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Powell Crushing Markets With Faster Rate Hikes, Morgan Stanly Ominous Warning For Stock Market
Did you miss the early release of this episode 2 hours early, subscribe to http://youtube.com/c/irongripprofits Powell is scaring investors and mike wilson is trying to warn them before it's too late.
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while "the rally in equities over the past week was one of the sharpest on record" and could go a bit higher, led by the Nasdaq and small caps, he remains convicted "it's still a bear market and we would use this strength to position more defensively."
But let's back up. For those who missed his Sunday Start note published yesterday, Wilson reminds readers that a year ago, he published a note with his Economics and Cross Asset Strategy teams arguing this cycle would run hotter but shorter than the prior 3. His view was based on the speed and strength of the economic and earnings rebound post the 2020 recession, the return of inflation after a multi-decade absence, and an earlier-than-expected pivot to more hawkish Fed policy.
In light of this, last Friday Morgan Stanley published an update that shows developments over the past year support this call—US GDP and earnings have surged past prior cycle peaks and are now decelerating sharply, inflation is running at a 40-year high, and the Fed has executed the sharpest pivot in policy we’ve ever witnessed.
Meanwhile, just 22 months after the end of the last recession - which anyone with half a brain realizes never actually ended the prior business cycle
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