Hedge Funder Reveals Why Stocks May Zoom Higher (w/ Glen Kacher)
SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with John and the New Harbor Financial team here: https://www.greylockpeak.com/
In the wake of our recent amazing interviews with greats like Jim Rogers, James Grant, Ben Hunt and David Stockman — all of whom express great concern that today’s elevated market prices may undergo a sudden and violent correction — many of you have asked us to bring on a expert to challenge that point of view.
Which we are more than happy to do. To avoid the echo chamber risk, it’s essential to understand the positions of those who draw different interpretations as we do from the same data.
So, what’s the bull case for the markets from here?
Longtime successful hedge fund manager Glen Kacher, CIO and founder of Light Street Capital, courageously accepted our invitation to make the argument for higher stock prices ahead.
While he shares some of the Peak Prosperity audience’s concerns about excessive valuation multiples, the long -term risks of Federal Reserve intervention, and rising social inequity, Glen still sees a preponderance of factors keeping the environment beneficial for numerous sectors — particularly his fund’s main focus, Technology.
On the other side of the argument, our recommended advisors at New Harbor Financial remain skeptical that markets can continue rising higher for much longer.
They remind us that we are seeing many of the same conditions that have presaged substantial, sustained corrections in the past.
So whether you agree with the bull outlook or not, now is the time to partner with a financial advisor who understands the risks in play, can craft an appropriate portfolio strategy for you given your needs, and apply sound risk management protection where appropriate.
Anyone interested in scheduling a free consultation and portfolio review with Mike Preston and John Llodra and their team at New Harbor Financial can do so by clicking here:
https://www.greylockpeak.com/
And if you’re one of the many readers brand new to Peak Prosperity over the past few months, we strongly urge you get your financial situation in order in parallel with your ongoing physical coronavirus preparations.
We recommend you do so in partnership with a professional financial advisor who understands the macro risks to the market that we discuss on this website. If you’ve already got one, great.
But if not, consider talking to the team at New Harbor. We’ve set up this ‘free consultation’ relationship with them to help folks exactly like you.
https://www.greylockpeak.com/
9
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Election Disaster: Half the nation mourns & the whole nation loses
Whether Biden or Trump wins, the nation loses. I am a studious avoider of left-right politics preferring the up-down axis.
Neither party has advanced meaningful ideas for any of our biggest and most vexing problems and predicaments.
#1: there's no comprehensive energy policy that comports with reality. Nothing. It's the biggest oversight of them all. It leaves us all horribly unprepared for the future
#2: The US sick care system bankrupts more than 600,000 US families each year even as the US spend more than 2x as much per capita as other nations (who also enjoy better outcomes). Why no protests over this vile way we treat ourselves here in the US? Ever think about that?
#3: Monetary and fiscal policy. Neither party is going to do anything but more of the same. And where has that gotten us? to the largest fiscal deficits on record, the largest amount of money printing ever, and the widest wealth gap ever.
This all leads to one rock-solid conclusion. No matter how this turns out, we all lose. So you'd better be working on your personal and community resilience.
https://www.peakprosperity.com
5
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THE UGLY TRUTH: Your health isn't their priority
Think your health and the common welfare is the top priority of your national health managers? Think again.
Here I present evidence that even as new lockdowns are underway in France, there's no apparent interest in the French health managers to use proven over the counter (OTC) supplements and treatments that work.
Why not? What's going on here? How can this even be "a thing?"
I don't know but I can state, unequivocally, that the science is clear; ivermectin, HCQ, along with Vitamin D and adequate serum levels of zinc and selenium are a powerful combination that severely limits the worst of covid (the disease).
Shorter hospital stays and less mortality coupled with ridiculously good safety profiles. What's not to like? Well, plenty, for the national health managers who have not managed to promote these quite obvious and useful remedies.
Again, why not? that's the question.
Whatever priorities they've got, your health and the common good are not among them.
Links:
Oct 29
Vanderbilt TN Masks reduce hospitalizations
https://www.vumc.org/health-policy/sites/default/files/public_files/Vanderbilt%20COVID19%20Report-Oct%2027.pdf
French dummies
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/oct/28/france-expected-to-impose-four-week-national-lockdown-covid
Ivermectin Works
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.10.26.20219345v1.full.pdf
Dr. Zlenko's Paper
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0924857920304258
HCQ Works in India as prophylaxis
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3689618
Harvey Risch's Editorial
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/fda-obstruction-patients-die-while-trump-gets-the-blame
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Vitamin D Reduces Mortality Risk by -89%
After a week's break, we're back! This time with a truly puzzling bit of information.
Vitamin D has now been shown in study after study to cut Covid mortality in the elderly by a massive amount - up to an 89% reduction in deaths.
