IS CHINA GEARING UP FOR WAR? WHY A DRAFT?

Beijing has implemented military conscription.

Over the years since 1987 The People’s Republic of China [CCP] has relaxed their military selective service system. While registering for the draft has always been mandatory, Beijing hasn’t really paid it any attention … until now. Tens of millions of young men have failed to do so.

As of last year over 40 million young men in China between the ages of 18 and 30 have failed to register for selective service. Government hasn’t pursued any ‘failure to register’ cases in over 38 years, having relied on an all-volunteer professional army.

Of late, however, with China’s slipping economy and rising tensions between provinces and Beijing, the CCP has made a surprising move. Beijing has written a new and more strict selective law, one that replaces the existing one. Translation from Chinese, December 3, 2024.

Military Service Registration in 2025 will begin on January 1, 2025.

It is the honorable and sacred duty of every citizen of the right age [18 – 30yrs] to perform military service and register in accordance with the law.

The Military Service Law of the People’s Republic of China stipulates that the country implement a military service registration system, and every young man is required to perform the obligation of military service registration when he reaches the age of 18.

A male citizen who has reached the age of 17 but not the age of 18 before December 31 of that year may also voluntarily register for military service. The registration of military service does not mean that it is necessary to perform active service in the army, but that the state registers citizens of the age in accordance with the new law.

Failure to register with selective service will result in disqualification from university education in all colleges and universities in the country. The same applies to all training schools and other apprenticeship programs both government and private.

Also, failure to register will result in financial penalties applied to the offender’s bank accounts and could eventually result in jail time for the offender. The amount of jail time is indeterminate and will be addressed on a case by case basis.

Forfeiture of assets, property, and cash is required as punishment for failure to register for selective service. Also the inability to travel outside the border of his province is imposed. This includes overseas and other foreign travel as well. In addition he may not seek employment in any government agency or office or private firms doing business with the government. Likewise the offender may not legally marry or enter into any contractual obligation while in an ‘unregistered’ state.

When a man reaches the age of 35 he is released from the need to register with selective service.
Until that time, if registered, it is his duty according to law and honor to update critical information should he move to a new place of residence, change employment, or do anything which might be construed as ‘hiding from’ or ‘running away from’ the selective service board. End of translation

This is an excerpt taken from the document of declaration issued by Beijing and the People’s Congress on November 29th, 2024.

I can think of only two reasons for this newly minted law:

1. The army is not meeting its recruiting goals and in light of their epidemic desertions China’s military may soon be unable to withstand the pressures of desertion, malingering, and mutiny in the ranks.

2. China is building up for war. Cries for reunification with Taiwan are stronger than ever. That’s a scary thought if you think about it. It might also be as a result of an astoundingly high desertion rate. In Max Allen’s “Paper Dragon” it is cited that the combined armed forces desertions average between 14 – 16 percent. That amounts to hundreds of thousands of deserters every year. In fact, the number of deserters reported in a 2022 report would populate a small city like Boise, Idaho.

It’s impossible to go after deserters because the drain on manpower would cripple the People’s Liberation Army, Navy, Air Force and Missile Division. It takes 5 men to hunt down and apprehend a deserter. Multiply that by 300,000 deserters annually and you’re using up 1.5 million people … it just doesn’t work. It would require every cook, typist, soldier, etc. in their armed forces just to round up people who don’t want to be in the army. Perhaps this new conscription law is to keep ranks full amid the mass desertions taking place not only in China, but at Chinese bases and installations worldwide.

China’s economy is in dire straits and with unemployment reaching 23 percent, they are desperate for relief. China’s treasury is bleeding cash to keep the population from erupting in even worse riots than they currently experience. China needs a war to get out of the mess they’re in and what better way is there to get into a war than to invade Taiwan or one of the neighboring ‘stan’ countries like Pakistan, Uzbekistan, Afghanistan, etc. etc. etc. They could even make a play for North Korea or India. Relations between China and these two nations have deteriorated greatly and continue to fall apart as border disputes become border clashes. Again, refer to an example of this in the book, “Paper Dragon” by Max Allen.

No doubt about it, we’re in a pickle! The only nation other than the United States that can enter a world war with hope of surviving is the People’s Republic of China. What happens in the next few years will depend on leadership in both countries. That’s it. I’m Max, and that’s the way I see it!

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