Did the COVID-19 plandemic increase homicide rates?: Refuting Democrat Talking Points

https://www.facebook.com/permalink.php?story_fbid=280258084146521&id=100064869933577 https://archive.ph/8XilIShow more

It has been asserted by various autistics, I mean Democrats that der plandemic is the reason homicide rates have been skyrocketing, primarily in Democrat-run cities that are diverse, full of fatherless children, full of food stamp usage, & full of working age people taking an extended break from the labor force.

If they can finger the Wuhan, Chinese Virus plandemic on why fatherless children are slaughtering fatherless children in places like Chicago, Baltimore, Detroit, Lost Angeles then by golly they can shift the blame from #blacklivesmatter , the defund the police movement & the Democrat Party.

Let’s look at some data (see my sources at the bottom) that I have already covered & any sources I have not illuminated before will be added as well. Let’s look at some state level data focusing on the so-called NON-LOCKDOWN states (IA, ND, SD, UT, WY, AR & NE) versus the so-called LOCKDOWNS (that’s the identifier I use – NY, NJ, CT, MA, DC, RI) & I will add some other entities as well.

I will look at homicide rates for 2018 & 2019 collectively & then compare the increase/decrease for 2020. I would rather look at several years at a time because one bad year can skew the data, but it is what it is & some of the Dumocrats are claiming der plandemic is turning the U.S. population into frothing-at-the-mouth barbarians.

U.S. Murder/nonnegligent manslaughter rate 2018-2020 = 5.533

U.S. homicide rate 2018-2019 = 5.05 per 100,000.

U.S. homicide rate 2020 = 6.5 (28.72% INCREASE relative to 2018-2019)

En masse population for the NON-LOCKDOWNS 2018 & 2019 = 27,019,112

En masse homicides for the NON-LOCKDOWNS 2018 & 2019 = 890 (homicide rate = 3.293 per 100,000)

En masse population for the NON-LOCKDOWNS 2020 = 13,677,625

En masse homicides for the NON-LOCKDOWNS 2020 = 693 (homicide rate 5.066 per 100,000 – a 53.84% INCREASE relative to 2018-2019) I should note, Arkansas seriously skews this for the rest of them, but since they are one of the NON-LOCKDOWNS they have to be included

En masse population for the LOCKDOWNS 2018 & 2019 = 81,243,964

En masse homicides for the LOCKDOWNS 2018-2019 = 2,510 (homicide rate 3.089 per 100,000)

En masse population for the LOCKDOWNS 2020 = 41,913,028

En masse homicide for the LOCKDOWNS 2020 = 1,679 (homicide rate 4.005 per 100,000 – a 29.66% INCREASE relative to 2018-2019) Take Washington DC out of the equation & the increase would not be so great

I am not going to cover all the following states in-depth, but if you look at the spike in homicide in Illinois (and I would wager, outside E. St. Louis & Chicago, you are relatively safe in the Land of Lincoln) your eyes will jolt forth out of your head. IL was already one of the worst.

Iowa remains well below the national average but had a massive spike in 2020. Des Moines & Davenport disproportionately contributed to that as their homicide rates are way beyond the Iowa average.

Indiana had a murder/non-negligent manslaughter (that is what I mean when I say “Criminal Homicide”) rate above the national average 2018-2020 & had a spike in the latter year as well. Much of that contribution can be directed at Gary & Indianapolis.

Wisconsin saw a massive spike in 2020 & I know this will surprise you, but Milwaukee was the culprit in much of that.

Kansas saw their homicide rate in 2020 decrease relative to the 2018-19 base period, as did New Hampshire. Lily-white Maine saw statistically no change & the same story for Hawaii & Nevada as well. Idaho saw an increase of only 10% & their rate is very low.

You will see a lot of states (such as Iowa, South Dakota, Utah, Washington, Nebraska) that had very low criminal homicide rates in the base period, be subjected to massive increases in 2020, yet their rate is still below the national average by a longshot.

You will also see that a lot of the problem cities (Milwaukee, Chicago, Baltimore, E. St. Louis, St. Louis et al. etc.) getting even worse during the plandemic. I hate to belabor that point, but those who are willingly ignorant need to be reminded on a regular basis.

So, if you see somebody who is one failed synapse away from being a walking vegetable (like Jen Psaki or President-Select “Plugs” Biden) assert that “the plandemic is why criminal homicide rates are spiking” and/or “criminal homicide is going up EVERYWHERE!!!!” then you now know they are full of you know what.