This data has been steadily accumulating for months. Vitamin D has been known to be a powerful immunomodulator for decades. It's also known to be extremely safe...almost ridiculously safe.
Yet the UK, US and France (among other nations) neither advocate for Vitamin D supplementation in their general populations as a guard against Covid-19, nor do their current treatment protocols include it.
I have to ask: WTF? Seriously, what's going on here? Whatever it is, it's not based on science, nor is it concerned with patient health or survival.
So if you are a doctor there's absolutely no reason not to be administering a large Vitamin D bolus to every patient upon check-in at the hospital. To every person out there, as a preventative for both Covid and other viral illnesses, you really should be taking Vitamin D.
Links:
Vitamin D is essential!
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S096007602030296X#fig0010
NHS – UK guidelines
https://www.england.nhs.uk/coronavirus/wp-content/uploads/sites/52/2020/03/clinical-management-of-persons-admitted-to-hospita-v1-19-march-2020.pdf
NICE – UK no vitamin D
https://www.nice.org.uk/advice/es28/chapter/Advisory-statement-on-likely-place-in-therapy
Nice Budget & Staffing
https://www.inahta.org/members/nice/
France – Covid treatments – no Vitamin D
https://www.gouvernement.fr/en/coronavirus-covid-19
Pasteur institute
https://www.pasteur.fr/en/medical-center/disease-sheets/covid-19-disease-novel-coronavirus#treatment
Vitamin D study in Spain 80% hosp had low levels
https://scitechdaily.com/over-80-of-hospitalized-covid-19-patients-have-vitamin-d-deficiency-study-finds/
7
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Inflation Ahead! Why Investing Is About To Change (featuring Ben Hunt)
SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with John and the New Harbor Financial team here: https://www.greylockpeak.com/
Ben Hunt -- highly respected fund manager, author, and former professor/entrepreneur/venture capitalist -- says that to be successful in managing wealth, there's only one question that matters:
Are we entering a deflationary future, or an inflationary one?
The strategies and appropriate investment targets in each are extremely different, so you'd better answer correctly.
Though Hunt says as long as you identify the trend "roughly" right, you should do fine. You don't have to be brilliant with the exact investments you put your capital into. As long as they benefit from the secular trend, its massive scale and momentum will do the heavy lifting.
So which future are we entering?
Hunt thinks we're at a very important inflection point. That after decades of deflation (e.g., chronically declining interest rates), we're now transitioning into an era of secular inflation.
The $trillions in monetary and fiscal stimulus so far, and the near-certainty of much more to come, are certainly a big step in that direction.
And with asset prices completely distorted from reality, a struggling global economy, and an inflationary outlook, Hunt thinks the coming years will be extremely rocky for investors. Lots of cross-currents, with the only guarantee being that the majority of investment predicts will be foiled -- as there remain very few active investors alive who have any experience managing capital in an inflationary environment.
Which is why Hunt is emphatic that now, more than ever, is the time to partner with a financial advisor who understands the risks in play, can craft an appropriate portfolio strategy for you given your needs, and apply sound risk management protection where appropriate.
Anyone interested in scheduling a free consultation and portfolio review with Mike Preston and John Llodra and their team at New Harbor Financial can do so by clicking here:
https://www.greylockpeak.com/
And if you're one of the many readers brand new to Peak Prosperity over the past few months, we strongly urge you get your financial situation in order in parallel with your ongoing physical coronavirus preparations.
We recommend you do so in partnership with a professional financial advisor who understands the macro risks to the market that we discuss on this website. If you've already got one, great.
But if not, consider talking to the team at New Harbor. We've set up this 'free consultation' relationship with them to help folks exactly like you.
https://www.greylockpeak.com/
5
views
The Coming Financial Crisis of 2021: Economist Issues New Warning (featuring Steve Keen)
SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with John and the New Harbor Financial team here: https://www.greylockpeak.com/
Economist Steve Keen predicts that even if the covid-19 health crisis subsides next year, a brewing financial crisis on par with the 2008 Great Recession is in the making.
He sees the pandemic as having delivered an "unprecedented shock" to the global economy, and the response from authorities as nothing less than a "catastrophe".
With tens of millions of households having lost their income this year, personal savings becoming exhausted, government support programs on their way to drying up, and lots more company layoffs/bankruptcies/closures ahead -- Steve expects a punishing recession to arrive in full force in 2021.
And on a larger scale, he sees modern neoclassical economics -- which ignores the importance of natural resources and the health of our ecosystems -- as completely unsuited for the reality in which we live today. He warns that if we don't adapt a more informed approach to managing the global economy, we will only continue to make the mess we're in worse.
Anyone interested in scheduling a free consultation and portfolio review with Mike Preston and John Llodra and their team at New Harbor Financial can do so by clicking here:
https://www.greylockpeak.com/
And if you're one of the many readers brand new to Peak Prosperity over the past few months, we strongly urge you get your financial situation in order in parallel with your ongoing physical coronavirus preparations.
