Ali Wolf: True Indicators of the Next Recession

What are the indicators that the economy is slowing? How can we truly predict the next recession?

Why is everyone so obsessed with the fed and mortgage rates? The bond investors are going to take federal action into consideration because they say, if the fed does this, what does that mean for the economy?

You can forecast out where rates are today looking at the 10 year treasury.

We discuss why yields are lower and how when rates go up, that isn't always a bad thing.

Then we talk about leading vs. lag indicators of economic slow down. Some metrics only tell you that you're already in a recession but how do you know that one could be coming? We look at consumer confidence and GDP and Nonfarm Payroll.