How will AUKUS Impact Thailand & the Rest of ASEAN?

3 years ago
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The announcement of “AUKUS” - a tripartite “defense alliance” between Australia, the US, and UK - is an obvious provocation against China predicated on lies depicting China as a “threat” to the region and the world.

It is abundantly clear that the real threat to peace and prosperity in Asia is the US and its unwillingness to accept a rising China poised to surpass it economically.

What impact will US-led aggression against China have on its neighbors, namely Thailand and the rest of ASEAN?

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References:

Guardian - Alliance with Australia and US a ‘downpayment on global Britain’:
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2021/sep/15/alliance-with-australia-and-us-a-downpayment-on-global-britain
Global Times - AUKUS another hostile signal to China, worsens Asia-Pacific security:
https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202109/1234460.shtml
Harvard University’s Atlas of Economic Complexity - Australia Exports, 2019:
https://atlas.cid.harvard.edu/explore?country=14&product=undefined&year=2019&tradeDirection=import&productClass=HS&target=Partner&partner=undefined&startYear=undefined
DefenseNews - New pact with the US and UK is set to sink Australia’s historic submarine buy from France:
https://www.defensenews.com/congress/2021/09/15/new-pact-with-the-us-and-uk-is-set-to-sink-australias-historic-submarine-buy-from-france/
France24 - France reimburses Russia for cancelled Mistral warship deal:
https://www.france24.com/en/20150805-hollande-putin-agree-compensation-cancelled-mistral-deal
Naval Technology - SSN Astute Class Nuclear Submarine:
https://www.naval-technology.com/projects/astute/
Naval Technology - HII unveils newest Virginia-class attack submarine Montana:
https://www.naval-technology.com/news/hii-unveils-newest-virginia-class-attack-submarine-montana/
New York Times - Defending David Against the World’s Goliaths in International Court:
https://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/16/world/asia/south-china-sea-phillipines-hague.html
New York Times - Taiwan, After Rejecting South China Sea Decision, Sends Patrol Ship:
https://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/14/world/asia/south-china-sea-taiwan.html
Republic of the Philippines, Department of Foreign Affairs - PHILIPPINES, CHINA CONVENE MECHANISM TO EASE TENSIONS, EXPLORE COOPERATION IN SOUTH CHINA SEA:
https://dfa.gov.ph/dfa-news/dfa-releasesupdate/28997-philippines-china-convene-mechanism-to-ease-tensions-explore-cooperation-in-south-china-sea
US Navy - 7th Fleet conducts Freedom of Navigation Operation (July 12, 2021):
https://www.navy.mil/Press-Office/News-Stories/Article/2690226/7th-fleet-conducts-freedom-of-navigation-operation/
RAND Corporation - War with China; Thinking the Unthinkable:
https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR1100/RR1140/RAND_RR1140.pdf
New York Times - U.K. and France Call in the Navy, Sort of, in Channel Islands Fishing Dispute:
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/05/06/world/europe/uk-france-jersey-fishing.html

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