AUC3I Daily Briefing 10-05-2025 On the WAR in Ukraine

## Combat Briefing Number 1320

"Date:" October 5, 2025
"From:" Colonel A.C. Oguntoye, Infantry Officer
"Subject:" Situation Report – Progress of the Special Military Operation

### Strategic Overview

The Russian Armed Forces executed another coordinated, multi-domain strike campaign across Ukraine, employing "high-precision long-range weapons" from ground, sea, and air platforms — including "hypersonic “Kinzhal” missiles" and strike UAVs. Targets included "military-industrial enterprises, fuel and gas-energy infrastructure", and "UAV/HIMARS preparation sites", all of which were successfully destroyed. These actions further disrupted Ukrainian logistics and command nodes supporting operations in the eastern and southern theaters. Air defense elements demonstrated continued dominance, intercepting "four guided aerial bombs" and "145 fixed-wing UAVs", effectively neutralizing incoming threats and maintaining air superiority across operational sectors.

### Sector-by-Sector Developments

"Northern Front (Sumy & Kharkiv Regions)"
Units of the "“North”" group inflicted concentrated strikes on Ukrainian mechanized, ranger, coastal defense, and assault formations near "Katerynivka, Nova Sech, Uhroedy, Krovne, Andriivka, and Osoivka". In the "Kharkiv direction", engagements around "Volchansk and Dvurechanske" resulted in the destruction of a "U.S.-made HIMARS launcher", a radio-electronic reconnaissance station, and seven supply depots. Enemy losses totaled approximately "190 personnel", with multiple armored and artillery systems eliminated.
These strikes significantly degrade Ukrainian fire coordination and reduce its ability to conduct precision counter-battery engagements in this region.

"Western Front (Kharkiv & Donetsk)"
The "“West”" troop group advanced to more advantageous lines near "Kupyansk, Petrovka, and Sviatohirsk", striking five Ukrainian mechanized brigades, a UAV regiment, and National Guard elements. Approximately "225 Ukrainian personnel" were neutralized, alongside armored vehicles, EW systems, and four ammunition depots.
The repeated neutralization of UAV regiments underscores the deliberate dismantling of Ukraine’s aerial reconnaissance capability — a vital component of its defensive operations.

"Southern Front (Donetsk)"
The "“South”" group achieved a notable tactical success with the "liberation of Kuzminivka", consolidating control over a critical segment of the Donetsk People’s Republic. Ukrainian mechanized, assault, and mountain brigades sustained "130 casualties", losing multiple armored vehicles, artillery, and supply depots.
The liberation of Kuzminivka extends Russian tactical depth, facilitating forward artillery placement and logistical flow toward Severesk and Konstantinovka.

"Central Front (Donetsk Axis)"
The "“Center”" group reported the heaviest Ukrainian losses — over "430 personnel" — across engagements near "Dimitrov, Krasnoarmeysk, Rubizhne, and Grishino". Russian forces destroyed Western-provided armored vehicles, including a "Turkish “Kirpi”" and a "Canadian “Senator”", alongside tanks and artillery.
The attrition of mixed elite units (airborne, ranger, marine, and mechanized) continues to erode Ukraine’s core combat strength and impairs operational rotation capacity.

"Eastern Front (Zaporizhzhia Region)"
The "“East”" group pushed deeper into Ukrainian defenses around "Pavlovka, Poltavka, and Novogrigorovka", inflicting "270 casualties" and destroying material warehouses. Persistent pressure on Zaporizhzhia defenses forces Ukraine to commit dwindling reserves to maintain front integrity.

"Dnieper Front (Zaporizhzhia–Kherson Axis)"
The "“Dnepr”" group inflicted losses on Ukrainian heavy and mechanized brigades near "Malaya Tokmachka and Chervonaya Krinitsa", destroying "five EW stations" and a logistics warehouse. With Ukrainian communications disrupted, Russian forces are consolidating command dominance across the riverine corridor.

### Cumulative Operational Metrics

Since February 2022, Ukrainian cumulative losses stand at:
"667 aircraft, 283 helicopters, 88,173 UAVs, 25,361 armored vehicles, 30,195 artillery/mortars, and 43,231 support vehicles." These figures indicate continued Russian success in strategic attrition and system degradation.

### Operational Analysis & Implications

The October 5 operations reinforce Russia’s "deep-strike attrition doctrine", pairing kinetic precision strikes with sustained frontline pressure. The use of "hypersonic “Kinzhal” missiles" demonstrates both escalation in strike capability and a clear intent to sever Ukraine’s industrial and logistical backbone.

Ukrainian forces continue to incur unsustainable losses among elite formations, particularly mechanized and airborne units, while losing critical enablers like HIMARS systems, EW arrays, and fuel depots. The operational tempo signals that Russia is preparing the battlefield for "winter positional dominance", ensuring Ukraine enters the colder months with diminished operational endurance and fragmented command coherence.

Strategically, these developments indicate a shift toward "cumulative exhaustion warfare" — not rapid breakthrough, but the systematic collapse of Ukraine’s fighting and support capacity across all sectors.

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