Odds Of Stock Market Correction Grow As Economy Slows | Lance Roberts

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The leading economic indicators are showing that the economy is slowing further.

Are we headed into recession?

It's too early to tell.

But it does put today's sky-high stock valuations in doubt, as they depend on very strong earnings growth next year -- which increasingly look at odds with the decelerating economic data.

This boosts the chance of a coming correction in the stock market.

How big of one?

Lance and I discuss in today's video, along with the latest inflation numbers, AI, signs of growing vulnerability in the credit system, central planner intervention and, always, Lance's firm's latest trades,

For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this Weekly Recap.

#recession #inflation #ai

0:00 - Slowdown Signals: Leading Indicators Suggest Economic Weakening
4:44 - Economic Data: 3.8% Q2 GDP Driven by Trade, Spending Outpaces Income
6:43 - Earnings Gap: Mag 7 Slows, Bottom 493 Flat, 11-15% Growth Questioned
9:18 - AI’s Economic Impact: Reduces Jobs/Wages, Hurts Earnings Outlook
10:00 - Leading Economic Index: Negative Turn Signals Slower Growth
11:19 - 2022 Anomaly: Stimulus Masked Recession Signals, Now Normalizing
13:57 - Yield Curve Uninversion: Signals Slower Growth, Recession Risk
14:56 - Employment Trends: Full-Time Jobs Drop, Weakens Consumer Spending
16:52 - Recession Context: 16-Year Gap, Policy Aversion to Downturns
18:29 - Policy Response: All-Out Stimulus Likely for Even Mild Recession
23:21 - Policy Addiction: QE, Zero Rates, Checks Expected at Job Losses
26:20 - Inflation History: Pre-2000 Restraint vs. Post-Reagan Deficit Surge
31:05 - Wealth Inequality: Top 10% Own ~80% Net Worth, Policy-Driven
35:30 - Socialism vs. Capitalism: 46% Youth Favor Socialism Amid Inequality
39:13 - Speculative Risks: Perpetual Options, Leveraged Bitcoin ETF Losses
41:57 - AI Bubble: Nvidia-OpenAI Circular Financing Echoes Dot-Com Excesses
47:53 - Entrepreneurship: Capital Access Easier, Opportunities for Scrappy Ideas
52:12 - Lance’s Story: Persistence Built Fitness Business Against Odds
57:12 - Precious Metals: Silver Melt-Up, Rebalanced to Manage Gains
59:46 - Bitcoin Concerns: Leveraged ETFs Down 45%, Signals Risk-Off Move
1:01:49 - Technical Analysis: Overbought High Beta, Declining Money Flows
1:06:23 - Market Outlook: 5-10% Oct-Nov Correction, Buyable for Year-End Rally
1:12:11 - Bond Bull Case: High Valuations, Low ERP Favor Bonds Over Stocks
1:16:45 - Tricolor Bankruptcy: $1B Subprime Auto Loans Signal Credit Issues
1:20:56 - PayPal’s Buy-Now-Pay-Later: Debt Sale Raises Red Flags
1:24:13 - AI Spending Risks: $800B Shortfall, Winner-Take-All Dynamics
1:31:42 - Compounding in Life: Fitness Gains Mirror Wealth-Building Discipline
1:35:36 - Portfolio Moves: Rebalanced AI, Crypto, Small/Mid-Cap Models
1:46:10 - Call to Action: Subscribe, Join Oct 18 Conference, Consult RIA Advisors
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