3 years ago

In this market update, I am focusing more on what to watch for, for a longer-term regime change in markets.

0:00 Intro
0:04 Talking a bit about the Short-Term and what the video is going to be about
5:25 Tapering has not started yet(starts December)
5:36 M2 ROC still elevated
5:57 GDP ROC still strong
6:50 Zacks Investment Research: Taper does not mean the end of the Bull historically
7:22 Why it is important to play the long game
9:32 OPEX and 4700 High Gamma Strike(Tier 1 Alpha)
10:08 Shiller PE Ratio
10:25 Backtest of PE Ratio(unadjusted for rates)
10:43 Shiller PE Adjusted for rates(is high now)
12:00 S&P 500 Earnings Growth Historical
12:25 2022 S&P 500 Earnings Growth Projections(slowdown)
13:49 Fed Fund Rates Target Probabilities(1.5 hikes projected)
14:34 Cash Levels-Money Market Funds
15:10 Money Market Fund Monitor #1
15:30 Money Market Fund Monitor #2
16:00 Fund Manager Survey
17:20 Bofa Bull/Bear+Some talk about how to trade in different Regimes
22:26 COT Dealer Exposure
23:26 Index PC OI Ratio
24:54 VVIX, VIX, and SPX Correlations and relative levels
27:24 Hedge Fund Exposure
30:25 DIX
31:43 Yield Curve
32:53 High Credit Spreads
34:38 End Thoughts

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