Class 57: The Second Best Model

We want Pr(Y|X) where Y is a question about the world and X all/everything/in toto of what we assume is probative. That's not what we get usually. But we should! Here's why.

Written lecture: https://www.wmbriggs.com/class/ https://wmbriggs.substack.com/

Jaynes's book:
http://www.med.mcgill.ca/epidemiology/hanley/bios601/GaussianModel/
JaynesProbabilityTheory.pdf

Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science

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