AUC3I Daily Briefing 07-06-2025 On the WAR in Ukraine

Understanding The War In Europe _ Analyzing the situation on the ground with by way of an introduction, 3 points, and a conclusion #blackops #militaryanalysis #militaryoperations

Combat Briefing NUMBER 1230
SITREP – 6 Jul 2025"

1. Strategic Overview"
Russian joint forces executed simultaneous pressure across six operational groupings, reporting incremental territorial gains at Sobolevka (Kharkiv) and Poddubnoye (DPR). Aggregate Ukrainian losses claimed: ≈1,170 personnel, 1 tank, 8 AFVs, 32 vehicles, 19 artillery pieces, 13 EW systems, and multiple ammunition / materiel depots. Russian long-range fires further struck an airbase and UAV production infrastructure, while the Black Sea Fleet interdicted three USVs.

2. Sector Highlights"

" "North (Sumy / Kharkiv)" – Front line “improved” along the Ryzhevka–Andreevka axis; \~175 UA casualties, one tank and five guns destroyed. Volchansk sector continued to draw Russian effort, likely shaping for deeper penetrations toward the P07 highway.
" "West (Kupyansk-Lyman)" – Liberation of Sobolevka broadens the salient east of Kupyansk. The destruction of an AN/TPQ-50 radar and five EW stations suggests a directed counter-battery campaign aimed at degrading Ukrainian fires coordination.
" "South (Seversk – Chasiv Yar)" – “Southern” grouping advanced tactically, contesting the Seversk–Minkivka line astride the Siverskyi Donets. Loss of Zvanovka and Shcherbinovka threatens Ukrainian lateral maneuver routes into Chasiv Yar’s defensive pocket.
" "Center (Krasnoarmeysk – Novoekonomicheskoe)" – Multi-brigade assault forced Ukrainian formations to cede ground toward the E50 corridor; 390+ UA casualties indicate sustained attrition in the Donetsk operational depth. Presence of destroyed U.S.-made HMMWV confirms continued Western equipment flow.
" "East (Zaporizhia-DPR seam)" – Capture of Poddubnoye improves flanking fire positions on Voskresenka and Novopol, tightening the noose on the Ukrainian garrison along the M04 approach to Zaporizhia city.
" "Dnepr (Zaporizhia / Kherson)" – Russian forces targeted coastal-defense brigades, eliminating seven EW stations and multiple depots—likely a prelude to wider shaping ahead of potential riverine operations down the Dnipro.

3. Fire & Air Superiority"
Russian aviation, missile troops, and artillery struck UAV assembly nodes and temporary mercenary billets in “District 141,” underscoring Moscow’s intent to cripple Ukraine’s long-range strike capacity. Air-defense assets intercepted 6 glide bombs and an unprecedented 298 UAVs, reflecting escalating Ukrainian drone saturation tactics and the continued Russian prioritization of layered air denial.

4. Operational Analysis & Implications"

"Cumulative Attrition:" Reported Ukrainian materiel losses exceed 24 K armored vehicles and 67 K UAVs since Feb 2022, reinforcing the Kremlin narrative of inexorable depletion. While figures are likely inflated, the steady erosion of artillery and EW assets aligns with observed battlefield trends of Russian counter-battery emphasis.
"Territorial Creep vs. Decisive Breach:" Liberations of minor settlements reveal methodical, company-level advances rather than blitz breakthroughs. Expect continued “salami-slice” tactics designed to stretch Ukrainian reserves along a 1,000 km frontage and deny Kyiv the ability to mass for counter-offensives.
"Logistics & Sustainment:" Repeated strikes on depots and UAV facilities highlight Russia’s focus on supply interdiction ahead of anticipated autumn operations. Ukrainian reliance on Western precision-guided munitions may face growing constraint if logistics corridors remain under sustained fire.
"Information & Morale Warfare:" Detailed kill-counts and equipment tallies serve strategic messaging purposes—aimed at foreign audiences and domestic constituencies—to project momentum and inevitability. Analysts should adjust assessments by cross-referencing independent imagery and open-source data.

5. Outlook"
Expect continued Russian probing toward Kupyansk and Chasiv Yar, with groundwork laid for deeper pushes into Zaporizhia-Kherson if river-crossing enablers mature. Ukrainian command will be pressured to decide between holding exposed salients or repositioning scarce brigades to counter looming breakthroughs.

#RussiaUkraineWar #MilitaryAnalysis #FrontlineUpdates #Kharkiv #Donetsk #Zaporizhia #OperationalBriefing #GeoStrategic