August 27, 2023
"Welcome to our comprehensive guide on the Expert Advisor for Reaction Trend System! In this video, we dive deep into the world of trading and explore how expert advisors can revolutionize your approach. 📈Discover the power of this cutting-edge system and learn how to unlock profitable trading strategies. Our expert insights and step-by-step instructions will help you master the Reaction Trend System and maximize your returns. Whether you're a novice trader or an experienced investor, this video is packed with valuable tips and techniques to take your trading to the next level. Don't miss out on this opportunity to boost your trading success with the Expert Advisor for Reaction Trend System. Watch now and start optimizing your trading journey!"
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🌐 Learn more and download our Expert Advisor at https://doi.org/10.1016/j.simpa.2022.100331
#TradingExpertAdvisor #MarketTrends #AutomatedTrading #ReactionTrendSystem #ExpertAdvisor #ReactionTrendSystem #TradingStrategies #ForexTrading #AlgorithmicTrading #TradingTips #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialMarkets #TradingSuccess #TradingTools #AutomatedTrading #TradingSoftware #TechnicalAnalysis #ProfitableTrading #TradingEducation
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4
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Do Robo-Advisors Make Us Better Investors
In this video, we take a deep dive into the world of robo-advisors and explore whether they truly make us better investors. We analyze the latest data and research on the topic, and provide a comprehensive overview of the pros and cons of using robo-advisors for investing. Our expert panel weighs in on the effectiveness of robo-advisors, and we provide a behavioral finance perspective on their impact. Whether you're a beginner or an experienced investor, this video will provide valuable insights into the role of robo-advisors in the investment...
Investors increasingly can obtain advice from “robo-advisors,” artificial intelligence–enabled digitalized service agents. We study whether and why the provision of investment advice from a robo-advisor improves individuals’ investment decisions. In two consequential induced-value experiments, we analyze the well documented disposition effect, which reflects investors’ greater propensity to realize past gains than past losses. We find that the availability of a robo-advisor reduces (i.e., mitigates) investors’ disposition effect. Moreover, imbuing the robo-advisor with social design elements (e.g., a name and the ability to communicate using natural language) negatively affects investment behavior (i.e., increases the disposition effect). The extent to which investors seek advice mediates this effect, i.e., investors ask for advice to a lesser extent from a robo-advisor with, compared to without, social design elements. These results help advance our understanding on the benefits and limitations of artificial intelligence-enabled advisors for improving investors’ behavior in the context of increased digitization of financial services.
#roboadvisors #investing #finance #wealthmanagement #investmentstrategy #financialplanning #passiveinvesting #ETFs #indexfunds #wealthcreation #moneymanagement #retirementplanning #financialfreedom #personalfinance #investments
6
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Trend Forecasting and Trading in Forex Markets
Are you looking to maximize your profits in Forex markets? In this video, we'll explore expert trend forecasting and trading strategies that can help you succeed in this competitive market. From analyzing market trends to identifying profitable trades, we'll cover everything you need to know to make informed decisions and stay ahead of the curve. Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting out, this video is packed with valuable insights and actionable tips that can help you take your Forex trading to the next level. So, what are you waiting for? Watch now and start mastering trend forecasting and trading techniques in Forex markets!
Remember to include relevant keywords throughout your description, such as "Forex markets," "trend forecasting," and "trading." Also, make sure your description accurately reflects the content of your video and provides value to your viewers.
Foreign exchange (Forex) market is the biggest currency exchange market in the world. Existing trading systems in Forex markets based on technical analysis use crisp technical indicators to provide Buy/Sell signals to the trader, only when the indicator value crosses a given threshold level. This strict and noise-sensitive condition can be replaced through uncertainty handling of indicators using fuzzy numbers to generate Buy/Sell signals with fuzzy memberships functions. To achieve this purpose, this paper presents a combined technique based on ensemble multi-class support vector machine (EmcSVM) and fuzzy NSGA-II for efficient trend classification and trading in Forex markets. At first, EmcSVM is used to forecast and classify the future market trend into uptrend, sideway, and downtrend. Then, NSGA-II is applied to optimize the hyperparameters of the proposed fuzzy trading system comprising multiple AND-OR Buy/Sell technical rules for uptrend/downtrend markets. The hyperparameters include indicator selection within each rule, importance weights of the different rules, and final decision thresholds for Buy/Sell models, while the objective is to maximize average return on investment (ROI) and minimize average draw-down of all transactions. The proposed method has been successfully developed and tested on real data from the Forex market for EUR/USD currency pair in a 6-year timeframe from 2014 to 2019. Obtained results show that the proposed method outperforms the existing crisp trading systems, with 80.8% precision, 72.4% recall, 94.1% annual ROI, and 0.58% draw down.
