Labour Faces Extinction Level Event Ahead Of Local Elections!

Right, so Labour is facing an extinction level event ahead of the local elections next week as a catastrophic poll has dropped putting Labour on course to lose 370 seats, most of them to Reform UK on balance, leaving them with just 41 MPs, which, if it were to come to pass, would be the lowest number of MPs Labour have had since 1910. So never mind Corbyn and the misleading claim of worst General Election since 1935 following the 2020 General Election, Starmer lying his way into power last July has been well and truly rumbled, and all inside 9 months. Does anyone really believe Starmer is the guy to turn something like that around?
This is of course just one poll and likely an outlier, but it is still consistent with polling trends showing Labour support collapsing though and its all on Starmer, all on the rancid attacks on ordinary working class people and families from the old to the young for the sake of the rich.
It’s not all going Reform UK’s way though, despite media narratives constantly rabbiting on about them as if they’re the only players in the room, that they are change from Labour and the Tories despite also being a bunch of millionaires representing the rich as well, the Greens are quietly picking up more and more support, particularly in certain demographics and having increased their own representation 7 years running will the continue that trend this time around as well?
Right, so its one heck of a claim you’re making here Damo, "extinction-level event." In relation to Labour and from my perspective as a former Labour member, my own bias I say bring that on, Labour are the biggest barrier to change going and are ushering in an era of fascism if Farage ever gets near the reins of power, combined with completely selling the nation out to Donald Trump as he would in a heartbeat. Yet, as the UK political parties approach their first major electoral test since last year's general election, it is precisely this language that political observers and insiders are beginning to use when describing the plight of the Labour Party under Keir Starmer’s leadership. According to a devastating poll from Find Out Now, Labour faces the prospect of being reduced to a mere 41 seats in Parliament — its lowest level of representation since 1910. Meanwhile, Nigel Farage’s Reform UK, buoyed by a toxic mix of media saturation and disillusionment with traditional parties, would, according to this same poll, be on course for a shock majority.
The coming local elections therefore, often dismissed as not being relevant towards a general election picture have nevertheless transformed into something of a full-blown existential referendum on Labour's political future. A supermajority and a lot of goodwill as the Tories were finally dumped out of power, Starmer has instead shredded that with disenchantment, betrayal, and broken promises and as such, despite the Tories defending the vast majority of seats, next week's results could well mark serious damage for Labour as well.
It is difficult to overstate the scale and speed of Labour’s collapse, I’ve never seen anything like it, but it is par for the course when someone as dishonest as Starmer leads. Just nine months ago, the party stormed to power with a supermajority, capitalising on widespread disgust at the end of 14 long years of Conservative rule. Labour promised change and people hoped it really would be. Instead, it has delivered paralysis, compromise, and betrayal as Starmer continues with austerity and cruelty as if the Tories never left office at all.
Labour’s promises of renewal have curdled into policies barely distinguishable from their Tory predecessors and now, with the first set of local elections to be held since Starmer became PM, Labour stands on the edge of massive defeats, even though the Tories are making the most defences. If the Find Out Now poll holds true, Labour will be reduced to the fifth largest party in Parliament — behind the Conservatives, Reform UK, the Liberal Democrats, and the Scottish National Party. The figure of 41 seats would be apocalyptic. To put it in perspective, the last time Labour had so few MPs, King George V was on the throne, women could not vote, and the Titanic had yet to set sail.
All on Starmer if it happens.
The seeds of this apparent Labour collapse were sown almost immediately after taking power. Starmer’s Labour turned its back on the t agenda for change it had promised and instead implementing arbitrary fiscal rules, cuts for pensioners, cuts for families, cuts for kids, no cuts for the rich. Same old Tories then. The result of that has been anger across the political spectrum as progressives feel betrayed, and traditional working-class voters feel ignored by the party supposedly set up to represent them.
Next week’s local elections will give the first concrete glimpse of just how far Labour has fallen. With the Tories expecting to plummet as well, if that doesn’t happen, or Labour don’t suck up a lot of their seats, losing them to other parties, it’ll be seen as a disaster.
That isn’t to say Labour have an in-built advantage on every front though. The by-election in Runcorn, where Labour is desperately defending a historically safe seat, after the conviction of Mike Amesbury following a brawl in the street looks likely to fall to Reform UK, their candidate Sarah Pochin, has been caught on camera backing Labour’s cuts to the winter fuel allowance, so it really does wind me up no end that people keep getting presented with change candidates when the only change ends up being the colour of the rosette.
Such a result would be catastrophic, symbolising Labour’s inability to hold areas once considered heartlands, a 15,000 vote majority held in a seat that is a new one following boundary changes. Similarly, in the six mayoral contests up for grabs, Labour faces a wipeout. Of the four Labour incumbents, two current projections suggest they will lose every single one. Perhaps most stunningly, in the West of England, the Greens are poised to potentially claim their first ever mayoralty, capitalising on Labour's collapse and the disgrace of outgoing Labour Mayor Dan Norris.
