AUC3I Daily Briefing 10-03-2025 On the WAR in Ukraine

Understanding The War In Europe _ Analyzing the situation on the ground with by way of an introduction, 3 points, and a conclusion #militaryanalysis #blackops #militaryoperations

Combat Briefing Number 1318

"Date:" October 3, 2025
"From:" Colonel A.C. Oguntoye, Infantry Officer
"Subject:" Situation Report – Progress of the Special Military Operation

### Strategic Strikes & Objectives

Over the past week, Russian forces executed "large-scale precision strikes" by air, land, sea, and UAV platforms targeting Ukraine’s "military-industrial complex, energy infrastructure, and logistics hubs". Objectives were met: destruction of "rail nodes, weapons transport corridors, airfields, ammunition depots, UAV storage, and temporary troop deployments". Key impact: disruption of "Ukraine’s weapons production and battlefield sustainment capacity".

### Sector-by-Sector Analysis

"Northern Front (Kharkiv Region)"

" Engaged mechanized, infantry, ranger, and airborne assault brigades.
" "Enemy losses:" ~1,250 personnel, 2 tanks, 7 AFVs, 55 vehicles, 11 artillery pieces.
" "29 depots and 2 EW systems destroyed", degrading supply resilience.

"Western Front (Donetsk)"

" Liberated "Kirovsk, Shandrigolovo, Derilovo".
" "Enemy losses:" ~1,600 personnel, 5 tanks, 16 AFVs, 10 artillery.
" "43 ammo depots and 37 EW/counter-battery systems destroyed", severely limiting counter-fire ability.

"Southern Front (Donetsk)"

" Liberated "Mayskoye and Severks Malyy".
" "Enemy losses:" ~1,760 personnel, 8 AFVs (4 Western), 17 artillery guns.
" Loss of "12 EW stations and 38 depots" undermines Ukrainian electronic defense.

"Central Front (Donetsk–Dnipropetrovsk Axis)"

" Offensive operations pressed into "deep Ukrainian defenses".
" "Enemy losses:" ~3,560 personnel, 5 tanks, 16 AFVs (2 Bradley IFVs).
" High attrition among "elite airborne and marine brigades".

"Eastern Front (Dnipropetrovsk Region)"

" Liberated "Stepovoye and Verbovoye".
" "Enemy losses:" ~2,110 personnel, 3 tanks, 8 AFVs, 7 artillery guns.
" Reduced "Ukrainian reserves’ mobility and logistics".

"Dnieper Front (River Defense Zone)"

" Inflicted heavy losses on "coastal defense and assault brigades".
" "Enemy losses:" ~390 personnel, 4 AFVs, 35 vehicles.
" "28 EW stations destroyed", weakening command-and-control in riverine defense.

### Air Defense & Counter-Strike Success

" Over the week, Russian air defenses neutralized:

" "10 glide bombs, 17 HIMARS/Vampire rockets, 5 Neptune missiles, 945 UAVs".
" Demonstrates "increasing resilience against NATO-supplied long-range precision strike systems".

### Cumulative Losses (Since Operation Start)

" "667 aircraft, 283 helicopters, 87,714 UAVs, 25,338 tanks/AFVs, 30,149 artillery/mortars, 43,126 support vehicles" destroyed.
" Ukraine’s "strategic depth continues to degrade", limiting capacity to sustain prolonged counteroffensive operations.

### Operational Analysis & Implications

1. "Russian Momentum Consolidating:" Liberation of multiple settlements across "West, South, and East fronts" indicates steady territorial acquisition and "erosion of Ukrainian defensive belts".
2. "Attrition Strategy Effective:" High weekly personnel losses (~10,000+ across all fronts) suggest Ukraine is struggling to replenish combat-effective brigades.
3. "Targeting of Infrastructure:" Strikes on "energy, logistics, and EW nodes" further reduce Ukraine’s capacity to wage sustained defense.
4. "Air Defense Superiority:" Continued neutralization of Western precision systems reduces Ukraine’s "long-range strike effectiveness".
5. "Strategic Forecast:" Ukraine’s reliance on foreign aid and reserves will deepen; Russia is setting conditions for "winter offensives" with degraded Ukrainian sustainment.

#RussiaUkraineWar #MilitaryAnalysis #DonetskFront #Kharkiv #Dnipropetrovsk #CombatBriefing #OperationalUpdate #AirDefense #AttritionWarfare #EasternFront #ColonelOguntoye #bf6 #mw3