#ForexTrading #ForexMarket #TrendForecasting #TradingStrategies #ForexTips #ForexEducation #ForexCommunity #ForexSignals #ForexAnalysis #ForexTraders #ForexInvesting #ForexSuccess #ForexProfits #ForexStrategy #ForexTradingTips #GoldTrade
19
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Gold and the Herd of Cryptos: Saving Oil in Blurry Times
"Welcome to our channel! In this thought-provoking video, we delve into the fascinating world of gold and cryptocurrencies, exploring their impact on oil conservation during uncertain times. Join us as we uncover the synergies between these two assets and their role in navigating the blurry economic landscape.
Discover the strategies and insights that can help you preserve resources and unlock value in the face of uncertainty. We explore the importance of oil conservation and how it ties into the growing popularity of cryptocurrencies amidst economic turbulence. Gain a deeper understanding of the power trio: gold, cryptos, and oil conservation, and how they shape the future.
Our expert analysis and engaging visuals provide a comprehensive overview of the connections between gold, cryptocurrencies, and the urgent need to save oil. Stay ahead of the curve and learn how to leverage these assets to safeguard resources and thrive in uncertain times.
Don't miss out on this enlightening discussion! Like, share, and subscribe to our channel for more valuable insights on navigating the ever-changing economic landscape. Together, let's unlock the potential of gold, cryptos, and oil conservation for a brighter future."
Abstract
This paper assesses the effectiveness of a broad set of 1066 active and continuously traded cryptocurrencies as a safe haven instrument against extreme oil price movements, in comparison to the corresponding roles of gold. The uncertainty for the oil market during the COVID-19 pandemic and the subsequent Russia–Ukraine conflict set the tone for natural experiments for our study. We use a trail-blazing dynamic generalized autoregressive score model to estimate the tail riskiness of the potential safe haven assets from January 1, 2020, to September 30, 2022. By estimating the risk exposure of all cryptocurrency assets, we determine top ten safest assets for investment. Our results show the emergence of new safe haven cryptocurrencies, which have previously been ignored by the academic literature and policy makers alike. Intriguingly, our findings reveal that gold has been replaced by altcoins as the safest assets during both the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia–Ukraine conflict. At this instance, our findings suggest that Bitcoin provides lengthier safe haven properties than gold for oil returns in both periods. However, the safe haven properties of gold and cryptocurrencies are time varying. Last but not least, we introduce a new Cryptocurrency Tail Risk Index (CTRI) that captures the risk exposure of cryptocurrency market, as a whole. Our results suggest that investment in numerous cryptocurrencies provides lengthier safe haven properties than investing in gold alone.
#GoldAndCryptos #OilConservation #UncertainTimes #SustainableFuture #ResourcePreservation #CryptoHerd #EconomicLandscape #ValueUnlocking #NavigatingBlurryTimes #SynergyOfAssets #ThriveInUncertainty #PowerTrio #UnlockingPotential #BrighterFuture #InsightsAndStrategies
31
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Does Oil Predict Gold?
In this video, we explore the surprising connection between oil and gold, two of the world's most valuable commodities. We'll analyze the data and examine historical trends to answer the question: Does oil predict gold?
Join us as we dive into the world of global markets and investing, and learn how to make smart financial decisions based on the latest data and expert insights. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just starting out, this video is packed with valuable information and actionable tips to help you succeed.
Topics covered in this video include:
- The history of oil and gold and their role in the global economy
- The impact of global events on oil and gold prices
- The psychology of investing in oil and gold
- Debunking common myths and misconceptions about these two valuable commodities
Don't miss out on this informative and engaging video! Remember to like, comment, and subscribe for more great
Abstract
This paper examines the predictive power of oil price for gold price using the novel nonparametric causality-in-quantiles testing approach. The study uses weekly data over the April 1983-August 2016 period for both the spot and 1-month to 12-month futures markets. The new approach, the causality-in-quantile, allows one to test for causality-in-mean and causality-in-variance when there may be no causality in the first moment but higher order interdependencies may exist. The tests are preferred over the linear Granger causality test that might be subject to misleading results due to misspecification. Contrary to no predictability results obtained under misspecified linear structure, the nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test shows that oil price has a weak predictive power for the gold price. Moreover, the causality-in-variance tests obtain strong support for the predictive capacity of oil for gold market volatility. The results underline the importance of accounting for nonlinearity in the analysis of causality from oil to gold.
#oilandgold #commodities #investing #globalmarkets #financialdecisions #economy #historicaltrends #expertinsights #psychologyofinvesting #debunkingmyths #globalnews #marketanalysis #trading #preciousmetals #wealthmanagement
8
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FOMC Minutes Sentiments and their Impact on Financial Markets
FOMC Minutes Sentiments and their Impact on Financial Markets
In this video, we'll take a deep dive into the impact of FOMC minutes sentiments on financial markets. We'll explore how the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings affect the economy and the stock market, and how investors can use this information to make informed decisions. We'll also discuss the key takeaways from the latest FOMC minutes and what they mean for the future of the financial markets.
Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, this video will provide valuable insights into the world of finance and help you stay ahead of the curve. So sit back, relax, and join us as we explore the fascinating world of FOMC minutes and their impact on financial markets.
