Elon Musk in 2022: Neural Nets Could Replace All Human Code in Tesla’s Self-Driving Software

Here's Elon Musk in 2022 predicting that all human code could be replaced by neural nets in Tesla's self-driving software. This approach materialized two years later with FSD v12.

“The thing that's happened over time with respect to Tesla Autopilot, is that the neural nets have gradually absorbed more and more software.

In the limit, of course, you could simply take the videos as seen by the car and compare those to the steering inputs from the steering wheel and pedals, which are very simple inputs.

In principle, you could train with nothing in between, because that's what humans are doing with a biological neural net, you could train based on video, and what trains the video is the moving of the steering wheel and the pedals, with no other software in between.

We're not there yet, but it's gradually going in that direction.”

Tesla AI Day, September 30, 2022