Ep. 3 | The Federal Reserve Series | What's Happened to the Dollar in Your Pocket?

4 months ago
8

Is your dollar holding its value? Check out my latest episode on The Federal Reserve where I break down 100+ years of inflation with exclusive charts from my book A Working Man's Guide: Strong Values, Strong Life, Strong Legacy.

Let me know what you think, folks.

Transcript:
Hello, welcome America. Welcome back to A Working Man's Guide. We're going into the notion of sound money and the role of The Federal Reserve. So, let's go back into the notion of stable purchasing power. That's a critical component.

The way you look at that is to look at a price index, basically a measure of inflation. Do similar costs of goods? Does it stay the same over time, or does it increase through price increases? We have a very good measurement, consumer and producer price indexes that we use today. Let's take a look at those, and we'll get a good sense of where we stand and what's been happening in our country.

So here we have a time series from 1914 to February of 2024, in this chart. And this is also a Figure 16 in my book, A Working Man's Guide. You can find that in the appendix figure 16, it lays out the data, and you can source that. But first of all, let's look at an overview, and let's start with the good news. You can see, back in the early 1900s we had a great deal of volatility. In fact, over quite a bit of time, even through the 1980s a lot of volatility.

The overall story here is that we are getting better. Our money is more stable. If you look at this, center line around 0.0 that means there is 0% inflation. Prices are flat year over year. That's a very good thing. That should be your policy target. That's what you want. No change in general prices from one time period to the next. That means we can focus on value. The dollar in your pocket has similar purchasing power today as what it did a year ago, etc. And we we are getting better. That's the good news. Things are getting more stable over time, so we're improving, but we have a long ways to go.

Just look at this point out here on the far right. That's not good. We'll dig into that more next time thank you very much. Take care.

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