#FOMC #FederalOpenMarketCommittee #financialmarkets #stockmarket #investing #economy #sentiments #interestrates #monetarypolicy #economicindicators #marketanalysis #tradingstrategy #investorinsights #financialnews #economicoutlook
3
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Gold Trading Strategies: Maximize Your Profits
Looking to maximize your profits in gold trading? Discover powerful strategies and expert tips in this comprehensive guide. Whether you're a beginner or an experienced trader, this video will equip you with the knowledge and insights needed to navigate the gold market and boost your earnings.
In this video, our expert traders delve into a variety of gold trading strategies, ranging from fundamental analysis to technical indicators, helping you make informed decisions and capitalize on market opportunities. Learn how to identify key trends, interpret price patterns, and leverage market sentiment to your advantage.
We'll explore time-tested techniques that have consistently yielded positive results for traders. Uncover the secrets behind successful entry and exit points, risk management strategies, and portfolio diversification to ensure a well-rounded approach to gold trading.
Additionally, we'll provide valuable tips for optimizing your trading platform, utilizing advanced charting tools, and staying updated with the latest news and economic indicators that impact the gold market. By staying informed and adapting your trading strategies accordingly, you can stay one step ahead of the competition.
Don't miss out on this opportunity to enhance your gold trading skills and take your profits to new heights. Whether you're aiming for short-term gains or long-term investments, this video has the knowledge you need to make strategic decisions and maximize your potential returns in the exciting world of gold trading.
Subscribe now to our channel and join our community of successful traders who consistently profit from gold trading. Start watching today and unlock the key strategies that will transform your trading journey. Remember, knowledge is power, and with the right strategies, you can unlock the full potential of gold trading and achieve your financial goals.
#GoldTrading #TradingStrategies #MaximizeYourProfits #TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis #RiskManagement #GoldCharts #EconomicUncertainty #Commodities #Investing #Finance #TradingTips #TradingEducation #TradingCommunity #tradingsuccess
https://bit.ly/3MAgaPG
4
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The Impact of Gold Price and Us Dollar Index
In this insightful video, we delve into the fascinating correlation between the gold price and the US Dollar Index, two vital factors that greatly influence global economies and financial markets. Join us as we uncover the intricate relationship between these key indicators and their impact on various aspects of the economy.
This literature aims to analyze the impact of the Dollar Index and Gold Price returns and
volatility on stock market volatility of India and China, viz., Shanghai Stock Exchange and
Bombay Stock Exchange Sensex, during the period of Covid-19. This study employs daily
time-series data from January up to August for 2019, 2020, and a merged data of 2019-2020,
i.e., Pre-Pandemic, Mid-Pandemic and Pre through Mid-Pandemic periods, respectively; to
avoid possible abnormalities and heteroscedasticity, the GARCH (1,1) model is utilized to
scrutinize the data depending on which distribution is more acceptable, GED or Gaussian,
which is decided based on the Unit-Root and normality test results. The findings of this
study prove that Gold Price mostly does have a significant effect on both markets,
especially during times of financial crisis like the Covid-19 epidemic. Whereas Dollar Index has a significant impact on emerging markets such as India and China though significant
effects persist in some cases, it is not valid in most cases.
Understanding the interplay between the gold price and the US Dollar Index is crucial for investors, traders, and anyone interested in the financial landscape. We'll examine how fluctuations in the gold price and the US Dollar Index affect each other, and how this intricate dance can shape investment decisions and economic forecasts.
Our expert analysts will share their insights on the historical trends and patterns observed between gold and the US Dollar Index, shedding light on the reasons behind their correlation. We'll explore how global events, economic policies, and market sentiment can influence the value of both assets and create ripple effects across industries.
By the end of this video, you'll gain a deeper understanding of the relationship between the gold price and the US Dollar Index, empowering you to make more informed investment decisions and stay ahead of market dynamics. Don't miss this opportunity to expand your knowledge and enhance your financial acumen.
Subscribe to our channel for more thought-provoking discussions on the latest economic trends, market analysis, and investment strategies. Like and share this video to help others discover the intricate relationship between the gold price and the US Dollar Index. Stay tuned for valuable insights that can shape your financial future.
gold price, US Dollar Index, economy, financial markets, investment, market analysis, economic trends, correlation, global events, financial acumen, and investment strategies.