We recommend you do so in partnership with a professional financial advisor who understands the macro risks to the market that we discuss on this website. If you've already got one, great.
But if not, consider talking to the team at New Harbor. We've set up this 'free consultation' relationship with them to help folks exactly like you.
https://www.greylockpeak.com/
11
views
Censorship Is Out Of Control!
Register Now for the Peak Prosperity 2020 Seminar: https://www.peakprosperity.com/seminar2020
2
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Combo Therapy Works! And another U-Turn on the W.H.O. bus?
The W.H.O. backs up the bus again and makes a u-turn on a very crowded information highway and now recommends against country-wide lockdowns.
This after initially saying they work. Same as for the constant u-turning around masks, and whether or not Sars2 is airborne, etc.
Beyond that, we've got great new data that Ivermectin really (really!) works. Especially and particularly in combination therapy with D3, Doxycycline, and Zinc. Go figure! /s
Also, believe it or not, but having young kids in the house work in a dose dependent manner to reduce your risk of getting Covid or ending up hospitalized with Covid. Weird, but fascinating data.
Combine all that and I remain very respectful of SARS2, but not fearful.
Register Now for the Peak Prosperity 2020 Seminar: https://www.peakprosperity.com/seminar2020
Links:
W.H.O. says “no more lockdowns
https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/medical/who-official-urges-world-leaders-to-stop-using-lockdowns-as-primary-virus-control-method/ar-BB19TBUo
Ivermectin in MX
https://www.alliedacademies.org/articles/effects-of-ivermectinazithromycincholecalciferol-combined-therapy-on-covid19-infected-patients-a-proof-of-concept-study.pdf
India Quadruple Therapy
https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/karnataka/quadruple-therapy-with-ivermectinis-effective-in-treating-covid-19/article32601262.ece
Melbourne resident and Ivermectin
https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/national/melbourne-residents-with-covid-say-ivermectin-treatment-caused-amazing-improvement/video/45e53f549f55a4ab826efd16265dde0f
15
views
Bitcoin 101: Respected Crypto Expert Explains In Plain English
SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with John and the New Harbor Financial team here: https://www.greylockpeak.com/
Whether you understand it or not, Bitcoin and other 'distributed ledger' technologies are spreading at an accelerating rate across the world.
Odds are very high they will disrupt and transform nearly every business model in today's economy, much in the same way the advent of the Internet did.
But most people are still unfamiliar with this new technology, and concerned that their lack of understanding may leave them obsolete dinosaurs in the coming future should crypto indeed change the nature of money and commerce.
This is why we've brought on this week's guest expert, Alex Saunders, respected Bitcoin/blockchain/crypto maven to demystify the topic and explain it all to us in plain layman's English.
What is it? How does it work? What benefits does it offer? Should you own any? If so, how should you buy it? All these fundamental questions and more are addressed.
We're tackling this topic now not only because a number of our viewers have been requesting we do so, but also because it dovetails with the insights our previous market and economic guest experts have shared. The world's fiat monetary systems are being highly abused, deformed and distorted right now, with $trillions in new currency being wantonly conjured at-will by global central banks. This debases the purchasing power of our capital, and leads to dangerous asset price bubbles and reckless malinvestment.
This trajectory will not end well. We need sound money and better models going forward.
Will blockchain-based technologies be part of that solution? Quite possible. Which is why we all should start investing the time to learn at least the basics of them now.
Anyone interested in scheduling a free consultation and portfolio review with Mike Preston and John Llodra and their team at New Harbor Financial can do so by clicking here:
https://www.greylockpeak.com/
And if you're one of the many readers brand new to Peak Prosperity over the past few months, we strongly urge you get your financial situation in order in parallel with your ongoing physical coronavirus preparations.
We recommend you do so in partnership with a professional financial advisor who understands the macro risks to the market that we discuss on this website. If you've already got one, great.
But if not, consider talking to the team at New Harbor. We've set up this 'free consultation' relationship with them to help folks exactly like you.
https://www.greylockpeak.com/
8
views
Help! Should I get a flu shot this year?
Should you get a flu vaccine this year with Covid around? Will having one hurt or harm your run-in with covid if you happen to contract that disease?
We go through the data and sort it all out for you, which is good because the data is kind of messy right now and conflicting studies are all over the place.
The bottom line is "yes" on balance having a flu shot is a sensible thing, especially for high risk people and those in high contact with the public.
Other people may want to weigh their own lifestyles against the risk, especially given that the flu was absolutely crushed in the Southern Hemisphere due to Covid restrictions and behavior changes.
