Could Bitcoin Drop to $25,000? | Global Macro for 2022

Fellow global macro investor Harrison (@Leet888 on Twitter) discusses with me the FED's recent decision to hike interest rates, and the trickle down effects it could have on the equity markets, which of course will likely influence the crypto space.

We cover everything from our 2022 short term trades to our long term outlook, where we are in the current market cycle, price predictions for both the NASDAQ and Bitcoin and much more.

Please note that we discuss hedging to go short or selling in this video. Nothing we say is financial advice and based solely on what we are doing. Also note that we made our trades before the recent market crash, but as things change suddenly in crypto, the market has moved since then. DYOR, and be smart and responsible.

Timestamps:
0:00 - Intro
0:53 Topic/Twitter Thread Overview
1:48 Thesis: Many future projected rate hikes are problematic for growth stocks/crypto
6:05 Fed announcement in December 2021
8:46 Time horizon several months
14:32 When the fed might reverse course
18:53 When credit markets freeze up
19:20 Interest rates unlikely to get above 1.5%
20:00 Crypto higher beta than equity
21:45 Differing central bank policies
23:10 Gold responded to the fed in 2018
24:00 Nasdaq's possible move due to fed policy
25:50 Being a little late better than never
27:20 Macro fundamentals unsupportive of markets now
28:30 Multi-month time horizon for the bearish trend
30:00 Sacrifice of the dollar lesser of two evils
33:45 Why parabolic run for crypto is almost certainly inevitable
36:00 Surviving the bear market is key
38:25 One bright side to bear market
40:55 Closing summary of thesis

#bitcoinnews #crypto #cryptocurrency

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DISCLAIMER: Everything Alec Torelli says on the CrypTorelli YouTube, his trades, strategies, and news coverage are based on his opinions alone and are only for entertainment purposes. You should not take any of this information as guidance for buying or selling any type of investment or security. I am not a financial advisor and anything that I say on this YouTube channel should not be seen as financial advice. I am only sharing my biased opinion based off of speculation and personal experience. An individual trader's results may not be typical and may vary from person to person. It is important to keep in mind that there are risks associated with investing in the cryptocurrencies and public and private markets, and that one can lose all of their investment. Thus, trades should not be based on the opinions of others but by your own research and due diligence. You and you alone are responsible for all of the financial risks you take.