Class 47: Billions Of Models!

For any observed data an infinite number of models will fit it perfectly. How do you choose between them? Illustrated with an IQ test logic puzzle.

Written lecture: https://www.wmbriggs.com/class/ https://wmbriggs.substack.com/

Genius Wheel Puzzle:
https://x.com/AlternatNews/status/1911299612960243719

Jury Nullification
https://theabjectlesson.substack.com/p/plausible-reasoning-6

Jaynes's book:
http://www.med.mcgill.ca/epidemiology/hanley/bios601/GaussianModel/
JaynesProbabilityTheory.pdf

Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science

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