Also, remember to tune up your 'terrain' and be prepared to limit any flu you might contract by having plenty of elderberry syrup, vitamin D3, etc., in your supplement kit.
Links:
Register Now for the Peak Prosperity 2020 Seminar: https://www.peakprosperity.com/seminar2020
Flu Shots correlated with Covid risk
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/344270570_Positive_association_between_COVID-19_deaths_and_influenza_vaccination_rates_in_elderly_people_worldwide
Military vaccine study
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264410X19313647?via%3Dihub
Kids lower risk
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.09.21.20196428v1
No Flu Southern Hemisphere – Economist
https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2020/09/12/the-southern-hemisphere-skipped-flu-season-in-2020
15
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Be Smart Wear A Mask
Wearing a mask may save your life. Or it may just give you a vastly reduced or even asymptomatic experience with Covid-19 the disease.
The logic is as easy as 1, 2 3. (1) Covid-19 is a bad disease - you don't want to get it. 2) Wearing a mask means that an infected person spreads fewer virus particles about. They lower the 'dose' they are leaving behind them in the world. (3) A lower dose for an uninfected person means a less bad run of Covid-19 the disease, maybe even none at all.
This idea of a "lower inoculum' or starting dose, is one I presented on March 15th. Now it is gaining steam and it needs to be much more widely appreciated.
If you've got loved ones you wish to protect from a bad case of Covid-19, then this episode is for you.
Oh, and - wear a mask!
Register Now for the Peak Prosperity 2020 Seminar: https://www.peakprosperity.com/seminar2020
Links:
Low inoculum – Dr Gandhi
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7393808/
Japan seroprevalence
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.09.21.20198796v1.full.pdf
Berenson Twitter Thread
https://twitter.com/AlexBerenson/status/1308798932097658881
Dr Gandhi on zdogg MD
https://zdoggmd.com/monica-gandhi/
LD50 in fish
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/am/pii/S016817021530188X
LD50 in mice
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC112651/
49
views
Market Risk Is Near The Highest In History (featuring James Grant)
SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with John and the New Harbor Financial team here: https://www.greylockpeak.com/
Famed market analyst and historian James Grant is no fan of the current policies of the US Federal Reserve.
He recently wrote:
"Distortion in the cost of credit is the not-so-remote cause of the raging fires at which the Federal Reserve continues to train its gushing liquidity hoses. But the firemen are also the arsonists. It was the Fed’s suppression of borrowing costs, and its predictable willingness to cut short Wall Street’s occasional selling squalls, that compromised the U.S. economy’s financial integrity."
At age 74, having lived through a number of economic booms and busts as well as having authored numerous books on the history of financial markets, Jim sees the degree of speculation, overvaluation and malinvestment in today's markets as about as bad as it's ever been.
He lays much of the blame at the feet of the Fed and its global central bank brethren, who collectively through their intervention have suppressed interest rates to their lowest levels in all of recorded history.
This has resulted in all sorts of unnatural distortions and deformations that are hollowing out our economy and social structure.
As Jim recently wrote:
"Needing income, investors will take imprudent risks to get it. And if 2% invites trouble, zero percent almost demands it."
Not only do 0% interest rates act as "molasses" on growth by gumming the system up with zombie institutions and toxic malinvestment, but it imperils the social good.
Savers and investors, increasingly desperate for yield, are forced to accept worse and worse choices in attempt to stay afloat.
Under this regime, the rich benefit disproportionately at the expense of everyone else AND it creates a "hyperinflation in the cost of retirement". This accelerating war on the 99% can not stand for much longer without serious consequences and repercussions.
We are thrilled Jim was gracious enough to come on the program this week. It was a huge honor to finally get to interview him (after years of attempt) and I can tell you firsthand, not only is he prodigiously smart, but he is ridiculously nice. A true class act.
But simply put, he's one of the most respected market analysts and historians on the planet.
So when an expert like him warns that today’s markets are at one of the most dangerous levels of speculation in history, we all better be paying close attention.
Anyone interested in scheduling a free consultation and portfolio review with Mike Preston and John Llodra and their team at New Harbor Financial can do so by clicking here:
https://www.greylockpeak.com/
And if you're one of the many readers brand new to Peak Prosperity over the past few months, we strongly urge you get your financial situation in order in parallel with your ongoing physical coronavirus preparations.
We recommend you do so in partnership with a professional financial advisor who understands the macro risks to the market that we discuss on this website. If you've already got one, great.
But if not, consider talking to the team at New Harbor. We've set up this 'free consultation' relationship with them to help folks exactly like you.
https://www.greylockpeak.com/
8
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I DON'T FEAR COVID 19 (ANYMORE)
I was very worried about Covid-19 six months ago. Afraid even. Today? Barely worried at all. This video will take you through the science behind that shift in viewpoint.
