UNUSUAL DEATH CLUSTER (Dr. John Campbell | 2025-09-07)

UNUSUAL DEATH CLUSTER (Dr. John Campbell | 2025-09-07)

"Seven AfD candidates died prior to the 2025 local elections in North Rhine Westphalia (NRW), scheduled for September 14, 2025

Correction, the probability of at least four deaths is approximately one in seventy eight thousand, (78,740) not 1 in 78

The extreme improbability

Factors:

Tight time frame of the two waves

Restricted pool of all candidates

Age-specific probability of death
Above-average health of political candidates.

Tight geographical cluster

German economist, Stefan Homburg

“statistically virtually impossible”

https://x.com/i/grok/share/xfRCpWaGBsPa1W8R9vs81KRV2?utm_source=chatgpt.com

AfD deputy leader (MP)

Stephan Brandner “statistically striking and difficult to explain at the moment”.

“I’ve never heard of politicians from a party dying in such a short period of time before an election,”

Statistical anomaly noted

The cluster of six deaths within a short period,

concentrated on one party,

The probability of at least four deaths is approximately 0,0000127 or 0,00127% (1 in 78.740)

https://lab-news.de/en/haeufung-von-afd-todesfaellen-statistisch-extrem-unwahrscheinlich/?utm_source=chatgpt.com
Wave 1 (July / early August)

Opposition candidates

FDP, UWG, Party for Animal Protection, Free Voters, Voter Group SG Zukunft.

Observation: 5 deaths in approx. 3 weeks.

Wave 2 (mid/late August to 1 September)

Almost exclusively AfD – Seitz, Klinger, Berendes, Lange, Herford, Tietze

(plus Uwe Philippsen / list “Volksabstimmung”).

Observation: 7 deaths in approx. 3 weeks.

G Frei News analysis

https://gfrei.news/author/gfrei123/

Final result after the healthy-candidate effect

Wave 1 (opposition, ≥ 5):
1 : 5,809

Wave 2 (AfD, ≥ 6):
1 : 247,351

Two waves in sequence:

1 : 1,437,176,086

Short form: ≈ 1 : 1.44 billion

This means the double cluster clearly lies in the billion range of improbability. That precisely explains why comparable cases (e.g., “four deaths before an election”) are virtually never documented historically."

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