AUC3I Daily Briefing: 07-02-2025 On the WAR in Ukraine

Understanding The War In Europe _ Analyzing the situation on the ground with by way of an introduction, 3 points, and a conclusion #militaryoperations #modernwarfare #blackops

COMBAT BRIEFING NUMBER 1225 — 2 JUL 2025"

"1. Strategic Overview"
Russian forces sustained the multi-axis campaign of attrition and positional encroachment while deep-strike assets hit 139 rear-area targets—UAV-assembly shops, MIC plants, fuel and ammunition depots, and foreign-mercenary billets. Air defences intercepted seven guided bombs and 131 Ukrainian UAVs, signalling a continuing effort to deny Kyiv precision-strike leverage.

"2. Front-Line Situation"

• "North Group (Sumy / Kharkiv)." Incremental gains at Varachino, Proletarskoye, and Yunakovka dismantled two mechanised, ranger, and airborne formations plus three assault regiments; ≈175 Ukrainian casualties, APC and depot lost. Additional strikes at Ogurtsovo–Volchansk removed motor-rifle and territorial units, tightening the noose north-east of Kharkiv.

• "West Group (Kupyansk Axis)." Advances around Petrovka, Peschanoye, and Berezovka cut into three mechanised brigades and an unmanned-systems regiment. Reported Ukrainian losses: ≈210 personnel, US-made M113, Polish Krab SPH, EW node, five depots. Continued pressure jeopardises Kupyansk’s rail artery that feeds the Oskil line.

• "Southern Group (Seversk–Slavyansk Corridor)." Five Ukrainian manoeuvre brigades struck near Seversk, Chasov Yar, and Slavyansk; ≈165 casualties, EW “Anklav” and logistics stocks destroyed. Positional gains push Russian artillery closer to the Chasov Yar ridge.

• "Center Group (Krasnoarmeysk Salient)." Heavy fighting from Dimitrov to Boykovka hit five mechanised and airborne brigades, marine and NG elements; 450+ casualties, Novator MRAP and MaxxPro captured. The breach widens toward Pokrovsk-Dnipropetrovsk supply lines.

• "East Group (Donetsk South / Zaporizhia Edge)." Penetration through Zelenoye Pole–Voskresenka overcame mechanised and marine brigades; ≈165 casualties, tank and dual EW sites lost. Control of high ground threatens Ukrainian lateral movement along the T-0401.

• "Dnipro Group (Zaporizhia / Kherson)." Raids at Novoandriyevka, Stepnogorsk, and Antonovka degraded mechanised, mountain, and coastal brigades; 70+ casualties, six EW stations, fuel and equipment depots destroyed, further limiting river-crossing options.

"3. Deep-Strike & Air Domain"
Operational-tactical aviation, missiles, and UAVs targeted a defence-industry plant, UAV storage, and multiple C2 hubs. The ability to reach 139 separate districts in one 24-hour cycle underscores Russian priority on systemic paralysis over single-axis breakthrough. Interdiction of guided bombs and HIMARS rounds indicates maturing sensor-shooter integration inside Russian A2 AD belts.

"4. Operational Analysis & Implications"
Russia’s approach—limited daily ground gains coupled with relentless rear-area interdiction—continues to erode Ukrainian combat power faster than it can be reconstituted. Kupyansk’s gradual encirclement threatens to split northern resupply from Donbas, while Center-sector advances inch toward logistical chokepoints shielding Dnipropetrovsk. Systematic destruction of EW nodes and UAV workshops degrades Ukrainian ISR, widening windows for Russian manoeuvre in July. Kyiv faces a shrinking margin for strategic reserve deployment; failure to stabilise Sumy-Kharkiv and Krasnoarmeysk axes could precipitate an operational cascade before autumn rains.

#FrontlineUpdates #MilitaryAnalysis #RussiaUkraineWar #Kupyansk #Donetsk #Zaporizhia #EWwarfare #PrecisionStrikes #July2025