MIXED SIGNALS ON THE DOLLAR INDEX

13 days ago
9

The dollar index has beautifully retraced 100% of a bearish Butterfly pattern that was identified between July 1st and August 13th 2025, hitting the monthly support target of 95.911. There has been a strong bounce from this support zone into the weekly closing range.
What we currently have now is also a bullish Butterfly pattern on the daily chart and the bounce from the support zone has retraced to exactly the 0.382 fib level (97.336). The weekly hammer candle suggests that bulls will attempt to reach the 0.5 fib level, however lower time frames shows that the bulls are losing their strength. As such, I am not expecting DXY to continue grinding up next week without a major pullback to retest the weekly candle wicks. Basically expecting a lot of volatility in both directions.
I thank you for checking out my publication and I wish you a successful trading week. Cheers!!
5 days ago
Trade active
DXY pullback towards my target and that forms a higher low on the chart. This higher low has now gone to break the resistance at 97.500 to the 0.5 fib. I will be observing if the 97.5 level holds support into the weekend. If this holds, the floor for DXY is found and looking Bullish from here. This is not a great setup for selling the dollar.

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