Very strong data from Ivermectin and hydroxycholorquine, combined with the powerful protective effect of having sufficient levels of Vitamin D combine to provide what appears to be a very effective approach for managing Covid-19 the disease.
Meanwhile, the US NIH Covid Treatment Panel is woefully behind the times and still recommending Remdesivir over all other possible (and cheaper, more effective) treatments.
That's what the science says.
Worse, the NIH treatment panel is relying on the very worst studies to support their stance against some treatments and then sifting carefully through objectively poor data to find some minor nuggets to support their preferred (and more expensive) treatments.
I literally cannot make any sense of the risk-reward matrix that is in play - it's complete nonsense.
Add it all up and it's a bad look. Very much out of integrity for those who would inadvertently or consciously choose a worse treatment, yet are tasked with surfacing and promoting the best, most effective treatments with the best outcomes at the lowest overall costs.
Register Now for the Peak Prosperity 2020 Seminar: https://www.peakprosperity.com/seminar2020
Links:
NIH Treatment guidelines
https://files.covid19treatmentguidelines.nih.gov/guidelines/covid19treatmentguidelines.pdf
Fact Check _Fauci won’t profit from Remdesivir
https://www.factcheck.org/2020/05/fauci-didnt-invent-wont-profit-from-remdesivir/
Ivermectin works
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S030028962030288X?via%3Dihub
Ivermectin a Broad Spectrum Antiviral
https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4409/9/9/2100
13
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Fauci Places Politics Over Science (and your health)
If you care about your health, and the role of science in shaping policy, this video is for you.
First, let me re-re-state that I am *not* political. At all. This video is in support of science and is neither in support of or against any politician, bureaucrat, or political party.
That said, Anthony Fauci’s recent Senate testimony was a hot mess of anti-scientific statements and (willful? Ignorant?) overlooking of known science.
While showing how he was deficient in his statements I present the science that supports views directly opposite to his testimony.
Herd immunity is discussed. T-cell cross-reactivity, and how the NIAID/NIH/CDC/FDA are *still* not recommending that everyone take Vitamin D. It’s truly a shameful moment for medicine and science. It’s the triumph of ego, politics and money over compassion and doing the right thing.
In this video you will learn that:
• Herd immunity seems to have been achieved, mainly in lower economic countries (a.k.a. “third world”)
• That t-cell cross-reactivity with the common cold coronaviruses is indeed a very real thing (according to the NIH’s own scientists)
• That adequate Vitamin D levels are associated with a halving of the rate of Covid-19 mortality
• That Fauci confuses correlation with causation – a big no-no in the world of science.
It really shouldn’t be this confused at this point. But it is, and not because the science is muddled.
Register Now for the Peak Prosperity 2020 Seminar: https://www.peakprosperity.com/seminar2020
Links:
The Sweden States – Peak Prosperity member Base12
https://www.peakprosperity.com/forum-topic/the-sweden-states/#post-584253
SARS2 – Tcell Cross Reactivity
https://www.nih.gov/news-events/nih-research-matters/immune-cells-common-cold-may-recognize-sars-cov-2
https://www.cell.com/cell/pdf/S0092-8674(20)30610-3.pdf
https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/08/04/science.abd3871
t-Cells Political Football
https://www.newscientist.com/article/2253386-what-are-t-cells-and-why-have-they-become-a-political-football/
NY 22 % seropositive
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/commercial-lab-surveys.html
Vitamin D in UK
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/09/26/correcting-britains-vitamin-d-deficiency-could-save-thousands/
17
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When The Dollar "Broke", EVERYTHING Changed! (Market Update 9.25.20)
SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with John and the New Harbor Financial team here: https://www.greylockpeak.com/
The year 1971 saw the trajectories of nearly every major trend relative to our way of life shift massively.
That year is such a noticeable inflection point in so many data sets, that an intriguing website WTFHappenedIn1971.com has been created to drive the point home.
The website is a parade of data series visually showing how the world changed that year.
Be it income, the cost of living, political polarization, the divorce rate and a kitchen sink's worth of other statistics -- from the national debt to deficit spending, childhood obesity, the incarceration rate, energy use per capita -- pretty much all aspects of life as we know it changed materially and permanently in the early 1970s.
This week's guest experts, Ben Prentice and Collin, founders of WTFHappenedIn1971.com, explain how virtually all of these changes are a direct or indirect result of the monetary system "breaking" that year with the Nixon Shock and the end of the Bretton Woods System.
On a personal note, interviewing Ben and Collin was an unexpected pleasure, as I found it encouraging to discover that members of the Millennial generation are engaging with the shortcomings of our modern debt-based fiat currency system with the same passion and critical thinking as we older cohorts. Perhaps the future might just turn out OK in their hands after all...