#GoldPrice, #USdollarIndex, #Economy, #FinancialMarkets, #Investment, #MarketAnalysis, #EconomicTrends, #GlobalEvents, #FinancialAcumen, #InvestmentStrategies, #GoldMarket, #CurrencyExchange, #MonetaryPolicy, #MarketVolatility, #AssetAllocation, #Inflation, #Hedge, #PortfolioDiversification, #MarketForecast, #RiskManagement, #SafeHaven, #PreciousMetals, #CurrencyFluctuations, #MarketInsights, #marketresearchreport, #China Stock Exchange,
#Stock Exchange of India
https://bit.ly/43GMgOV
15
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Modeling of Cryptocurrency Returns
"Modeling of Cryptocurrency Returns" is a captivating video that delves into the fascinating world of cryptocurrencies and explores the art of predicting and modeling their returns. In this insightful presentation, we dive into the various methodologies and techniques used to analyze historical data and develop models that can forecast the future performance of cryptocurrencies. From statistical models to machine learning algorithms, we uncover the secrets behind accurately estimating cryptocurrency returns. Whether you're a seasoned investor, a cryptocurrency enthusiast, or simply curious about the financial potential of these digital assets, this video offers valuable insights and strategies to help you navigate the complex world of cryptocurrency investments. Join us on this educational journey as we unlock the mysteries of cryptocurrency returns and empower you with the knowledge to make informed investment decisions in this dynamic and rapidly evolving market.
Abstract
Purpose
Critics say cryptocurrencies are hard to predict and lack both economic value and accounting standards, while supporters argue they are revolutionary financial technology and a new asset class. This study aims to help accounting and financial modelers compare cryptocurrencies with other asset classes (such as gold, stocks and bond markets) and develop cryptocurrency forecast models.
Design/methodology/approach
Daily data from 12/31/2013 to 08/01/2020 (including the COVID-19 pandemic period) for the top six cryptocurrencies that constitute 80% of the market are used. Cryptocurrency price, return and volatility are forecasted using five traditional econometric techniques: pooled ordinary least squares (OLS) regression, fixed-effect model (FEM), random-effect model (REM), panel vector error correction model (VECM) and generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH). Fama and French's five-factor analysis, a frequently used method to study stock returns, is conducted on cryptocurrency returns in a panel-data setting. Finally, an efficient frontier is produced with and without cryptocurrencies to see how adding cryptocurrencies to a portfolio makes a difference.
Findings
The seven findings in this analysis are summarized as follows: (1) VECM produces the best out-of-sample price forecast of cryptocurrency prices; (2) cryptocurrencies are unlike cash for accounting purposes as they are very volatile: the standard deviations of daily returns are several times larger than those of the other financial assets; (3) cryptocurrencies are not a substitute for gold as a safe-haven asset; (4) the five most significant determinants of cryptocurrency daily returns are emerging markets stock index, S&P 500 stock index, return on gold, volatility of daily returns and the volatility index (VIX); (5) their return volatility is persistent and can be forecasted using the GARCH model; (6) in a portfolio setting, cryptocurrencies exhibit negative alpha, high beta, similar to small and growth stocks and (7) a cryptocurrency portfolio offers more portfolio choices for investors and resembles a levered portfolio.
Practical implications
One of the tasks of the financial econometrics profession is building pro forma models that meet accounting standards and satisfy auditors. This paper undertook such activity by deploying traditional financial econometric methods and applying them to an emerging cryptocurrency asset class.
Originality/value
This paper attempts to contribute to the existing academic literature in three ways: Pro forma models for price forecasting: five established traditional econometric techniques (as opposed to novel methods) are deployed to forecast prices; Cryptocurrency as a group: instead of analyzing one currency at a time and running the risk of missing out on cross-sectional effects (as done by most other researchers), the top-six cryptocurrencies constitute 80% of the market, are analyzed together as a group using panel-data methods; Cryptocurrencies as financial assets in a portfolio: To understand the linkages between cryptocurrencies and traditional portfolio characteristics, an efficient frontier is produced with and without cryptocurrencies to see how adding cryptocurrencies to an investment portfolio makes a difference.
Citation
Malladi, R.K. (2023), "Pro forma modeling of cryptocurrency returns, volatilities, linkages and portfolio characteristics", China Accounting and Finance Review, Vol. 25 No. 2, pp. 145-183. https://doi.org/10.1108/CAFR-02-2022-0001
#CryptocurrencyReturns #InvestmentStrategies #DataAnalysis #FinancialForecasting #CryptoModels #BlockchainInvestments #CryptocurrencyMarket #DigitalAssets #PredictiveModels #CryptoAnalytics #CryptocurrencyInvesting #FinancialInsights #CryptoForecasting #TradingStrategies #cryptoresearch
https://bit.ly/41vEFSL
191
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Multiple Exchanges of Cryptocurrencies
In this video, we explore the concept of market efficiency hypothesis in the context of cryptocurrency trading across multiple exchanges. Our study aims to determine whether there are any discrepancies in market efficiency levels between various exchanges and whether the prices of the same cryptocurrencies traded on different exchanges are temporally related to each other. To achieve this, we conducted ADF and KPSS tests, as well as the vector autoregression model of order p (VAR(p)) for a multivariate system.
Our findings indicate that while Bitcoin and Ethereum show efficiency in the weak form on the main platforms in each market alone, there is evidence of Granger causality between cryptocurrencies in all exchanges when estimating a VAR(p) between prices among exchanges. This suggests that the efficient market hypothesis is not adequate due to cross information.
