecast Apple's earnings will grow at an annualized rate of 9% over the long term. Assuming the stock's price-to-earnings ratio stays the same, that would lead to a return of at least 50% by 2029.
Tesla
Tesla is facing similar headwinds. Chinese electric vehicle (EV) manufacturers are gaining market share, while rising interest rates are making it more expensive for people to finance a new car this year. Revenue grew 19% in 2023 but is expected to slow to an increase of 12% in 2024.
The company shouldn't be down for long. The EV market is expected to grow 23% on an annualized basis through 2033, according to Precedence Research. In 2025, Wall Street analysts predict that revenue growth will reaccelerate to nearly 20%.
Tesla has several advantages: a large charging-station network, a sophisticated smartphone app, and investments in artificial intelligence (AI). The investments in AI are not only important for self-driving capabilities but could also help boost efficiency and profits through the use of robots in its factories.
It is already one of the most profitable automakers in the world, generating a significantly higher margin than any of the top U.S. manufacturers, but it's not done improving margins. The company is transitioning to its next-generation manufacturing process that is designed to reduce costs, which could lead to higher margins in a stronger sales environment.
The tailwind for EV sales and Tesla's ability to crank out more vehicles at a profit is why analysts expect the company's earnings to grow at an annualized rate of 15%. This would be enough to potentially double the stock price over the next five years.
Which stock should you buy?
If you're looking for the stock that has more upside potential over the next decade, I believe Tesla is the better choice.
Apple is a great business, but the smartphone market is further along the global adoption curve than are EVs, which make up a small share of annual car sales. As Tesla continues to drive down costs and release cutting-edge new models like the Cybertruck, the stock could be a rewarding investment.
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Short Sellers Bet $11 Billion That Crypto Stock Rally Won't Last
Short Sellers Bet $11 Billion That Crypto Stock Rally Won't Last
(Bloomberg) -- Short sellers are still betting billions of dollars that the rally in cryptocurrency-linked stocks fueled by a surge in Bitcoin will eventually end.
Total short interest, or the amount that contrarian traders have pledged against crypto stocks, has increased to nearly $11 billion this year, according to a report from S3 Partners LLC on Monday. More than 80% of total short interest in the sector are bets against MicroStrategy Inc. and Coinbase Global Inc.
Paper losses for the group have mounted to nearly $6 billion as a more than 65% year- to-date run for Bitcoin has lifted the rest of the sector. Still, the cohort is doubling down on such positions.
"Crypto stock short sellers have been selling into a rallying market - either looking for a pullback in the Bitcoin rally or using the short positions as a hedge versus actual Bitcoin holdings," Ihor Dusaniwsky, managing director of predictive analytics at S3, said in the report.
Over the last 30 days, traders betting against crypto-linked stocks have increased their positions, especially in MicroStrategy even as its shares climbed. Traders have poured $974 million into bets that the enterprise software maker will fall. That's more than offset short covering – or contrarians buying back stock to exit trades - in shares of Coinbase, Marathon Digital Holdings Inc. and Hive Digital Technologies Ltd. in that period, per S3.
The increase has pushed total short interest in MicroStrategy higher, taking up more than 20% of its total float, or shares outstanding, per S3. The company is now one of the most-shorted stocks in the US market, stacking up against much bigger companies such as Nvidia Corp., Microsoft Corp. and Apple Inc.
Read more: MicroStrategy Burns Shorts for $3 Billion as Squeeze Risk Rises
Of course, there could be more pain ahead for short sellers if their bets against crypt0- linked stocks are incorrect. Many names in the group are poised for short squeezes, a phenomenon where short sellers are forced to buy the stock back to exit losing positions and in doing so push the price higher, further pressuring other traders.
MicroStrategy, Coinbase and Cleanspark Inc.
are all poised for a squeeze given their rally and a limited amount of available shares left to short, according to the S3 report. So far this year, MicroStrategy is up almost 200%, while Coinbase and Cleanspark are up about 60% and 115%, respectively.
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