Elon Musk: There’s an 80–90% Chance AI Will Bring Extreme Prosperity for Humanity

Elon Musk: There's an 80%-90% chance AI will usher humanity into a phase of extreme prosperity.

“In 10 years, AI can probably do almost anything better than a human cognitively. Based on the current rate of improvement, AI will be smarter than the smartest human.

There will also be a massive number of robots, ultimately billions of humanoid robots. All cars will be self-driving. Goods and services will become close to free.

Tens of billions of robots will make you anything or provide any service you want for basically next to nothing.

People will actually have a much higher standard of living. The challenge will be how do you derive fulfillment and meaning in life?

[An AI Apocalypse] is 20% likely, maybe 10%, but you can look at it in this way: The glass is 80% to 90% full—meaning it's 80% likely we will have extreme prosperity for all.”

Verdict with Ted Cruz, March 17, 2025