"Feels like Fall 2019" Market Update 9-12-21
Been a bit since the last market update. The market seems very similar to fall 2019 to me here. That and a lot more.
0:00 Intro
0:04 Update on my positioning and DIX+GEX Sell Signal
3:45 DIX, FANGMAN DIX, TOTAL DIX
5:55 Insider Ratio
6:02 TD IMX
6:40 Breadth and A-B-C style corrections on SPX
13:23 Backtests of low percentile breadth days
15:53 2019 Similarities
19:33 Index Put/Call Volume Ratios
20:15 Index Put/Call OI Ratios
20:35 Seasonality
20:47 COT Dealers
21:18 Smart Money-Dumb Money Confidence Spread
22:11 BofA Bull/Bear
22:36 AIM Model
23:20 VIX-HV Spread
24:21 VIX-HV over 13 backtests
25:05 Momentum Backtests
25:55 % on loan as a percentage of shares outstanding
26:47 PE versus Historical and Permabears discussion
28:00 PE Fair Value Indicator
29:42 Margin Debt nuance
32:00 M2 massive increase, where did the money go?
33:42 More inflow data
34:10 Fed Balance Sheet
35:54 Financial Conditions Index
37:05 Backtest of very easy loan tightening using tradewell.app
38:18 End discussion
My Amazon Book, “Sell Signals” is available here(Includes lifetime Discord access):
https://www.amazon.com/dp/B08X3T2DP4/...
Places you can follow me:
https://twitter.com/bigurbman
https://bigurb.medium.com/
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCE3F...
https://www.tradingview.com/u/bigurb/...
https://amzn.to/3vmJi1F
https://www.twitch.tv/bigurbgaming
Affiliate Links to Support the Channel:
These are all services that either currently use, or have used and like:
https://www.amazon.com/s/ref=lp_3_nr_...
https://www.tradingview.com/gopro/?sh...
https://ibkr.com/referral/blake139
https://www.coinbase.com/join/urban_l...
https://finviz.com/?a=35108028
https://sierrachart.com/RegisterStep1...
https://spotgamma.com/ref/26/
https://www.tc2000.com/pricing/blakeu...
Disclaimer
The advice provided on this channel is general advice only. It has been prepared without taking into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on this advice you should consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to your own objectives, financial situation, and needs. Where quoted, past performance is not indicative of future performance.
I disclaim all and any guarantees, undertakings, and warranties, expressed or implied, and shall not be liable for any loss or damage whatsoever (including human or computer error, negligent or otherwise, or incidental or consequential loss or damage) arising out of or in connection with any use or reliance on the information or advice on this site. The user must accept sole responsibility associated with the use of the material on this channel, irrespective of the purpose for which such use or results are applied. The information on this channel is no substitute for financial advice.
-
35:29
Candace Owens
3 hours agoWhy I Left This Religion | Candace Ep 16
1.95K24 -
1:00:59
Lou Dobbs
3 hours agoLou Dobbs Tonight 7-1-2024
12.8K19 -
1:48:30
Donald Trump Jr.
8 hours agoJill & Joe Have Dems Pressing the Panic Button, Taking Your Questions live! | TRIGGERED Ep.150
127K256 -
LIVE
The Jimmy Dore Show
2 hours agoSCOTUS Rules On Presidential Immunity! New Voter Poll: Biden Too Demented To Serve! w/James Corbett
19,843 watching -
DVR
WeAreChange
3 hours agoBlack Sex Magic Explained... And Elite Satanic Pedo Culture Exposed!
29.2K17 -
50:14
Kimberly Guilfoyle
6 hours agoLandmark Supreme Court Immunity Case, Plus Dems' Prop 47 Madness, Live with Jesse Binnall & ASM Bill Essayli | Ep. 138
42.4K24 -
1:03:39
In The Litter Box w/ Jewels & Catturd
23 hours agoBidens Blame Staff | In the Litter Box w/ Jewels & Catturd – Ep. 598 – 7/1/2024
77.1K50 -
DVR
Akademiks
11 hours agoDrake's Goons Run Down on Rick Ross in Vancouver! PND vs Chris Brown. Wunna a Rat? Foolio Alive?
86.3K19 -
13:32
Bearing
10 hours ago"Biden Totally Won" Lefties COPE HARD Over Trump Debate
15.4K27 -
1:58:14
Revenge of the Cis
5 hours agoEpisode 1346: Doctor Death
64.2K24