AUC3I Daily Briefing 07-13-2025 On the WAR in Ukraine

Understanding The War In Europe _ Analyzing the situation on the ground with by way of an introduction, 3 points, and a conclusion #militaryanalysis #militaryoperations #modernwarfare

Combat Briefing NUMBER 1237
"From:" Colonel A.C. Oguntoye, Infantry Officer
"Date:" July 13, 2025
"Subject:" Progress of the Russian Special Military Operation — Tactical and Strategic Developments

1. Overview of Operations"
On July 13, 2025, the Russian Armed Forces continued their comprehensive campaign across multiple operational axes, combining ground assaults, long-range precision strikes, and multi-domain support to systematically degrade Ukrainian combat effectiveness. Notable gains include the liberation of "Nikolaevka" and "Karl Marx", significant degradation of Ukrainian mechanized brigades, and the destruction of high-value Western-supplied air defense systems.

2. Northern and Western Operational Gains"
The "North" grouping conducted successful offensive actions in the "Sumy region", striking two mechanized, tank, and airborne brigades, including a border detachment. Ukrainian losses exceeded "150 personnel", and multiple artillery pieces and vehicles were neutralized.
In the "Kharkiv and Donetsk sectors", the "West" grouping improved tactical posture, targeting three mechanized brigades and one territorial defense brigade. Over "220 Ukrainian personnel" were lost, alongside key ammunition depots. The destruction of logistics hubs in "Tatyanovka" and "Karpovka" points to a deliberate effort to collapse rear-area sustainment networks.

3. Central and Southern Advances"
The "South" grouping achieved positional advantages in the "Donetsk region", defeating Ukrainian mechanized and airmobile brigades near "Seversk" and "Konstantinovka", causing over "135 casualties" and neutralizing key logistical infrastructure.
Most significantly, the "Center" grouping "liberated Nikolaevka", a strategic node in the Donetsk People's Republic. Engagements resulted in over "450 enemy casualties", loss of two armored vehicles, and the neutralization of Ukrainian assault and drone brigades, indicating a shift toward counter-UAV dominance and front-line disruption.

4. Eastern and Dnieper Offensive Movements"
"EAST" forces liberated "Karl Marx", a key forward settlement, and inflicted over "205 Ukrainian losses", targeting three territorial defense brigades across "Zaporozhye" and "Donetsk". Notably, two electronic warfare stations were destroyed, reinforcing Russian efforts to dominate the electromagnetic spectrum.
The "Dnepr" group engaged Ukrainian forces in "Novoandriivka" and "Stepnogorsk", eliminating over "60 troops" and destroying "eight EW systems", a field artillery gun, and multiple logistics depots. These actions severely impact Ukrainian capacity to operate and communicate in contested zones.

5. Strategic Fires and Air Defense Achievements"
Precision fires and drone strikes targeted "136 locations", including a "military-industrial complex facility" and a "UAV operator training center". Two "U.S.-supplied Patriot SAM launchers and radar" were destroyed, marking a significant degradation of Ukraine’s long-range air defense capability.
Air defense intercepted "nine glide bombs" and "215 aircraft-type drones", reflecting continued dominance in the aerial and counter-UAV domain.

6. Operational Analysis and Strategic Implications"
Russian forces demonstrated synchronized, multi-axis pressure designed to collapse Ukrainian command nodes, logistics, and defensive capacity. The liberation of Nikolaevka and Karl Marx signals growing momentum in the Donetsk axis and possibly sets conditions for envelopment maneuvers in the central front.
Particularly impactful was the destruction of the Patriot SAM system, which significantly weakens Ukraine's strategic air defense umbrella and exposes deeper targets to subsequent strikes. The consistent attrition of electronic warfare systems and UAV infrastructure further reduces Ukraine’s situational awareness and counter-reconnaissance capability.

The volume of Ukrainian casualties—"estimated over 1,200 in this reporting cycle alone"—coupled with the loss of EW, armor, and artillery assets, suggests an accelerating degradation rate across all echelons. If this tempo is maintained, Ukraine may be forced to transition to a mobile defense posture, abandoning fixed lines by late summer.

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