That said, Ben and Collin echo similar concerns and advice as our previous experts. The system is unfair, unsustainable, and in desperate need of reform. The prudent investor shouldn't expect any real positive change until a painful enough shock forces an abandonment of the status quo -- so it's best to use the time now to position prudently in advance for that inevitability.
https://www.greylockpeak.com/
Anyone interested in scheduling a free consultation and portfolio review with Mike Preston and John Llodra and their team at New Harbor Financial can do so by clicking here.
And if you're one of the many readers brand new to Peak Prosperity over the past few months, we strongly urge you get your financial situation in order in parallel with your ongoing physical coronavirus preparations.
We recommend you do so in partnership with a professional financial advisor who understands the macro risks to the market that we discuss on this website. If you've already got one, great.
But if not, consider talking to the team at New Harbor. We've set up this 'free consultation' relationship with them to help folks exactly like you.
https://www.greylockpeak.com/
9
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Economic Impact of Second Covid Lockdowns Will Be Severe
The UK health Minister confirms that he doesn't understand the concept of false positive math. Australia goes full-lockdown despite practically no hospital loading.
The media is busy mashing up terms and confusing the landscape using 'cases' when it means 'positive PCR tests' and Covid-19 when it means SARS-CoV-2.
What's going on here?
Sadly it seems like science, logic and common sense are being scooted to the back of the theater while ignorance and bad policy are combining to assure that in the three way balancing act the economy gets ruined.
Yes, there's a second wave that we should fear, but it's the second wave of damage for the economy being brought about by an inappropriate amount of attention being placed upon positive tests.
Finally, when it comes to Covid, blood group type doesn't seem relevant (data presented) and N-Acetyl-Cysteine does confer any benefit to hospitalized patients (confirming, in a round-about way, the Bradykinin hypothesis).
Register Now for the Peak Prosperity 2020 Seminar: https://www.peakprosperity.com/seminar2020
Links:
AUS actual hospitalizations
https://www.health.gov.au/resources/current-covid-19-cases-in-hospitals-and-intensive-care-units-icus
Not one of the four reasons – Pregnant Woman in Victoria park
https://caldronpool.com/watch-victorian-police-tell-heavily-pregnant-woman-shes-not-allowed-to-rest-during-her-1-hour-of-exercise/
Fact Check _Fauci won’t profit from Remdesivir
https://www.factcheck.org/2020/05/fauci-didnt-invent-wont-profit-from-remdesivir/
NAC – No Benefit
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/344359564_Double-blind_randomized_placebo-controlled_trial_with_N-acetylcysteine_for_treatment_of_severe_acute_respiratory_syndrome_caused_by_COVID-19
Blood group not a factor
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.09.22.20199422v1
Positive UK Test result
https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/coronavirus-covid-19/testing-and-tracing/what-your-test-result-means/
4
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Covid Testing: Bad Science Worse Policy
PCR testing for Covid is too flawed to make public policy by, but that's what's happening. The UK is on the verge of a new, second lockdown based on an apparent surge in Covid cases.
But are these real cases or an artifact of testing?
It turns out that half - or more - of the new "cases" are really just false positives. And they aren't even cases as those are (or should be reserved) for people with both confirmed Covid and symptoms requiring medical attention.
So a "positive" might be a false positive, or it might be from someone with a legacy fragment of viral RNA from an old and long past infection, or someone who tests positive but is otherwise completely asymptomatic for the duration, or it could be a real case.
Despite all that, the UK's prime minister and various health authorities are sounding the alarm, tightening restrictions, and speaking of a second lockdown.
In other words, bad science is leading to worse policies.
How can this be in this day and age? What's going on? That's what this video explores.
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Video Links September 2020
Sept 22
Excess Deaths
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm
UK Hancock quote
https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/why-isn-t-matt-hancock-taking-false-positive-tests-seriously-
Fauci Takes Vit D and C
https://www.insider.com/fauci-takes-recommends-vitamin-d-and-c-supplements-immunity-boost-2020-9
Ivermectin Works
https://whyy.org/segments/some-doctors-think-theyve-found-a-cheap-generic-drug-which-treats-covid-19-so-why-hasnt-anyone-heard-of-it/
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Charles Hugh Smith: What Would A Better System Look Like?
Writer, philosopher and long-time contributor to PeakProsperity.com, Charles Hugh Smith, returns to the podcast to explain the new socio-economic model he has just introduced to the world through his new book A Hacker’s Teleology: Sharing the Wealth of Our Shrinking Planet.
The main mission behind Peak Prosperity is to focus on new, more regenerative and sustainable models that will better serve humanity than the old models which are currently falling apart. Charles posits a new way of living that is a) achievable with existing resources and technology, and b) much more equitable and resistant to abuse.
