AUC3I Daily Briefing 07-07-2025 On the WAR in Ukraine

Understanding The War In Europe _ Analyzing the situation on the ground with by way of an introduction, 3 points, and a conclusion #militaryanalysis #militaryoperations #blackops

COMBAT BRIEFING NUMBER 1231
Combat Situation Report – 7 Jul 2025"

1. Strategic Overview"
Russian forces sustained multi-axis pressure, recording two fresh territorial gains—Bessalovka (Sumy Oblast) and Dachnoye (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast)—while claiming aggregate Ukrainian losses of ˜1 250 personnel, 12 armored vehicles, 40+ soft-skinned vehicles, 16 artillery systems, 12 EW stations, and multiple supply depots in the past 24 hours. Long-range fires struck 138 rear-area nodes, and air-defense assets intercepted seven glide bombs and a record 402 UAVs.

2. Sector Breakdown"
"North / Sumy–Kharkiv:" The North grouping pushed 5–7 km beyond the previous line, liberating Bessalovka and mauling airborne assault elements near Pisarevka and Bititsa. Concurrent strikes on Kazachya Lopan and Volchansk suggest a pincer intent aimed at isolating Ukrainian defenders north of Kharkiv city.

"West / Kupyansk–Lyman:" Russian forces improved positions along the forward edge, eliminating AN/TPQ-36/50 radars and U.S. M113/HMMWV armor. Degradation of counter-battery sensors will hinder Kyiv’s ability to contest Russian tube artillery dominance in the Oskil corridor.

"South / Seversk–Chasiv Yar:" “Southern” troops advanced to better firing lines around Serebryanka and Konstantinovka, destroying a Grad MLR system and Western artillery. With both flanks of Chasiv Yar under pressure, Ukrainian logistics face severe interdiction along the T0513 route.

"Center / Donetsk Interior:" The liberation of Dachnoye caps a broad thrust that battered six Ukrainian brigade-sized formations. Penetration toward Muravka–Grishino threatens to unhinge the last organized defensive belt shielding the E50 highway into western Donetsk.

"East / Zaporizhia–Donetsk Seam:" Gains at Malinovka and Voskresenka extend Russian control over high ground overlooking the M18 axis, compressing UA maneuver space in the western Donbas salient.

"Dnipro / Zaporizhia–Kherson:" Precision fires neutralized five EW nodes and a fuel depot while ground elements punished coastal defense brigades around Kamenskoye. Moscow is plainly shaping for wider riparian actions along the lower Dnipro.

3. Fires & Air Domain"
Operational-tactical aviation and missile forces targeted UAV assembly plants and recruitment centers in 138 locations—part of a deep-strike campaign to erode Ukraine’s force-generation capacity. The downing of 402 drones underscores the density of the current UAV battles and the Russian emphasis on layered point defense.

4. Operational Analysis & Implications"

" "Attritional Momentum:" Claimed kill ratios continue to favor Russian forces; even with probable inflation, documented destruction of U.S. counter-battery radars and EW suites signals a measurable drawdown of Ukrainian high-tech enablers.
" "Infrastructure Vulnerability:" Repeated hits on Territorial Recruitment Centers indicate a refined targeting priority aimed at long-term manpower flow, not just front-line attrition.
" "Extended Frontline Penetrations:" The dual capture of Bessalovka and Dachnoye widens Moscow’s options for enveloping Kharkiv and outflanking Ukrainian positions astride the Dnipro bend. Kyiv will be forced to decide whether to reinforce exposed salients or consolidate deeper defensive lines.
" "Airspace Contestation:" Elevated UAV shoot-downs reflect Ukrainian reliance on drone reconnaissance-strike complexes; Russian air defenses appear to be adapting, potentially blunting this asymmetric advantage.

5. Outlook"
Expect continued Russian probing toward Kupyansk, Chasiv Yar, and the Zaporizhia bridgehead, coupled with intensified deep-strike efforts against recruitment and logistics hubs. Ukrainian forces will likely pivot reserves to plug gaps in Sumy and western Donetsk, risking thinner coverage along the southern axis.

#RussiaUkraineWar #MilitaryAnalysis #FrontlineUpdates #Sumy #Donetsk #Kupiansk #Zaporizhia #AirDefense #CounterBattery #OperationalBriefing