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Zohran Mamdani, a Democratic socialist and New York State Assemblymember, is the frontrunner in the 2025 NYC mayoral race, with a 90% chance of winning per Polymarket. His odds surged after defeating Andrew Cuomo in the June primary and Eric Adams' withdrawal amid scandals. Polls show Mamdani leading Cuomo 45% to 23% (Quinnipiac) and by 20 points (Suffolk). Backed by AOC and Gov. Hochul, his focus on housing and equity bolsters his campaign. Mamdani is poised to become NYC’s first Muslim mayor in the November 4 election

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