Our study highlights the importance of assessing the cryptocurrency market in a multivariate way to promote a broader understanding of its inherent risks and favor its maturation process. It also emphasizes the need for regulation of exchanges in the digital asset market to prevent price manipulation on a single platform, which can impact others and generate various distortions.
By watching this video, you will gain a better understanding of market efficiency hypothesis in the cryptocurrency market and its practical and social implications. Stay tuned for more insightful videos on the latest developments in the world of cryptocurrencies.
#cryptocurrency, #blockchain, #bitcoin, #altcoins, #crypto, #decentralization, #fintech, #digitalassets, #investing, #hodl
https://bit.ly/3LXqctg
1
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Cryptocurrency Hedging: Boosting Effectiveness in the European Stock Market
Discover the power of cryptocurrency hedging and boost your investment strategy in the European stock market with this comprehensive guide! In this educational video, we dive deep into the world of cryptocurrency hedging and explore its role in the European stock market. You'll learn about the key factors that influence hedging effectiveness, real-world examples of successful cryptocurrency hedging strategies, and tips and tricks to optimize your investment portfolio.
Whether you're a seasoned investor or just starting out, this video is packed with valuable insights and expert advice to help you make informed decisions and maximize your returns. Join us as we explore the basics of cryptocurrency hedging, and learn how to navigate the European stock market with confidence.
Don't forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more content on cryptocurrency, investing, and the stock market. Stay ahead of the game with our expert tips and strategies!
Note: This video is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
#CryptocurrencyHedging, #EuropeanStockMarket, #InvestmentStrategy, #CryptoInvesting, #PortfolioOptimization, #FinancialMarkets, #StockMarketTips, #CryptoTrading, #BlockchainTechnology, #FinancialEducation
https://bit.ly/3LXqctg
3
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Money in the time of Crypto (4)
Are you curious about the world of cryptocurrency and how it can impact your finances? Join us on a journey through the fascinating world of digital currencies, where we'll explore the latest trends, strategies, and technologies that are driving the crypto revolution. In this video, we'll cover essential topics like understanding blockchain technology, investing in cryptocurrencies, and maximizing your profits through trading strategies. Whether you're a seasoned investor or a complete beginner, our expert tips and insights will help you navigate the complex world of crypto with ease. Don't miss out on the opportunity to build wealth in the age of digital currencies - watch this video now and unlock your financial potential! Be sure to like, comment, and subscribe for more valuable content on cryptocurrency and financial success. #Cryptocurrency #DigitalCurrency #FinancialGrowth #coinmarketcal #poocoin
https://bit.ly/3LGKTtz
1
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What you're not being told about Crypto
In this video, I'm going to talk about what you're not being told about Crypto. Crypto is a new kind of money that is changing the way we think about banking and payments. I'll discuss the benefits of Crypto and how you can start using it today.
Crypto is a powerful new financial system that is changing the way we think about money. In this video, I'm going to discuss the benefits of Crypto and how you can start using it today. I'll also talk about the risks associated with Crypto, so be sure to watch carefully!
In this video, we're going to talk about what you're not being told about Crypto. We'll cover the history of Crypto, how it works, and what the future holds for it. Cryptocurrency is a new and exciting way to make money. In this video, we're going to talk about what Crypto is, how it works, and what the future holds for it. We hope you find this video useful and that we can help you learn more about this amazing new way to make money! In this video, I'm going to share with you some things that you may not be being told about cryptocurrency. We'll talk about the history of cryptocurrency, how it works, and some of the risks associated with it. Cryptocurrency is a powerful tool that can be used for good or bad, and it's important to understand all of the risks before investing. In this video, I'm arming you with the knowledge you need to make an informed decision about cryptocurrency. So come join me on this crypto journey!
#CryptoInvesting, #TopCryptoStrategies, #Blockchain, #DigitalAssets, #financialsuccess
https://bit.ly/3LGKTtz
3
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Money in the Time of Crypto
"Money in the Time of Crypto" is a phrase that encapsulates the current state of our financial system as we enter the era of digital currencies. With the advent of blockchain technology and the rise of cryptocurrencies, our traditional notion of money is rapidly evolving.
In the past, money was primarily issued and controlled by governments and central banks. But with the emergence of cryptocurrencies, the power to issue and control money is shifting to decentralized networks of individuals and communities.
One of the most significant advantages of digital currencies is their ability to facilitate fast, secure, and low-cost transactions across borders without the need for intermediaries. Cryptocurrencies are also increasingly being used as a store of value, with many investors considering them as an alternative to traditional assets such as stocks, bonds, and commodities.
However, the world of crypto is not without its challenges and risks. Volatility, cybersecurity threats, and regulatory uncertainties are just a few of the factors that make investing in cryptocurrencies a high-risk proposition.
To navigate this landscape successfully, it is essential to have a sound understanding of blockchain technology and the fundamentals of digital currencies. Investors also need to be familiar with the various types of cryptocurrencies and their underlying technologies, as well as the regulatory and legal frameworks governing them.