We very much need new alternatives like this at this time. Because, once the system breaks in earnest, our ‘leaders’ will be desperate — and as Jared Diamond wisely observed “Nations in crisis borrow and adapt solutions already devised”. So getting good ideas on the table now, so that they’re available to be adopted when needed, is critical.
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DC/Wall Street Insider Predicts Market Shock (w/David Stockman 9.18.20)
SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with John and the New Harbor Financial team here: https://www.greylockpeak.com/
When asked what the biggest risks facing the economy are, David Stockman, lifelong Capital Hill and Wall Street insider, says "That's easy. There are three: The Fed, The Fed and the Fed."
After decades of misguided policy and chronically missing its targets, Stockman thinks the Federal Reserve is truly barreling off the rails now, hurtling our market economy towards disaster.
He notes that since, 2008, the Fed has subjected the country to twelve and half years of average real negative interest rates of -1.35%. With capital so cheap and no ability to generate a safe return on it, corporations and investors alike have been forced out on the risk curve, which has fostered rampant malinvestment and speculation.
The Fed's low interest rate policy has blown serial asset price bubbles that collapse, which the Fed then "fights" by bringing rates even lower for even longer, creating an even worse successor.
The Fed's 'leadership' of our economy will end in tears, Stockman predicts with confidence. What type of shock will topple the system -- be it deflation, inflation or civil unrest -- is almost immaterial at this point, though all three are extremely highly credible candidates.
Stockman's warning should carry more weight than perhaps any guest we've had yet on this program given his decades of inside expertise interacting with the political and monetary institutions running the show. When someone so knowledgeable and experienced is so worried, the prudent investor should be paying extremely close attention.
Anyone interested in scheduling a free consultation and portfolio review with Mike Preston and John Llodra and their team at New Harbor Financial can do so by clicking here:
https://www.greylockpeak.com/
And if you're one of the many readers brand new to Peak Prosperity over the past few months, we strongly urge you get your financial situation in order in parallel with your ongoing physical coronavirus preparations.
We recommend you do so in partnership with a professional financial advisor who understands the macro risks to the market that we discuss on this website. If you've already got one, great.
But if not, consider talking to the team at New Harbor. We've set up this 'free consultation' relationship with them to help folks exactly like you.
https://www.greylockpeak.com/
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Integrity: Do You Have It?
In here Chris & Evie describe one of the most important elements of their success: Integrity.
What does gardening have to do with Integrity? Lots. Watch to find out.
In each video you'll learn something. Maybe small, maybe profound, but you'll be smarter for sure.
Register Now for the Peak Prosperity 2020 Seminar: https://www.peakprosperity.com/seminar2020
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It's Time To Get The Story Right: If We Don't, Things Will Only Get Worse
Register Now for the Peak Prosperity 2020 Seminar: https://www.peakprosperity.com/seminar2020
After 8 months of reporting only on the coronavirus pandemic, it's high time to zoom out and look at the other major trends that will shape the next several decades of our lives, as many of them will have just as much impact -- or more -- than covid-19.
In this video, Chris makes the argument for pursuing *resilience* vs growth -- both in our individual lives as well as a society.
The blind pursuit of ever more "growth" is not only mathematically illogical, but it's destroying our future as a species. We need to find better ways to live within our economic, energetic and ecological means.
The good news is there are many, many great models that exist today for doing so. We just need to decide to embrace them, and discard the current ones that aren't serving our interests.
And please come join us in October for our first-ever digital annual seminar. This year we're offering more expert presentations than we ever have before at, by far, the lowest price ever.
Learn more at peakprosperity.com/seminar2020
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How Much Lower Will Stocks Fall? (Market Update w/Lance Roberts 9.11.20)
SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with John and the New Harbor Financial team here: https://www.greylockpeak.com/
Well, as we thought it might, the sell-off in stocks that started last week has continued.
The Tech-heavy Nasdaq is down -9% from last week’s highs, with high flyers down much more – like Apple down -17% and Tesla down nearly -30%.
Was last week the top? Are we headed down further, perhaps much further, going forward?
This week's guest expert, Lance Roberts of RIA Advisors predicts that, while no one knows what will happen in the immediate short term, longer term risk in today's markets remains squarely to the downside.
In his assessment, the -33% plunge back in February wasn't actually a true correction, as valuation multiples for stocks didn't come down nearly far enough to matter. And of course, these multiples are back at records highs now.
Additionally, key markers still show the system is at extreme levels of over-valuation. For example, during a correction, margin debt decreases dramatically during corrections (by being retired or via default), and yet today, margin debt balances are the second-highest in history.
Add in the uncertainty of the fast-approaching November US presidential election -- including the increasingly likelihood that no follow-on stimulus package will get passed before then -- and the short-term is looking dicier, too.
