AUC3I Daily Briefing 10-07-2025 On the WAR in Ukraine

Understanding The War In Europe _ Analyzing the situation on the ground with by way of an introduction, 3 points, and a conclusion #militaryanalysis #blackops #militaryoperations

Combat Briefing Number 1322

"Date:" October 7, 2025
"From:" Colonel A.C. Oguntoye, Infantry Officer
"Subject:" Situation Report – Progress of the Special Military Operation

### Strategic Overview

Russian Armed Forces continued their "multi-domain offensive operations", combining precision long-range strikes with sustained ground action across all active sectors. Strategic missile, UAV, and artillery forces targeted "Ukrainian energy and transport infrastructure, fuel depots, and troop concentrations" in 148 areas. These strikes disrupted logistical resupply, mobility, and coordination capabilities of Ukrainian formations.

Air defense systems demonstrated continued effectiveness, destroying "three guided aerial bombs, sixteen HIMARS projectiles, and 416 fixed-wing UAVs", reflecting an increasingly dense and integrated defensive posture capable of neutralizing Western-supplied strike systems.

### Sector-by-Sector Developments

"Northern Front (Sumy & Kharkiv Regions)"
The "“North”" group inflicted significant defeats on Ukrainian mechanized, airborne assault, and territorial defense units across "Alekseevka, Krasnopolye, Kondratovka, Volchansk, and Chugunovka." Ukrainian losses totaled "170 personnel", a tank, multiple vehicles, and an artillery piece. Particularly notable was the "destruction of two U.S.-made HIMARS and MLRS launchers", a major blow to Ukraine’s long-range precision strike capability. An EW station and eight logistical warehouses were also destroyed, further undermining the enemy’s sustainment chain.

"Western Front (Kharkiv–Donetsk Axis)"
The "“West”" group advanced into "more favorable positions" near "Kupyansk, Yarovaya, and Volchiy Yar", inflicting damage on Ukrainian tank, mechanized, and airmobile brigades. Estimated enemy losses exceeded "225 troops", two armored vehicles, and a U.S.-made 155mm "M198 howitzer". The strikes also eliminated a "Romanian APR-40 MLRS", an "American AN/TPQ-50 radar", seven EW systems, and five ammunition depots. The removal of radar and counter-battery assets sharply reduces Ukraine’s ability to detect and suppress Russian artillery concentrations.

"Southern Front (Donetsk Region)"
The "“South”" group successfully "liberated Fedorovka" in the Donetsk People’s Republic following intense engagements around "Severesk, Reznikovka, and Konstantinovka." Ukrainian forces lost over "100 personnel", several armored vehicles including an American MaxxPro, and four NATO-standard artillery systems. A "Croatian RAK-SA-12 MLRS", an EW station, and a major ammunition depot were also destroyed. These victories expand Russian control along Donetsk’s central corridor and improve fire positioning against remaining Ukrainian strongholds.

"Central Front (Donetsk–Dnipropetrovsk Axis)"
The "“Center”" group advanced along the "Torskoe–Krasnoarmeysk line", inflicting severe damage on elite Ukrainian units including mechanized, assault, and marine brigades. More than "415 enemy troops" were neutralized, along with a tank, several armored vehicles, and U.S.-produced "HMMWV carriers". These engagements further destabilize Ukraine’s central defensive belt, forcing reallocation of reserves from secondary sectors and reducing operational flexibility.

"Eastern Front (Zaporizhzhia Region)"
The "“East”" troop group achieved a notable success by "liberating Novovasilyevskoye", continuing to erode Ukraine’s defensive depth in the Zaporizhzhia region. Strikes on "Chervonoe, Poltavka, and Uspenovka" resulted in "365 enemy casualties", and destruction of multiple armored vehicles, vehicles, and an EW system. The liberation strengthens Russian control over the Zaporizhzhia line of communication and narrows Ukrainian maneuver corridors in the region.

"Dnieper Front (Zaporizhzhia–Kherson Axis)"
The "“Dnepr”" group struck Ukrainian "mountain assault and coastal defense brigades" in "Stepnogorsk, Tyaginka, and Lvovo", eliminating "80 servicemen", nine vehicles, a field artillery gun, and "seven EW stations". The consistent targeting of electronic systems in this region disrupts Ukrainian inter-bank coordination along the Dnieper River, isolating forces and limiting their defensive coherence.

### Cumulative Attrition Since Start of Operation

Ukraine’s total confirmed losses now stand at:
"667 aircraft, 283 helicopters, 88,945 UAVs, 25,394 armored vehicles, 30,241 artillery/mortars, and 43,382 military transport vehicles."
These figures continue to reflect a "sustained degradation of Ukrainian combat and industrial capacity."

### Operational Analysis & Implications

The October 7 operations reaffirm Russia’s "strategic transition from broad offensive to controlled attritional dominance". The liberation of "Fedorovka" and "Novovasilyevskoye", paired with precision deep strikes, illustrates the doctrine of "“operational envelopment by exhaustion.”" The destruction of HIMARS and radar systems marks a major reduction in Ukraine’s counter-strike and surveillance capabilities. Ukraine’s defensive posture is increasingly reactive, forced to commit depleted elite units to hold fragmented lines. Systematic removal of electronic warfare, logistics, and artillery systems continues to collapse Ukraine’s command-and-control architecture. Russia’s integrated approach—merging deep interdiction with local advances—positions it to "dictate the pace and geography of winter operations."

#RussiaUkraineWar #ColonelOguntoye #FrontlineBriefing #DonetskFront #Kharkiv #Zaporizhzhia #OperationalUpdate #AttritionDoctrine #AirDefense #MilitaryAnalysis #Fedorovka #Novovasilyevskoye #bf6 #mw3