This would be an achievement that frankly cannot be overstated given the Greens get next to sod all press attention, especially compared to Reform. A Green mayoralty would reflect not only a hunger for radical alternatives but genuinely progressive ones as well and actually may be part of a generational and demographical shift. According to recent analysis published by The Guardian, while young men have increasingly drifted toward the far-right politics of Reform UK, young women have instead been flocking to the Greens, seeing them as the true torchbearers of social and environmental justice. Generation Z abandoning traditional parties more and more it would seem, but winning the argument on what would be real change, still seems all to sadly to be within the power of the mainstream media.
For example, what is it about Reform UK that says change from the Starmer Labour Party or the Tories? Farage the millionaire, Tice the millionaire, they’ve just ditched Rupert Lowe, but again, a millionaire.
Over 60 of Reform’s candidates in the local elections are former Tory MPs and councillors, including Lincolnshire’s mayoral candidate Andrea Jenkyns, best known for giving the middle finger to protesters more than any discernible political goodwill or talent. Farage’s Reform UK is repackaged, rebranded fascism, it’s the same drivel that drove Brexit and you’d put this clown in charge of the country? Have you learned nothing? It is a reactionary recycling of the same failed politics that have brought Britain to its knees under the Tories and again under rehashed Blairism under Starmer. Its not change, its more of the same, just with even more right wing tendencies.
Reform UK benefits enormously from media saturation. Television panels and tabloid front pages have amplified Farage’s message far beyond the party’s actual organisational strength. Meanwhile, smaller but growing forces of genuine change like the Greens receive a fraction of the coverage despite clear evidence of momentum, particularly among some crucial younger demographics, but not uniquely to them either.
And even going into what they know are going to be tough local elections, Labour just can’t help but seem to make life worse for themselves.
Most notably has been the abandonment of the transgender community following a rancid Supreme Court ruling on gender recognition that was a betrayal that shattered Labour’s alleged progressive credibility, but which in truth was just another Starmer lie. In an era where inclusion and dignity are core values for many young voters, the trans community, a significant demographic in their own right and Labour’s abandonment of them, its craven retreat under pressure is an abject moral failure and I do have more to say on this story, I haven’t yet covered it on the channel but fully intend to.
Another example of labour abandonment and betrayal that has just come out, hitting us all in the cost of living crisis yet again has been Ed Miliband’s disastrous energy policy announcement — proposing to charge households in the south of England more for electricity than those in the north — a postcode lottery on electric bills. Rather than pursuing renationalisation of energy for the common good, what Labour supposedly stand for, ordinary working class people, for socialism, Labour have instead opted for a divisive, bureaucratic mess backing shareholders over the general public.
Now, it is often said that local elections are poor predictors of general election outcomes. This is usually true — but these local elections are the first significant political event since Labour took power so in that context, they are a bit of a litmus test.
If Labour haemorrhages support to Reform UK, the Greens, and the Liberal Democrats, whilst the Tories also collapse, it will confirm that a major realignment is underway and the signs are already there. Professor John Curtice has described the current political situation as "unprecedented," noting the scale of support for Reform UK among disillusioned voters. Then of course there are the reports that the Greens are leading Labour in key areas, including that nail-biting contest in the West of England mayoralty. If the Greens can take this prize, it will be a landmark moment — and a devastating rebuke to Starmer’s leadership.
The Labour Party is all things considered seemingly very much hurtling toward an extinction-level event — one of its own making. If the Find Out Now poll proves accurate and we have four years, anything can happen in that time, Labour ditching Starmer the singularly most important thing they could do for their own survival in my view, Labour would be not merely defeated but destroyed, reduced to an irrelevant political rump.
We need genuine change, not merely saying it like Starmer did. British politics is entering a new and deeply uncertain era where the hard-right nationalism of Reform UK is becoming frighteningly dominant and the nascent radicalism of the Greens, which we need continues to be muted and with a broken and directionless Labour Party fading into history, hopefully with the Tories along with them.
If Labour get hammered, it will quite simply be because they haven’t delivered the change they promised. We don’t like being lied to, in which case isn’t it time we stopped listening to and voting for the next set of liars in waiting, being fooled by them time after time? Johnson over Corbyn, a depressing choice between Starmer and Sunak last time and you’d put your faith in Nigel Farage next time would you? Please don’t.
Of course you don’t just have to take my word over why you shouldn’t back Starmer and should opt for more progressive options and for real change, there are a multitude of former councillors and elected officials who have quit the party in recent weeks hammering Starmer’s Labour on the way, and one of the most recent has given an absolutely epic speech as to exactly why he can’t support and be part of the party any longer, so have a watch of this in this video recommendation here as your suggested next watch. Please do also hit like, share and subscribe if you haven’t done so already so as to ensure you don’t miss out on all new daily content as well as supporting the channel at the same time, which is very much appreciated holding power to account for ordinary working class people and I will hopefully catch you on the next vid. Cheers folks.