Ultimately, money in the time of crypto represents a fundamental shift in the way we think about and manage our financial affairs. As we embrace this new era of digital currencies, it is crucial to stay informed and educated about the opportunities and risks that come with this rapidly evolving landscape.
https://bit.ly/41vEFSL
4
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Money in the Time of Crypto (2)
"Money in the Time of Crypto" is a phrase that encapsulates the current state of our financial system as we enter the era of digital currencies. With the advent of blockchain technology and the rise of cryptocurrencies, our traditional notion of money is rapidly evolving.
In the past, money was primarily issued and controlled by governments and central banks. But with the emergence of cryptocurrencies, the power to issue and control money is shifting to decentralized networks of individuals and communities.
One of the most significant advantages of digital currencies is their ability to facilitate fast, secure, and low-cost transactions across borders without the need for intermediaries. Cryptocurrencies are also increasingly being used as a store of value, with many investors considering them as an alternative to traditional assets such as stocks, bonds, and commodities.
However, the world of crypto is not without its challenges and risks. Volatility, cybersecurity threats, and regulatory uncertainties are just a few of the factors that make investing in cryptocurrencies a high-risk proposition.
To navigate this landscape successfully, it is essential to have a sound understanding of blockchain technology and the fundamentals of digital currencies. Investors also need to be familiar with the various types of cryptocurrencies and their underlying technologies, as well as the regulatory and legal frameworks governing them.
Ultimately, money in the time of crypto represents a fundamental shift in the way we think about and manage our financial affairs. As we embrace this new era of digital currencies, it is crucial to stay informed and educated about the opportunities and risks that come with this rapidly evolving landscape.
https://bit.ly/41vEFSL
2
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Global Weather-Based Trading Strategies
Discover the power of global weather-based trading strategies in this comprehensive guide to profitable climate-influenced investments. Learn how to navigate the complex world of weather-driven markets and capitalize on the ever-changing patterns of our planet's climate.
In this video, we'll explore the fundamentals of weather-based trading strategies, including the key factors that drive market fluctuations and the various investment opportunities available. We'll discuss the importance of understanding weather patterns, seasonal trends, and their impact on industries such as agriculture, energy, and transportation.
Our expert analysis will provide you with valuable insights into the most effective techniques for predicting market movements and identifying lucrative investment opportunities. We'll also share real-world examples of successful weather-based trading strategies and the tools you need to implement them in your own portfolio.
By the end of this video, you'll be equipped with the knowledge and skills to confidently navigate the world of global weather-based trading strategies and maximize your returns in this exciting and dynamic market.
Don't miss out on this opportunity to gain a competitive edge in the world of weather-driven investments. Be sure to like, share, and subscribe to our channel for more insightful content on innovative trading strategies and market trends.
We estimate the profitability of global index-level trading strategies formed on daily weather conditions across 49 countries. We use pre-market weather conditions (sunshine, wind, rain, snow, and temperature) and the statistical relationship between weather and returns to predict index returns each day. In the out-of-sample test for our 1993–2012 sample, a global weather-based hedge strategy produces a mean annual return of 15.2% compared to a mean world index return of 6.2%, corresponding to a Sharpe ratio of 0.462 relative to 0.243 for the world index. Our findings confirm that multiple weather conditions exert economically important impacts on stock returns around the globe.
https://bit.ly/3mECZqM
7
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Nowcasting of the Short-Run Euro-Dollar Exchange Rate with Economic Fundamentals
The vector autoregressive (VAR) model is a popular approach that has been used to analyze the interdependence of economic variables. In the context of exchange rate nowcasting, the model can be used to capture the dynamic relationships between the Euro-Dollar exchange rate and other economic variables such as interest rates, inflation, and economic growth rates. The model can be estimated using historical data and then used to predict the exchange rate based on the current values of the other variables. The VAR model can be augmented with time-varying parameters to capture changes in the relationship between the variables over time. This approach is widely used in the literature and has been shown to be effective in predicting exchange rates.
The dynamic factor model (DFM) is another approach that can be used to nowcast the exchange rate. The DFM is a statistical model that extracts common factors from a large set of economic indicators and uses them to predict the exchange rate. The model can handle a large number of variables and can capture the underlying trends and relationships between the variables. The DFM is particularly useful when there are many economic indicators available, but it may require more data to estimate than the VAR model.
Machine learning techniques such as neural networks and support vector machines can also be used to nowcast the exchange rate. These methods can handle nonlinear relationships between the variables and can capture complex patterns in the data. However, they require large amounts of data to train the models, and their performance may depend on the choice of the input variables and model parameters.
