Canada Election 2025: Liberals Secure Fourth Term but Fall Short of Majority Again

Canada Election 2025: Liberals Secure Fourth Term but Fall Short of Majority Again | Seat Tally and Voter Turnout Overview

The Liberal Party, now under the leadership of Mark Carney, has won a fourth consecutive term in office following the 2025 federal election. Despite the victory, the party is set to lead another minority government.

According to Elections Canada, 19,155,470 of the 28 million registered voters cast their ballots on April 28, 2025, resulting in a turnout rate of 67.15%. This marks a modest rise from the 62.89% turnout recorded in the 2021 election.

Final results show the Liberals winning 169 seats—three short of the 172 needed for a majority. In the previous election, the party secured 160 seats and maintained power with support from the New Democratic Party, led by Jagmeet Singh, through a supply-and-confidence agreement.

While the Conservatives did not win, they made significant gains. Led by Pierre Poilievre, the party captured 144 seats—up from the 119 they secured in 2021.

Liberals Win Narrowly Amid Shifting Support

This election marks the Liberal Party’s fourth term in office, having first claimed a majority in 2015 under Justin Trudeau with 184 seats. However, voter fatigue appeared in subsequent elections, resulting in back-to-back minority governments in 2019 and 2021.

Initially projected to face major losses in 2025—with early-year polls showing the Conservatives ahead by 25 percentage points—the Liberals, now led by Carney, defied expectations to stay in power.

A Look Back at Previous Results

Before Trudeau’s 2015 victory, the Conservatives held power, forming a majority government in the 2011 federal election with 166 of 308 seats.