NOTE: If you have read my extensive essays on violent crime, you will notice I always use multiple sources & some states (and municipalities) are much better than others at publishing yearly UCR reports.

Ergo, I used the FBI for all those state totals above. However, there usually is some disagreement between what the FBI will publish (and sometimes it is because the municipal data does not segregate “justifiable homicides” from “negligent manslaughter” from “non-negligent manslaughter/murder” & lump it all under “homicide”) & what a state UCR or a municipality will publish.

Many times, a 2020 report for a state or city would amend the 2019 total (if they publish data for multiple years so you can see a trajectory) & that may or may not increase the gulf between that data & the FBI.

E.G. The Arkansas Crime Information Center lists 232 murders in 2019 & the FBI says 242 murders/non-negligent manslaughter, but that is an estimation because not all agencies report. The South Dakota AG lists 16 cases of “Murder & Nonnegligent Manslaughter” & the FBI says 17 (2019).

The difference is NOT usually large, but I felt you needed to see that as I try to turn over as many stones as possible. If you want to look up each state report for yourself, have a blast.

*** If you want city/municipal or county data on some of the most violent cities in America over the past 6 years, see this https://www.facebook.com/permalink.php?story_fbid=2909861932583537&id=1400591836843895 & read those in order (specifically links 1,2 & 5, but they are all necessary)

*** All population data comes from U.S. Census Bureau Quick Facts https://archive.ph/Z15h7 https://archive.ph/MBXWJ https://archive.ph/dZ7P1

*** Homicide data (FBI) https://ucr.fbi.gov/crime-in-the-u.s/2018/crime-in-the-u.s.-2018/topic-pages/tables/table-5 https://ucr.fbi.gov/crime-in-the-u.s/2019/crime-in-the-u.s.-2019/topic-pages/tables/table-5 https://crime-data-explorer.app.cloud.gov/pages/downloads (See “Crime in the United States Annual Reports”, select “CIUS Estimations” & see Table 5)

*** If you want data on how much the LOCKDOWNS & NON-LOCKDOWNS differed in their response to COVID-19 https://rumble.com/vju1d9-old-fart-rants-and-his-brown-teeth-cannot-defend-covid-19-lockdowns.html

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Did the COVID-19 plandemic increase homicide rates? Part II This is a follow-up to the previous post

A lot of my municipal or state data can be found here https://professor_enigma.webs.com/sam-seder-ilhan-omar-racism3

Let’s delve into some more data just to hammer this point home into the thick skulls of marginally-employed Democrats whose only enduring talent is copying rants off Wikipedia & spamming memes.

Wisconsin en masse homicides 2018-2020 was 659 according to the FBI & 663 according to the WI Dept. of Justice. Homicide rate (per 100,000) ~3.759. Milwaukee homicide rate for the same time frame was 21.996. Homicide Rate in Wisconsin OUTSIDE of Milwaukee 2018-2020 (only 272 homicides OUTSIDE Milwaukee during that time frame) = 1.724 per 100,000.

The spike in homicide in WI was mostly Democrat-enclave of Milwaukee. Criminal homicide is not increasing everywhere.

What about Iowa? Iowa’s homicide rate (225 criminal homicides) 2018-2020 was 2.368 per 100,000. Davenport & Des Moines (65 criminal homicides) homicide rate 2018-2020 = 6.837 per 100,000. Keep in mind, those two cities have ~10% of Iowa’s population.

2018-2020 homicide rate for Iowa OUTSIDE of Des Moines & Davenport (160 criminal homicides outside those cities) = 1.871 per 100,000. Again, homicide is not “increasing everywhere”, it is mainly cities run by Dumocrats.

How about Minnesota? 2018-2020 criminal homicide rate (413 according to the FBI, 406 according to the MN Dept of Public Safety. You can see the difference in the data as some cases of “Murder/Non-negligent Manslaughter” were either ruled a “negligent manslaughter” case or a “justifiable homicide” down the road) = 2.435 per 100,000.

Criminal Homicide Rate (243 criminal homicides in that time frame) for Minneapolis/St. Paul (Twin Cities) 2018-2020 = 10.984 per 100,000. Criminal Homicide rate in Minnesota OUTSIDE of the Twin Cities 2018-2020 (170 homicides) = 1.152 per 100,000.