Our results indicate that the specified model outperforms the Random Walk and other structural models at all forecasting horizons.
https://bit.ly/3MAgaPG
16
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Swing Trading in Stock Market
Due to the highly volatile and fluctuating nature of the Indian stock market which is influenced by a
number of factors including government policies, release of a company’s financial reports, investor’s
sentiment, geopolitical situation, and many others, the prediction of the stock market has been a
daunting task for traders. In this study, a Long Short Term Memory enforced Decision Support System
is developed for swing traders to accurately analyze and predict the future stock values. The Decision
support system generates a report which incorporates the predicted values of the company stock for
the next 30 days and other technical indicators like MFI, relative RSI, the Support and Resistance of the
stock price, five Fibonacci retracement levels, and the MACD and SIGNAL LINE analysis of the company
and NIFTY industry average stock price. The trader can use the investment success score calculated in
the report to augment his investment decisions. The results achieved by the proposed model in terms
of Root Mean Square Error, Mean absolute error, and Mean Absolute Percentage Error are 4.13, 3.24,
and 1.21 % respectively which establishes the efficacy of the proposed technique compared with the
state-of-art techniques.
An LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) based decision support system can be used for swing trading in the stock market. Swing trading involves holding a stock for a short period, typically a few days to a few weeks, and taking advantage of price fluctuations within that time frame.
Here is a high-level overview of how an LSTM based decision support system could be used for swing trading:
1.Data collection: Collect historical stock price data, including open, high, low, and close prices, as well as trading volume and other relevant information.
2.Preprocessing: Preprocess the data by scaling it and dividing it into training, validation, and testing datasets. You may also want to perform feature engineering to create new features that could help improve the model's accuracy.
3.Model training: Train an LSTM neural network using the training dataset. The LSTM model can be trained to predict future stock prices based on the historical data.
4.Model validation: Validate the LSTM model using the validation dataset to ensure that it is performing well.
5.Model testing: Test the LSTM model using the testing dataset to see how well it performs on unseen data.
6.Decision making: Use the LSTM model to make decisions on when to buy and sell stocks based on predicted price movements. For example, if the LSTM model predicts that the price of a particular stock will increase in the next few days, you could buy that stock and hold it until the model predicts that the price will start to decrease.
7.Re-evaluation: Continuously re-evaluate the LSTM model's performance and update it as necessary to ensure that it continues to make accurate predictions.
It's worth noting that the stock market is highly unpredictable and volatile, and there is no guarantee that an LSTM-based decision support system will always make accurate predictions. Therefore, it is important to exercise caution and to use other sources of information, such as fundamental analysis and market sentiment, to make informed decisions.
https://bit.ly/3mkkqbd
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Can gold prices forecast the Australian dollar movements?
Gold prices and the Australian dollar (AUD) are often positively correlated, meaning that they tend to move in the same direction. This is because Australia is one of the world's largest gold producers, and gold is one of Australia's largest exports.
However, while there is a correlation between gold prices and the AUD, it is important to note that correlation does not necessarily imply causation. In other words, just because gold prices and the AUD tend to move in the same direction, it does not mean that one is causing the other to move.
In addition, there are many other factors that can influence the value of the AUD, such as interest rates, economic growth, and political developments. Therefore, while gold prices can be one factor to consider when forecasting the movements of the AUD, they should not be relied on exclusively.
Overall, while there may be some relationship between gold prices and the movements of the AUD, it is important to consider a range of factors when trying to predict the future movements of any currency.
https://bit.ly/3mkkqbd
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Metals Price Forecasting
This research is the first attempt to create machine learning (ML) algorithmic systems that would be able to automatically trade precious metals. The algorithm uses three forecast methodologies: linear regression (LR), Darvas boxes (DB), and Bollinger bands (BB). Our data consists of
20 years of daily price data concerning five precious metals futures: gold, silver, copper, platinum, and palladium. We found that all of the examined precious metals’ current daily returns are negatively autocorrelated to their former day’s returns and identified lagged interdependencies among the
examined metals. Silver futures prices were found to be best forecasted by our systems, and platinum the worst. Moreover, our system better forecasts price-up trends than downtrends for all examined techniques and commodities. Linear regression was found to be the best technique to forecast silver and gold prices trends, while the Bollinger band technique best fits palladium forecasting.
https://bit.ly/3YPi7u8
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Gold and Bitcoin
Herein, we have studied the impulse response of gold, Bitcoin, oil and stock markets before and after the COVID-19 based on the TVP-VAR model to determine whether gold or Bitcoin can be considered as a safe haven for oil and stock markets during the COVID-19 pandemic. First, we explore their time-varying impulse responses in different lag periods. Our findings indicate that gold can be used as a safe haven asset for oil and stock markets during the COVID-19 pandemic, but Bitcoin cannot be regarded as a safe haven. Moreover, gold’s safe haven property for the stock market becomes stronger when the pandemic spreads critically. Gold’s safe haven effect is better for the stock market initially, and the safe haven effects for oil strengthen later. Moreover, both gold and Bitcoin have a good hedging effect on oil before the COVID-19 pandemic, but only gold can hedge stock market shocks prior to the COVID-19 pandemic.
