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Stock Market Valuation Series Part 7: Putting all Valuation Models Together
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https://www.currentmarketvaluation.com/
Videos Referenced:
Stock Market Valuation Video Series Part 1 Miltpl.com: https://youtu.be/y0BxSkpJotA
Stock Market Valuation Video Series Part 2 The Shiller PE Ratio: https://youtu.be/3VNCA89kWDo
Stock Market Valuation Series Video Part 3 The Yield Curve Model: https://youtu.be/5Vo9OfMuAss
Stock Market Valuation Series Video Part 4 Buffett Indicator Model: https://youtu.be/5Vo9OfMuAss
Stock Market Valuation Series Video Part 5 The S&P 500 Mean Reversion Model: https://youtu.be/n8416dQj454
Stock Market Valuation Series Part 6: Interest Rate Model: https://youtu.be/BVxMmkoPXss
Is the Stock Market Getting Ready to Crash? https://youtu.be/F4VUuOBy4mc
S&P 500 P/E Ratio Valuation Update August 1, 2021: https://youtu.be/9f3JSj0EpUY
Mutual Funds: https://youtu.be/hRip-z93PI0
ETFs: https://youtu.be/N_Dk1yn-mxs
Moving Averages and Oscillators: https://youtu.be/ge0KiCIjpzE
Stock Market Valuation
Part 7
The Complete Current Market Valuation Model
John Clay
This is part 7 and the final part of the series.
Updated videos will be posted as the model changes.
Tools can be used to determine if the stock market is:
Overvalued: Expensive
Undervalued: Cheap
Fairly Valued: Just about right
Current Market Valuation uses 5 different models to provide valuation relative to long-term historical patterns and fundamental indicators.
1. Yield Curve Model:
2. Buffett Indicator Model:
3. P/E Ratio Model:
4. S&P500 Mean Reversion Model:
5. Interest Rate Model:
Conclusion
The S&P 500 Valuation Model posted by the Current Market Valuation website is Overvalued.
No immediate action is necessarily warranted.
However, it is necessary to have a plan developed and in place in case the market environment changes.
If other measurement tools suggest a major change in trend (up to down) implementing a plan will be in order for:
Those who have only long positions (defensive).
Those who participate in short positions (offensive).
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