Again, homicide is not “increasing everywhere”, it is mainly cities run by Dumocrats that have catered to the #blacklivesmatter sociopaths – cities that have woke public schools, lots of folks on food stamps, lots of fatherless children & they are usually “diverse.”

The streets are full of transients, looters & carjackers, but at least we’re woke & diverse.

How about Illinois? 2018-2020 criminal homicide rate (FBI says 2,867 homicides, IL State Police say 2,901) = 7.5 per 100,000.

East St. Louis & Chicago criminal homicide rate (1,937 criminal homicides) 2018-2020 = 23.391 per 100,000. IL homicide rate OUTSIDE of Chicago & East St. Louis (930 homicides in IL OUTSIDE those cities) 2018-2020 = 3.105 per 100,000. Have we seen this movie before?

How about Indiana? 2018-2020 criminal homicide rate (1,320 says Mr. FBI) = 6.531 per 100,000

Gary & Indianapolis 2018-2020 criminal homicide rate (681 in that time frame) = 23.967 per 100,000. Indiana criminal homicide rate OUTSIDE of Gary & Indianapolis (639 homicides OUTSIDE those cities) = 3.679 per 100,000. OH SNAP!

What about Ohio? 2018-2020 criminal homicide rate (1,922 criminal homicides) = 5.463 per 100,000.

Dayton, Cincinnati & Cleveland criminal homicide rate (779 criminal homicides) 2018-2020 = 31.513 per 100,000. Criminal Homicide Rate in Ohio OUTSIDE of Cleveland, Dayton & Cincinnati 2018-2020 = 3.494 per 100,000. Whoops!

What about Michigan? 2018-2020 criminal homicide rate (1,861 criminal homicides according to Mr. FBI & 1,721 criminal homicides according to Michigan State Police, that is a large discrepancy) = 6.190 per 100,000 (MI State Police rate = 5.725 per 100,000)

Criminal Homicide Rate 2018-2020 in Detroit, Flint & Pontiac (1,022 criminal homicides) = 43.138 per 100,000. Criminal Homicide Rate in Michigan OUTSIDE of Detroit, Flint & Pontiac (839 homicides OUTSIDE those areas according to the FBI, 699 according to MI State Police) = 3.029 per 100,000 (FBI) & 2.524 per 100,000 (Michigan State Police).

***I added Pontiac as it is a high homicide area & they voted >80% for Biden. I did NOT look up their State Senators & House members, nor did I look at the City Council or Mayor – I would wager it’s all Dumocrats, all the time. Pontiac Homicide stats come from the MI state police report. I adjusted Pontiac’s population data upwards slightly as it was slowly growing & Census Bureau estimations had it as shrinking***

See a trend yet folks?

What about Virginia? 2018-2020 criminal homicide rate (1,341 homicides according to the FBI, 1,347 according to the Virginia State Police, not much difference) = 5.221 per 100,000

What about Richmond, Roanoke, Norfolk, Petersburg, Newport News, Hampton, Portsmouth, (I already ran all these numbers https://professor_enigma.webs.com/sam-seder-ilhan-omar-racism3 ) cumulative homicides 2018-2020 = 623 (Aggregate Population = 3,170,884)

Richmond, Roanoke, Norfolk, Danville, Newport News, Petersburg, Hampton & Portsmouth cumulative Homicide Rate 2018-2020 = 19.647 per 100,000 U.S. Homicide Rate 2018-2020 = 5.533

Homicide Rate in Virginia OUTSIDE Richmond, Roanoke, Norfolk, Danville, Newport News, Petersburg, Hampton & Portsmouth 2018-2020 = 3.189 per 100,000. Have you seen this movie before?

How about Georgia? Criminal Homicide Rate 2018-2020 (2,239 criminal homicides according to the FBI, Georgia Bureau of Investigation does not have data published for 2020 yet, but their figures differ) = 7.030 per 100,000

Criminal Homicide Rate for Atlanta, Augusta/Richmond County, Savannah, Bibb County & Dougherty County 2018-2020 (683 criminal homicides) = 21.081 per 100,000.

Criminal Homicide Rate in Georgia OUTSIDE Atlanta, Augusta/Richmond County, Savannah, Bibb County & Dougherty County 2018-2020 (1,556 criminal homicides) = 5.438 per 100,000.