Furthermore, we use the ARMA model to eliminate the trend of new infected cases during the COVID-19 pandemic, and then obtain the residual sequence using the ARMA model. The ICSS method based on the residual sequence is used to select the structural breakpoints as the time points of the time-varying effects at different times. Through the timepoint impulse response analysis of four different structural breakpoints, it is found that the impulse response direction and intensity also vary under different events. Summarily, Bitcoin cannot be a safe haven against oil and stock market movements under the impact of the four special events. In contrast, gold can be considered as a safe haven for oil only under the impact of more than 90 million people infected worldwide, but gold can against the stock market shocks on the key points, except when the good news about the development of the vaccine was announced. Additionally, gold’s safe haven effects against stock market movement are stronger when the COVID-19 pandemic becomes more serious, namely, asymptomatic transmission. The aforementioned key time-point impulse effects support our discoveries in the time-varying impulse response.
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Bitcoin Price Predictions
Bitcoin has attracted a lot of attention from individual and institutional investors. Overall, while interest rates, inflation, and market volatility can all have an impact on Bitcoin prices.
With regards to the question as to whether the most important macroeconomic variables for forecasting Bitcoin prices are the same as those for gold prices, the answer is mixed. The oil price volatility index is an important predictor for both Bitcoin price direction and gold price direction indicating that Bitcoin is a substitute for gold in diversifying this type of volatility. Ten-year bond yields are also important for predicting Bitcoin price direction. The 10-year US Treasury bond is often used to gauge investor confidence and is a proxy for other financial assets like mortgage rates. The importance of the 10-year bond yield in predicting Bitcoin prices indicates that Bitcoin is being viewed by investors as an investable asset but not necessarily as a hedge against inflation. By comparison gold prices are more influenced by inflation than Bitcoin indicating that gold can be used as a hedge or diversification asset against inflation.
https://bit.ly/3n2uZjl
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The correlation between the stock market and Bitcoin
The correlation between the stock market and Bitcoin can vary depending on a variety of factors, including economic conditions, investor sentiment, and regulatory developments.
In general, the relationship between the stock market and Bitcoin is complex and not always predictable. While there are some instances where the two markets have moved in tandem, there are also many instances where they have moved in opposite directions.
One potential explanation for the lack of a consistent correlation between the stock market and Bitcoin is that they are influenced by different factors. The stock market is typically more closely tied to the performance of the broader economy, while Bitcoin is influenced by a range of factors including investor sentiment, technological developments, and regulatory changes.
Another factor that can influence the correlation between the stock market and Bitcoin is the behavior of institutional investors. As more traditional financial firms begin to invest in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, their actions may have a greater impact on the price of these assets and their relationship to the stock market.
Overall, while there may be some correlation between the stock market and Bitcoin at times, the relationship between the two markets is complex and multifaceted and is likely to evolve over time as new developments and trends emerge.
https://bit.ly/3Fz65Ot
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Unlock the Secrets of Oil Price and Bitcoin Markets
Hi everyone, Welcome to our channel, where we discuss the latest news and trends in the financial markets. Today, we will be talking about two of the most discussed topics in the market: oil prices and Bitcoin.
Oil prices have been volatile over the past few years, with prices surging to record highs in 2018, and then plummeting to historic lows in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Currently, oil prices are on the rise again due to the easing of lockdown restrictions and the increase in demand for oil.
However, the recent surge in oil prices is also causing concerns for many investors and consumers, as higher oil prices could lead to inflation and slow down economic growth. Moreover, the ongoing tensions in the Middle East and the uncertain global economic outlook could also impact the oil markets in the future.
On the other hand, Bitcoin has been a buzzword in the financial markets for a while now. The digital currency has seen significant gains over the past year, hitting an all-time high of over $64,000 in April 2021. However, the volatility of Bitcoin is also a cause of concern for many investors, as the currency can experience sudden price drops as well.
Moreover, the growing concern over the environmental impact of Bitcoin mining has also led to criticism of the digital currency. Despite these concerns, many investors are still bullish on bitcoin as it continues to gain mainstream acceptance and adoption.
So, how are these two markets related? Well, both oil prices and Bitcoin can have an impact on the global economy and financial markets. Higher oil prices can lead to higher inflation, which can impact consumer spending and slow down economic growth. On the other hand, Bitcoin's volatility can also impact investor sentiment and potentially cause market instability.
Furthermore, the rising demand for alternative energy sources could impact the future of the oil markets, as renewable energy sources become more popular. This could lead to a shift in investor focus towards more sustainable and environmentally friendly investments, such as Bitcoin.
In conclusion, both oil prices and Bitcoin are important markets to watch in the financial world, as they can have significant impacts on the global economy and investor sentiment. While these markets may seem unrelated, they are both important indicators of the current economic climate and can provide valuable insights into future market trends.
Thanks for tuning in to our channel, and we hope you found this discussion informative. Don't forget to like and subscribe for more updates on the financial markets!
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