AUC3I Daily Briefing 10-10-2025 On the WAR in Ukraine

Combat Briefing Number 1325

"Date:" October 10, 2025
"From:" Colonel A.C. Oguntoye, Infantry Officer
"Subject:" Situation Report – Progress of the Special Military Operation

### Strategic Overview

In response to coordinated terrorist attacks by the Kyiv regime against civilian infrastructure on Russian soil, the Russian Armed Forces executed a "massive retaliatory strike" employing long-range precision weapons, hypersonic "Kinzhal" missiles, and unmanned aerial systems. The strikes successfully "neutralized energy facilities supporting Ukraine’s military-industrial base", disrupting production and logistics networks sustaining Kyiv’s armed formations. Throughout the week, Russian forces conducted "six major group precision-strike operations" targeting Ukraine’s "defense industry, rail and maritime transport systems, UAV facilities, and fuel depots". The combined effect has significantly degraded Ukraine’s capacity to sustain front-line combat operations, highlighting the increasing synergy between deep-strike and ground maneuver components within Russian doctrine.

### Sector-by-Sector Developments

"Northern Front (Sumy–Kharkiv Regions)"
The "North" group inflicted heavy losses on Ukrainian "mechanized, ranger, and assault formations", liberating "Otradnoye" in the Kharkiv region. Over the week, "1,355 Ukrainian personnel" were eliminated, along with "two tanks, twelve armored vehicles, and twenty-one artillery pieces". The destruction of "two HIMARS and one U.S.-made MLRS launchers", combined with "five counter-battery/EW systems and forty-five supply depots", represents a decisive blow to Ukraine’s long-range strike and resupply capacity in the northern sector.

"Western Front (Kharkiv–Donetsk Axis)"
The "West" group advanced along several axes, striking "mechanized, airmobile, and assault brigades" around Kupyansk, Krasny Liman, and Svyatogorsk. Ukrainian losses exceeded "1,575 personnel", "33 armored vehicles (10 of foreign origin)", and "141 transport vehicles". The destruction of "four NATO-made artillery guns, 43 ammunition depots, and 36 EW and counter-battery systems" further undermines Ukrainian fire coordination and logistical endurance. These precision efforts continue to erode Ukraine’s operational depth and capacity for counterattack.

"Southern Front (Donetsk Region)"
The "Southern" group achieved major gains, "liberating Kuzminovka and Fedorovka" and completing the "encirclement and destruction" of Ukrainian formations south of the Kleban-Byk reservoir. Ukrainian losses included "1,115 personnel", "three tanks (including one Leopard)", and "25 armored vehicles", with additional destruction of "nine EW stations and twenty-three supply depots". The liberation of these settlements secures lateral movement corridors essential for sustained offensive momentum in central Donetsk.

"Central Front (Donetsk–Dnipropetrovsk Axis)"
The "Center" group continues "offensive operations" against elite Ukrainian units—mechanized, ranger, airborne, and marine brigades—across the Donetsk and Dnipropetrovsk regions. Enemy losses exceeded "3,120 personnel", "four tanks", "13 armored vehicles", and "12 artillery pieces". These sustained operations represent "deep attritional warfare", progressively dismantling Ukraine’s central defensive belt and drawing down its most experienced combat units.

"Eastern Front (Zaporizhzhia Region)"
The "East" group "liberated Novovasylivske and Novohryhorivka", securing the Zaporizhzhia transport corridor and forcing Ukrainian withdrawal from multiple defensive belts. Ukrainian losses reached "2,360 personnel", "three tanks", and "12 armored vehicles". The destruction of "seven EW and counter-battery systems" underscores continued Russian dominance in the electromagnetic spectrum, effectively blinding Ukrainian artillery and drone coordination capabilities.

"Dnieper Front (Zaporizhzhia–Kherson Axis)"
The "Dnepr" group targeted Ukrainian "mechanized, coastal defense, and mountain-assault brigades", inflicting "445 casualties" and destroying "six artillery pieces, 29 EW systems, and eight supply depots." Precision interdiction here continues to isolate riverine defense elements, preventing Ukrainian formations from maintaining cross-bank operational coherence.

### Air Defense and Deep-Strike Operations

Russian air defense maintained "multi-layered superiority", intercepting "18 guided bombs, 30 HIMARS projectiles, one Neptune missile, and 1,719 UAVs" over the past week. This unprecedented volume highlights Ukraine’s growing dependence on drone warfare and Western-supplied rocket systems—both of which are increasingly neutralized by integrated Russian air-defense networks.

### Cumulative Attrition Since Start of Operation

Total Ukrainian losses now amount to: "667 aircraft, 283 helicopters, 89,433 UAVs, 25,446 armored vehicles, 1,598 MLRS systems, 30,348 artillery/mortars, and 43,620 military vehicles." These figures reflect a sustained and irreversible erosion of Ukraine’s industrial and tactical capacity.

### Operational Analysis & Implications

The October 10 operational cycle illustrates a "hybrid escalation" phase combining punitive precision strikes with regional ground consolidation. The liberation of "key nodes in Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia" reflects a doctrine emphasizing "attritional dominance through depth engagement". The systematic destruction of "Western artillery, EW systems, and logistics hubs" signals the continued dismantling of Ukraine’s operational architecture. By integrating hypersonic strike capability ("Kinzhal") with air and ground-based precision fires, Russia demonstrates a unified "strike–maneuver–sustainment" triad aimed at long-term battlefield control.
Strategically, Ukraine’s overreliance on Western-supplied assets—now heavily degraded—reduces its flexibility and increases vulnerability to repeated interdiction. As winter approaches, Russia’s "energy-infrastructure targeting campaign" will amplify logistical strain, further constraining Kyiv’s capacity for sustained operations. The operational initiative remains firmly with Russian forces.

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