How about North Carolina? Criminal Homicide Rate 2018-2020 (2,112 criminal homicides according to the FBI, 1,995 criminal homicides according to the North Carolina State Bureau of Investigation) = 6.745 per 100,000 (FBI) & 6.371 per 100,000 (NC State Bureau of Investigation)

How about the criminal homicide rate in Fayetteville, Durham & Greensboro (328 criminal homicides) 2018-2020 = 13.955 per 100,000. Criminal Homicide Rate in NC OUTSIDE of Fayetteville, Durham & Greensboro = 6.160 per 100,000 (using FBI state total of homicides) & 5.756 per 100,000 (using NC state data for total number of homicides).

How about Louisiana? Criminal Homicide rate 2018-2020 (1,808 Criminal Homicides) = 12.945 per 100,000.

How about Shreveport, Baton Rouge & New Orleans? Criminal Homicide Rate 2018-2020 (864 criminal homicides) = 36.221 per 100,000. Criminal Homicide Rate in LA OUTSIDE of Shreveport, Baton Rouge & New Orleans (944 criminal homicides) = 8.151 per 100,000. That’s still pretty high, LA has a lot of issues.

How about Alabama? Criminal Homicide Rate 2018-2020 (1,212 criminal homicides) = 8.180 per 100,000.

Montgomery City & Birmingham Criminal Homicide Rate 2018-2020 (438 criminal homicides) = 36.414 per 100,000. Criminal Homicide Rate in Alabama OUTSIDE of Montgomery City & Birmingham (774 criminal homicides) = 5.685 per 100,000. Just a skosh above the national average.

How about Mississippi? Criminal Homicide Rate (818 criminal homicides) 2018-2020 = 9.166 per 100,000.

Jackson Criminal Homicide Rate (295 murder/non-negligent manslaughter) 2018-2020 = 63.252 per 100,000. Homicide Rate in MS OUTSIDE of Jackson (523 criminal homicides) 2018-2020 = 6.183 per 100,000 – still well above the national average.

How about Arkansas? Criminal Homicide Rate 2018-2020 (779 criminal homicides says Mr. FBI & 766 according to the Arkansas Crime Information Center) = 8.614 (FBI) per 100,000 & 8.470 (AR Crime Info Center).

Criminal Homicide Rate for North Little Rock, Pine Bluff & Little Rock (231 criminal homicides) = 24.931 per 100,000. Criminal Homicide Rate in Arkansas OUTSIDE of North Little Rock, Pine Bluff & Little Rock (548 criminal homicides) = 6.751 per 100,000 (FBI) & 6.591 per 100,000 according to state data.

How about Missouri? Criminal Homicide Rate 2018-2020 (1,898 criminal homicides according to the FBI, 1,912 criminal homicides according to the MO State Highway Patrol) = 10.304 per 100,000 (FBI) & 10.380 per 100,000.

How about St. Louis City & Kansas City, Missouri? Criminal Homicide Rate 2018-2020 (1,110 criminal homicides) = 45.995 per 100,000. Criminal Homicide Rate in Missouri OUTSIDE of St. Louis City & Kansas City (788 criminal homicides if you use the FBI total) = 4.923 per 100,000 (5.010 per 100,000 using MO State Highway Patrol Data). Have you seen this movie before?

I could do this all day folks & please make sure to read this
https://professor_enigma.webs.com/sam-seder-ilhan-omar-racism3 & pay special attention to the data I gleaned from state reports concerning homicide victims & homicide offenders by race. In Arkansas for example (and Georgia too, just to name a few) it skews towards Blacks.

The facts aren’t racist! So, the next time you run into some dumbass asserting white militia members & white supremacists are threatening the Black community, you can give them some of these stats & watch their tiny brain pans implode.

The biggest threat to a young black man in places like Arkansas, Philly, Atlanta, St. Louis, Chicago, Baltimore, Detroit (and on and on and on) aren’t white militia members roving through the streets, it is not the KKK, it is not headhunting LEOs/cops – the biggest threat to young black men in America are other young black men & most of the time the perpetrator had no father, has a drug problem (or they’re dealing), a gang affiliation & a criminal record a mile long.

And again, if someone asserts that homicide rates are INCREASING EVERYWHERE, black cities, white cities, red cities, blue cities, Republican cities in Democrat states, Democrat cities in Republican states, Republican cities in Republican states, dog & cats living together, MASS HYSTERIA – you can call B.S. on that because it is not true. Enjoy & if you find it worthy, pass it on!

THE FACTS ARE NOT RACIST!