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Could Gold Reach $11,000 in the Next 5–7 Years?
#gold #investing #growth
Could Gold Reach $11,000 in the Next 5–7 Years?
To understand where gold is going, we need to look back at history.
From Gold Standard to Fiat Money
• Until 1971, the global monetary system was tied to gold under the Bretton Woods agreement: $35/oz.
• In August 1971, President Nixon ended dollar convertibility into gold → the Gold Standard collapsed.
• Since then, we live in a fiat system — money backed not by gold, but by government trust.
The Fiat Problem
• Fiat currencies can be printed without limit, leading to debt explosions.
• U.S. national debt has now crossed $35 trillion.
• Inflation, devaluation, and political weaponization of the dollar (sanctions) have weakened trust in the system.
Why Countries Don’t Fully Trust the U.S. Dollar Anymore
• In 2022, $300B of Russia’s foreign reserves were frozen by the West.
• That showed the world that your reserves are only yours until Washington allows them.
Since then, central banks (China, India, Türkiye, Middle East) have been buying record amounts of gold as “sanction-proof” reserves.
The BRICS Factor
• BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) are actively pushing de-dollarization:
• Settling more trade in local currencies.
• Exploring a BRICS currency backed by gold/commodities.
• Saudi Arabia and UAE joined BRICS+ in 2024, boosting the bloc’s influence on oil and energy trade.
This shift means less reliance on the dollar and more need for neutral reserve assets like gold.
Why $11,000 Gold Isn’t Fantasy
• In the 1970s, gold went from $35 to $850 (20x).
• In the 2000s, it surged 8x from $250 to $1,900.
Now, in 2022–2025, something unprecedented is unfolding:
• Central banks have bought 1,000+ tonnes of gold each year — the fastest pace in half a century.
• China, India, Türkiye, and Russia are diversifying away from the U.S. dollar, especially after Russia’s $300B reserves were frozen in 2022.
• China alone has ~$3.3T in reserves, but only 7% in gold. If it targets 20% (like Russia’s ~25%), that means adding 5,000–7,000 tonnes — nearly 2 years of global mine supply.
At today’s ~$3,700/oz, this demand already strains the market. If central banks and investors keep shifting into gold, the price doesn’t just climb — it reprices.
That’s why scenarios of $10,000–$11,000/oz gold within 5–7 years are not fantasy — they’re rooted in historical precedent and current global dynamics.
Takeaway:
Gold is no longer just a hedge against inflation.
It’s becoming the foundation of a multi-polar financial order.
So the real question isn’t “Can gold hit $11,000?”
It’s “Will you be ready if it does?”
Disclaimer: Its just my point of view and not a financial advice.
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