Lance shares his thoughts on where pockets of opportunity lie for today's investors, but his general outlook is very similar to what ours has consistently been of late: this is a time to prioritize risk management and build capital that you can deploy at better valuations once the inevitable correction arrives.
Anyone interested in scheduling a free consultation and portfolio review with Mike Preston and John Llodra and their team at New Harbor Financial can do so by clicking here:
https://www.greylockpeak.com/
And if you're one of the many readers brand new to Peak Prosperity over the past few months, we strongly urge you get your financial situation in order in parallel with your ongoing physical coronavirus preparations.
We recommend you do so in partnership with a professional financial advisor who understands the macro risks to the market that we discuss on this website. If you've already got one, great.
But if not, consider talking to the team at New Harbor. We've set up this 'free consultation' relationship with them to help folks exactly like you.
https://www.greylockpeak.com/
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Top Conclusions After 9 Months Of Reporting On Covid-19
GET YOUR RESILIENCE SHIRT! If you want your own RESILIENCE shirt to proudly wear like Chris, go to: https://www.peakprosperity.com/shirts
After nine months of intensive coverage of the covid-19 pandemic, it's time to start focusing these videos on other subjects just as important to our future well-being.
But before I do, what have we learned over the course of these coronavirus videos?
Well, for starters: we thankfully know a good deal at this point how the SARS2 virus infects people and how to treat it cheaply and effectively (even if world governments refuse to do so).
The virus has revealed a profound lack of integrity amongst our "leaders" and public health institutions. I don't think that trust will be easily regained -- if ever -- in our lifetime.
But while we didn't get *everything* right in our coverage, I'm pretty darn impressed with how far out front of the mainstream media we've consistently been. Putting out these videos, 5/week through May and then 2/week afterwards has been the most intensive effort of my life.
Given all of the messages of gratitude Adam and I have received from our viewers, and the stories of how this information may have protected and saved lives around the world -- all the effort was definitely worth it. Thank you for supporting us in this cause!
Don't forget to get your free download of Peak Prosperity's book Prosper!. Given its relevance to preparing for any kind of crisis -- pandemic, social unrest, or otherwise -- Chris and Adam are now making it available to the world for free during the national covid-19 lockdown.
https://www.peakprosperity.com/freebook
____________________
LINKS IN TODAY'S VIDEO:
Fighting the media
https://youtu.be/P_3hNPTofEU
HCQ Works!
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/344103059_Hydroxychloroquine_is_Effective_and_Safe_for_the_Treatment_of_COVID-19_and_May_be_Universally_Effective_When_Used_Early_Before_Hospitalization_A_Systematic_Review/link/5f524e7592851c250b8f9b4f/download
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Vitamin D: A Powerful Bullet Against COVID
GET YOUR RESILIENCE SHIRT! If you want your own RESILIENCE shirt to proudly wear like Chris, go to: https://www.peakprosperity.com/shirts
Several recent studies show that Vitamin D is a powerful weapon in preventing and treating covid-19. We all should be taking it.
It’s now been clinically proven that people deficient in Vitamin D are statistically more likely to contract the coronavirus if exposed. And similarly, those with greater Vitamin D levels are statistically less likely to get it.
And a new study out of Spain shows that Vitamin D (via Calcifediol) is one of the most effective treatments that reduces the impact of those infected with covid-19. When combined with a prudent standard of care including early delivery of hydroxychloroquine and azithromycin, the results are pretty staggering.
How staggering?
Of 50 patients treated this way, only one (2%) required admission to the ICU vs the control group where 50% of patients required admission.
Following the recent insights about the Bradykinin pathway of transmission, we are now really starting to gain the upper hand on understanding effective ways to prevent and treat covid-19. Which should enable us to save lives AND re-open our economies.
Don't forget to get your free download of Peak Prosperity's book Prosper!. Given its relevance to preparing for any kind of crisis -- pandemic, social unrest, or otherwise -- Chris and Adam are now making it available to the world for free during the national covid-19 lockdown.
https://www.peakprosperity.com/freebook
____________________
LINKS IN TODAY'S VIDEO:
Israeli Vit D study
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.09.04.20188268v1.full.pdf
Vit D Protects from worst of Covid
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960076020302764?via%3Dihub
Calcifediol
https://www.mayoclinic.org/drugs-supplements/calcifediol-oral-route/description/drg-20312274
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Ken McElroy: The Coming Real Estate Crash Of 2021
The crazy stock market rally since the March lows has received all the media headlines, but what about real estate? What impact is the coronavirus having on that market?
One of the most successful real estate investors we know, Ken McElroy, says that covid-19 is accelerating and exacerbating a bust cycle that was already in the making. He predicts massive upheaval in 2021.
Full description and comments at: https://www.peakprosperity.com/ken-mcelroy-the-coming-real-estate-crash-of-2021/
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